Dow Jones, stocks, Wall Street
Dow Jones, stocks, Wall Street

Stocks Plunge on Service Sector Weakness

MADLEN READ | February 5, 2008 09:17 PM EST | AP

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NEW YORK — Wall Street plunged Tuesday, driving the Dow Jones industrials down 370 points after investors saw an unexpected contraction in the service sector as evidence the economy is sinking into recession. It was the Dow's biggest percentage drop in almost a year.

The volatility that pummeled stocks in January returned with the news that the service sector shrank last month for the first time since March 2003. The report from the Institute for Supply Management wiped out the nascent optimism about the economy that had sent stocks surging higher last week.

"The report drives a nail into the coffin from investors' minds that we're in a recession," said Todd Salamone, director of trading at Schaeffer's Investment Research. "That doesn't mean stock prices in the months ahead will be lower. But when you see headline numbers like this, there tends to be a reactionary sell."

The ISM said its index of service sector activity, which accounts for about two-thirds of the economy, dropped below 50, a level that indicates contraction. The market had expected another month of growth, and the disappointment contributed to Tuesday's $500 billion loss in the Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 Composite Index, an index that measures the movement in 5,000 U.S. stocks.

Alongside the Labor Department's report last week showing the first monthly U.S. jobs decline in more than four years, the data on the service sector _ which includes businesses ranging from restaurants to retailers to banks _ was particularly worrisome to investors.

Though Wall Street hopes the Federal Reserve will keep slashing interest rates to stoke the economy, some believe the central bank, which lowered rates 1.25 percent in just over a week last month, acted too late. Rate cuts take several months to take effect, and moreover, many analysts are skeptical that rate cuts are the correct remedy for an economy saddled with bad debt in the wake of a housing market implosion.

Fitch Ratings' plans to lower the rating on more than $100 billion wrapped up in bond funds called collateralized debt obligations added to the host of concerns plaguing Wall Street. Downgrades would mean the securities _ many of which are backed by mortgages _ are worth even less than many investors thought. That could cause more problems for strugging banks, brokerages, and bond insurers hurt by investments in mortgages that went sour.

The Dow fell 370.03, or 2.93 percent, to 12,265.13, after falling 108 points on Monday. Tuesday's slide was the blue chip index's largest one-day percentage drop since it lost 3.3 percent on Feb. 27, 2007, and its largest point drop since it fell 387 points last Aug. 9.

The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index lost 44.18, or 3.20 percent, closing at 1,336.64, while the Nasdaq composite index tumbled 73.28, or 3.08 percent, to 2,309.57.

In Monday and Tuesday's trading, the Dow gave up most of the gains it made last week, when it jumped 536 points, or 4.39 percent, in a burst of optimism about the economy. It's not surprising that the volatile market would pull back on any bad economic news _ but some analysts claim stocks should be near their bottom given how low investors sentiment is right now.

According to JPMorgan equities analyst Thomas J. Lee, the three worst readings on record in the ISM's service sector index are associated with stocks rising in the ensuing three months _ on average, by 6 percent.

Even if the stock market is near its low point, though, it has a lot of ground to recover. The Dow is down more than 13 percent since its Oct. 9 record settlement of 14,164.53. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 _ the measure most watched by market professionals _ is down 8.9 percent for the year, the worst year-to-date performance for the index ever. The S&P 500 has fallen 14.6 percent from its Oct. 9 high.

Bond prices jumped as investors sought the safety of government-backed debt. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, sank to 3.56 percent from 3.64 percent late Monday.

The ISM report is particularly alarming, said Bernard Baumohl, managing director of the Economic Outlook Group LLC. Because Americans will not pare back spending significantly on necessary services like health care and transportation, January's rapid decline in service sector activity suggests that investors may have underestimated how damaged the economy is, he wrote in a research note.

On Tuesday, the biggest losers in the stock market were banks, which have already suffered huge losses in their investment portfolios last year and are now socking billions of dollars away to prepare for debt-burdened consumers to stop making payments.

Dow component Citigroup Inc. fell $2.17, or 7.4 percent, to $27.05, while JPMorgan Chase & Co., another Dow component, fell $2.33, or 5 percent, to $44.28. Washington Mutual Inc. fell $1.08, or 5.6 percent, to $18.08; Bank of America Corp. fell $1.66, or 3.8 percent, to $42.37; and Wachovia Corp. fell $1.35, or 3.8 percent, to $34.18.

"When you have the financials in intensive care such as they are, for any economy like ours, they must heal," said Quincy Krosby, chief investment strategist at the Hartford. "They drew us into this; they must lead us out."

Light, sweet crude oil declined $1.61 to $88.41 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, as traders bet that a slower economy would dampen energy demand. An extended drop in energy prices could aid businesses that are finding their supply costs are rising, but that their customers are having trouble taking on price increases.

The dollar rose against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.

Declining issues outnumbers advancers by about 4 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange. Consolidated volume came to 4.18 billion shares, down from 4.51 billion on Monday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 21.88, or 3.02 percent, to 701.58.

Stocks overseas also retreated. Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 0.82 percent; Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 0.89 percent; Britain's FTSE 100 fell 2.63 percent; Germany's DAX index fell 3.36 percent; and France's CAC-40 fell 3.96 percent.

___

On the Net:

New York Stock Exchange: http://www.nyse.com

Nasdaq Stock Market: http://www.nasdaq.com

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During the great depression, my grandfather used to walk the railroad tracks to pick up coal that the trains had dropped in order to heat the house.

By MajorKong

My father told us the same story, while growing up in a small mining town in PA. He and his is friends would walk the rail lines coming from the mines and pick coal off the tracks. By the age of 16 he was working in a CCC camp in order to bring in a few bucks home to the family, as well as fresh vetigables. He loved to cook, he could make a simple hamburger into a feast, he also specialized in vetigable soup and stew, which he used to call Depression food, my mom an Irish girl from Port Chester NY was a little more fortunate in terms of education etc. she was able to finish HS.

After serving 3 years in North Africa and Italy he left the military with the rank of technical sergeant and 2 bronze stars, battle ribbons for six campaigns as well as leg full of metal from a German mortar.

As a Teamster he was a union Democrat, and saw as child the struggles of labor in the coal mines of PA, he saw how poorly these men were treated. The Great Depression and the 2nd World War shaped my parents lives. They viewed FDR as a father more than a president, they listened to his fireside chats on the radio and felt that he cared about their lives, he gave them hope and they loved him for it. Contrast that with the bozos who inhabit the Whitehouse now, fear fear and more fear, go out and spend money and don"t think about our preemptive corporate war, than be afraid when it suites us politically, this is not leadership.

In defense of Hoover he was quoted saying, "the problem with Capitalism are the Capitalist, his failure was conservative ideology not greed, he was a better man than George Bush.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:17 AM on 02/06/2008

The definition of a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative growth is a myth. With the speed of financial transactions and the loss of credit, galactic personal and public debt, layoffs, unemployment, outsourcing, loss of mfg. jobs, energy costs thru the roof, dollar tanking, endless war draining our treasury, current accounts deficits, infrastructdure crumbling, several states already in recession, etc., etc., the only thing that has kept his country afloat is the heavy borrowing from abroad--China, Japan and even Mexico. The dolt in the White House was touting his wonderful economy just twenty-four hours before he was begging for a stimulus package to avoid a nationwide recession or worse. The time period for a recession went from 2 consecutive quarters of negative growth to 24 hours, prosperity to panic.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:10 AM on 02/06/2008
- BC33 I'm a Fan of BC33 permalink

Don't worry folks, there is a light at the end of the tunnel, its called "Hannah Montana". She will save us all so we can afford to go see "High School Musical". The economy is saved, let's all dance in the streets.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3683270

"Better-than-expected profit results from Walt Disney Co. handed Wall Street some good news. Disney posted a 26 percent decline in profit late Tuesday, but the results beat expectations. The company " one of the 30 companies that make up the Dow Jones industrial average " reported a 9 percent rise in revenue, thanks in part to the success of brands such as ESPN, "High School Musical" and "Hannah Montana."

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:09 AM on 02/06/2008
- Veri I'm a Fan of Veri permalink

Time to replace The Fed.

During The Roaring Twenties, banks loaned money to farmers in The Midwest. Then The Dust Bowl began. Farmers where unable to repay those loans. Banks went bust. The Fed, designed to control inflation, recalled all the monetary loans to the banks, akin to monetary auctions of today.

Banks were unable to repay the loans to The Fed. Banks failed. The Fed took over and sucked capital out of the markets.

Capital dried up. Money, used in the wild speculation on Wall Street, was removed from circulation by The Fed. Wall Street cashed in their stocks creating The Collapse of 1929 in order to repay The Fed on those loans. A dollar is actually debt to The Fed. Hence, a dollar bears the inscription, "Federal Reserve Note".

The farms, used as collateral, ultimately became the property of The Fed. The farms were the guarantee for the original bank loans. The banks used the farms to guarantee the loans from The Fed.

Fast forward to 2007 and The Sub-Prime market crisis. Housing collapses. The Fed injects money into the system creating ever-worthless "Federal Reserve Notes". And now, there is a problem. As the dollar continues to spiral downward, The Fed cannot absorb the trillions of dollars possessed by foreign holders. There is not enough physical goods to repay foreign dollar reserves.

In 1929, dollars were secured with land. In todays world, the dollar is secured by American workers. Unless you wish to sell American land to foreign buyers.

You are the collateral. You are an economic slave to the debt in all of our pockets. All by design.

The system, The Fed, works. The Fed, after 1929, withheld money from America. Work was ready to be done. However, money was not forthcoming from The Fed to pay workers. Until 1941, when The Fed released money onto the markets to pay for WWII. Instead of depression which wars cause, an economic boom ensued.

This time, The Fed will own us all.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:04 AM on 02/06/2008

During the depression when my shoes had holes in the soles, I used carboard as inserts for protection until the cardboard got wet and looked for more. There was no hot water and the home was heated with coal and wood, there was no central heating.. The temperature at night was as cold as the outdoor temperature. There were other problems--adequate clothing, food and health/care because any income was to meet the needs of the barest necessities. The mess we're in today is a direct result of the uncaring and lack of attention to the real issues facing this nation because the republicans have duped the people into believing that they have the best policies for the economy when in effect their greed and corrupt practices are aimed to benefit the few at the expense of the majority. Americans elect republicans at their own peril and to the impediment of their own economic welfare and security.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:41 AM on 02/06/2008

Greed. Excess. Propelling it all.
Remember this above all.
We can tackle Ignorance after anesthetizing Greed.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:24 AM on 02/06/2008
photo

Anyone interested in the DLCs' Corporate antics?
>>
"'Third Way' Think Tank Pushes Telecom Agenda on FISA Bill. The so-called "progressive" organization is now revealed to carry water for the corporations."

http://www.alternet.org/rights/75950/

"About the Third Way"

http://www.ndol.org/ndol_ci.cfm?kaid=128&subid=187&contentid=895

>>

Will we truly see reform while the DLC is still stacked with corporate cronies??

Will Clinton or Obama *truly* reform Capitalism or is this another elaborate Bait-n-Switch?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:23 AM on 02/06/2008

THE SUPPLY-SIDE SCAM

George Bush"s $3 trillion dollar tax giveaway to the rich over the past 7 years has been a disaster for average Americans. Supply-side (trickle-down) economics is a bogus theory promoted by those who benefit from it. In a mature capitalist system, supply side never rules, it"s always the demand side of the equation that governs growth and well-being. Think about the 1930s Depression, General Motors had plenty of supply, but demand evaporated.

Past U.S. economic downturns have been cured with only $200-300 billion in tax cuts targeted to the middle class, because the consumer (the great middle class and 2/3rds of the economy) spends that tax cut and primes the economic pump. But over 7 years Bush has raised the debt that our children and grandchildren will pay from $6 trillion to over $9 trillion for current economic growth (i.e. we all get trickled on, as the rich spend some small fraction of their gains). Unfortunately, this growth is largely and uniquely without wage gains, and so has shrunk the middle class that makes America strong and great. Also, this growth has already over ($3 trillion flushed down the toilet and gone!), as the FED has had to cut interest rates because recession is looming. Massive debt has led to a weak dollar, which is now at record lows vs. other major currencies because of FED interest rate cuts. In turn, the record low dollar has produced record oil prices ($100/barrel); and any additional needed FED interest rate cuts could cause a free fall in the value of the dollar, guaranteeing recession or worse, stagflation.

The middle class is slowly being tapped out, as home values (most of their net worth and the credit card of last resort) are falling in price, and a considerable number of homeowners are heading for foreclosure. With the rich-poor divide increasing, we"re headed toward previous shining examples of trickle-down economics: South America of the recent past and feudalism in the Middle Ages. SUPPY-SIDE ECONOMICS IS NEW FEUDALISM AND SERFDOM!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:44 AM on 02/06/2008

It just goes to show that even Wall Street rides on the backs of working stiffs. Give the working stiffs jobs and a decent salary and they will lift the whole economy out of the gutter. Did somone say the infrastructure is collapsing? Jobs, jobs, jobs and what a payoff for the country.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:05 AM on 02/06/2008

Please open the windows before you start jumping.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:04 AM on 02/06/2008

Nice to see that the eventual Republican nominee admittedly knows nothing about economics.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:38 AM on 02/06/2008

And it happened on a day when voters aren't paying attention. Go figure ...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:36 PM on 02/05/2008

Hmmmmmmm...I wonder if the Irish know about that wonderful Spring tradition in America called a "White Sale"?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:23 PM on 02/05/2008
    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:16 PM on 02/05/2008
photo


Anyone recognizing the pattern?


*Stock Markets around the World Drop
**Wall Street Panics and begs the Fed for a rate cut.
***The Fed provides the rate cut.
****Stocks go up ... Yea!!!
*****Stocks go down ... ah SHIT!!!
******Stock Markets around the World Drop ...

*******and so on and so forth.


This will continue until no more rate cuts are possible as the CDOs, CMOs and derivatives in circulation deflate, evaporating billions and trillions of dollars.


There is really no fix when a fraud unravels ... all you can do is ride it to the bottom and try to pick up the pieces.


The Markets are suffering a fatal condition brought about by lack of regulation and rabid greed.


This is really going to be something.


    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:07 PM on 02/05/2008
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