Obama's Stock Up, Clinton Plummets In NH Prediction Market
For the past year, Inkling Markets has had a prediction market on the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary, which is now less than four weeks away.
The prediction market was created by the editors of Blue Hampshire, New Hampshire's version of Blue Mass. Group. This market functions like a real bond and stock market, except that it uses virtual money. If participants invest more in a given prediction or value, the "price" of that prediction or value gains; if participants invest less, the "price" goes down.
There has been a big change. Sen. Barack Obama has taken the lead for the first time in many months. He is now at $46.43 per share, while Sen. Clinton has dropped to $35.51 per share.
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The Eisenthal Report | David Eisenthal | December 13, 2007 10:17 AM