Obama Rides Wave of Latest Poll

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First Posted: 01- 1-08 03:35 PM   |   Updated: 03-28-08 02:45 AM

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Obama Des Moines

Des Moines, Iowa-- Buoyed by a widening, seven-point lead in the latest and most respected state poll, the Barack Obama campaign today saw a routine gathering of volunteer canvassers mushroom into a raucous, celebratory mass pep rally for the candidate.

As the morning edition of the Des Moines Register showed Obama with a 32%-25% lead over Hillary Clinton and John Edwards standing at 24% in Thursday night's caucus, the Roosevelt High School auditorium was unexpectedly flooded with nearly 1,500 supporters who braved sub-freezing air temperatures.

A drop-in by Obama to greet the precinct walkers was long planned but no one anticipated the crush of attendees and media that overflowed the gym. He was joined onstage by wife and two young daughters.

"The polls look good, but the polls don't count," a visibly confident and jubilant Barack Obama told the bundled up crowd. "The only thing that counts is that you go to caucus, that you call your neighbors, that you knock on doors. That's the only poll that counts."

The centrally located Des Moines high school gym floor was converted into a virtual ground-war command center, with volunteer and staff campaign field workers stationed at tables for every major district in surrounding Polk County. With caucusing set to begin in 48 hours, scores of canvassers were loaded with voter- information packets and deployed to knock on doors in 15-degree temperatures.

"Each canvasser has a walking map and a list identifying each household -- which ones say they are for sure going to caucus for us and which ones are undecided. We have a different piece of literature for each one," explained 27-year-old field staffer Mario Bonifacio, who was serving in the U.S. Army in Iraq until last May.

The Des Moines Register poll carries unusual significance because it is considered not only an authoritative survey but also one likely to influence the vote. Obama's lead in the poll was fueled by a projected unprecedented turnout of young, independent and first-time caucus goers, an assumption now being criticized by the Clinton and Edwards campaigns.

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But Obama took efforts at today's event to showcase the youthful core of his campaign organization. He proudly brought to the stage his top dozen organizers for Polk County. All were under 25 and dressed mostly in jeans and sweatshirts.

Obama stuck closely to the latest version of his stump speech, underscoring his central themes of hope and change. "There comes a moment in each generation," he said, provoking a loud ovation: "This is our moment. This is our time."

He devoted some special emphasis in today's address, however, to the issue of the war and related national security matters The Iowans he has met on the campaign trail, he said, "are ashamed of Guantanamo, they are ashamed of Abu Ghraib, they are ashamed of warrantless wiretaps and they are ashamed we are having a debate in this country on when to use torture." He vowed not only to end the war in Iraq but also to end "the mindest that gets us into war.

Just that sort of rhetoric is what attracted staffer and Iraq vet Bonifacio to the campaign. "It wasn't until I got over there in Iraq that I realized we weren't fighting for all the good things the politicians told us," he said as he continued to stuff the canvassing packets. "But Obama was against the war from the beginning, and he was right."

A few miles away at the downtown Obama headquarters there was a buzz of last minute activity. A midnight statewide conference call conducted right after the Register poll was released helped set the marching orders for these last three days.

One room in the chaotic jumble of rented offices is staffed only by those whose task is to solve individual logistical problems in getting voters to the caucuses on Thursday night. "We're gearing up," said staffer Bobby Gravitz. "We're calling in everybody and anybody who's ever worked for us, who's ever volunteered for us, who has ever said they want to volunteer. This is it."

Check out the rest of HuffPost's Iowa coverage here: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/iowa

Des Moines, Iowa-- Buoyed by a widening, seven-point lead in the latest and most respected state poll, the Barack Obama campaign today saw a routine gathering of volunteer canvassers mushroom into a r...
Des Moines, Iowa-- Buoyed by a widening, seven-point lead in the latest and most respected state poll, the Barack Obama campaign today saw a routine gathering of volunteer canvassers mushroom into a r...
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- degobah I'm a Fan of degobah 4 fans permalink

People, remember this...

1) Telephone polls do not include voters without a conventional "land-line" telephone.

2) From the polling data I have read, Obama has a great deal of support among the younger voters (18-34 years old) and this group is much less likely to have a conventional telephone; they use cell phones.

I believe that there are many Obama supporters who do not show up in polling data for this reason alone. Thus, look for an enormous turnout for Obama that totally baffles the pollsters in Iowa, and everywhere else. This is not an original idea, but I thought I'd point it out once again.

Virtually all of the young people I know (18-25 mostly) use cell phones exclusively and do NOT support Clinton it they're politically active at all. They are desperate for a change, not a political legacy, and this is Hillary's biggest problem. She represents a political dynasty. This will not fly in 2008.

Happy New Year to everyone. Go Obama.

Degobah from So Cal

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:01 PM on 01/01/2008
- DontSpin I'm a Fan of DontSpin 7 fans permalink

There is a mistake in this article. Obama has a 7-point lead over Clinton. Clinton is at 25% while Edwards is at 24%. The article's percentages are off.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20071231/NEWS09/71231044

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:55 PM on 01/01/2008
- BWonka I'm a Fan of BWonka 118 fans permalink
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Once again - EVERY Democrat is better than ANY Rethuglican.

GO DEMS in 2008!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:44 PM on 01/01/2008
- vbond I'm a Fan of vbond 14 fans permalink

"Des Moines, Iowa-- Buoyed by a widening, six-point lead in the latest and most respected state poll, the Barack Obama campaign today saw a routine gathering of volunteer canvassers mushroom into a raucous, celebratory mass pep rally for the candidate.

As the morning edition of the Des Moines Register showed Obama with a 32%-26% lead over Hillary Clinton and John Edwards standing at 25% in Thursday night's caucus, the Roosevelt High School auditorium was unexpectedly flooded with nearly 1,500 supporters who braved sub-freezing air temperatures."

Ohhhhh baby...

Look out.

vb

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:41 PM on 01/01/2008

Good for Iowa ! Going with a Winner !

I'm voting for Barack Obama.

It's time to Rise and Shine again.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:40 PM on 01/01/2008
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THe polls he said yesterday were worthless!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:37 PM on 01/01/2008
- LadyXoc I'm a Fan of LadyXoc 7 fans permalink
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Every poll projects a different caucus winner. Obviously, none of them is reliable. Only time will tell.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:36 PM on 01/01/2008
- DontSpin I'm a Fan of DontSpin 7 fans permalink

There is a mistake in this article. Obams has a 7-point lead over Clinton. Clinton is at 25% while Edwards is at 24%. The article's percentages are off.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:34 PM on 01/01/2008
- snruB I'm a Fan of snruB 5 fans permalink
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GOBAMA!!!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:32 PM on 01/01/2008

"most respected state poll"

Yeah, but this question looms large, "Is it the most 'accurate' poll?" Who knows? Some polls show Clinton ahead; some polls show Edwards ahead.

At the end of the day, splashy support doesn't make up for the fact that it's still too close to call in Iowa.

Edwards '08!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:30 PM on 01/01/2008
    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:30 PM on 01/01/2008
- williamg I'm a Fan of williamg 251 fans permalink
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Kucinich has announced that he is urging his supporters to make Obama their 2nd choice.
Bad news for Edwards?

http://video1.washingtontimes.com/bellantoni/2008/01/breaking_kucinich_urges_suppor.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:28 PM on 01/01/2008
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