Sam Stein

BIO

Sam Stein

The Huffington Post

2008 election, huffpolitics, Barack Obama exit polls, democratic primary exit polls, exit polls wisconsin, independents and obama, obama and clinton's base, primary and exit polls, white voters and obama, wi election, wi primary, wisconsin, wisconsin clinton, wisconsin dem primary, wisconsin Democratic Primary, wisconsin democrats, wisconsin dems, wisconsin election, wisconsin election polls, wisconsin election results, wisconsin exit polls, wisconsin Obama, wisconsin poll results, wisconsin polling, wisconsin polls, wisconsin primary, wisconsin primary election, wisconsin primary exit polls, wisconsin primary polls, wisconsin primary results, wisconsin primary voting, wisconsin race, wisconsin results, wisconsin voters and obama, woman and obama
2008 election, huffpolitics, Barack Obama exit polls, democratic primary exit polls, exit polls wisconsin, independents and obama, obama and clinton's base, primary and exit polls, white voters and obama, wi election, wi primary, wisconsin, wisconsin clinton, wisconsin dem primary, wisconsin Democratic Primary, wisconsin democrats, wisconsin dems, wisconsin election, wisconsin election polls, wisconsin election results, wisconsin exit polls, wisconsin Obama, wisconsin poll results, wisconsin polling, wisconsin polls, wisconsin primary, wisconsin primary election, wisconsin primary exit polls, wisconsin primary polls, wisconsin primary results, wisconsin primary voting, wisconsin race, wisconsin results, wisconsin voters and obama, woman and obama

Exit Polls: Obama Continues To Erode Clinton Base

February 19, 2008 09:23 PM


digg Share this on Facebook Huffpost - stumble reddit del.ico.us RSS

Sen. Barack Obama continued his strong showing in the Wisconsin primary on Tuesday among voter demographics considered to be Sen. Hillary Clinton's strength.

White voters supported the Illinois Democrat by a margin of 52 percent to 46 percent. And among white women - the crux of Clinton's base - he scored moderately well: 45 percent to 53 percent. Those voters who make less than $30,000 also supported Obama by a tally of 50 percent to 49 percent. Those making between $30,000 and $50,000 supported the Illinois Democrat by a larger margin of 53 percent to 47 percent.

Wisconsin, Obama's campaign noted prior to the election returns, represented fertile ground for the New York Senator. The state is, according to an AP article released on Tuesday evening, "brimming with whites and working class voters who usually support [Clinton]."

Obama also maintained control of the most reliable elements of his electoral base. Seventy-one percent of those voters between 18 and 29 years old supported the Senator, as did 61 percent of those between 30 and 44.

The percentage of black and Latino voters were not registered in the MSNBC exit polls as neither demographic constituted a substantial portion of the electorate. The state is, by some estimations, more than 90 percent white.

Finally, 62 percent of independents and 70 percent of Republicans who voted in the Democratic primary said they supported Obama's candidacy.

Some other interesting tid-bits from the MSNBC exit polls:

Sixty-three percent of Wisconsin Democratic primary voters said that "regardless" of how they voted, they believed that Sen. Obama would be the candidate "most likely to beat the Republican presidential nominee in November."

Eighty-two percent of the voters said they would be satisfied if Obama were to win the nomination regardless of whom they voted. Sixty-eight percent of those voters said they would be satisfied if Clinton won the nomination.

Fifty-three percent of the respondents said they believed Clinton attacked Obama unfairly. Thirty-three percent said Obama attacked unfairly.

Finally, 63 percent of those who participated in the exit poll thought Obama would be the best candidate to beat the Republican presidential nominee in November (presumably Sen. John McCain). The remaining 37 percent said Clinton was best suited for the challenge.


 
Comments
229
Pending Comments
0
iPhone App Promo

Want to reply to a comment? Hint: Click "Reply" at the bottom of the comment; after being approved your comment will appear directly underneath the comment you replied to

View Comments:
Page: 1 2 3 4 Next › Last » (4 pages total)
- horacekent I'm a Fan of horacekent 10 fans permalink

To the Great People of Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island & Vermont,

Please do us all a favor & finally close the door on the Clintons.

You're the Closers. Lets do this thing!

~HK

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:18 PM on 02/20/2008
- Centauri I'm a Fan of Centauri 2 fans permalink

Your numbers are totally skewed because you do not take out the Indys and repubs before you calculate percentage of men and women.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:24 PM on 02/20/2008
- skycontrol I'm a Fan of skycontrol 4 fans permalink

The Hillary & “Bill in a China Shop” show is in freefall.

There are two stages before political irrelevancy.

First the politician becomes the object of derision and then they become the object of pity. That is where HRC finds herself.

Hey, call me silly, but doesn’t her campaign remind you of the war in Iraq.

Bush was fixated on winning Baghdad, thinking that constituted victory and gave little thought to the aftermath.

HRC was fixated on winning Super Tuesday, feeling confident that she would have it wrapped up by then, so why bother with the caucus states.

Bush thought that the Iraqi people wanted democracy but what they really wanted was security.

HRC thought the American people wanted experience, but what they really wanted was change.

Bush thought that since he had the support of the Chalabis the support of the Iraqi people would follow.

HRC thought that if she had the support of the Rangels and Youngs, she would have the support of a core constituency.

Both Bush and HRC can be faulted for hiring people based on loyalty and a distant, secondarily, competence.

Neither Bush nor HRC can be accused of admitting errors.

Neither can be accused of humility.

Both feel that if you are not with them, you are against them.

Bush calls his enemies evil.

HRC threatens to “demonize” those who question her wisdom.

All of this is so old school!

Well a political Tsunami is sweeping across this land and I am reminded of a Dylan line, “Something is happening here and you don’t know what it is, do you Mr. Jones!”

Skycontrol 02/20/08

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:37 PM on 02/20/2008

Is there a reason why Pennsylvania has Clinton leading 49% to Obama's 23%?

Is that State all full of old white women?

Ain't no Hispanics in that state.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:38 AM on 02/20/2008
- kellygrrrl I'm a Fan of kellygrrrl 640 fans permalink
photo

How was she to know the very thing she thought was her strenght "35 years of experience" would turn out to be her weakness. The American People are tired of footing the bill for the DC Insider games.

All lifelong Pols should learn a lesson from this.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:55 AM on 02/20/2008
- Weeza I'm a Fan of Weeza 3 fans permalink

Obama may give great speeches but what do we really know about him. I think the media has treated Hillary very unkindly and all we hear is "Obama Mania" He is fooling us all & the media has lapped it up just like they did 9-11 and the "terrorism" speeches Bush has been giving us for 7 years. What has happened to this country. I for one will not vote at all if this guy is the nominee. We deserve 4 more years of Bush in McCain if we do not check this smooth talker out. At least under Clinton - we had prosperity

Obama mentioned his church during his appearance with Oprah. It's the Trinity United Church of Christ. I found this interesting.
Obama's church:

Please read and go to this church's website and read what is written there. It is very alarming. Barack Obama is a member of this church and is running for President of the U.S. If you look at the first page of their website, you will learn that this congregation has a non-negotiable commitment to Africa. No where is AMERICA even mentioned. Notice too, what color you will need to be if you should want to join Obama's church... B-L-A-C-K!

Strip away his nice looks, the big smile and smooth talk and what do you get? Certainly a racist, as plainly defined by the stated position of his church! I cannot believe this has not been all over the TV and newspapers.

Click on the link below:
This is the web page for the church Barack Obama belongs to:

www.tucc.org/about.htm

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:06 AM on 02/20/2008

Yeah, the smooth talking father of 2 who graduated from Harvard, worked to rebuild inner city communities, worked as a civil rights attorney, had 8 successful years in the Illinois senate, and 2 years in the US senate.

Since you brought up racism, let's face the facts. If Obama were white you wouldn't have a problem with him and this whole "smooth talking" nonsense would never have come up.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:05 AM on 02/20/2008

How dare you insult the man's Church. Do you have any idea what White America has put blacks through over the past 400 years? Are you serious? I'm white, and I say please, by all means, have your own Church-- not complaining about it is the LEAST we can do. Your fear of such a Church is a perfect example of the problems White America still have with those who are different.

Plus, for this one all black Church, I'd bet you $50 that we could find hundreds of churches in the white, rural midwest where blacks would NOT be welcome, and you know it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:34 PM on 02/20/2008
- AnninCA I'm a Fan of AnninCA 54 fans permalink

Bite it.

I'm done with the self-riteous attitudes of Obamamaniacs.

I'm done.

You win.

I'll put up with you just like I put up with Bush.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:20 PM on 02/20/2008
- AnninCA I'm a Fan of AnninCA 54 fans permalink

I don't care if he's Bahai.

But I also won't vote for him.

His campaign has so offended me that I'll never vote for him.

I may just have to tolerate him like I had to tolerate Bush.

Thankfully, I'm seeing the good of the Bush years today.

They have prepared me to tolerate the Obama years. :)

LOL*

Nothing in life is wasted.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:19 PM on 02/20/2008
- Nommo I'm a Fan of Nommo 77 fans permalink
photo

So shut up already and serve sandwiches. Obama's folk are hungry.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:39 PM on 02/20/2008
- OtayPanky I'm a Fan of OtayPanky 66 fans permalink
photo

Let's not get carried away here.

Wisconsin is a notoriously misogynistic state. Everyone knows that.

Looking at the exit polls, where Barack and Hillary ran about even, it appears that even the women there are self-hating!

Disgusting!

Just watch Hillary in Texas, which once elected a woman governor.

That'll show him!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:53 AM on 02/20/2008
- Ping I'm a Fan of Ping 63 fans permalink

The voters are rejecting the Clintons. They are saying emphatically, NO THIRD TERM. Deal with it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:06 AM on 02/20/2008

Won in Louisiana "because blacks are voting for him." Won in Wisconsin because the state is "notoriously misogynist­ic." Hmmm. What are these voters thinking not voting for Hillary? It almost looks like people across the board have decided to vote as they see fit. Silly people. Don't they know some folks don't want the democratic process to work if it doesn't favor their candidate?

As for Texas electing a woman governor--they also elected the brain-dead son of a lackluster president.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:08 AM on 02/20/2008
- rjean I'm a Fan of rjean 4 fans permalink

the women in wisconsin arent self hating...t­hey jsut have enough sense to know hillary is a big fraud.....­.......

the hag is sinking in her own quicksand.­..

god bless america

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:56 AM on 02/20/2008
- butchie65 I'm a Fan of butchie65 7 fans permalink

Even though my name on here looks like I am a male, I'm not. I am a grandmother of six.I am not self hating, as you seem to think we are. I am from wisconsin and voted for Obama. I think Obama gives us the HOPE, that he talks about, especially for my grandchildren. With Hillary we are getting noting but, the same. Hillary was here and thought she had it in the bag. She also stated before the election she was leaving early to go to Texas, like we didn't count. We showed her didn't we ?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:32 AM on 02/20/2008

As a veteran of the sixties and all of the promise and hope that we saw on the horizon, it is truly amazing to see young people of all class and ethnic lines supporting a candidate who is part of the establishm­ent-Barack Obama- as opposed to our anti-establishment focus back then. Many of our dreams were dashed by those in power.

This country has come a long way, and I for one, am thrilled to see it happening this way. We have not only lost our idealism, but our status as the moral compass of the world. Let's get it back, or at least try to.

Remember, people under 25 who can vote, have only seen an America led by a divisive and incompetent president. I believe, with their help, this will change soon.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:45 AM on 02/20/2008
- iPolitics I'm a Fan of iPolitics 33 fans permalink

Hillary: "My strongest base is superdelegates. Elections are not mine thing."

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:14 AM on 02/20/2008
- mrdontplay I'm a Fan of mrdontplay 3 fans permalink

...talk about a new america!!!


Obama put a challenge to US.

REMEMBER IT IS WE THE PEOPLE!

WE HAVE TO STAY WITH SOMEONE WHO HAS OUR BACK.

HE IS READY TO LEAD WHAT WE HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR.

THE TIME IS NOW!!!!



OBAMA!


OBAMA!



YES WE CAN!! !!!! !!!!!! !!!!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:39 AM on 02/20/2008
- BlueAsh I'm a Fan of BlueAsh 5 fans permalink

Truly, what we have seen in this election shines a harsh light on the former "liberal" states, at least on the large majority that voted for Hillary.

One might have been surprised by the overwhelming support for Obama in Iowa, where the majority of the voters are white. One might assume, given this country's history, that Obama would have a difficult time in southern states such as Georgia or South Carolina, at least with the white voters. Instead, he won them all and won them with impressive support from the white voters (at least the Democratic voters).

On the other hand, many in the particularly large states of Massaschusetts, New York, and California, the bastian of liberals, ironically do have a problem with Obama.

The exit polls from Wisconsin are illuminating: a much smaller percentage of Obama's supporters considered race as one of the important factors, whereas a much bigger block of Hillary's supporters do. It makes me wonder whether some of this brazen and acrid rhetoric about electing a female president masks some deep-seated, shall we say, discomfort, with having a man of color in the White House.

Are we seeing something akin to what happened to the "party of Lincoln"?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:28 AM on 02/20/2008
- OtayPanky I'm a Fan of OtayPanky 66 fans permalink
photo

BlueAsh: It makes me wonder whether some of this brazen and acrid rhetoric about electing a female president masks some deep-seated, shall we say, discomfort, with having a man of color in the White House.

===

No, it's something more basic than that, BlueAsh.

When a certain demographic - whether it be blacks, gays, women, Jews, Palestinians or whatever - are on the short end of a big stick for a long time, it makes them a bit crazy.

Can't help it, really. It's human nature to be paranoid and have skewed vision when history has kicked the shit out of you and yours for decades, centuries, millenia.

What you're seeing here among a certain subset of feminists is akin to a vocal subset of the black community's knee-jerk support of OJ after the verdict...­or more recently of Michael Vick.

The more the playing fields of society level - for all of us - in all demographics - the less of it you'll see.

And that will be a good thing.

Whether he wins or loses, Barack Obama has done this country a singular service by running a remarkably successful post-racial presidential campaign. By itself, it's an incredibly healing act for a country that still struggles with the legacy of slavery.

Hillary, on the other hand, has done the opposite, and said, blatantly, "Vote for me because we need a woman in the White House".

Ummm...no, we really don't.

We need the best PERSON in the White House - man or woman, black or white, younger or older.

Pretty simple stuff, really.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:01 AM on 02/20/2008
- Rubiconski I'm a Fan of Rubiconski 30 fans permalink
photo

Go Hillary?

Yeah! Go AWAY.

The voters have spoken.

What, your Karl Rove tactics didn't work?

Yeah you bet they didn't.

Now go home.

GO OBAMA!!!!!!!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:20 AM on 02/20/2008

Just wanted to give a shout out to the good people of Wisconsin -- THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:06 AM on 02/20/2008
- mrdontplay I'm a Fan of mrdontplay 3 fans permalink

...cheese and beer baby!

cheese and beer!

and brats

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:34 AM on 02/20/2008

It's not so easy when you have two capable people to choose from.
Is it time for a woman president? Yes. Is it time for a black president? Yes. I chose Obama, as did my wife of 50 years because he inspires us. We've concluded that he can best unify our divided nation. Another Clinton co-presidency seemed more likely to take us back to the rancor of the 80's. Our children and grandchildren don't need more of that.
A 72 year old grandfather from Wisconsin.
PS: I'm sorry to see that some folks responses seem so filled with hatred. Bush & his cohorts have given us enough of that!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:03 PM on 02/20/2008
- skycontrol I'm a Fan of skycontrol 4 fans permalink

The Hillary & “Bill in a China Shop” show is in freefall.
There are two stages before political irrelevancy.
First the politician becomes the object of derision and then they become the object of pity. That is where HRC finds herself.
Hey, call me silly, but doesn’t her campaign remind you of the war in Iraq.
Bush was fixated on winning Baghdad, thinking that constituted victory and gave little thought to the aftermath.
HRC was fixated on winning Super Tuesday, feeling confident that she would have it wrapped up by then, so why bother with the caucus states.
Bush thought that the Iraqi people wanted democracy but what they really wanted was security.
HRC thought the American people wanted experience, but what they really wanted was change.
Bush thought that since he had the support of the Chalabis the support of the Iraqi people would follow.
HRC thought that if she had the support of the Rangels and Youngs, she would have the support of a core constituency.
Both Bush and HRC can be faulted for hiring people based on loyalty and a distant, secondarily, competence.
Neither Bush nor HRC can be accused of admitting to error.
Neither can be accused of humility.
Both feel that if you are not with them, you are against them.
Bush calls his enemies evil.
HRC threatens to “demonize” those who question her wisdom.
All of this is so old school!
Well a political Tsunami is sweeping across this land and I am reminded of a Dylan line, “Something is happening here and you don’t know what it is, do you Mr. Jones!”

Skycontrol 02/20/08

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:58 AM on 02/20/2008
- ggmome I'm a Fan of ggmome 13 fans permalink

Skycontrol, you have nailed it! There is nothing to add to your post...

They all missed the main point!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:16 AM on 02/20/2008
- greejambri I'm a Fan of greejambri 19 fans permalink

Well, Sky, I thought it was an excellent post. I had the same thoughts myself about Hillary and Bush. Politically, they have differences, but TACTICALLY they are very similar.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:52 AM on 02/20/2008
- mrdontplay I'm a Fan of mrdontplay 3 fans permalink

great post.


Billary c'mon folks are you serious?


Go home

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:36 AM on 02/20/2008
- USMC1980 I'm a Fan of USMC1980 11 fans permalink

The only thing that is eroding, is Obama's "magic". Just because NBC, Huffpo, and a few dumb-ass "cheeseheads" in WI, were foolish enough to fall for this guy's "con-job", doesn't mean TX, OH or PA will.

Obama will keep stealing people's speeches and cowering under tthe McCain GOP attack, untill people relaize that he is all show and no backbone..­.and Hillary will get the nomination.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:02 AM on 02/20/2008
- Ping I'm a Fan of Ping 63 fans permalink

Having a bad night. Sucks to be you.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:16 AM on 02/20/2008

Yes. USMC1980, That seems like a really acurate reading of the reality unfolding before you. I know its difficult and sometimes even frightening to try to make sense of it all, but remember, your safe here, and you can trust me. What else do the voices tell you?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:44 AM on 02/20/2008
- Grunty1 I'm a Fan of Grunty1 216 fans permalink

But I thought it was the Obama supporters who were always so nasty and mean-spirited?

Lots of Hillary talking points here:
1) Non-Hillary states are dumb and irrelevent
2) Obama's "magic"
3) Stealing speeches
4) Hillary is going to win

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:30 AM on 02/20/2008

Sad pathetic sore loser Clinton supporter.

Watch her lose TX, OH, and PA!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:03 AM on 02/20/2008
Page: 1 2 3 4 Next › Last » (4 pages total)
Comments are closed for this entry

 You must be logged in to comment. Log in  or connect with 

Connect