Huffpollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For May 18

Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and who's not -- but skip over the fact that plummeting response rates and variables like undecided voters and margins of error and often render these polls useless as anything other than lightweight diversions on par with horoscopes and political betting lines. Our HuffPollstrology chart helps keep you up to date on the latest poll results, along with the latest horoscope predictions, and the latest online political betting lines - and will hopefully help the polling junkies in the media keep polls in the proper perspective.

Democratic nomination
clinton	44% Gallup Poll (National)	SCORPIO October 26, 1947 You may now be realizing the value of being part of a network. Whereas for some time you may have been fighting your own battles, you may now be fully aware that there is merit in group-action. In particular, friends born under Taurus and Leo could advance your case. An insurance matter might require further attention. At another level entirely, you could give thought to a will or legacy.	7.2% chance of winning
obama	48% Gallup Poll (National)	LEO August 4, 1961 It probably won't take much to put you into party mood. Indeed, the more involved you are in preparations for events scheduled to take place before the end of the month, the better you might feel. In particular, you could welcome the excuse to make contact with someone you haven't seen for some time. The past nay follow you in other ways; possibly including running into someone on the street, whom you last saw when you worked with them pre-2003..	92.0% chance of winning
Mccain vs obama in the General election
mccain	45% Gallup Tracking Poll	VIRGO August 29, 1936 You could be full steam ahead on a new project. The renovation of an area could be high priority. It's possible also that you'll be talking to financial experts, possibly in relation to a sale, - or even to changing bank. Of top priority to you could be ensuring that a safety net is put into place. You might need to know by next Thursday that documentation is complete.	37.3% chance of winning
obama	47% Gallup Tracking Poll	LEO August 4, 1961 This is not a day for routine chores, boring people or anything that requires much self-discipline. You won't want to save money or go on a diet. Much better to let it all hang out, and head for the happy crowd. Companions will be amused to be around you, so there's no doubt about your popularity. You could be a bit impatient with loved ones because you want them to wake up and be more exciting. You want everyone to have more fun.	57.6% chance of winning
Mccain vs clinton in the General election
mccain	45% Gallup Trackng Poll	VIRGO August 29, 1936 Today Venus is in aspect to Uranus which combines love and affection with sudden surprises. So expect the unexpected. You want stimulation and sparkle and more excitement around the place. You certainly have no intention of doing anything strenuous. Your tendency will be to smooth over problems rather than face up to difficulties. If there are tricky situations around, you will take the diplomatic route rather than throwing a tantrum.	37.3% chance of winning
clinton	48% Gallup Tracking Poll	SCORPIO October 26, 1947 Your long-running relationships could be shaken up a little today. And if you have been hanging on just for security, you could feel a little insecure. But on the other hand it lets a blast of fresh air blow through things. Your tastes will run to the frivolous today so you will be spending gleefully on definitely non-essential items. Later you may wonder why you bought them, but for today you just can't do without.	6.7% chance of winning

weather report
East		Washington, DC 69 degrees (F), 80% chance of rain.
south		Nashville, TN 74 degrees (F), 30% chance of rain.
midwest		Chicago, IL 56 degrees (F), 20% chance of rain.
west		Los Angeles, CA 90 degrees (F), 0% chance of rain.

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Sources:

Democratic Nomination Poll: Gallup Poll

The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from May 13-15, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,232 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

General Election Poll: Gallup Daily Tracking Poll

The general election results are based on combined data from May 11-15, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,366 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

Horoscopes: horoscopes.co.uk and astrology.msn.com

Weather: Weather.com

Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets

Comments

[Kantinflas]

-- Start with the Bush-Kerry 2004 electoral vote distribution. Then, substitute the commensurate electoral votes from the RealClearPolitics listings of poll results since April 17 for the latest state-by-state, head-to-head match-ups, McCain-Clinton and McCain-Obama. As of May 18: M-C-Tie = 242-269-27. M-O-Tie = 296-242-0. To win = 270 electoral votes.
-- In McCain v. Clinton, John flips NH from blue to red; Hillary flips AR, FL, NM, and OH from red to blue. In McCain v. Obama, John flips MI and NH from blue to red; Barack flips CO, IA, and NM from red to blue.