Obama closing in on Clinton's advantage among superdelegates

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NEDRA PICKLER | April 30, 2008 11:20 PM EST | AP

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Mary Masceri watches as Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., talks on the phone with Mary's husband Frank Masceri during conversations with working families in Beach Grove, Ind., Wednesday, April 30, 2008. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)

WASHINGTON — Barack Obama is closing in on Democratic presidential rival Hillary Rodham Clinton's advantage among superdelegates, building on his lead in the primary race even as he faces troubled times.

Party leaders are encouraging superdelegates to pick a side by late June to prevent the fight from going to the national convention in August, and it seems some are listening as the race enters its final five weeks of voting.

Chelsea Clinton got a superdelegate for her mom while campaigning in Puerto Rico on Wednesday, just as Obama press secretary Bill Burton sent out a statement announcing the support of Rep. Lois Capps. The statement didn't mention the personal connection _ Capps is Burton's mother-in-law.

Clinton had a big jump start among superdelegates, many of whom have ties to the Clintons and backed her candidacy early on. But most of the superdelegates taking sides recently have gone for Obama, who has won more state contests.

Obama trails Clinton by just 21 superdelegates, 243-264, cutting her lead in half in less than two months. This week, he picked up seven delegates to her four.

The superdelegate chase is a key piece of good news for Obama in what has been a bad week. The Illinois senator is coming off a big loss in Pennsylvania, steeped in controversy surrounding his outspoken former pastor while Clinton fares better against Republican likely nominee John McCain in the latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll.

But the problems aren't stopping his ability to win support from superdelegates who are likely to cast the deciding votes in the Democratic race.

Rep. Bruce Braley of Iowa said he decided to endorse Obama even though his former pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright, has been creating waves by making controversial statements and suggesting that Obama secretly agrees with him. Obama denounced Wright in a news conference Tuesday and said the pastor does not speak for him.

"That's been one of the most frustrating things about this prolonged campaign, is we seemed to have gotten away from the critical issues that started this campaign during the Iowa caucuses and now it's more about the side spectacle than the issues that voters really care about," Braley said. "I'm confident that he has taken this issue head-on. He has addressed it in a thoughtful and enlightened way."

Superdelegates are nearly 800 elected leaders and Democratic party officials who aren't bound by the outcome of state contests and can cast their ballot for any candidate at the national convention. They are especially valuable in this race since neither Clinton nor Obama can get enough delegates to win the nomination through the primaries and caucuses held across the country.

Obama now leads in the delegate count overall 1731.5 to 1598.5 for Clinton. A candidate needs 2,025 delegates to win the nomination. About 230 superdelegates remain undecided, and about 60 more will be selected at state party conventions and meetings throughout the spring.

Clinton had stalled in drawing their support as Obama won more states than she, but Clinton won Pennsylvania last week and has been able to announce a new supporter every day this week _ two on Wednesday.

The Clinton campaign said Luisette Cabanas, vice chair of the Democratic Committee in Puerto Rico, came on board while the candidate's daughter Chelsea was campaigning on the island. Cabanas cited Clinton's policies, especially on health care, as "the best by far of any candidate in history."

"Today I endorse Hillary Clinton for president because of her strong win in Pennsylvania," Cabanas said in a statement. "She has shown a firm conviction and the character needed to lead the nation."

Capps said it wasn't an easy decision to pick between Obama and Clinton. She has family ties to both candidates _ Obama's spokesman is married to her daughter, Laura Burton Capps, who also worked in the Clinton White House.

Lois Capps filled the congressional seat held by her late husband, Walter Capps, when he died suddenly 10 years ago. Bill Clinton had campaigned for Walter Capps and presided over his congressional memorial service.

Capps said Hillary Clinton would be a great president and fill a dream for those who have fought for women's rights. But she said Obama's call for a change in Washington was the most important factor in winning her support.

"Walter once said that 'we are strongest as people when we are directed by that which unites us, rather than giving into the fears, suspicions, innuendoes and paranoias that divide,'" she said in a statement. "For years I have been waiting for a president that speaks to that vision. I believe Barack Obama may very well be that rare leader."

Two of the most important superdelegates to sign on this week come from the states that vote next _ North Carolina and Indiana, which hold primaries on May 6 and are the largest states left to vote. Obama got the support of Rep. Baron Hill of Indiana, while Clinton won the backing of North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley even though Obama is expected to win the state.

 
 

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GO BARACK OBAMA!!!!!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:29 AM on 05/04/2008

Dailykos.com has a delegate ticker on the front page. Obama picked up three today.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:13 PM on 05/03/2008

Hillary works for Murdock and Karl Rove, she is bringing down the Democratic Party and the country. She works for the oil industry, and she is an infiltrator in the dem party. Obama has asked us to think for ourselves and in our interest and Hillary has done any thing, and said anything to get elected she has asked us not to think but to hate and have doubts and run scared in the same way that the bush cartel has done for 7 years. She is no different then bush in the since that she will do anything for power. So if you have paid attention to the whole race it would have become apparent. People that voted for Hillary so far are experiencing buyers remorse. So before you voters in ID. And NC don't screw up and end up with McBush. Vote for Obama on Tues. and lets take back the country. Don"t vote for the football star because she can drink a beer, this isn't high school, and you don't have to like your pres. you just have to know that they care about you not their legacy

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:16 PM on 05/03/2008

I really wish the statements about Obama's "Big Loss" in Pennsylvania would end. Put a sock in it, folks, please! A couple of months ago, clinton was supposed to have this "insurmountable, double-digit lead!!" over Barack Obama. Something like 22-23 points, and Clinton won by 9.4%, less than TEN PER CENT! She didn't win by any landslide and she would have done far less if the talking heads hadn't been so eager to jump on the defamation bandwagon against Obama. I still think her lies about "Bringing about the peace accord in Ireland, "I was against NAFTA from the beginning", and the best one about landing "Under sniper fire in a place in the world where it was too dangerous for the President to go" are a hell of a lot more important than any gaffes Obama's made. The media would do a favor for the American people to point out that Obama CLOSED THE POINT SPREAD BY ........get this....DOUBLE DIGITS! Obama came UP 13-14 points more than he was supposed originally to do.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:48 PM on 05/03/2008

how about the talk of Clinton winning TX.?
that's getting a little old, as well

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:22 PM on 05/03/2008

The Obama campaign and the DNC have repulsed many Reagan Democrats and Latinos who have now decided to vote for McCain this go around if they cannot vote for Clinton.

Their reaction is not ignorant, dumb or holding to their religion or guns. Frankly, they have what a liberal ivy league education sometimes ignore. Common sense, perspective and judgment. Not to mention an innate ability to spot BS.

Obama can only get Reagan Democrats and Latinos within a 90 mile radius of Chicago. Even after spending a quarter of a Billion Dollars.

General Election-------McCain-Obama------McCain-Clinton
National--------------------------Tie-----------------Clinton +2.9
Pennsylvania--------------Obama +1.2----------Clinton +6.8
Ohio -------------------------McCain +3.4----------Clinton +5.4
Florida ----------------------McCain +9.0----------Clinton +1.7

More disturbing is that Obama has consistently polled better than his actual results.

Right now, many serious models (not intrade) have McCain just at the 270 EVs needed to win. Clinton on the other hand is comfortably ahead of McCain and above 300 EVs. Clearly reflects that Obama is not only the weaker candidate against McCain, but likely Loses.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:26 AM on 05/03/2008

The real issue is that the Republicans will have a field day with Obama and his wife, Reszko, Wright, his personal background, on and on. If Obama is polling down now, during the best of times for him in terms of media coverage, it will only get worse.

McCain= Patriot
Obama = Pacifist

McCain = POW
Obama = Prisoner of Race

McCain = Senior Leader
Obama = Junior Upstart with no record

McCain = Loves this country
Obama = Loves this country now

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:31 PM on 05/03/2008

honestly, if you guys think for one second that the Repubs are not salivating at the chance to rip Hillary to shreds, you are a bit naive.

I think they want her to win the Primary because they don't wanted to be cheated of their NeoCon Orgy. They have had such deep dark hatred for her for so long, this will be the absolute 2nd coming for them.

They are much more afraid of the People's Grassroots Movement that is building monumental steam at this time.
If she is the nominee, I will support her, as I have done for 15 years.
I do not relish the thought of what I know the Rethugs are going to do to her.

But I do think that the Repubs will be much harder on her than they will on Obama.
Just my opinion

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:28 PM on 05/03/2008

kellygrrrl, you're right on! the Rethugs as you put it don't know much about grassroots organizing. And, both HRC and McCain are playing from results from 2004 when Americans were not as upset about Iraq/$/health care. Remember when Barack first used the word 'change' after Iowa and almost every politician began to use the word as if it were for another language?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:18 PM on 05/04/2008

National poll: Hillary against McCain, Hillary has a 7% point lead, Obama against McCain against Obama, Obama only has a 2% point lead.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:34 AM on 05/03/2008

Why do people keep posting this drivel? The polls showed Hillary walking away with the nomination just six months ago. She hasn't.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:15 PM on 05/03/2008

I want Obama to win, because McCain can beat him, but I'm not sure about Hillary it would be close.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:32 AM on 05/03/2008

that is absolute BULLSH!T
The Rethugs are like rabid inmates awaiting their dream date with Hillary.
They have waited so long for this moment

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:32 PM on 05/03/2008

(cont)If the perception is widespread that Obama won the delegate count but lost the popular vote, it will weaken our Democratic nominee and cause feelings of resentment among Clinton supporters. Our best hope of winning in the fall is with a strong nominee who was fairly chosen because he won the most pledged delegates and the most popular votes. The large popular vote expected for Clinton in Puerto Rico may make Obama fall short in the popular vote.

If you've concluded, as I have, that our likely nominee, Senator Barack Obama, is worthy of your vote in the fall, I urge you to consider voting for him May 6. I think it is a wise move for everyone who hopes for a Democratic victory in the fall.

Even if Obama is not your first choice now, your vote in his column of the popular vote would be a gesture of hope for a Democratic victory in November. Doing so will help unite the Democratic Party and give us our best chance for a win in the general election.

Thank you for your consideration.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:41 AM on 05/03/2008

Indiana and North Carolina Democrats, your help is needed to avert a trainwreck awaiting us in Puerto Rico. In the U.S. territory, citizens do not vote in presidential general elections, but they are given a voice in the Democratic primary.

Puerto Rico's Democratic party decided, on March 8 of this year, to hold a primary rather than a caucus to allocate it's 55 delegates. This decision was made after it became clear that in a close contest, the total popular vote -- no matter how skewed a figure, due to the mix of primary and caucus states -- would become an important number in discussions about the nomination. States that had already had their caucuses, in full accordance with the rules established before the primary season began, did not have the re-do option.

Colorado and Puerto Rico have been allocated the same number of pledged delegates, 55. With Puerto Rico holding a primary with an expected turnout of at least a million voters, its popular vote will likely equal the total caucus votes of Colorado PLUS the primary votes of South Carolina, New Hampshire, Delaware, and Utah, combined. Puerto Rico will thus have a popular vote equivalent vote strength of 160 pledged delegates, rather than their allocated 55.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:40 AM on 05/03/2008

The train wreck has been in process since Dean took over the DNC. Why dont you work on counting the MI and FL votes instead of using Republican tactics to suppress the votes there and in PR.

How undemocratic. How deplorable.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:31 AM on 05/03/2008

All of the SDs who have announced for Obama recently, were already known to back him by his campaign. Axlerod brings them out to encourage supporters as needed, when times get tough. Obama is probably already tied with Clinton, or maybe even slightly ahead. But with 230 left to go, those will be a much tougher get for both sides. Get excited all you want. There's still along way to go, and SDs can switch sides at anytime if Obama stumbles more.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:36 PM on 05/01/2008

By "stumbles", do you mean if he isn't voted for by heavily racist areas? Or isn't voted for by the very old who prefer to go with a familiar face? Or do you mean, if the mainstream media that's the only information source for most of the uneducated white populace he doesn't appeal to continues focusing on non-issues like a former pastor while ignoring politically relevant plans and the other candidates' even-more-damaging acquaintances, advisors, and personal statements and actions?

It doesn't seem like any of those things are due to Obama stumbling. His handicap in this race is that he isn't stooping to the levels of his opponents, isn't using negative tactics, and thus the media fixates upon the attacks used against him because it no longer serves as an information tool for the people but as a politically-aligned sensational tool of the Republicans. Just look at who owns all the mainstream news operations.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:36 PM on 05/03/2008

Back Clinton if you want McCain to win. Clinton is hyping herself on the energy of the ENTIRE Democratic turnout in the primaries--most of which has been due to Obama. He is the first Democratic candidate in 30 years who really speaks to the American people. Clinton cannot carry the huge base of supporters Obama has drawn. Even if he quits and tells voters to vote for Clinton, we will not. We will simply go home, and McCain will win. If that's what the DNC wants, they're making great progress this week.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:23 PM on 05/01/2008

I think Obama gets AA voters, young voters and elite libs. He can't win if he has only those voters. He needs middle-lower class voters-and he can't get them now that they see him connected to a wacky preacher, he says they're bitter, etc. and asks about arugula...

He doesn't connect with the voters he'll need desperately to win.

Vote Hillary before it's too late.

Superdels change your votes to Hillary and change this country.

Attn. Indiana and NC democrats-vote Hillary to save us in the general.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:08 AM on 05/03/2008

He'll get more working class, seniors, and the like than she will get college students and the guaranteed democrats no matter what, African Americans



She cant win without African Americans. I think people seem to forget that

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:54 AM on 05/04/2008

http://www.progressive.org/mag_reed0508 warrants reading before you commit yourself
to Obama. This month's Progressive dared to have this from Adolph Reed who knows
Obama. btw when will you ask him about the Exelon seed money for his meteoric rise?
How about the GE/Exelon contract signed 12/11/07 to provide taxpayer funded nuclear
reactors he voted for and Hillary voted against thereby damning her presence on GE
entities like Newsweek, MSNBC and Washington Post where former Clinton supporters
like you changed to Obama to protect their future earnings? Shame on you for not asking
who benefits from his election and why following the money is not happening in the media..

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:46 PM on 05/01/2008

Hillary took more special interest money than any other candidate. Why has she spend so much time on defense corporations and has now threatened Iran? This hasn't set well with the world and the UN. Maybe some super delegates want a break from corporate run Washington.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:05 PM on 05/02/2008

We drive all the way to a reservation to save !4 cents/gallon on gas. Most Americans would give their eye teeth to save more all summer. The elitists who are saying this is a bad idea don't have to worry about food, gas, or healthcare. Every dime helps. Take the summer tax beak AND give us a long term solution!

Why is it that the person who has the most money wins our Democratic candidancy? Why spend billions on machines & hanging chads instead of just giving us a receipt or carbon copy of whom we voted for? Isn't a paper trail the cheapest, easiest & fairest way to cure voter fraud?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:37 PM on 05/01/2008

Hillary is smart enough to know that the "gas tax holiday" has little likelihood of saving anyone money. However, she views the electorate as a bunch of rubes who won't get that. Its not difficult to understand: if people are willing to pay $3.70 a gallon, why lower the price? Certainly nothing Hillary is proposing would prevent the oil companies from simply taking a larger profit while depleting the funds available for improving infrastructure. The way to save money on gas is to drive less and drive smaller more fuel efficient cars.

As for voting, there should be uniform equipment and procedures for voting across the country. And I'm not sure that there needs to be a paper ballot. In a country where banking is highly reliable and electronic, it seems like we could come up with an equally reliable electronic voting system. Until we do, everyone should use scan cards--the tried and true (and cheap) technology where you shade the bubble like you did on standardized tests at school. There could be some simple readers available at polling places for people to use who have any doubt that their ballot will be read correctly. It wouldn't give a receipt (no use on wasting trees, ink and ink cartridges) however it could give either a visual or audible display showing how the computer would read the ballot.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:34 AM on 05/02/2008

Between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, clearly it's Clinton who has the most money.

If you're talking about their campaigns, is your question "why does the campaign that attracts the most money from voters win the candidacy?"?

Well, that kinda answers itself, doesn't it?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:41 PM on 05/01/2008

Jeanekhan -- this warrants reading before you commit "your self to Hillary" --

"What Obama wished he could say but won't" -- great article on Politico today -- you think Hillary has been vetted? Read this: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0508/10010.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:54 PM on 05/01/2008

seriously!
if she is going to sit there with Bill O and imply that the "Guilt by Association" game is fair
she should really think that through.

I wish Obama would swing back on that issue

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:53 PM on 05/01/2008

The contest is tight and although it's nice to count superdelegates, they can switch at any time and some have already done so. In addition, if they feel that there is too much enmity between the two candidates, they can opt for al gore.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:10 AM on 05/01/2008

Even though more voting weight has been put to the superdelegates in this contest, it's not like it's a tie: Clinton has to overcome a deficit in pledged delegates by persuading superdelegates... who in turn have to consider the consequences of voting against the leader in pledged delegates and what that means for the party down the line.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:43 PM on 05/01/2008

so far not a single one has jumped Obama ship to board the SS Inevitable

can't say the same conversely

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:54 PM on 05/01/2008

An Obama vote is just a personal affirmation of the set of principles he claims to embody.

Nothing to do with the man's experience and ability to lead executive policy for the nation.

The rest of the country knows it's a new face with a very old message. Sorry.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:27 AM on 05/01/2008

Yep - that's right -

A SET OF PRINCIPLES


We the PEOPLE haven't seen Principles for how many years?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:20 PM on 05/01/2008

A thoughtful analysis from a "ProWarDem", HAHAHAHAHAHA!

ROFL

Despite my amusement, let me be clear. You are right that we are voting for Obama because we share his principles. He's also a very intelligent guy who has held leadership positions before. He was editor of the Harvard Law Review (a leadership position), he was an organizer on the South Side of Chicago (a leadership position), and he was a constitutional law professor at the University of Chicago (despite the claims of some trolls on these boards, the U. of C. has publicly stated that he was considered an actual professor based on university standards and rules). Obama has also held public office longer than Hillary Clinton.

It's hard to seriously make the case that Hillary is more experienced than Obama with regard to legislative and legal experience.

Hillary's gas tax moratorium is another reason to go with Obama. This gas tax thing is a blatant attempt at pandering, and won't serve the interests of our country. It won't save anyone much cash, if any, and it encourages the wasteful use of natural resources. If the tax is removed, then oil companies will be able to charge more and make a greater profit. Anyone who has taken Introductory Microeconomics (my final is next Wednesday) can see that this is a gimmick that won't work as promised.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:08 PM on 05/01/2008

GO OBAMA!!!!!!!!!!!
You are the man to bring this country back to its feet and move us in in a new, united direction. Enough of Bush/Clinton/Bush old school yadyadayada wackadoodle doo.
Don't believe the media hype. Parse out the truth for yourself. Think 1776. UNITED states.
***REPUBS, DEM and INDEPENDENTS ALL for Obama***
Smell the future of new, clean, aromatic government brewing.
Yes we can together.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:14 AM on 05/01/2008

Do you Clinton supporters think it's strange that the people who've known the Clintons the longest, are supporting Obama, practically ALL t