Homes are advertised for sale at discounted prices in Stockton, Calif., Thursday, Dec. 6, 2007. Home foreclosures soared to an all-time high in the final quarter of last year and are likely to keep on rising, underscoring the suffering of distressed homeowners and the growing danger the housing meltdown poses for the economy. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)

Homeowner Equity Is Lowest Since 1945

J.W. ELPHINSTONE | March 6, 2008 02:15 PM EST | AP

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NEW YORK — Americans' percentage of equity in their homes fell below 50 percent for the first time on record since 1945, the Federal Reserve said Thursday.

Homeowners' portion of equity slipped to downwardly revised 49.6 percent in the second quarter of 2007, the central bank reported in its quarterly U.S. Flow of Funds Accounts, and declined further to 47.9 percent in the fourth quarter _ the third straight quarter it was under 50 percent.

That marks the first time homeowners' debt on their houses exceeds their equity since the Fed started tracking the data in 1945.

The total value of equity also fell for the third straight quarter to $9.65 trillion from a downwardly revised $9.93 trillion in the third quarter.

Home equity, which is equal to the percentage of a home's market value minus mortgage-related debt, has steadily decreased even as home prices jumped earlier this decade due to a surge in cash-out refinances, home equity loans and lines of credit and an increase in 100 percent or more home financing.

Economists expect this figure to drop even further as declining home prices eat into the value of most Americans' single largest asset.

Moody's Economy.com estimates that 8.8 million homeowners, or about 10.3 percent of homes, will have zero or negative equity by the end of the month. Even more disturbing, about 13.8 million households, or 15.9 percent, will be "upside down" if prices fall 20 percent from their peak.

The latest Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller index showed U.S. home prices plunging 8.9 percent in the final quarter of 2007 compared with a year ago, the steepest decline in the 20-year history of the index.

The news follows a report from the Mortgage Bankers Association on Thursday that home foreclosures skyrocketed to an all-time high in the final quarter of last year. The proportion of all mortgages nationwide that fell into foreclosure surged to a record of 0.83 percent, while the percentage of adjustable-rate mortgages to borrowers with risky credit that entered the foreclosure process soared to a record of 5.29 percent.

Experts expect foreclosures to rise as more homeowners struggle with adjusting rates on their mortgages, making their monthly payments unaffordable. Problems in the credit markets and eroding home values are making it harder to refinance out of unmanageable loans.

The threat of so-called "mortgage walkers," or homeowners who can afford their payments but decide not to pay, also increases as home values depreciate and equity diminishes. Banks and credit-rating agencies already are seeing early evidence of this.

On Tuesday, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke suggested lenders reduce loan amounts to provide relief to beleaguered homeowners.


 
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This is only the tip of an iceberg of wholesale fraud and usury that has permeated our banking systems for dozens of years.

When you see a new flag of sophistry lying on the ground, be careful to consider whether those words that someone would put into your mouth are really yours. A popular image ... the guy who just had to have a bigger McMansion, or whatever ... is appealing and designed to trigger strong emotion (resentment, he had it coming, and so on) but it's also a Psych-101 principle of "crowd psychology" where you-n-me are the great Crowd.

For nearly 50 years, the outcome that "Ike" Eisenhower tried so hard to warn us about has inexorably come true, such that an entire profession of bribery is just a few streets over from the Congressional office buildings. No one used the word "inflation," and it seemed to be "eat, drink and be merry" but when you find the shirt disappearing off your own back no matter how hard you try ... ladies and gentlemen, the reason why is that you are being swindled by the leaders of your own government.

Law Enforcement. As in, "Impeachment," "Expulsion," and "Recall." If there is no rigorous law enforcement there is no law, and if there is no law, applied consistently from all the way to the bottom to all the way to the top and everywhere in-between, then there is no Constitution and we may as well take that document out of the National Archives and use it as a place-mat.

I prefer "Law Enforcement." We throw CEOs in jail for stealing millions... but look the other way when other Chief Executives and crooked Boards of Directors steal ... quadrillions? What's wrong with this picture... is obvious.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:34 PM on 03/09/2008

Remeber the info-mercials? What was it ... "How to become a millionaire in real estate without using your own money."

That's how we got here. The house of cards is "adjusting downward".

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:57 PM on 03/08/2008

100% of the people who got "interest only" mortgages for the first 2 years so that they could "flip that house" have zero equity in thier homes and now since they can't sell it - have to actually pay the principal - and will go into forclosure.

Hopefully, the taxpayer will not be left holding the bag on a bailout of these reckless speculators!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:51 PM on 03/08/2008

From the article "The threat of so-called "mortgage walkers," or homeowners who can afford their payments but decide not to pay, also increases as home values depreciate and equity diminishes. Banks and credit-rating agencies already are seeing early evidence of this."
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This is a problem that shows no signs of getting better any time soon. It has actually morphed into something more "creative", on main street.

People have generally given up trying to pay for a mortgage that is way over the value of their homes and either walked or just moved their money to another bank and let the foreclosure happen - that's the old news for almost a year now.

The new news is sellers are now trying to cash in their credit ratings by having buyers lined up for short sales, now that there won't be a charge by the IRS. They'll just start missing payments and have a buyer produce a short sale offer to the bank. Sure, it may cost them on the credit rating for a couple of years, but they appear willing to take the risk.

I don't agree with it at all.

But I can't blame them either. The victims appear to have learned the game of creative financing quicker than expected.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:05 PM on 03/07/2008
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Y'all gotta' hand it to President Cheney and his boy-toy Bush; they almost pulled it off.
They managed to screw up the economy for decades to come, so their owners in Corporate America could finally afford that fourth mansion, and then almost managed to slither away under the radar to pin their economic debacle on the Democrats.
Almost...
Now even the hayseeds who voted Cheney/Bush in, because of homophobia, HAVE to see they were played like so many confederate fiddles.

Let's put REAL Americans back in charge in November...not another for sale Republican with a bar-code on his arse!!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:55 AM on 03/07/2008
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No they don't. Haven't you noticed that there are STILL hayseeds out there backing the GOP. Some people just demand to be lied to, no matter what.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:26 PM on 03/07/2008
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Another day, another record low for some economic indicator.
Thanks President CHENEY & ROVE!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:44 AM on 03/07/2008
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COULD WE PLEASE have another tax cut for the top 10%. I'm sure that will help. Just sure of it.

**

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:40 AM on 03/07/2008

The cost for the war in Iraq is our economic security.

The Soviet Union held its own during the cold war, until they ventured into Afghanistan and a financialy unsustainable war there.

The Soviets war in Afghanistan brought about the end of the Soviet Union and Communism in Russia.

Will the U.S.'s war in Iraq bring about the end of democracy in America?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:48 AM on 03/07/2008

This is most disturbing news (not surprising) as HOME EQUITY was the final and ultimate last stand in many consumer's financial lives. Many people are living paycheck to paycheck with little or no savings, but many had some equity stocked away in case things got really bad.

Things are really bad. The lower & middle classes are being squeezed so hard (see rises in the following prices: gas, food, clothing, education, health care, etc.) that soon there will be nothing left but a large destitute population and the Top 1%.

A day of reckoning will ensue.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:25 AM on 03/07/2008

That day of reckoning cannot come fast enough. I only hope that when it gets here Mr. Bush and Mr. Cheney are around to reap the rewards of what they have wrought.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:45 AM on 03/07/2008
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Believe me, it's already here.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:31 AM on 03/07/2008

I'm glad I own my own home outright and no debts other than monthly purchases and bills which get paid off forthwith. But if I was in a bad mortgage situation, upside down, I'd probably just sit it out.

Given that five states, last time I looked, are knocking back foreclosure applications because the money men cannot even show they 'own' the mortgage, well ... suffer, you swine. That's the downside of asset securitization, CDOs and the rest of the voodoo alphabet derivatives.

All the short-term fixes thus far have only delayed the onset of reality. Read about the great Real Estate Boom in Florida in 1926 and see how reality bit. It has to happen again.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:06 AM on 03/07/2008

1945--Millions of real American Heroes returning from two war fronts having given their very best to this country, and waiting for them was a thing called the GI Bill that gave them thanks for a job well done and the first chance many would ever have at being a part of the American Dream. Home ownership. A vested interest in the Democracy they had just saved.

Where is our GI Bill for today's veterans, of all conflicts from Viet Nam to Iraq? Where is that appreciation and acknowledgment of sacrifice and duty? Where is the government that is not afraid to extend its hands in applause for those who have gone above and beyond , and reach out a hand to lift them into the family of America once again? What has happened to honor, pride, dignity and courage in our leaders, our people, our Country? Where has the beautiful dream of America gone?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:31 PM on 03/06/2008

Saving democracy and saving Halliburton are two different things.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:00 PM on 03/06/2008


As all this good news comes out, is it any wonder this occurred .......?

http://pacificgatepost.blogspot.com/2008/02/obama-social-phenomenon.html

Is the size of this disconnect expanding?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:03 PM on 03/06/2008
- Moxo I'm a Fan of Moxo permalink

Since 1945? Guess this is just one more notch in the belt of our self-proclaimed "War President".

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:27 PM on 03/06/2008
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You also have to keep in mind that they didn't start keeping a record of this thing UNTIL 1945. It would have been interesting to compare the home equity rate to that of the 1930's.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:34 AM on 03/07/2008
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Actually I thought it was worse than this. Perhaps there is hope afterall.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:20 PM on 03/06/2008

Jeepers. I own a house outright that's situated on 7+ acres in one of the few areas of the country experiencing economic GROWTH (thanks to our mili-mania for bigger and better BOMBS)!

Sooooo...how smug do I feel?

"Damned" smug (and I mean that sincerely).

heh heh


(mrc, IT Man, email queen. Methinks there's a biz opportunity in the making? I can feel it.)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:58 PM on 03/06/2008
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May I offer the following advice? SELL LAST WEEK.
Oh, you didn't? Well, get ready for the other shoe to drop.
You house just lost 10% of its value while I was typing this.

**

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:43 AM on 03/07/2008
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Paid in full is the only way to go EB. The equity is only smoke and mirrors anyway. Easy come easy go.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:28 PM on 03/07/2008
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