Huffpost Politics

Biggest Determinant Of New Hampshire Race Is Likely To Be... Iowa

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This morning, there is a New Hampshire poll from CNN / UNH, and also new Suffolk tracking numbers in the state. The various New Hampshire polling estimates provided by peg the standings as follows:

Clinton: 31.2%--33.2%
Obama: 27.6%--30.0%
Edwards: 17.2%--17.7%
Richardson: 5.3%--6.4%...

...Obviously, both campaigns are extremely close at the top, especially on the Republican side. With only six days to go, and with Iowa tomorrow night, by far the number one agent of change in these standings will be the results in Iowa. Campaigning in New Hampshire will not make much of an impact on these numbers, but the results of Iowa should have a significant impact. Historically, the average boost candidates have received in New Hampshire from Iowa is as follows:

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