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Super Tuesday Results: Exit Poll Highlights

AP   |   December 0, 0000 at 12:00 AM


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UPDATE: CHECK HERE FOR SUPER TUESDAY RESULTS>>

Exit polls: Change, the economy driving voters.

On Super Tuesday (February 5th) voters across the country will head to the polls as primaries and caucuses get underway in over 20 states. Unlike in elections past, it is unclear whether a definitive winner will emerge from the pack at the end of the day.

Click here for Super Tuesday updates on Obama.

Click here for Super Tuesday updates on Clinton.

Click here for Super Tuesday updates on McCain.

Click here for Super Tuesday updates on Romney.

Highlights from preliminary results of exit polling in the Super Tuesday primary states for The Associated Press and television networks:

RACE AND GENDER

In the Democratic races, Barack Obama led among black voters and Hillary Rodham Clinton led among Hispanic voters. Obama led among white men, while Clinton led among white women. Overall, Obama led among men and Clinton led among women, although her advantage among women appeared smaller than was seen in early primary states. In the Republican races, John McCain led among men. He had only a small lead over Romney among women.

CONSERVATIVES AND MODERATES

John McCain led among Republicans who call themselves moderates, while Romney led among Republicans who call themselves conservatives. McCain had a small lead among Republicans and a large advantage among independents voting in the Republican primaries.

DECISIONS, DECISIONS

About one in 10 voters in each party said they decided whom to vote for on Tuesday. Slightly more said they decided in the last three days. About half of Democratic primary voters and a third of Republicans said they made up their minds more than a month ago.

ECONOMIC WORRIES

Voters in both parties most frequently picked the economy as the most important issue facing the country. Given three choices, half of Democratic primary voters picked the economy, three in 10 said the war in Iraq and the remaining two in 10 said health care. Republican primary voters had four choices for that question and four in 10 picked the economy; two in 10 picked immigration and the war in Iraq and somewhat fewer said terrorism.

Republicans had a far rosier view of the condition of the national economy, although few called it excellent; more four in 10 said it was good. Among Democratic primary voters, fewer than one in 10 called the economy excellent or good; half called it not so good and four in 10 labeled it poor.

Democratic primary voters also were asked about their family's financial situation and a little more than half said they were holding steady. Among the rest, somewhat more said they were falling behind than getting ahead.

CANDIDATE QUALITIES

In the Democratic races, nearly half of Hillary Rodham Clinton's voters said it was most important to them that their candidate has the right experience, while three in four of Barack Obama's supporters said their top quality was that the candidate "can bring about needed change." On the Republican side, half of Mitt Romney's voters and seven in 10 of Mike Huckabee's prized a candidate who "shares my values." John McCain voters split among several qualities _ a third said experience was most important while a quarter each said it was that he shares their values or "says what he believes."

GETTING OUT TO VOTE

As has been the case in earlier contests this season, turnout appeared to be considerably higher in Democratic than in Republican primaries.

SATISFIED WITH THEIR CHOICES?

Just half of Democrats who voted for Clinton said they would be satisfied if Obama won, while just half of Obama voters said they would be satisfied if Clinton won.

DEMOGRAPHICS:

The Democratic electorate was a bit younger than Republican primary-goers. More than one in 10 Democratic voters were under age 30 and one in five were over age 65. Among GOP primary voters fewer than one in 10 were under 30 and a quarter were over 65.

As usual, men outnumbered women in Republican primaries while the reverse was true on the Democratic side.

___

Preliminary results from exit polling by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for The Associated Press and television networks. Partial samples in more than 400 precincts across 16 states with primaries Tuesday. There were 9,240 interviews of Democratic primary voters, 5,867 of GOP voters. Sampling error was plus or minus 2 percentage points for each party.

In the Democratic races, Barack Obama led among black voters and Hillary Rodham Clinton led among Hispanic voters. Obama led among white men, while Clinton led among white women. Overall, Obama led among men and Clinton led among women, although her advantage among women appeared smaller than was seen in early primary states. In the Republican races, John McCain led among men. He had only a small lead over Romney among women.

CONSERVATIVES AND MODERATES

John McCain led among Republicans who call themselves moderates, while Romney led among Republicans who call themselves conservatives. McCain had a small lead among Republicans and a large advantage among independents voting in the Republican primaries.

DECISIONS, DECISIONS

About one in 10 voters in each party said they decided whom to vote for on Tuesday. Slightly more said they decided in the last three days. About half of Democratic primary voters and a third of Republicans said they made up their minds more than a month ago.

ECONOMIC WORRIES

Voters in both parties most frequently picked the economy as the most important issue facing the country. Given three choices, half of Democratic primary voters picked the economy, three in 10 said the war in Iraq and the remaining two in 10 said health care. Republican primary voters had four choices for that question and four in 10 picked the economy; two in 10 picked immigration and the war in Iraq and somewhat fewer said terrorism.

Republicans had a far rosier view of the condition of the national economy, although few called it excellent; more four in 10 said it was good. Among Democratic primary voters, fewer than one in 10 called the economy excellent or good; half called it not so good and four in 10 labeled it poor.

Democratic primary voters also were asked about their family's financial situation and a little more than half said they were holding steady. Among the rest, somewhat more said they were falling behind than getting ahead.

CANDIDATE QUALITIES

In the Democratic races, nearly half of Hillary Rodham Clinton's voters said it was most important to them that their candidate has the right experience, while three in four of Barack Obama's supporters said their top quality was that the candidate "can bring about needed change." On the Republican side, half of Mitt Romney's voters and seven in 10 of Mike Huckabee's prized a candidate who "shares my values." John McCain voters split among several qualities _ a third said experience was most important while a quarter each said it was that he shares their values or "says what he believes."

GETTING OUT TO VOTE

As has been the case in earlier contests this season, turnout appeared to be considerably higher in Democratic than in Republican primaries.

SATISFIED WITH THEIR CHOICES?

Just half of Democrats who voted for Clinton said they would be satisfied if Obama won, while just half of Obama voters said they would be satisfied if Clinton won.

DEMOGRAPHICS:

The Democratic electorate was a bit younger than Republican primary-goers. More than one in 10 Democratic voters were under age 30 and one in five were over age 65. Among GOP primary voters fewer than one in 10 were under 30 and a quarter were over 65.

As usual, men outnumbered women in Republican primaries while the reverse was true on the Democratic side.

___

Preliminary results from exit polling by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for The Associated Press and television networks. Partial samples in more than 400 precincts across 16 states with primaries Tuesday. There were 9,240 interviews of Democratic primary voters, 5,867 of GOP voters. Sampling error was plus or minus 2 percentage points for each party.

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Hillary Clinton can thank the MASSIVE absentee voting in FLA and CA for garnering victories in those states (though FLA won't count). A very high percentage (I think a third or more) vored well before the endorsements and momentum rolled for Obama. The come from behind victories in CT and MO (however small) tonight show that Obama's momentum is real.

Now we go to 6-7 states that favor Obama, so they say. Obama is raising lots of dough from small donors and Clinton is tapped out with many of her donors. So it seems that Clinton fans can spin tonight however they want, but without a substantial delegate lead after tonight, Clinton seems to be in a VERY VULNERABLE POSITION right now.

That seems to be the only exit poll that matters.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:49 AM on 02/06/2008

STOP listening to corrupt, sensationalizing media pundits. They do it for THE MONEY!

What a cute, empty slogen " change! change!".
What change? Loose change?

If you want change, CHANGE YOUR OWN damn DIAPERS!
Then go vote for somebody who has proven she can deliver. HILLARY.

The boys have flunked out. They don't rule, they ruin. It's time to change to a woman for President.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:44 PM on 02/05/2008

Funny how we use any differences between exit polls and recorded votes to indicate election fraud, except in our own country.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:37 PM on 02/05/2008

Gee, ya think 2 trillion dollars dumped in the desert hurt the economy?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:59 PM on 02/05/2008

Looks like the exit polls are WRONG again. We're not getting the change they claim. The only candidates winning tonight are the establishment candidates who want to maintain the status quo in D.C.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:27 PM on 02/05/2008

Yup, those exit polls sure did work in New Hampshire.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:19 PM on 02/05/2008

The reality is in the numbers, not necessarily demographic numbers - but in shear numbers. The volumes of people coming out to vote speaks to the mood of the country. We are going to show the world the power of the vote in a free Republic. We are experiencing an American Revolution.
Ohg
http://thefiresidepost.com/2008/02/05/this-american-revolution-2008/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:07 PM on 02/05/2008

Exit polls: Voters in Both Parties Pick Economy As Key Issue

"Voters in both parties most frequently picked the economy as the most important issue facing the country. Given three choices, half of Democratic primary voters picked the economy, three in 10 said the war in Iraq and the remaining two in 10 said health care."

It would seem, as of now, in *very early exit poll results*, Hillary's "it's the economy stupid redux card" is handily trumping Obama's "Iraq card."

Source: The Associated Press( Early Feb. 5 exit poll highlights, Feb. 05, 2008)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080205/ap_on_el_pr/campaign_exit_poll_glance

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:02 PM on 02/05/2008

Funny most people selected the economy as the most important issue. Too bad they don't seem to understand a god damn thing about it. A vote for anyone but Ron Paul is a vote against the economy. Damn fools will never learn. Just waiting on the Iranian oil bourse to open up or the bombs to fall and say goodnight to the American empire.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:57 PM on 02/05/2008

That is strange, economy is considered as representing the biggest concern. I guess they haven't talked to the African American voters, cause to me, based on the current results, it is really sad that race is the biggest concern to decide on their votes.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:48 PM on 02/05/2008

The Edwards blog has been hacked it would seem.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:45 PM on 02/05/2008

Looks like America has forgotten about the illegal Iraq War.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:37 PM on 02/05/2008

I think Clinton voters would be satisfied with Obama, but not the other way around.

Clinton is more of a DLC neoconservative than Obama, so many people (like myself) will not be able to support Hillary should she be the nominee.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:30 PM on 02/05/2008

I would have to think if half of the Obama and half of the Clinton voters would be satisfied with the other, then there is large unity within the party - Spelling higher turnout for the Dems in Nov., as well as up to now.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:53 PM on 02/05/2008
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