Stocks Soar, Dow Rises 420 Points

MADLEN READ | March 18, 2008 06:05 PM EST | AP

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NEW YORK — Wall Street stormed higher Tuesday as investors, optimistic following stronger-than-expected earnings from two big investment banks, were also galvanized by the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point. The Dow Jones industrial average soared 420 points, its biggest one-day point gain in more than five years.

Many investors were expecting the Fed to cut rates a full point, but appeared to overcome their early disappointment, especially since a 0.75 point cut is still substantial. The central bank's benchmark fed funds rate is now at 2.25 percent _ its lowest level since December 2004, and less than half what it was last summer. The Fed began lowering rates exactly six months ago, after the credit markets seized up due to soaring defaults in subprime mortgages.

In its statement accompanying the rate decision, the Fed said "recent information indicates that the outlook for economic activity has weakened further," but also that "uncertainty about the inflation outlook has increased."

"The Fed once again in the statement showed that it is ready for further action if this were needed," said Christian Menegatti, lead analyst for online economic research firm RGE Monitor. "It also showed the fact that it's still paying attention to inflation ... but that it is far from being the primary concern right now. And the market knows that, and it is happy."

Quarterly results from Lehman Brothers Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. early Tuesday gave great comfort to a market fearful about investment banks weakening further _ and hurting the rest of the economy _ due to losing bets on mortgage-backed securities. After Sunday's news that the stricken Bear Stearns Cos. was being bought by JPMorgan Chase & Co. at a bargain price of $2 a share, both Lehman and Goldman posted quarterly profits early Tuesday that were significantly lower than they were a year ago, but higher than analysts predicted.

"The overwhelming news this morning was the Lehman and Goldman Sachs earnings," said Jim Herrick, director of equity trading at Baird & Co. "The earnings this morning allayed investors' fears that there's going to be a hard collapse."

Still, while Wall Street's advance was heartening, investors were well aware that over the past six months, stocks have had many bursts higher, only to give them back at the first sign of credit market or economic trouble.

It will take some time before anyone knows whether the market is back on a true upward track, or is just staging another bear market rally. As market watchers will recall, the Dow jumped 416 points just last Wednesday after a $200 billion loan pledge from the Fed. A great deal of those gains evaporated late last week on worries about Bear Stearns.

After the Fed's decision was announced, the Dow first gave back half of its 300-point gain, then shot higher, closing up 420.41, or 3.51 percent, at 12,392.66. The Dow's point gain was the largest point jump for the Dow since a 447-point advance on July 29, 2002, when Wall Street was also struggling with a protracted decline.

Broader stock indicators also finished sharply higher. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 54.14, or 4.24 percent, at 1,330.74, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 91.25, or 4.19 percent, to 2,268.26, the steepest percentage gain for the tech-heavy index in five years.

Bond prices fell. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.50 percent from 3.30 percent late Friday.

It was a good sign that short-dated Treasury prices rose while long-dated bonds fell, said Michael Materasso, senior vice president at Franklin Templeton. "What you're seeing is an unwinding of this flight-to-quality that we saw last week," he said, adding that the Fed's cut and statement indicated that it is willing to act further, but "not panicking."

After its last scheduled meeting Jan. 30, the Fed reduced rates by a half-point, pointing to not only stressed financial markets, but also tightening credit for businesses and households; a deepening in the housing contraction; and softening in the labor markets. The central bank repeated these concerns in its statement Tuesday.

Data released Tuesday supported the notion that the economy is sliding while costs are rising. The Commerce Department said home construction fell in February: housing starts fell 0.6 percent, while building permits plummeted 7.8 percent.

Meanwhile, the Labor Department reported a 0.3 percent rise in its Producer Price Index for February, in line with estimates, but the core PPI, which strips out food and energy prices, rose by a greater-than-expected 0.5 percent.

Although the market was clearly upbeat on Tuesday, many on Wall Street have been unsure recently that rate cuts will give the markets and the economy the lift they need; rate cuts usually spur growth, but they also drive down the dollar, which in turn lifts commodities prices. It's likely that the uncertainty will lead to some more pullbacks until investors have a sense that the economy is indeed recovering.

Wall Street certainly remains nervous about the effect of inflation on cash-strapped homeowners. Still, the Fed's language about inflation Tuesday could be oddly comforting to investors, who may be relieved that policymakers weren't so preoccupied with troubles in the credit market as to set aside inflationary concerns.

"They're saying, 'You're healthy enough for me to talk about inflation,' " said Swiss Re senior economist Arun Raha.

Following the Fed's move, the dollar regained ground against some major currencies, while gold prices fell and crude oil surged $3.74 to settle at $109.42 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by about 9 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 5.38 billion shares, compared with 5.69 billion shares traded Monday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 31.45, or 4.83 percent, to 681.93.

Financial stocks were the biggest winners Tuesday. Lehman rose $14.74, or 46 percent, to $46.49; Goldman rose $24.57, or 16 percent, to $175.59; and Bear Stearns rose $1.10, or nearly 23 percent, to $5.91.

Stock markets overseas, which closed before the Fed decision, rebounded Tuesday from sharp drops a day earlier. Japan's Nikkei stock average bounced 1.50 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 1.42 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 3.54 percent, Germany's DAX index added 3.41 percent, and France's CAC-40 increased 3.42 percent.

___

On the Net:

New York Stock Exchange: http://www.nyse.com

Nasdaq Stock Market: http://www.nasdaq.com


 
 

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- loki See Profile I'm a Fan of loki permalink

The picture on this headline is one of those precious moments.
I can just imagine the conversation.

" But really, do we care?? Were making a killing on this. By they way, my mansion in Panama will be finished soon, you can the wife want to come over for dinner after this country collapses? "

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:46 AM on 03/19/2008
- Irons See Profile I'm a Fan of Irons permalink

Yea! Thank you Mr. Bernanke. Thank you JP Morgan. Thanks for protecting my hedge fund.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:18 AM on 03/19/2008
- PacificGatePost See Profile I'm a Fan of PacificGatePost permalink

While the gyrations of their stocks are keeping their brokers busy, could we implement some repairs on the BOARDROOM?

Open letter:

"WE THE SHAREHOLDERS OF YOUR COMPANIES...... ¨http://pacificgatepost.blogspot.com/2008/03/letter-to-ceos-of-fortune-1000-cos.html¨

The last 30 years have seen dramatic changes in the controls of the boardrooms. Due diligence and oversight long ago slid out the window.

Some basic common sense elements must be re-injected into our capitalist system

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:20 PM on 03/18/2008
- Woggles See Profile I'm a Fan of Woggles permalink

The stock market hit bottom on Monday. From here on out, it is smooth sailing.
Bush told America that the economy is fundamentally sound. We don't really need
to analyze this this stuff over and over.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:19 PM on 03/18/2008
- SpaceCadet See Profile I'm a Fan of SpaceCadet permalink

The economy seems to be in a manic-depressive phase. The Fed makes a corporatem welfare handout and the Dow goes up 400 points in a single day. Then reality sets in again and it falls by 600 points over a period of a week or so. But the trend is always DOWN.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:31 PM on 03/18/2008
- JackSlappyNotYourPappy See Profile I'm a Fan of JackSlappyNotYourPappy permalink

A condition/event only a glow-in-the-dark cat can decipher ...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:44 PM on 03/18/2008
- YellowPanties See Profile I'm a Fan of YellowPanties permalink

We have re-arranged the deck chairs on the Titanic, that is all.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:15 PM on 03/18/2008
- jcranman See Profile I'm a Fan of jcranman permalink

When will the announcement come out that all individuals can restate their rate to 5%

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:45 PM on 03/18/2008
- JackSlappyNotYourPappy See Profile I'm a Fan of JackSlappyNotYourPappy permalink

Frightening prospect but ... several days at sea will clear up that yellow thingy for you.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:23 PM on 03/18/2008
- JackSlappyNotYourPappy See Profile I'm a Fan of JackSlappyNotYourPappy permalink

"Dow Soars...Biggest One Day Rise In 5 Years"

________________________

They must have taken one of those 4 hour boner pills!

Have I mentioned how much I love the moderators lately...

.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:14 PM on 03/18/2008
- JoJoKewl See Profile I'm a Fan of JoJoKewl permalink

JohnKemp See Profile I'm a Fan of JohnKemp
Hey, what happened to the implosion of yesterday & today that the libs guaranteed?

Can I climb down from atop the Golden Gate bridge now?

No - but you can surely jump off.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:49 PM on 03/18/2008
- WIpatriot See Profile I'm a Fan of WIpatriot permalink

It happened today, JoJo.

The euphoria of the Wall Street crack whores only lasts a few hours.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:24 PM on 03/19/2008
- DallasNE See Profile I'm a Fan of DallasNE permalink

The last two days have been very interesting. Both the Bear-Stearns sale and today's rate cut help us measure the scope of the financial problem this country faces today. On the surface one would think that this bad news, on top of all the other bad news, would drive the stock market down. But that is the wrong way to evaluate impact on stock prices. One thing that it signals is that there will be another rate cut coming and that is always bullish for stock prices.

Does this mean that we are witnessing the beginning of another bull market? Not at all. For a bull market to have legs earnings have to turn around and it could take at least another quarter for any new trend to show. In the short term this probably means a quickening of job layoff's because earnings won't turn around until a better cost structure is in place and that translates into cutting jobs.

The next shock we have to look out for is a move by China to revalue the Yuan because they are getting killed by the decline of the value of the dollar relative to other currencies. That would really depress the already weak dollar on currency markets. Just today China claimed they were not going to do this but too often these kinds of denials end up being confirmation. We shall see.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:15 PM on 03/18/2008
- Moxo See Profile I'm a Fan of Moxo permalink

Remind me... which political party believes in "Free Market Forces" sorting out the weak from the strong, and wants "Big Government" to stay out of their way??

And who is that thinks Welfare saps the strength of the people?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:07 PM on 03/18/2008
- ChiMan1 See Profile I'm a Fan of ChiMan1 permalink

Besides that, of course they are good the Swiss learned how to Bend Over from the French

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:52 PM on 03/18/2008
- ReasonIsMyReligion See Profile I'm a Fan of ReasonIsMyReligion permalink

Wow! You mean that all you have to do to make the economy look better -- at least in the eyes of people who impute the health of the economy from the Dow -- it inject cheap cash?

Whodathunkit.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:48 PM on 03/18/2008
- inthedesert See Profile I'm a Fan of inthedesert permalink

YAWN..............................this jump in the stock market means nothing actually. These are short-term fixes for a very deep problem with the US economy. The stock market like real estate is all about PERCEPTIONS. In a week or so we will see another bail out of some big time broker...all at the expense of the middle class which is dying in this country. This is great news for TODAY.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:29 PM on 03/18/2008
- VivaZapata See Profile I'm a Fan of VivaZapata permalink

this scenario of printing money for a short lived run up in the markets is cruel and ultimately self destructive. doesn't anyone with power care about this country anymore?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:25 PM on 03/18/2008
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