Recession 101: What Are the Signs?

Recession 101: What Are the Signs?

ABC News   |   March 10, 2008 03:30 PM


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Though the country is not yet officially in a recession, some economists argue the signs are pointing to one.

A dismal job report released Friday added to recession fears. With all the chatter about whether there is or isn't a recession, it can be difficult to determine your next move.

"Good Morning America" financial contributor Mellody Hobson explains what a recession is and what you should do to protect yourself.

What is a recession and are we in one?

We typically don't know we are in a recession until it's over, but all the important indicators point to a recession. The new, dismal jobs report we're hearing so much about, the pullback in consumer spending are signs. Despite all of that, we still can't say with absolute certainty that we are in a recession and that's because the definition of a recession is two quarters of shrinking growth. So, it takes a little while for the experts to look at the numbers and see if economic growth has been shrinking for a full six months. That said, we do know with certainty that the economy is in a serious downturn.

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the neo con morons and the rest of american mouth breathers are finding out the hard way when you base an economy on rampent consumerism, pumped up by a military industrial complex as your only source of real income.

The purpetual war is what they were hoping for to keep the economy going, but when you are spending out 12 billion a month and not getting any return, you have a shitty economy.

couple that with over inflated housing prices, impossible to meet mortgage interest rates, a failing dollar, lack of liquidity in the banking sector and imaginary hedge funds and what you get is the perfect recipe for a colossal recession/depression.

ready for 10 buck a loaf bread? it's coming. wheat is at an all time high, inflation is sky rocketing because bend over bernacke keeps cutting interest rates giving the rich yet another break while the rest of us drown in this bullshit economy.

63K loss of jobs and negative growth.

we are soooo screwed.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:29 AM on 03/11/2008

There is absolutely NO reason why this country, of all countries, has to be in a recession. If you want to understand how and why we find ourselves in this fix, read the quotes made by President Dwight D. Eisenhower. He's the General of the Army (five(!) stars) who clearly understood and wrote-about the danger of a "military-industrial complex" (his term...) that would become ravenously malignant.

(1) This government "borrows from itself" more than $1 million a MINUTE, all day and all night of every day of every week of every month of every year, to fuel this insane appetite. Domestic programs, domestic cities, airplane inspection, food safety, you name it ... NOTHING ELSE MATTERS, because "there's just so damn much money to be made," or so it seems. The greatest robber-barons of the 19th century, all of them combined and multiplied many times, could not hold a candle to this.

(2) The greatest producer-nation on this planet is now being relentlessly told that it is weak, that it is powerless, that it is being pushed to-and-fro by other nations ... unless, of course, it spends still more money on "defense."

(3) Meanwhile, said nation is being told that it must be a "consumer nation," this being a multi-bit metaphor for "leech." We've got all these factories throughout the country sitting idle, but "of course" they can't possibly do what they did in the early 20th century (like, "win World War II"). Oh no, Rosie the Riveter might break her nails. No no, we're told, we MUST ship our goods 10,000 miles from sweatshop to Neiman Marcus, where we must all pay for it with our credit-cards using the pittance of money that Uncle Sam deigned to give us.

I got a better idea: toss every one of these geriatric non-soldiers out of the Congress in their wheelchairs, and bring back Rosie. Bring back Uncle Sam. Find me the guy in that poster, strapping with muscles and rolling up his sleeves. "I can build that." "If you don't know how, I'll teach you in school." "And you'll DAMN WELL LEARN in school, just like I did, because if you don't PASS fifth grade you get to REPEAT fifth grade, just like I did and now LOOK at the graduate degree on that wall over there."

It will work, ladies and gentlemen. Just as soon as we're ready to stop taking their geriatric millionaire's schit. Shall we proceed?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:21 AM on 03/11/2008

"We typically don't know we are in a recession until it's over..."

That's like saying you don't know that your house is on fire until they are pulling your smoking body from the ashes!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:53 PM on 03/10/2008

Sign #1: Every news outlet has a daily headline asking, "Are We In A Recession?"

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:01 PM on 03/10/2008

The good news is that we shouldn't expect a 'run on banks', as occurred in 1929, for the simple reason that Americans, in general, (not including myself) are deeply in credit card debt, and therefore don't have any money in savings.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:58 PM on 03/10/2008

Too true!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:48 PM on 03/10/2008

The poor and working class have been in a recession since 2001. The middle class has been in a recession since 2005. It is just now that Wall Street is going into recession.

GDP has all been tilted toward the haves and the have mores so that even while th economy was expanding everybody else was getting less.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:11 PM on 03/10/2008
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A sure sign of an impending recession is when a moron embeds himself in the white house.This was inevitable given the "leadership".

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:09 PM on 03/10/2008

The only morons are the people who allow him to still be there. The people who keep electing and re-electing the same Senators and Congressmen year after year until they drop dead of old age in their Chambers. The people ... there are about 320 million of them ... who not only accept the same lies every year, but keep re-upping the same liars.

If we want to turn this nation around, We the People who live here must be the ones to do it.

And that means, "no excuses."

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:23 AM on 03/11/2008
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`
Hitler would have been awed at how the American propaganda machine
keeps the voters in line.
.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:20 AM on 03/11/2008
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The U.S. has been in recession almost a year.

Hyper-manipulated employment numbers can't hide the fact, any more.

People are losing their homes. There's a clue.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:24 PM on 03/10/2008


It doesn't matter what you call it. North American tax payers should back off "spending" and move to saving their dollars, one at a time. That will automatically impact the amount of cash going into foreign treasuries.

http://pacificgatepost.blogspot.com/2008/02/rebounding-us-economy.html

... and all levels of government should follow that lead.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:17 PM on 03/10/2008
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Listen to the shills at your own peril. Your wallet tells you in no uncertain terms when we are in a recession.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:07 PM on 03/10/2008
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