Huffpost Politics

Indiana Polls: Democratic Primary

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POLLS CLOSE TONIGHT AT 7:00 ET

MAY 6: Zogby is still showing Obama with a lead in the Indiana primary, despite the fact that all other polls show Hillary with the lead:

Barack Obama: 45%

Hillary Clinton: 43%

MAY 5: SurveyUSA has Clinton with a sizeable lead the day before the Indiana primary:

Hillary Clinton: 54%

Barack Obama: 42%
Undecided: 1%

MAY 5: ARG is giving the lead to Clinton in their final Indiana poll:

Hillary Clinton: 53%

Barack Obama: 45%

MAY 5: A Suffolk University poll of the Indiana primary has Clinton with the lead:

Hillary Clinton: 49%

Barack Obama: 43%
Undecided: 6%

MAY 5: Zogby has Obama with a slight lead in its latest Indiana poll, but a huge number of undecideds mean the race is anyone's game. Zogby also notes that to the extent that some undecideds have a preferred candidate, Clinton has the edge:

Barack Obama: 44%

Hillary Clinton: 42%
Undecideds: 15%

MAY 4: The latest Zogby daily tracking poll shows a tight race in the Indiana primary:

Barack Obama: 43%

Hillary Clinton: 41%
Undecided: 8%

MAY 2: Insider Advantage has an Indiana poll that shows Clinton with a healthy single-digit lead:

Hillary Clinton: 47%

Barack Obama: 40%

MAY 2: American Research Group's new Indiana poll shows an identical result to their poll conducted at the beginning of April:

Hillary Clinton: 53%

Barack Obama: 44%
Undecided: 3%

MAY 2: Zogby's tracking poll is showing a close race in the Indiana primary:

Hillary Clinton: 42%

Barack Obama: 42%

MAY 1: Hillary maintains a small lead with a big number of undecideds, according to Rasmussen's latest Indiana poll:

Hillary Clinton: 46%

Barack Obama: 41%
Undecided: 13%

APRIL 29: An Indiana poll (pdf) from Public Policy Polling has Hillary with a noticeable lead:

Hillary Clinton: 50%

Barack Obama: 42%

APRIL 29: Another Indiana poll conducted by Guage Market Research shows a tight primary race:

Barack Obama: 47%

Hillary Clinton: 45%

APRIL 28: A Survey USA poll of Indiana finds the results are identical to a poll released 4 weeks ago, on 04/01/08. "Clinton led then 52% to 43%, leads now 52% to 43%. Other polls show the contest closer; some polls show Obama ahead. SurveyUSA tracking graphs show movement toward Clinton in the middle of April but offsetting movement to Obama at the end of April."

Hillary Clinton: 52%

Barack Obama: 43%
Other/Undecided: 5%

APRIL 25: An Indiana poll by American Research Group finds a tightening of the race since their last survey:

Hillary Clinton: 50%

Barack Obama: 45%
Undecided: 5%

APRIL 25: Another Indiana poll (from Selzer &Co.) released today shows another statistical tie:

Barack Obama: 41%

Hillary Clinton: 38%

APRIL 25: A Research 2000 poll of the Indiana primary shows exactly why many people are calling Indiana the next big battleground state:

Barack Obama 48%

Hillary Clinton: 47%

APRIL 15: A Bloomberg/LA Times poll to be released this afternoon shows similar results in Pennsylvania and North Carolina as last week. However, according to Ben Smith -- whose had a peek at the numbers -- Obama has taken a surprising lead of 5 in the state. The poll will be released soon.

UPDATE: Here's the poll:

Barack Obama: 40%

Hillary Clinton: 35%

An interesting note from the internals about the Rev. Wright controversy -- it may be that the scandal helped Obama (at least in Pennsylvania):

However, voters were asked about another controversy that has dogged the candidate in recent weeks: racially incendiary comments made by the Rev. Jeremiah A. Wright Jr., the now-retired pastor of Obama's church in Chicago. The furor prodded Obama to deliver a major speech on racial relations in America last month.

In Pennsylvania, the flap seems to have marginally helped Obama more than hurt him: 24% said his handling of the issue made them think more highly of him; 15% said it made them think less highly of him; 58% said it made no difference in their views.

APRIL 14: A SurveyUSA poll shows Hillary Clinton opening up her lead in Indiana, as Obama slips among men and youth voters:

Hillary Clinton: 55%

Barack Obama: 39%
Undecided: 3%

APRIL 8: An ARG poll shows Sen. Clinton has a single digit lead over Barack Obama:

Hillary Clinton: 53%

Barack Obama: 44%
Undecided: 2%

APRIL 4: A Research 2000 poll shows that the Democratic primary is very much up for grabs in Indiana:

Clinton: 49%

Obama: 46%

APRIL 1: A SurveyUSA poll has Clinton with a lead in Indiana, a state which is being billed as pivotal to Hillary's comeback strategy:

Clinton: 52%

Obama: 43%
Undecided: 2%


Read HuffPost's continuing Indiana primary coverage.