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Marc Cooper

The Huffington Post

New California Poll: Hillary's "Negative Drag'

November 1, 2007 01:25 PM


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A new California Field Poll released todays warns, in the words of its director, that while Hillary Clinton stills leads widely among Democratic presidential contenders she has nevertheless accumulated a "negatve drag" of voters who absolutely will not support her.

While one third of California voters say they would "definitely" vote for Clinton, a near equal number say they have already made up their minds that they won't. No other major Democratic candidate, according to the poll, evokes such intense polarization. According to the poll, 48 percent of California voters said they have a favorable view of Hillary Clinton, with 39 percent having an unfavorable view.


Mark DiCamillo, director of the Field Poll, said the survey showed "there's really been a solidification of voter opinions on Hillary" and what he called "a negative drag" unique in the presidential race - the solid third who don't like her, won't support her and see her negatively.


"Judging from the length of time we've seen the same proportions, I don't think there's a high probability they will change their minds," he said... She almost has to write off at least a third of the voters who are unlikely to vote for her," DiCamillo said. "No other candidates have this kind of solidification of negative votes."

Some Republican strategists are taking today's poll as relatively good news, a suggestion that a Clinton-led national ticket might find winning vote-rich California something less than a cakewalk come next November.

On the other hand, more than 7 out of 10 Californians polled said that Bill Clinton's support of his wife's campaign would help her "a lot" or somewhat.

A similar California Field Poll last week showed Clinton leading second place rival Barack Obama by a wide 20% margin.

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- rssrai See Profile I'm a Fan of rssrai

The Clintons are not nice people. Ask the guy who they stole his company from. The Clintons are bad for the country and bad for the democrats.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:14 PM on 11/02/2007
- BernieO See Profile I'm a Fan of BernieO

WOW! A solid THIRD of the electorate in California says they won't vote for Hillary? Big deal. A solid third of this country are hard core Republicans who won't vote for any Democrat, regardless of what they are saying now. (And California has a lot of Republicans.) What counts is that middle third, the group that Hillary is already courting. If Democrats want to win, those are the voters that will decide the election.
Playing to the base, like Obama and Edwards are doing is a losing strategy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:21 AM on 11/02/2007
- Democrab See Profile I'm a Fan of Democrab

Hillary will win and we'll all be better off for it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:32 AM on 11/02/2007
- massimo1 See Profile I'm a Fan of massimo1

As a (progressive) democrat, I will never vote for Clinton. Every single one of the other candidates excepting Obama, is a better choice. Most have more relevant experiences and resumes for the job of POTUS. In short, Hillary is a demagogue who proves time and again she is not a leader; a woman who's ambition for 20 years has been to be our chief executive, come hell, high water, or opponents. Everything she's done has been a calculation, not a desire to improve the country. And to top it off, if Clinton is the candidate, it will a golden time for the republicans. They will come out of their burrows to vote AGAINST her, if not FOR their own candidate. That's going to be too bad for America, since I and many others won't be tricked into voting for her as a defensive move. After this election, everyone will forget what a spoiler Nader was. All fingers will be pointing at Clinton.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:20 AM on 11/02/2007
- drblack See Profile I'm a Fan of drblack

I am very Progressive and will not support Hillary Clinton.
She accepts too much cash from the big money interests, she is too much into nanny state Anti-Freedom bills and she does not stick to any position.
Kucinich for President

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:49 AM on 11/02/2007
- amosduncan See Profile I'm a Fan of amosduncan

Nothing Marc Cooper ever writes about Hillary Clinton should be taken seriously. When She annouced her run he told his blog readers that he "wished her a miserable experience", and he has over the years repeated much Republican balderdash concerning Democrates in general.

Does Clinton have a chance of winning in 08? It's a serious question, and one that should be considered. Marc Cooper is the last place to go...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:35 AM on 11/02/2007
- TashaG See Profile I'm a Fan of TashaG

While I don't plan on voting for her in the primary, I will vote for her if the rest of the country nominate her.

Of course I would vote for a houseplant before I would vote for ANY republican. So I guess I would be one of those who held their nose and voted for the party. To do otherwise risks getting another corrupt Republican for the next 4 years...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:50 AM on 11/02/2007
- mamacat See Profile I'm a Fan of mamacat

"48% of California voters have a favorable view of Clinton"

That is a heck of a lot better than Bush's poll numbers.
Last I checked, it takes 50% plus one to get elected, so what's the point?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:17 AM on 11/02/2007
- Killer See Profile I'm a Fan of Killer

Here is my take. She decided to "stand by her man" after he was literally caught with his pants down. If she were a shy, retiring person who was totally dependent on her husband, I could understand her decision to hang on. But here she is, an independent female ready to take on the world. The two images - the forgiving wife and the hardened politician - don't mesh. My bottom line is that I don't trust her.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:09 AM on 11/02/2007
- Qbear See Profile I'm a Fan of Qbear

Hillary =Lieberman with a fake laugh

Obama = Alan Keyes only taller

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:09 PM on 11/01/2007
- Purcy See Profile I'm a Fan of Purcy

I haven't decided which Democrat I will vote for but one thing does seem clear to me. Hillary doesn't take a back seat to anyone and, sorry, but I think a lot of the crap I hear about Hillary being a negative for the dems is just that, crap. And, it is crap (much of it) that I hear from white males. God is must be awful to be so threatened by a female. She's not always right. And when she makes decisions she does her best to defend them. Do you see any of the rest of the candidates doing one thing differently than that? Give me a break!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:02 PM on 11/01/2007
- rblackbird See Profile I'm a Fan of rblackbird

Those who insist they will not vote for Hillary Clinton under any circumstances may want to consider the history of the 1968 election. Vice-president Hubert Humphrey was the Democratic candidate for president. He had angered many in the party for his support of the Viet Nam war. Along with millions of other Democrats, I refused to vote for him so I cast no ballot for president. The result? Richard Nixon was elected president.

The question in the election of 2008 will not be "Hillary, Yes or No?" The question will be "The Democrat or the Republican?" If Hillary gets the nomination, will we have an election such as 2000 when millions of liberal purists voted for Ralph Nader and tipped the election to George Bush?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:41 PM on 11/01/2007
- dr4Will See Profile I'm a Fan of dr4Will

biased huffpost writers take their directions from the jealous greek -arriana -be negative on Hillary

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:11 PM on 11/01/2007
- Roafer See Profile I'm a Fan of Roafer

Shillary sucks!!!!!

Shillary is a plutocrat and would make a terrible president.

Shillary has been an enabler of the neocon madmen, she is pathetic.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:10 PM on 11/01/2007
- naschkatze See Profile I'm a Fan of naschkatze

She's coined a new slogan "the politics of piling on". Whiner. I say, as a woman myself, if you want to run with the boys, you have to play like one. You can't have it both ways, and if the rest of her campaign is going to be crying foul, I think she will dig herself a deeper and deeper hole. She thought it was going to be a cake-walk or coronation, and anytime someone dared to point out her failings, she could cry sexism. If she became the nominee, that's the sort of campaign she would run against the Republicans and lose. That's why they want her so badly.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:03 PM on 11/01/2007
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