Sam Stein

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Sam Stein

The Huffington Post

Fatalism Dominates GOP Outlook For '08

September 25, 2007 04:54 PM


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The Republican Party is in such bad shape heading into the 2008 congressional elections that many insiders are all but convinced things will get worse before they get better. The blame, some say, lies within the party itself.

Recent reports coming from the National Republican Congressional and Senatorial Committees paint a picture of institutions on the brink of bankruptcy and organizational disrepair. The Republican Party has ceded its traditional fundraising advantages to the Democrats. Recruiting conservative candidates to run for congressional office has proved exceedingly difficult. Even worse, several Republicans officials bemoaned, there is no short-term solutions on the horizon.

"In my lifetime you'd have to go back 30 years to find another time when the party committees were in such dire straits," Craig Shipley, president of the Republican public relations firm Shirley & Banister Public Affairs, told the Huffington Post. "The stimulus in the 70s was that the grassroots became disgusted with the abandonment of conservative principles and corruption of the party. The same thing is happening today. There is just a bad odor in the party right now."

Having lost 30 seats in the House and six in the Senate in the 2006 elections, Republican officials are now bracing for continued - perhaps, even greater - setbacks in 2008. According to the Cook Political Report there are 20 Republican seats in the House of Representatives that are in true jeopardy, compared to 13 Democratic. In addition, there are eight Republican races in the Senate currently up for play compared to two for the Democrats. In the direst of situations, officials claim, Republicans could be down a dozen seats just on the West Coast.

Indeed, officials who spoke to the Huffington Post described a sense of near fatalism that has overtaken the Republican Party concerning its prospects for 2008. Simply put, they say, there is no money to throw at the problem. The NRCC has a scant $1.6 million in cash on hand, and $4 million in outstanding debt from the 2006 cycle. The NRSC is fairing slightly better with $7 million to its name.

"The short term outlook for the Republican Party is not very good," said Rick Tyler, spokesman for conservative stalwart and possible presidential candidate Newt Gingrich. "It is a lack of leadership that has failed to earn back the trust of the donors. People want to see that their money is worthwhile."

In light of this dire outlook, infighting has broken out within Republican ranks. Late last week, it was reported that House Minority Leader John Boehner, R-OH, tried to force out several top advisers to NRCC Chairman Tom Cole, R-OK.

"I think there is a general lack of confidence over there," one high-ranking Republican staffer, told the Huffington Post. "Not necessarily with Cole, but with some of the stuff."

Similar concerns have surfaced with regard to Sen. John Ensign's, R-NV, leadership at the NRSC, though insiders were more inclined to give him the benefit of the doubt for the current situation.

"Nobody is happy because things aren't going in the right direction," a Republican consultant with knowledge of NRSC affairs told the Huffington Post. "You can't blame [Ensign] entirely, but there is blood in the water."

Not everyone sees disaster on the horizon. Betsy Hawkings, a spokesperson for Rep. Chris Shays, R-CT, described the Republican Party as unified and noted that there was 13 months to change voter perceptions.

But optimism over the GOP's prospects in 2008 remains hard to come by. While some D.C. insiders predicted a potential leadership shakeup at the Republican committees, on the whole, they argued, nothing short of a drastic change in the political landscape could turn around the party's near-term affairs. President Bush, who has proved more hindrance than help, would have to keep his distance; the situation in Iraq would have to drastically improve, a GOP presidential nominee would have to galvanize the base; and the party as a whole would have to effectively distance itself from recent scandal (see: Rep. Mark Foley, R-FL, Jack Abramoff, and, impending, Rep. Don Young, R-AK).

Even that, some suggested, might not be enough.

"There are a lot of people in this town that still drink the Kool Aid," Tony Fabrizio, a Republican pollster, told the Huffington Post. "There are a lot of Republicans who believe all our problems are solved once Hillary Clinton becomes the nominee. This is the same group of people who believed we could spend enough money to buy our way out of the 2006 debacle ... We bet the house then, and now we are living in a double wide."

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How many of us are calling our congress regularly to demand a paper trail/verification of electronic voting machine results in '08???!!! Better fire up the phones, peeps. Next election is much too easy to steal, courtesy of Diebold.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:59 PM on 09/26/2007

None of us should presume there are no more dirty tricks up the sleeves of Bush-Cheney with Iran war soon to be overt not covert unless the military's resistence is backed up by the citizenry's, nor that the Dem party will accomplish any sweeping victory in 08 due to it's own lack of balls in reigning in Bush-Cheney as the majority of Americans want it to do. Dem leadership is much too confident and none too capable when it comes to countering the Bush-Cheney-GOP "tough on terror and national defense" propaganda. Dem's response to Kyl/Lieberman bill demonizing Iran is a case in point.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:47 PM on 09/26/2007

Repigs put an apple in your mouth November 08 it's luas coast to coast.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:13 PM on 09/26/2007
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A mass suicide would be nice.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:34 PM on 09/26/2007

at least, adolph hitler, had enough sense to kill himself. i'm afraid W does not.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:16 PM on 09/26/2007
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Looking back, I think the first real sign the Republiscum Party was hopelessly out of touch with the American mainstream was its impeachment of Clinton over Blowjobgate. Seventy percent of Americans opposed that move; only 30% supported it -- that's your hard-core Repub loony "base." The election of 2000 was stolen, and then Smirky McChimp managed to win in 2004 on the basis of his phony "wahr on turror." So you could say the Repub success of the past eight years have really been illusory.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:32 PM on 09/26/2007

Not all the Rebublicans have done, nor what they will attempt. They have been on a classic try to foment a fasciest distatorship here in the guise of democracy. The effects will be long in overturning if indeed we can.

We are an inch away from civil 'papers' we have to have everywhere. That away from being totally spied on for any reason. That away from haveing a private army (Blackwater) out of the control of the people. That away from total subservience of the people to the monied interests. That away from stolen/rigged elections with those silly out of control voting machines proven to be easily hackable and, fo one instance, of an attempt to subvert the lousy Electorial College with new rules only in the big state of California to give more votes to the Republicans. Where have you people benn not to history happening all over again a la the 20's on up to the 2nd World war?

Does no one read and think anymore?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:38 PM on 09/26/2007

Sorry - forgot to spell check for typos. Feeling very agitated now.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:39 PM on 09/26/2007

They should have known that there would be consequences for selling themselves to the Bush family.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:14 PM on 09/26/2007
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"We bet the house then, and now we are living in a double wide."

ROFL!!! Yep, and come 2009 you'll be living in a cardboard box under the freeway overpass.

I am SO lovin it!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:14 PM on 09/26/2007
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Maybe this will teach the Republiscums not to nominate a certifiable moron for president again -- but I won't count on it.

And actually their problems go much deeper than the current disastrous and criminal "presidency." They have marginalized themselves. Consider this: A recent CBS News poll found that, among all adults, 64% disapprove of the job Smirky McChimp is doing and only 29% approve. But among Republicans the numbers are reversed -- 70% approve and only 22% disapprove.

This tells us that not only are the Repubs seriously out of the mainstream, but they are seriously out of touch with reality. It also tells us that any candidate who can capture the loony Repub "base" and win the nomination won't have the chance of a mouse fart in a hurricane in the general election.

What we are seeing is a familiar historical process. In any ideologically driven political movement, the extremists tend to drive out the moderates. It happened to the Democrats in the '60s and it happened to the Repubs in the '90s.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:09 PM on 09/26/2007
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Maybe we should take stock first of all the wonderful things the GOPERS have done.
1. STARTED BIG WAR WITH IRAQ, WHO DID NOTHING TO US AND LEAVES US STUCK THERE WITH EXHAUSTED SOLDIERS AND OUR TREASURY BANKRUPT. NOT TO MENTION THE THOUSANDS OF LIVES LOST.
2. BIG TAX CUTS FOR THE WEALTHY, WHICH MEANS THE REST OF THE BILLS WILL BE PLACED ON THE MIDDLE CLASS
3. BROKE MIDDLE CLASS
4. POOR FORGOTTEN/KATRINA
5. LARGEST DEFICIT IN HISTORY
6. NO INFRASTRUCTURE REPAIRS SO OUR INFRANSTRUCTURE IS COLLAPSING.
7. NO CHILD LEFT BEHIND, AT LEAST NO WEALTHY CHILD
8. 50+ MILLION AMERICANS WITHOUT HEALTHCARE
9. NEARLY EVERY GOOD PAYING AMERICAN JOB SENT OVERSEAS
10. OUR BORDERS STILL WIDE OPEN
11. CORRUPTION, GRAFT, CHASING LITTLE BOYS (FOLEY) TOE TAPPIN IN THE BATHROOM.
12. BUSH/CHENEY/RICE/ROVE/RUMMY/BREMER/WOLFAWITZ
no more need be said.
Yea it's time for you to pack up your circus and go home.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:14 AM on 09/26/2007

Here's what I don't get. How does a party that thinks government is fundamentally bad (gop) trick voters again into thinking it can govern effectively? It's a flawed premise to begin with, and given the gop's horrific record of misgovernance and corruption, the '08 elections shouldn't even be close.

Thankfully, it appears people are finally waking up and smelling the coffee.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:29 AM on 09/26/2007
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At last, America can ditch the wingers and start catching up with the rest of the world.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:34 AM on 09/26/2007

all together now

im-peech-muhnt
im-peech-muhnt
im-peech-muhnt

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:07 AM on 09/26/2007

and remember... it's always darkest just before it gets totally black

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:48 AM on 09/26/2007
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I guess that's what happens when you crap in peoples living rooms enough times.

Bu-by.

The Grand Old Party has sold out way too many times.

Remember that Democratic party.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:22 AM on 09/26/2007

Isn't the sitting President traditionally supposed to be the head of his Party/

I say the Republicans should get Bush out on the campaign trail so the American people can get a really good look at what the GOP stands for.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:27 AM on 09/26/2007
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