An unidentified man who is looking for a job leaves the New York State Department of Labor Community Service Center in Williamsville, N.Y., Friday, March 7, 2008. Employers slashed jobs by 63,000 in February, the most in five years, the starkest sign yet the country is heading dangerously toward recession or is in one already. (AP Photo/David Duprey)

Dangerous Cracks Appearing in Job Market

JEANNINE AVERSA | March 8, 2008 09:30 AM EST | AP

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WASHINGTON — Dangerous cracks in the nation's job market are deepening. Employers slashed jobs by the largest amount in five years and hundreds of thousands of people dropped out of the labor force _ ominous signs that the country is falling toward a recession or has already toppled into one.

For the second straight month, nervous employers got rid of jobs nationwide. In February, they sliced payrolls by 63,000, even deeper than the 22,000 cut in January, the Labor Department reported Friday.

The grim snapshot of the country's employment climate underscored the heavy toll the housing and credit debacles are taking on companies, jobseekers and the economy as a whole.

"It sounds like the recession bell is ringing for the U.S. economy, although it is still faint," said Stuart Hoffman, chief economist at PNC Financial Services Group.

On Wall Street, stocks tumbled. The Dow Jones lost 146.70 points, a little more than 1 percent to close at 11,893.69. The Dow was down 370 for the last two days of the week.

The worsening situation will prompt the Federal Reserve to cut a key interest rate deeply _ perhaps by as much as three-quarters of a percentage point _ at its next meeting March 18, or possibly sooner, to help brace the teetering economy, analysts predicted.

The shower of pink slips was widespread. Factories, construction companies, mortgage brokers, real-estate firms, retailers, temporary-help firms, child day-care providers, hotels, educational services, accounting firms and computer designers were among those shedding jobs. All those cuts swamped job gains at hospitals and other health care sites, bars and restaurants, legal services and the government.

"Losing a job is painful, and I know Americans are concerned about our economy; so am I," said President Bush. "It's clear our economy has slowed."

The big question: Just how much? The weak employment report pushed an increasing number of private economists into believing the economy is probably shrinking now. Under one rough rule, the economy would have to contract for six months for the country to be considered in a recession.

The unemployment rate actually dipped slightly from 4.9 percent to 4.8 percent, as 450,000 people left the labor force for any number of reasons. Economists thought many people probably gave up looking for work.

"It stands to reason that a large share of the people left because they didn't feel like anything was there for them _ that the market was too weak to be searching for a job at this point," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com.

To relieve persistent credit problems, the Federal Reserve announced Friday that it will increase the amount of loans it plans to make available to banks this month to $100 billion. The Fed already has provided a total of $160 billion in short-term loans to cash-strapped banks since December. The Fed, in another step, said it will make $100 billion available to a broad range of financial players through a series of separate transactions.

Crumbling employment conditions are feeding fears the economy will fall victim to all the stresses. Until recently, the positive forces of job and wage growth have helped to offset the negative forces hitting people from the housing and credit crises. Now people and businesses alike are more cautious, spelling more trouble for the economy.

"The debate should no longer be about whether there is or is not a recession, only about how deep it will be," said Nigel Gault, chief economist at Global Insight.

The elimination of 63,000 jobs in February was the most since March 2003 and marked the second month in a row of job losses. The last time the economy suffered two consecutive months of job losses was in May and June 2003, when the labor market was still struggling to recover from the blows of the 2001 recession.

"Businesses got cold feet, and when that happens the easiest thing to do is to put hiring on hold and wait until the dust clears," said Ken Mayland, economist at ClearView Economics.

Economic growth slowed to a near standstill of just a 0.6 percent pace in the final quarter of last year. Before Friday's employment report, many thought growth would weaken further _ around a 0.4 percent pace. Now, however, a growing number think the economy is contracting.

Bush's top economic adviser, Edward Lazear, acknowledged Friday that the economy may dip into negative territory in the current quarter. Lazear's comment was the most pessimistic assessment heard out of the White House. He would not discuss whether the White House believes the economy will actually fall into a recession.

The Bush administration was hoping the government's speedily enacted economic stimulus package _ including tax rebates for people and tax breaks for businesses _ will help bolster the economy in the second half of this year.

"I know this is a difficult time for our economy, but we recognized the problem early and provided the economy with a booster shot," Bush said. "We will begin to see the impact over the coming months," the president predicted.

Democrats, however, said more relief is needed now.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., spoke of charting a "new direction for our economy." Rep. Barney Frank of Massachusetts, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, called for action to stem record-high home foreclosures.

The Democratic presidential contenders, Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York and Barack Obama of Illinois, blamed the job losses on what they believe are failed Bush policies. "The news should put to rest any doubts that our economy is in deep trouble," Clinton said. Obama said the employment news meant "more heartache and struggle" for Americans.

On the employment front, workers with jobs saw modest wage gains.

Average hourly earnings for jobholders rose to $17.80 in February, a 0.3 percent increase from the previous month. Over the last 12 months, wages were up 3.7 percent. With lofty energy and food prices, though, workers may feel like their paychecks are shrinking.

Spreading fallout from the housing and credit troubles are the main factors behind the economic slowdown. People and businesses alike are feeling the strains and have turned cautious. Adding to the stresses on pocketbooks, budgets and the economy: skyrocketing energy prices. Oil prices, which have set a string of record highs in recent days, now top $105 a barrel. Gasoline prices have marched higher, too.

All those problems are putting consumers in a gloomy state of mind.

Consumer confidence sank to a new low of 33.1 in early March, according to the RBC Cash Index. That was the worst since the index began in 2002.

To help shore up the economy, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke signaled last week that the central bank is prepared to lower interest rates again. Economists are now predicting a deep rate reduction by the Fed on or before its regularly scheduled meeting March 18. The Fed, which has been slicing the rate since September, recently turned more forceful. It slashed the rate by 1.25 percentage points during just eight days in January _ the biggest one-month reduction in a quarter-century.


 
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"Dangerous Cracks Appearing..."

Attack of the killer Plumbers!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:46 PM on 03/10/2008
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Got sooooop???

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:12 PM on 03/10/2008

"Dangerous Cracks Appearing..." or

"Attack of the Killer Plumbers!"

Because if the market keeps falling, it won't be long before it is sagging like those plumber's pants, with its hairy ass out for the whole world to see,

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:25 PM on 03/10/2008
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Learn a trade America. Pushing paper from one desk to another is a skill along with $5.35 will get you a triple Grande Cinnamon Dolce' latte with soy at Starbucks anymore.
Build something...hmmm let me think which candidate is asking Americans to rebuild THIS country?
This "virtual economy" holds no value when you have no assets.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:29 AM on 03/10/2008

Might as well get use it, I don't think things will ever be the same. Central Banks are very happy with our current situation, so is Bush. Look at him sing and dance, Kunt.

Until we wake up out of hibernation, we are doomed. End out ties with the Federal Reserve Bank!

ugmold

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:16 AM on 03/10/2008

It is unfortunate everyone could see the problems in the credit and housing markets and anticipate its affect on the economy. The government is years late and have no engine to power this economy. Unfortunately I see only band aids and the housing crisis to contine to worsen for over a year

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:17 AM on 03/10/2008

In my lifetime, recessions are coming more frequently and deeper each time they come. When Bush came into office, he did nothing to help the economy and gave the much of what would help the economy to people who never spent the money. Many jobs are now dependant on govt continuing spending that cannot possibly continue. The Fed has already said the economy will be worse than the last recssion when the current President took office

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:44 AM on 03/10/2008

Still how many of you who criticize the Bush Administration will vote Republican this election????????? I will make a bet that a large amount of you will vote for McCain because you don't like the Democrat that's running for one reason or another. That's why the mess never gets cleaned up people keep voting the same trickle down mess makers back into office.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:29 AM on 03/10/2008

We are in a long term and deep recession and have been since mid-2005 in some parts of the USA. Until we stop the drain of good jobs outside the USA, go to universal single payer health care, end our war in Iraq, have tax laws that highly discourage profiteering in stocks, commoidies and real estate, then we will continue our decline as a great country. We also must end our extreme consumerism and move to a more moderate and sustainable lifestyle so we save instead of spend.
Among those who are most vuernable in this recession are older workers (over 40-50 years old) who are most at risk of losing thier jobs. Emplolyers may want to keep or replace them with younger and lower paid workers or ship thier jobs to 3rd world countries. Worse, is that they have much greater difficulty in getting new jobs with decent pay and benefits. Many workers can't afford to save for retirement that they really must do as they have high expenses now. We have a serious mess on our hands right now - perhaps the worst since the 1970's.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:43 AM on 03/10/2008

I agree 100% with your take on the economy; however, I have to wonder why then did we not vote for Kucinich or Ron Paul? Those 2 candidates would have brought change. Even Richardson
or Edwards would have alleviated some of the problems we are facing. So Obama and Clinton
are a bad choice and will change nothing and that is our fault, the voters. People never vote on
issues but on glitz and glamour or whoever spends the most money. Sad that is. I hope we will
learn our lesson in 2012, when we have sunk to the bottom.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:01 AM on 03/10/2008

Truth.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:49 AM on 03/10/2008

Vippy, the people of this country were not allowed a fair chance to learn about all the candidates and what they proposed to do if they were elected. Gravel was eliminated immediately by the media. Kucinich was disallowed from taking part in most of the so called "debates" and was discredited and belittled by all the MSM. The MSM even tried to disallow Paul from taking part in a "debate" after he came in SECOND in the Nevada primary.
Like it or not the candidates that we have left to choose from are NOT the ones selected by the people after fair campaigns but rather are those chosen for us by the corporatist mainstream media. And, in the end, we may well end up with a McCain/Clinton "choice" which will only signify that the neocons have chosen candidates from both parties. Clinton has been openly supported by bu$h and the worst of the right-wing"pundits" (i.e. Limpballs and Coulter) in an attempt to either try to strengthen the GOP candidate or to choose the DLC's best.
We the people have little to do with this election. If the GOP is unable to have a McCain/Clinton election they will turn to the Diebold/Diebold surrogates to fine tune it for them.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:31 PM on 03/10/2008

The answer is human psychology, ignorance, and the willing suspension of disbelief. I disagree, however, with the Ron Paul comment. He would have changed things but for the worse. He is a right-wing idealogue when it comes to economics and its been that line of thinking that has gotten us into this mess.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:55 PM on 03/10/2008

Why is this a current headline when it should have been a prediction? It amazes me that we continually have deluded ourselves and allowed ourselves to be deluded...How is this an unexpected outcome of outsourcing our manufacturing, blue and now, white collar jobs? But talk of depression even long term recession is premature. We can start moving our way out of this. Start redefining what a US company is, what proportion of their workers can live and work outside of the actual 50 United States (no Marianas mess please!), lets look at tarriffs and balance of trade and most favorable nation status. Since so many countries are buying us up at bargain basement prices it shouldn't bother them if we start making their investment worth something ...globalizaton is not evil but unequal playing fields where the poor are exploited to strangle the middle class in America is. All workers need a decent wage, healthcare, safe working conditions and all consumers need to know that what they purchase meets safety standards.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:43 AM on 03/10/2008

Because vested interests influence or control channels of communication. They believe that if you continue to deny the problem, you will put off the reckoning (hopefully indefinitely, although that is wishful thinking). Anyone who dares speak truth is labeled a pessimist and someone who doesn't WANT the US to succeed.

Personally, I am tired of conflating greedy, ignorant, grasping, corrupt weasels as "the US." If we were actual patriots, or even 'mildly smart," we'd ride these people out of town on a rail.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:31 AM on 03/10/2008

$200 billion per year goes to the super rich for tax breaks they don't need, so they can invest in hot overseas markets.
$200 billion per year for Iraq related expenses.
$13 to $17 billion for tax subsidies to big oil (granted as soon as the Republicans took total control of both houses of Congress)
$40 billion to Europe to build tanker planes for the USAF.
If we return some sanity, common sense, and morality to government, we would suddenly have $400 billion per year to help fix the budget, and more than enough money to fix just about every single thing that needs fixing in this country.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:33 AM on 03/10/2008

Not to mention the 42 million the IRS is using to send out a letter.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:48 AM on 03/10/2008
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This is not a recession... this is going to be a staggering depression with out-of-control inflation. Get liquid people... and buy some gold as a hedge against inflation. It's way past time to abolish the Federal Reserve.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:05 AM on 03/10/2008
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Maybe outsourcing our jobs wasn't such a good idea. Stupid politicians. It's bad enough business leaders were chasing the almighty $ and were to dumb to think beyond next quarter's projections but our elected leaders did nothing to stop it. Manufacturing supports a trickle down (and up) economy. Today we see all those dollars LEAVE our country.

Halliburton is based in Dubai. WTF?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:13 AM on 03/10/2008

:

Crash!

:

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:25 AM on 03/10/2008

The media has become a tame little pussy cat. Puuurrrrr Kitty Puuuurrrr.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:20 AM on 03/10/2008
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