Traders Bet On Obama

Reuters:

Democratic presidential contender Hillary Clinton will win several state nominating contests in the coming months but has little chance of becoming the party's candidate for the November 2008 election, traders were betting on Tuesday.

Traders in the Dublin-based Intrade prediction market gave Democratic front-runner Barack Obama an 86 percent chance of being the Democratic presidential nominee, versus a 12.8 percent for Clinton, the New York senator and former first lady.

Results were similar on the Iowa Electronic Markets at the University of Iowa, with traders giving Obama an 82.9 percent chance of winning, versus a 12.8 percent chance for Clinton.

Read the whole story: Reuters

Comments

[BKLYNBROAD]

Small Business Owners Find Barack Obama's Health Care Plan More Realistic According To infoUSAPoll.com(TM)
Wednesday April 9, 3:00 pm ET


OMAHA, Neb.--(BUS­INESS infoUSAPoll.comoll.com™ recently surveyed hundreds of small business owners nationwide asking which candidate has presented the most realistic health care plan and the majority of responses returned were in favor of Barack Obama’s plan.
With quality and access down, support for a national health care plan is up, making it a key issue in the presidential election. This week’s poll “Which presidential candidate has the most realistic health care plan?” received more than 600 responses and Obama came out the leader with 42% of respondents saying his plan was better. The results:


261 respondents, or 42% said Barack Obama
224 respondents, or 36% said John McCain
130 respondents, or 21%, said Hillary Clinton
The poll was conducted April 3-4, 2008 with a margin of error of 4 percent. infoUSAPoll.com emails a survey question to poll participants each week. Topics include the economy, computer usage, outlook for the future, common headaches of running a business, growing their business, political issues and much more. This weekly poll takes the pulse of businesses and executives, and gives them a chance to voice their opinion on issues and problems they collectively face.

[TheSmokingPen]

It may be yesterday's news, and something that we Democrats simply don't want to face right now, but past is prologue and Obama's two different takes on the Wright controversy will certainly come back to haunt him (to the detriment of the Democratic Party) in the general election. It goes to credibility and character on a hot-button issue.

This video is of Obama giving two very different answers to one very important question:

http://youtube.com/watch?v=1E_SwJ_sPc4

[ReportThis]

Could we have a link for Hillary's Bosnia sniper-fire tale? Or Bill's "I did not have sex with that woman"? hahahaha

[RobBob]

I don't understand how they can even give Hillary a 12% chance. The only way for her to win is for Obama to get caught doing or saying something that wipes out about half his support. That's so unlikely to happen we might as well say it's not going to happen. In other words, a bet on Hillary, even at 7-1 odds, is a waste of money.

[DoninJoisey]

Don't underestimate deviousness. They can create a lie - say that Obama had a homosexual affair - that would last long enough to say, win Indiana. There is nothing the Clintons won't do to win.

[FreedomLoverX]

Intrade traders were betting the Democratic nominee would ultimately become president. They gave the Democrat a 59.1 percent chance of winning, versus a 48.8 percent chance for the Republican. Iowa traders gave the Democrat a 57.1 percent chance of winning, versus 46.3 percent for the Republican.

[MinerSam]

Sorry to say this here on Obama Online but Obama is a Divida not a unida who is fuill of himself and full and tells at least 2 lies a day about Hillary.

And while he had a chance to do a teaching moment about the states and the Republicans, he turned out to be a Bike Rider: Kicking Democrats bellow while praising and bowing to the Republicans.

How pathetic that the College Republicans and the Republican controlled Media that has pushed Obama up to the stratosphere (though just temporaritly) pushed him to where he is today as these Republicans controlling the Democratic Primary, so they can herald in their boy McCain and crown him the next President of the Conglomerate of the Lunatic Fringe and the next Moron in chief of the United States,

[djthedj]

Right, the media was helping Obama when they played his pastors "God damn America" statement 24/7 for about two weeks. Grow up, poor little Hillary has NOT been getting a raw deal. BTW, care to documnet these "at least 2 lies a day about Hillary."?

[sparkandy]

Only the Obama faithful are confident that he can win the GE against McCain, but that's because they only talk to each other. I'm not sure either Clinton or Obama stands much of a chance against McCain outside of places like HuffPo. The Repubs will be just as happy to face Obama in Nov as they would Clinton, because they're also confident that they will win. And if they can keep McCain under control until then, they're probably right.

[FreedomLoverX]

Man are you guys stupid! Maybe it is because you failed to read the rest of the article. Maybe it's because you don't read much anyway, except comic books, but here is a quote from the same article:

"Intrade traders were betting the Democratic nominee would ultimately become president. They gave the Democrat a 59.1 percent chance of winning, versus a 48.8 percent chance for the Republican. Iowa traders gave the Democrat a 57.1 percent chance of winning, versus 46.3 percent for the Republican­."

[oldvet]

Not so sure I agree. Obama is the only candidate who has a solid 50-state organization, who has registered millions of new Democrats and has a humongous and growing war chest.

McCain is a tired old version of Bush who has no answers to any of our problems, be they the war, economy or health care. I can't wait for Obama - McCain debates.

I think the Republicans would clearly prefer that Senator Clinton be the Democratic candidate this fall. She has consistently high negatives, is polarizing and will help their GOTV effort.

[EinChicago]

The GOP are ecstatic about facing Obama. We pretty much giftwrapped this election for them by choosing the most unelectable candidate offered. One 15 secon dad show Michelle Obama on one side saying she's never been proud to be an american and Rev. Wright on the other saying god damn america and Obama in the middle dismissing all those "typical white people" and he will be finished in just about every swing state and teh south before Labor day.

[Duffs]

Do you really believe all that? Amazing...­.

[DoninJoisey]

Do you really believe any of what you wrote? Where do you live? I want to be sure never to go there.
I'm surprised you have internet. USE IT and read how Hillary is a hologram made of her own lies.
Look on the BBC. Then call them biased.

[kfdan]

That's a good bet!!!

[NC4Obama]

Well duh Hillary lost this a long time ago, shes at 12 atm.

[Tariqahmed]

Hillary does not want you to know THIS.