huffpollstrology, opinion polling, polling
huffpollstrology, opinion polling, polling

New And Improved HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More

Huffington Post   |   February 3, 2008 11:46 PM


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Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and who's not -- but skip over the fact that plummeting response rates and variables like undecided voters and margins of error and often render these polls useless as anything other than lightweight diversions on par with horoscopes and political betting lines. Our HuffPollstrology chart helps keep you up to date on the latest poll results, along with the latest horoscope predictions, and the latest online political betting lines - and will hopefully help the polling junkies in the media keep polls in the proper perspective.

See the bottom of the entry for polling methodology.

  Polls Stars Betting
Democrats
Clinton
clinton
45%
USA Today - Gallup Poll (National)
scorpioSCORPIO
October 26, 1947

If you can speak to companions in a more rational way, they are likely to connect better. But you will be whizzing around at high speed here and there, doing all sorts of things in a very lively kind of way. Check out in advance whether what you're doing is really necessary - sometimes you rush too fast and don't stop to slow down and think things through. You may be over-indulging - with your waistline expanding as a result..

61%
chance of
winning
Obama
obama
44%
USA Today - Gallup Poll (National)
scorpioLEO
August 4, 1961

It's a rather self-sacrificing kind of day which means you have to put aside your own need for frivolity to make sure that everyone else is getting what they want. Just polish your halo and console yourself with the thought that you will get your rewards in a couple of days. Over-eating can be one minor downside of Venus and the Moon snuggling up close today, since you want to make yourself feel pampered by eating sweet or rich food.

39%
chance of
winning
Republicans
Huckabee
huckabee
20%
Pew Research Poll (National)
scorpioVIRGO
August 24, 1955

Try not to be too possessive today. Maybe you do feel like clinging more than usual, but it won't be wise. Have your enjoyment without pinning close mates down, otherwise they may want to skip off elsewhere. Your emotions will be more fickle than usual. The Moon is close to Jupiter so you will be charming, easy-going, and definitely looking on the better side of life at the moment. Just watch you are not too sentimental.

1.0%
chance of
winning
McCain
mccain
42%
Pew Research Poll (National)
scorpioVIRGO
August 29, 1936

Try not to be too possessive today. Maybe you do feel like clinging more than usual, but it won't be wise. Have your enjoyment without pinning close mates down, otherwise they may want to skip off elsewhere. Your emotions will be more fickle than usual. The Moon is close to Jupiter so you will be charming, easy-going, and definitely looking on the better side of life at the moment. Just watch you are not too sentimental.

91.5%
chance of
winning
Romney
paul
5%
Pew Research Poll (National)
scorpioLEO
August 20, 1935

It's a rather self-sacrificing kind of day which means you have to put aside your own need for frivolity to make sure that everyone else is getting what they want. Just polish your halo and console yourself with the thought that you will get your rewards in a couple of days. Over-eating can be one minor downside of Venus and the Moon snuggling up close today, since you want to make yourself feel pampered by eating sweet or rich food.

1.6%
chance of
winning
Romney
romney
22%
Pew Research Poll (National)
scorpioPISCES
March 12, 1947

Don't make up your mind about one plan until you've had a chance to discuss it with everyone around. Too much advice can make you confused, but not enough input and you may reach the wrong decisions. Just listen carefully then when the moment is ready you'll know exactly what is going to be workable. Just watch you don't set up a disappointment for yourself by expecting too much. You will dislike confrontations more than usual.

6.7%
chance of
winning
weather report
East Worcester, Mass.
36 degrees (F), 20% chance of showers
southwest Chance of Rain Santa Fe, N.M.
33 degrees (F), 70% chance of showers
midwest Chance of Rain Chicago, Ill.
41 degrees (F), 80% chance of showers
west Chance of Rain Irvine, Calif.
58 degrees (F), 20% chance of showers

Sources:

Democratic Poll: USA Today - Gallup Poll

The poll, conducted Jan. 30 - Feb. 2, surveyed 985 likely Democratic voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Republican Poll: Pew Research

The poll, conducted Jan. 30 - Feb. 2, surveyed 513 likely Republican primary voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

Horoscopes: The Daily Mail (U.K.)

Weather: Weather.com

Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets

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Osama and Billary in dead heat!!! Meanwhile horn dog Bill is out looking for anything in heat! What will demoncrats do if Billary wins?? She might bring cousin It Albright and swampthing Reno back to DC, by the way her two favorite carpet munchers. So is this a bad thing for the communists? Or is Osama your salvation because you all white liberals feel guilty for owning slaves, afterall the democrat party was the slavery party. Oh and he's yeah like a good like speaker and stuff. He says lotsa words, that like make you like all feel good.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:25 AM on 02/05/2008

"Clinton And Obama In Statistical Dead Heat"-
When the polls clam a dead heat it makes it easer for both Presidents to cheat.
Bush wants to cover 911 and he knows she will do anything to be President including blocking impeachment as she has already done in order to make money and cover the crimes of mass murdering traitors like cheney and bush! Just ask Why would she do a thing like that? What possible motive could she have for watching her own people murdered by the current President?As we all see war profits are up up up! And she git's what now ,about a million dollars a tear? Bend over America and take it in the rear while Hilliary pouts and downs another beer.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:25 PM on 02/04/2008

Obama win the nomination and loose the general elections. Prepare yourfelf for the third term of BushCo.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:25 PM on 02/04/2008

Both the Obama and Clinton supporters are rallying for change in one form or another, but has anyone seriously thought what changes can be made when the electorate will send 90% to 95% of the Congress back to Washington, who most are beholden to the lobbyist on K Street. Right now the Dems hold a slight majority in both houses and probably will do so after the election, so how does anything get done with a divided Congress? Do you really think the Republicans are going to roll over and play dead? Do you think the lobbyist are going to go away? If change is to come about you have to start with the root of the problem and that problem is Congress! And I haven't heard any candiate say how they planned on working with the House & Senate. Anyone who thinks that one person can change those dunderheads on the Hill is just naive.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:17 PM on 02/04/2008

Seriously, again with the polls? Why do I keep clicking on this hypocritical B.S. site? I can only blame myself.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:16 PM on 02/04/2008

Can we get just one pro Hillary piece on this post? Its just incredible the ignorance and bias that permeates this site.Hilla­ry will win in a romp despite the pro Obama media.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:32 PM on 02/04/2008

Hey Arianna,

do we really have to have another happy hillary harangue by Schelsinger ever day? Won't anybody else write for Huffpo?

Yikes!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:57 PM on 02/04/2008
- larmarch5 I'm a Fan of larmarch5 39 fans permalink
photo

Why did Hillary get 800,000 votes in Fl? Why isn't anyone talking about this. Who came out to vote for her? Try answering this question without the word "delegate.­" This turnout for her was huge. People are voting for her (or Bill) without telling pollsters.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:10 PM on 02/04/2008

Zogby is at it - predicting that a candidate is going to lock it up tomorrow. The primaries this year, if nothing else, have called into question the accuracy of predictions by pollsters - the "pundits". After the laughable miss at New Hampshire and continued swings in numbers that never seem to settle down even hours before voting begins makes me feel that a "Dart Board" polling prediction may do just as well.

So, a group of us got thinking a few days ago - what if we create a 30-second Mock Poll and not take ourselves so seriously? what if we encouraged poll takers to lie like cheap watches? what if we presented instant results ala Ramen Noodles? what if we make it ridiculously funny? Will we get results that are similar or better than the scientifically run smartie pant polls?

We got cracking and put together www.Pollfools.com. The Foolish Poll has been out for about 48 hours and we have had a few hundred people take it. The poll has stupid funny things such as a "Truthiness Factor" question, etc. And guess what, the early results being continuously updated are intriguing, to say the least. Even with rampant lying being encouraged, the early results are directionally an approximation of scientific polls. How about that? What if tens of thousands of people had a chuckle for 30 seconds?

Check it out at www.PollFools.com.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:08 PM on 02/04/2008
- maxfusion I'm a Fan of maxfusion 12 fans permalink

Ya, ya, ya, I know this is really important stuff, but where's all the global warming articles. Whaaaaaaaaaaaaaa Whaaaaaaaaaaaa ha ha

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:02 PM on 02/04/2008
- MyThought I'm a Fan of MyThought 8 fans permalink

Funny, Oprah has had shows that deal with women protecting themselves, etc. Trust you gut instinct and believe that if it's too good to be true chances are it is. Thank you Oprah - Obama, in my gut feeling, is too good to be true and chances are he is.

Oprah - you should listen to what you preach.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:26 PM on 02/04/2008
- OhgReaTone I'm a Fan of OhgReaTone 5 fans permalink

It is sort of ironic that the new guy, Obama, is running the most effective campaign.
Ohg
http://thefiresidepost.com/2008/02/03/barack-obama-the-surge-is-working/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:48 AM on 02/04/2008
- EinChicago I'm a Fan of EinChicago 33 fans permalink

The big problem that no-one is mentioning is that this internecine bickering between the moderates of the party and the Nader herd that are projecting on Obama is that we are pretty much guaranteeing a GOP win in November.

Putting aside the fact which candidate you support, the fact is that teh GOP look like they will have locked up their nominee by tomorrow and can psend teh next 9 months putting on a united front and raising money for the general. meanwhile, Obama will continue his divisive campaign until the conference, with HRC and Obama blowing their way through hundreds of millions of dollars fighting each other and splitting the party down the middle leaving only a couple of months to try and reconcile the groups after the conference.

And at the rate it is going, there will not be a moderate swing voter in this country who wil vote Obama nor a nader herder who will vote Clinton. Especially if Bloomberg does enter the race, all the moderate dems and undecideds that Obama has systematically alienated over the past month will jump ship.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:43 AM on 02/04/2008

The BEST Hillary spoof ever!
See it here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wGMgxFE6bms

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:49 AM on 02/04/2008
- tkk I'm a Fan of tkk permalink

OMG, the Kennedy women all look like old hags. Seriously, I can't read the propaganda in this blog anymore.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:17 AM on 02/04/2008
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