See The Latest NH Polls: Who's Up, Who's Down?

The Huffington Post   |   January 6, 2008 06:27 PM


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USA Today/Gallup (January 4-6)

Obama 41
Clinton 28
Edwards 19
Richardson 6

McCain 34
Romney 30
Huckabee 13
Paul 8
Giuliani 8
Thompson <3
Hunter <3

The surveys of 776 New Hampshire residents who are "likely" to vote in the Republican primary and 778 New Hampshire residents who are "likely" to vote in the Democratic primary were all completed after the news from Thursday's Iowa caucuses had been reported.

Each figure has a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points. So Obama's lead is "outside" that range, while McCain's is not.

See the full results here.

***

RealClearPolitics.com Average (January 6, 7:15pm ET)

Obama 35.1
Clinton 30.3
Edwards 18.3
Richardson 5.9

McCain 32.6
Romney 28
Huckabee 11.9
Giuliani 8.7
Paul 8.1
Thompson 2.4

See full results here.

***

CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll (January 5-6 )

Obama 39
Clinton 29
Edwards 16
Richardson 7

McCain 32
Romney 26
Huckabee 14
Giuliani 11
Paul 10
Hunter 1
Thompson 1

The poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire, surveyed 341 likely Democrats and 268 Republicans likely to vote in Tuesday's primary. It had a sampling error of 5 percentage points.

See the full results here.


***

MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 6)

Obama 33
Clinton 31
Edwards 17
Richardson 7

McCain 32
Romney 24
Huckabee 12
Giuliani 10
Paul 8

See full results here.

***

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 6)

Obama 31
Clinton 30
Edwards 20
Richardson 7

McCain 31
Romney 32
Huckabee 12
Giuliani 7
Paul 6

See full results here.

***

Concord Monitor (January 5)

Obama 34
Clinton 33
Edwards 23
Richardson 4
Kucinich 3

McCain 35
Romney 29
Huckabee 13
Giuliani 8
Paul 7
Thompson 3

See full results here.

***

CNN/WMUR Poll (January 4-5)

Clinton 33%
Obama 33%
Edwards 20%
Richardson 4%
Kucinich 2%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

McCain 33%
Romney 27%
Giuliani 14%
Huckabee 11%
Paul 9%
Hunter 1%
Thompson 1%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

See full results here.

***

American Research Group (January 5)

Obama 38%
Clinton 26%
Edwards 20%
Undecided 8%
Richardson 3%
Gravel 3%
Kucinich 1%

Barack Obama leads John Edwards among men 42% to 21%, with 19% for Hillary Clinton. Among women, Obama leads Clinton 35% to 31%, with 20% for Edwards. Clinton leads Obama among Democrats 34% to 32%, while Obama leads Edwards among undeclared voters (independents) 49% to 21%.

McCain 39%
Romney 25%
Huckabee 14%
Giuliani 7%
Paul 6%
Undecided 6%
Hunter 1%
Keyes 1%
Thompson 1%

John McCain leads Mitt Romney among men 42% to 21% and McCain leads Romney 35% to 30% among women. McCain leads Romney 44% to 19% among undeclared (independent) voters, with 18% for Huckabee. Undeclared voters are now 27% of the total Republican vote.

See full results here.

***

Rasmussen Reports (January 4)

Obama 37%
Clinton 27%
Edwards 19%
Richardson 8%
Kucinich 3%
Gravel 1%

See full results here.

McCain 31%
Romney 26%
Paul 14%
Huckabee 11%
Giuliani 8%
Thompson 5%
Some other candidate 2%

See full results here.

***

Check out HuffPost's comprehensive on-the-ground New Hampshire coverage here.


 
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- mexboy I'm a Fan of mexboy 2 fans permalink

Giving Hilary the nomination because she is married to Bill Clinton is STUPID.

Hating her and preventing her from the nomination because she is married to Bill Clinton is equally STUPID.!

Yet most people here hate Hilary because she is married to Bill and are reacting out of hatred instead of analyzing the situation intelligently and coming to a rational decision, if it were rational, you wouldn't be so nasty to her.

I will be happy with any of the democrats running for president. They all want change from the oppressive Bush administration, and we're lucky to have 4 intelligent and capable candidates.

Cut the hatred and get to discussing the real issues!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:06 AM on 01/06/2008

I would conjecture that the polls that show Obama and Hillary close poll only, or mostly, registered Democrats and do not include many, or any, independents who intend to vote in the Democratic primary, while the ones that show Obama with a big lead include such independents. We will soon see if this is indeed the case or not.

If I were working in the Obama campaign, I would go on the assumption that it will be very close and that every last vote is essential.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:22 AM on 01/06/2008

Did anybody watch C-span this afternoon before the debate when Hillary did 2 plus hours of questions and answers. Girlfriend was brillint. One day maybe you guys will stop drinking the Republican kool aid about Hillary and maybe really listen. Forget so called truth teller, Huffington has hated Hillary for well over 12 yrs going back from her old Republican ways!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:36 AM on 01/06/2008
- HumeSkeptic I'm a Fan of HumeSkeptic 1620 fans permalink
photo

A woman, a Black man, a Hispanic, and a White guy.

Democrats should feel proud.

And yes, it is Barack HUSSEIN HUSSEIN Obama. In your faces, Bigots and Racists out there.

And I love it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:28 AM on 01/06/2008
- HumeSkeptic I'm a Fan of HumeSkeptic 1620 fans permalink
photo

Huckabee/Ron Paul'08

The lunatics.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:23 AM on 01/06/2008

I am an Obama supporter but I was struck at how exhausted he looked at the debate tonight. He stayed on message though and did not engage in Hillary's attack-o-thon. Hillary is so desperate at this point and it shows with her outbursts and screaming. John Edwards was as sharp as a tack tonight and I took notice and if I have to hear about Gov. Richardson's resume one more time, I think I'll do something rash. ENOUGH ALREADY!

Barack Obama is the true change agent and there is absolutely nothing Hillary can say or do to change that.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:21 AM on 01/06/2008
- HumeSkeptic I'm a Fan of HumeSkeptic 1620 fans permalink
photo

There were no losers in the debate tonight. They all did extremely well.

If anyone is going to get a bounce, I think it will be Edwards - not because he did better than others, but because he was able to express himself to the people of NH, where he hasn't spent as much time as others.

The most positive trend I saw is that all candidates are moving to the Left. Richardson gets some credit for that tonight,and, of course, Kucinich, who was unfairly excluded.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:18 AM on 01/06/2008
- bbln I'm a Fan of bbln 3 fans permalink

OBAMA SUCKED at the debate tonight - he wilted when he was questioned sharply on his record, he wilted when Clinton told audiences that his New Hampshire Co-chair is a state lobbyist - if he can't take the heat now (because the media just Loves Obama), what is going to happen when the Republicans turn their fangs on him? Wilt, Stammer, look scared? That is not a President, that is a media-created fraud.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:00 AM on 01/06/2008

The Republicans did not have a clue of whats going on in America in tonite's debate: who can afford to save a $100,000 health account?

Obama is going all the way! Viva the youth of America! Keep on going to vote!!

Hillary should gracioiusly bow out now. However, there are too many heavyweights riding the Clinton horse who were banking on future "white house" jobs: Madeline Allbright, Podesta, etc.....

el gallo, babyboomer.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:40 PM on 01/05/2008
- OhgReaTone I'm a Fan of OhgReaTone 5 fans permalink

Well - I guess we all have opinions about what will happen in New Hampshire. I have my own take.
Ohg.
http://thefiresidepost.com/2008/01/04/nh-political-predictions-of-ohg-rea-tone/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:52 PM on 01/05/2008
- darker I'm a Fan of darker 42 fans permalink

Get ready for it!

OBAMA WILL WIN.

Because the rest of them and their
minions are born-again-losers.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:50 PM on 01/05/2008
- DontSpin I'm a Fan of DontSpin 7 fans permalink

Sounds like my hero, Mr. Obama, is on the rise. This movement for change is beyond a candidate or a campaign..­. this is a fucking freight train. You just watch. Obama is going to take us back the white house. You just watch.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:42 PM on 01/05/2008
- emncaity I'm a Fan of emncaity 34 fans permalink

Well, we can ensure that Edwards is no threat if we just freeze him out of all debates even when he finishes second in the previous state's primary/caucus. (Did anybody else see the ridiculous first 1:15 of the NH debates on ABC tonight?)

It's still all about Obama and Hillary; that's the race the MSM wants, that's the only one that matters, that's the one you're gonna get, so eat it. All Obama has to do is exactly what GW Bush did: Stay away from specifics, talk vaguely about change, and project the image that people want to believe about themselves and their party. It's working so far. Voters are too ignorant to pay attention to specifics--or the last thereof--so why give the lazy public something it doesn't want?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:40 PM on 01/05/2008

The eloquent pandering, double talk, and bickering that both parties engage in (save Dr. Paul) is sickening. Not a single candidate is addressing solutions to issues directly, it's all verbose sophistry. Dr. Paul is a STATESMAN, all the rest, every single one of them, is a globalist, bought-and­-paid-for-­politician­. It is sickening that Dr. Paul is being excluded from this, and every true American, who understands the principles that this country was founded on, whould be outraged. Anyhoo, I wish Cliff would come over, we could use a guy like him on our side. Down with Socialism! (you ALL know that is what Democrats are) Down with Tyranny (Every Republican except Dr. Paul) :-)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:22 PM on 01/05/2008

This primary season very much resembles the Democratic primary of 1968, in which Humphrey, McCarthy, and Robert Kennedy ran against each other. Hillary clearly plays Humphrey's role which Edwards plays the role of McCarthy, who made it difficult but not impossible for Kennedy (obviously Obama now plays this role) to defeat Humphrey, but he did it. If Kennedy had lived he would have won the Presidency and ended the Vietnam war, as Obama will end the Iraqi quagmire.

I am being consistent on this. I supported Kennedy in 1968 and am supporting Obama now.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:48 PM on 01/05/2008
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