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New And Improved HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For February 12
Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and who's not -- but skip over the fact that plummeting response rates and variables like undecided voters and margins of error and often render these polls useless as anything other than lightweight diversions on par with horoscopes and political betting lines. Our HuffPollstrology chart helps keep you up to date on the latest poll results, along with the latest horoscope predictions, and the latest online political betting lines - and will hopefully help the polling junkies in the media keep polls in the proper perspective.
See the bottom of the entry for polling methodology.
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| Democrats | |||
 clinton |
38% SurveyUSA Poll (Virginia) |
 SCORPIOOctober 26, 1947 Don't forget that your ruling planet has only recently changed signs. That's like putting new fuel in your tank. As it is, you may still be on the forecourt. There could be some delight that a bill won't be as large - and in the discovery that someone younger has managed to breakthrough what had seemed like a barrier. You might also discover that you're eligible for help you didn't know was available. |
27.1% chance of winning |
 obama |
60% SurveryUSA Poll (Virginia) |
 LEOAugust 4, 1961 It's very likely that you'll be stopped in your tracks - perhaps literally, and by someone you thought you knew really well. Now a new facet to their character may be apparent: which might not be bad news. In tuning in to matters 'out of the ordinary' you might also be willing to step outside your own comfort zone and to sign up for something that leaves a friend bemused and amused. |
70.8% chance of winning |
| Republicans | |||
 huckabee |
37% SurveyUSA Poll (Virginia) |
 VIRGOAugust 24, 1955 What you hear on the grapevine about proposed changes to an area could both inspire and astound you. You might even be prompted to attend a public meeting. At a quite different level, an article in a magazine or a phrase used in a novel could set you thinking differently about a friend whom you sense is ready to make changes and might find the words inspirational too. An out of the blue invitation or offer seems likely too. |
2.3% chance of winning |
 mccain |
48% SurveyUSA Poll (Virginia) |
VIRGO August 29, 1936 What you hear on the grapevine about proposed changes to an area could both inspire and astound you. You might even be prompted to attend a public meeting. At a quite different level, an article in a magazine or a phrase used in a novel could set you thinking differently about a friend whom you sense is ready to make changes and might find the words inspirational too. An out of the blue invitation or offer seems likely too. |
94.4% chance of winning |
 paul |
7% SurveyUSA Poll (Virginia) |
LEO August 20, 1935 It's very likely that you'll be stopped in your tracks - perhaps literally, and by someone you thought you knew really well. Now a new facet to their character may be apparent: which might not be bad news. In tuning in to matters 'out of the ordinary' you might also be willing to step outside your own comfort zone and to sign up for something that leaves a friend bemused and amused. |
1.3% chance of winning |
| weather report | ||
| East |  |
Chesapeake, VA High of 58 degrees (F), 20% chance of rain. Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will become overcast in the afternoon. Slight chance of a rain shower. Winds SE at 10 to 20 mph. |
| south |  |
Jackson, MS High of 63 degrees (F), 80% chance of rain. Showers and thunderstorms. S winds shifting to W at 10 to 20 mph. |
| midwest |  |
Kansas City, KS High of 27 degrees (F), 30% chance of rain. Becoming partly cloudy later with any flurries or snow showers ending by noontime. Cold. |
| west |  |
San Diego, CA High of 74 degrees (F), 20% chance of showers. A mainly sunny sky. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph. |
Sources:
Democratic Poll: SurveyUSA Poll
1,700 VA adults were interviewed 02/09/08 and 02/10/08. Half of interviews were conducted before Obama wins in Louisiana Primary, Nebraska caucus and Washington state caucus were known. Half of interviews were conducted after. All of interviews were conducted after NBC newsman was suspended over comments about Chelsea Clinton and Clinton campaign threatened to withdraw from scheduled NBC debate over those comments. Of the adults, 1,516 were registered to vote. Of them, 596 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/12/08 Democratic primary. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Republican Poll: SurveyUSA Poll
1,700 VA adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 02/09/08 and 02/10/08. In the middle of the field period for this survey, Mike Huckabee won the Louisiana primary, won the Kansas caucus, and finished a strong 2nd in the WA state caucus. Any momentum Huckabee accrued from those wins would only partially be reflected in these interviews, half of which were completed before the results of the Saturday wins were known. Of the 1,700 adults interviews, 1,516 were registered to vote. Of them, 385 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/12/08 Republican primary. The margin of error is plus or minus 5/1 percentage points.
Horoscopes: horoscopes.co.uk
Weather: Weather.com
Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets
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Huffington Post | February 12, 2008 12:03 AM