Stocks Fall Sharply on Economic Worries

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TIM PARADIS | February 29, 2008 07:39 PM EST | AP

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NEW YORK — Stocks fell sharply Friday after a series of depressing economic and corporate reports as well as high oil prices stoked concerns about the health of the economy. The major stock indexes fell more than 2.5 percent and the Dow Jones industrials lost 315 points.

Investors were unnerved by disappointing quarterly results from American International Group Inc. and Dell Inc. And an index of regional business activity that Wall Street regards as a good indicator of a broader report due next week had its weakest showing in more than six years.

Oil prices continued to stir concern about inflation after pushing past $103 per barrel for the first time.

While stocks made sharp gains in the first three days this week even amid somewhat lackluster economic readings, the litany of concerns investors succumbed to Friday reflected the undercurrent of uncertainty that has kept Wall Street on edge for months.

"We really had to face a plethora of negative news," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Jefferies & Co. in Boston. "We just ran out of gas this week."

Hogan said while stocks held up admirably early in the week amid an uneven flow of economic news, they couldn't hold their gains after the latest round of weak economic signals.

The Dow fell 315.79, or 2.51 percent, to 12,266.39.

Broader stock indicators also tumbled. The Standard & Poor's 500 index lost 37.05, or 2.71 percent, to 1,330.63, and the Nasdaq composite index declined 60.09, or 2.58 percent, to 2,271.48.

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For the week, the Dow lost 0.93 percent, while the S&P 500 gave up 1.66 percent and the Nasdaq fell 1.38 percent. The week's losses would have been steeper had stocks not risen early in the week on hopes many of Wall Street's credit troubles were easing and after IBM Corp. announced a sizable stock repurchase plan.

Friday's losses sent stocks lower for February, the fourth straight month of declines.

Bond prices rose sharply as stocks lost ground. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.53 percent in late trading from 3.67 percent late Thursday.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange's volatility index, known as the VIX, and often referred to as the "fear index," jumped 12.8 percent.

The dollar hit another low against the euro and slid to a three-year record against the yen. The fall in the dollar has sent prices of commodities such as oil and gold soaring.

Light, sweet crude jumped to a record of $103.05 in early electronic trading before settling down 75 cents at $101.84 a barrel on New York Mercantile Exchange.

Insurer AIG announced a $5.29 billion quarterly loss largely because of steep declines in the value of a portfolio of contracts known as credit default swaps. Such contracts pledge to cover missed payments on debt. The company's losses caught analysts off guard, as many had expected the company to turn a profit.

While each of the 30 stocks that comprise the Dow industrials showed declines, those of AIG were the steepest. The stock fell $3.29, or 6.6 percent, to $46.86.

Computer maker Dell posted a 6 percent decline in its quarterly profit, falling below analysts' expectations, and warned that its business could suffer from reduced customer spending. Dell slid 97 cents, or 4.7 percent, to $19.90.

Bill Schultz, chief investment officer at McQueen, Ball & Associates in Bethlehem, Pa., said AIG's report left investors uneasy about the prospect of further sizable write-downs of bad debt.

"Every time we get to a point where we think we've finished, another report comes out and says we're not done yet," he said.

Schultz expects Wall Street will continue to proceed with "fits and starts" until investors sense that the bad debt from faltering mortgages has been accounted for and that balance sheets are on the mend.

Some relief for the ailing bond insurance industry is on the way, though the news didn't dislodge Wall Street's glum mood Friday. Billionaire investor Wilbur Ross agreed to invest up to $1 billion in Bermuda-based reinsurer Assured Guaranty Ltd. Assured Guaranty rose $2.87, or 12.6 percent, to $25.65.

In economic news, the Chicago purchasing managers index for February came in at 44.5, a weaker reading than the 48.5 that had been expected, according to Dow Jones Newswires. The report painted a dreary picture of the manufacturing sector and is seen as a precursor to the national Institute for Supply Management report expected Monday.

A government report showed that personal spending, when stripping out the effects of inflation, stood unchanged in January. The findings brought further worries that consumers are more hesitant to reach into their wallets amid the uncertainties facing the economy.

A parade of economic worries has weighed on consumer as well. The Reuters-University of Michigan final consumer sentiment reading for February came in at 70.8, better than the figure of 69 that had been expected. Still, the index was well off the level of 78.4 seen in January.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by roughly 7 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 4.23 billion shares compared with 3.76 billion shares traded Thursday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 19.54, or 2.77 percent, to 686.18.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average closed down 2.32 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 lost 1.36 percent, Germany's DAX index fell 1.67 percent, and France's CAC-40 gave up 1.53 percent.

________

The Dow Jones industrial average ended the week down 114.63, or 0.93 percent, at 12,266.39. The Standard & Poor's 500 index finished down 22.48, or 1.66 percent, at 1,330.63. The Nasdaq composite index ended the week down 31.87, or 1.38 percent, at 2,271.48.

The Russell 2000 index finished the week down 9.25, or 1.33 percent, at 686.18.

The Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 Composite Index _ a free-float weighted index that measures 5,000 U.S. based companies _ ended Friday at 13,455.96, down 207.07 points, or 1.52 percent, for the week. A year ago, the index was at 14,271.61.

___

On the Net:

New York Stock Exchange: http://www.nyse.com

Nasdaq Stock Market: http://www.nasdaq.com

(This version CORRECTS percentage Nasdaq fell for week in 9th graf.)

NEW YORK — Stocks fell sharply Friday after a series of depressing economic and corporate reports as well as high oil prices stoked concerns about the health of the economy. The major stock inde...
NEW YORK — Stocks fell sharply Friday after a series of depressing economic and corporate reports as well as high oil prices stoked concerns about the health of the economy. The major stock inde...
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- Irons I'm a Fan of Irons 2 fans permalink

OMIGOD! the economy is the TANK!I can't upgrade to 60" HD LCD now, oh boo hoo me, poor American.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:37 AM on 03/01/2008

Au contrare, Mr. Hogan, WE didn't "run out of gas this week".

It just shot up 15 cents a gallon due to the unfettered greed of "free market" speculators.

Will we ever learn?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:18 AM on 03/01/2008

Wait till we get that $600 check from the government. Do you think the oil companies are going to let that money be wasted on food and shelter when they can jack up the gas prices and scoop it up for themselves?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:48 AM on 03/01/2008

PK, sounds like that big SUV on the driveway wasn't a very good investment. You could buy a nice bike with that $600. But then again some people just put their finger back in to the light socket and never learn.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:28 AM on 03/01/2008

gas in england is over $9 per gallon, you don't hear the brits whine like you americans do.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:20 PM on 03/01/2008
- fourex I'm a Fan of fourex 17 fans permalink
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Oil and gas went up because the sellers knew the Bush Dollar was going down again.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:37 PM on 03/01/2008

Bush is messin' up!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:18 AM on 03/01/2008

Um, President Bush, the other day at that press conference you said that talk of a recession was nonsense. Have you indeed opened your eyes - or did you ever open an econ book - to know that this is surely a massive recession coming? Just curious. I know you have a lot to do as a lame duck president and all ....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:07 AM on 03/01/2008

Darlin', we've been in a recession for more than a year.

It's all in how the "powers that be" skew the input data.

All you ask yourself is this; "Are you thriving?"

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:20 AM on 03/01/2008

Be nice, now. He's optimistic. The fundamentals are sound. Full speed ahead. Damn the icebergs.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:50 AM on 03/01/2008
- jmsent I'm a Fan of jmsent 6 fans permalink

He also hauled out that old line about "believing in a strong dollar". Go figure.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:22 AM on 03/01/2008
- dadw5boys I'm a Fan of dadw5boys 281 fans permalink
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That $600.00 will come in handy when your living in your car if that is not repocessed too.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:53 AM on 03/01/2008
- MajorKong I'm a Fan of MajorKong 419 fans permalink
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How's that "Bush Boom" working out?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:44 AM on 03/01/2008
- BOfever I'm a Fan of BOfever 2 fans permalink

The fed needs to stop lowering rates and causing inflation, the government needs to stop thinking about bailing out loan companies or homeowners. Everyone needs to take their hit now, we'll be better in the long run for it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:27 AM on 03/01/2008
- ecotopian I'm a Fan of ecotopian 15 fans permalink
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315 points is sharp? The Dow now stands at 12,000. That means that it declines less than 3%. Get back to me when it's down over 25%. It's the percentage, not the number that matters.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:09 AM on 03/01/2008
- BOfever I'm a Fan of BOfever 2 fans permalink

12,000 is higher than at any point during the 90s if I'm correct, but the media always loves a good scare. Did anyone think that the market would continue to rise at these kind of paces forever?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:28 AM on 03/01/2008
- KQuark I'm a Fan of KQuark 267 fans permalink
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Dow was around 11,000 when Clinton left office. Now it's around 12,300 with means it has gone up less than 2% per year. I guess a simpleton would call that an achievement.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:57 AM on 03/01/2008

Gas was $1.10 per gallon, bread $.99, the country was running a surplus and unemployment was low in the 90"s. Dam those Clinton's, they where so interested in their own personal power and wealth. I know that's a fact because I read it here at the ObamaPost.com

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:00 AM on 03/01/2008
- msmaggie I'm a Fan of msmaggie 10 fans permalink

25% is higher than the black monday drop of 87. 3% is a lot, but the trend as always is the thing.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:43 AM on 03/01/2008

Why aren't they jumping out of windows on Wall Street? It would help.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:52 AM on 03/01/2008

Kranky: I agree and agree and agree. My great Cousin, a great businessman and builder, constantluy reminded me that there are some very smart and capable citizens in this republic of ours.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:51 PM on 02/29/2008
- FogBelter I'm a Fan of FogBelter 293 fans permalink
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With the Banks only required to maintain around 10% of their assets in reserve and the most lucrative investments Banks could make the last decade or so being the Securities whose value have been evaporating due to the current credit crisis ... I'd guess we have quite a ways to go before the economy hits bottom on this mess.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:52 PM on 02/29/2008
- KRANKY I'm a Fan of KRANKY 14 fans permalink

I love this! The individuals that post here are undoubtedly some of the smartest in all of Huffingtondom. They are multi-faceted, and they invest. This requires adroitness and intelligence.
From what I have gathered, all of these smart people know...KNOW, that bush and his goons are a bunch of con men and criminals.
We are the capitalists...the Repukes are the thieves, rapists and killers.
We create, invent, build, and improve. The bush Fascists take and destroy.

There are enough big minds here to meld a synthesis of ideas to counter the backwards nihilism of phony conservatism as typified by the contemporaneous Republican party.

Let us begin NOW!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:29 PM on 02/29/2008
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How, tell me how.

How come no one has gotten up off their butt already and taken action against the most henious administration to come down the pike ever.

How are you going to get people to stop thinking about themselves and look at the universal needs of all people.

I've tried for years.

People are too comfortable to do anything unless it hits them hard. This is not enough.

A depression is well on its way and then you will see people sit up and take notice but it will take such a traumatic event for it to post on most peoples radar.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:47 PM on 02/29/2008

civilbehavior; Do not look now but the depression is all ready here . Four straight months of wall street posting loss's. Unemployment rate, the true one not the crap posted by the labor dept, is over 18% Perhaps as high as 25%. True they are calling it a recession because the banks have not folded yet but that is just around the corner. When that happens the spit will hit the fan. Food riots, Robbery, Murder etc. will become extreme. Starvation, sickness and homeless ness will become pandemic. 1776

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:14 PM on 02/29/2008

From day one, the Bush bunch has made it policy a growing stock market. This policy has flown in the face of economic fundamentals which required the unnatural affects of low interest and unjustified money supply. Finally, the policy has run out of tools to keep the Market afloat as the underlying economic and monetary system has been essentially bankrupted. Short term living beyond our means and capacity has resulted in our loss of management and independence. The present President should be impeached and tried for treason and high crimes and misdemeanors.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:22 PM on 02/29/2008
- BOfever I'm a Fan of BOfever 2 fans permalink

"Short term living beyond our means and capacity"

Sorry but you blame the President for this? Did I miss something or did he force millions to buy houses they couldn't afford or rack up credit card debt to but a LCD TV?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:30 AM on 03/01/2008
- jennbeez I'm a Fan of jennbeez 12 fans permalink
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Yes. It's called leading by example. The US borrows and borrows and borrows to fund wars it can't afford, so why should its citizens act any differently?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:39 AM on 03/01/2008

Exactly. Americans have their priorities upside down. They spend money on crap, recreation, booze and whatnot and have no savings. Unfortunately, the prudent ones will be hurt as well.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:01 AM on 03/01/2008
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Pump and dump, pump and dump. Keep waiting for that rally back to 14,000 folks.

Meanwhile my gold and silver are looking pretty good.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:18 PM on 02/29/2008
- mmckinl I'm a Fan of mmckinl 22 fans permalink

Yep gold and silver lookin' good ...

I'm waiting for the 10% Treasuries soon to appear once the dollar crashes.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:34 PM on 02/29/2008
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You and many others mmc. Do you think the new rates when reality sets in will approach the records of the late 1970's?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:07 PM on 02/29/2008
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gloat much?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:06 AM on 03/01/2008
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This information was freely passed out right here at HuffPo when this mess began and we were immediately called chicken littles. Some heeded the advice, most did not. So yes I'm gonna throw in a reminder ever chance I get. It's called a hedge after all.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:16 AM on 03/01/2008
- blastocyst I'm a Fan of blastocyst 28 fans permalink

Seriously, try wielding these as instruments in the event of something really nasty. Unless you have access to the actual physical item, have a scale, aircraft shears and a scale. Then factor in the cost of securing these items one way or the other. Try farming in addition.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:37 AM on 03/01/2008

Ahhhh... watching my 401k tank really brightens my day. Thanks, Chimpy, for us not being in recession. BTW, the Canadian dollar is now worth more that ours. Giselle had a pretty good idea, getting paid in Euros.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:38 PM on 02/29/2008
- BOfever I'm a Fan of BOfever 2 fans permalink

Unless you are taking your 401k out this year, why even look at it? In the long run how much is it up since you started it?

If you give me $5 to start and a piece of paper tells you it's worth $100 last year but $90 this year do you consider that a loss?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:33 AM on 03/01/2008

You be floatin down de Nile, BO. The $ is worth HALF of what it was worth in November 2000, when this nightmare started. When the crimes of "La Famiglia Boosh" are all toted up, I expect to see that about $35 trillion have been stolen. I make that estimate based on the "rule of thirds": When you've added up everything you can think of, it's about a third of the total. Since the major crimes of Bush Junta include 3 trillion for various "Daddy WarBucks" friends and ten trillion for the "Have Mores", I figure the heist is in the neighborhod of 35-40 trillion. BTW, the market cap of the DJIA is about 50 trillion and the GDP is around 14 trillion, just to keep all these numbers in perspective. Bottom line: Bush screwed us all.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:36 AM on 03/01/2008

NOT time to panic, at least in the markets.... well, actually, it's never time to panic.

In the markets, someone is doing some massive buying. Huh? . . . >

http://pacificgatepost.blogspot.com/2008/02/there-is-some-good-news.html

Someone's been accumulating... Aug. & Nov. '07, as well as mid Jan. '08 until now.... massive buying. So, if you're on the sidelines, stay there. If you're in the market, stay there.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:35 PM on 02/29/2008
- mmckinl I'm a Fan of mmckinl 22 fans permalink

Sure, the Treasury Department has been buying to keep the market from tanking. Tax Payers will be on the hook for even more debt.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:40 PM on 02/29/2008
- elpollo I'm a Fan of elpollo 3 fans permalink

Could you be more explicit? How are they doing this? Are you referring to the Fed's TAF?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:40 PM on 02/29/2008

Check the massive volume that started this long term up-trend .... back in 2002.

7 or 8 trillion stopped the crash, created a supportive corridor through to early 2003, then it took off for where ...... we don't know. The big money isn't letting the long term trend reverse yet, by the looks of the volume.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:39 PM on 02/29/2008
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