Gas prices keep climbing even as oil prices drop

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May 29, 2008 07:57 AM EST | AP

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Justin Vargas fuels up his truck which he uses for his work in carpentry and construction at a gas station in Half Moon Bay, Calif., Tuesday, May 27, 2008. Vargas fuels up his truck mostly with bio-diesel to save on expenses. He then tops off the tank with diesel. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)

NEW YORK — The gasoline price record keeps getting broken with each passing day. AAA puts the national average for a gallon of regular at a record $3.95. It's jumped 35 cents in the past month and is 76-cents-a-gallon higher than a year ago.

If you need premium, it's also never been more expensive. The auto club says the national average for premium is $4.35. That's an 84-cent-a-gallon jump over last year.

Oil prices fell back Thursday ahead of a report expected to show U.S. inventories of crude and petroleum products grew last week.

Prices remained volatile, though, buffeted about by threats against Nigerian oil facilities, worries about falling gasoline demand in the U.S. and a strengthening U.S. dollar.

By midday in Europe, light, sweet crude contract for July delivery was down 65 cents at $130.38 a barrel in electronic trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

In London, July Brent crude fell 86 cents to $130.07 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

The Nymex July contract dipped below $126 a barrel Wednesday in New York before recovering to finish at $131.03, up $2.18. At its low in the floor session, oil was more than $9 off the record high it hit last week above $135 a barrel.

"Fears that soaring oil prices could damage demand continue to weigh on sentiment," said a report from research firm JBC Energy in Vienna, Austria.

Story continues below

The reversal from the floor session's close came with a renewed strengthening of the dollar and ahead of the U.S. Energy Department's inventory report, to be released later Thursday.

In the last couple of days, the dollar has rebounded against both the euro and yen, receiving some support Wednesday when the U.S. Commerce Department said orders to American factories for big-ticket manufactured goods fell by a smaller-than-expected amount in April.

That was taken as a possible signal of a rebound in the slumping U.S. manufacturing sector and the dollar strengthened back above the 105 yen level, while the euro dropped below $1.56.

When the dollar declines, investors tend to buy commodities such as oil as a hedge against inflation. But a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive to investors dealing in other currencies, and the tendency usually reverses.

Also, a survey of analysts by Platts, the energy research arm of McGraw-Hill Cos., indicated that U.S. crude oil stocks were expected to have grown 750,000 barrels in the week ended May 23.

The Platts survey also indicated analysts were expecting a build in U.S. gasoline stock of 400,000 barrels, and a build in distillate stocks, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, of 800,000 barrels.

Prices were still being supported, though, by further threats against Nigerian oil facilities. Those threats led investors in the U.S. to at least temporarily set aside concerns about falling gasoline demand.

On Wednesday, the Nigerian rebel group The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta threatened new attacks on oil installations to mark the one-year anniversary of President Umaru Yar'Adua's inauguration. A weekend attack by the group on an oil facility cut about 130,000 barrels of the nation's oil production, according to Addison Armstrong, director of market research at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut, in a research note.

News of disruptions in Nigeria, one of Africa's largest producers and a major U.S. supplier, have helped push oil prices higher over the past year.

That contended Wednesday with the growing belief that U.S. demand for gasoline is falling as the average retail pump prices approaches $4 a gallon ($1.05 per liter). That belief was supported by two new surveys showing Americans consuming less gasoline.

Demand for gasoline fell 5.5 percent last week compared to the same week last year, according to the weekly MasterCard SpendingPulse survey. The survey also found that, on average, demand over the past four weeks is off 6.3 percent compared to the same period last year.

A separate CreditCards.com survey of about 1,000 people found that more than half have cut back on their driving due to high fuel prices.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures fell 2.08 cents to $3.8035 a gallon while gasoline prices were down 1.31 cents to $3.4345 a gallon. Natural gas futures rose 1.9 cents to $12.014 per 1,000 cubic feet.

___

AP Business Writer Thomas Hogue in Bangkok, Thailand, contributed to this report.

NEW YORK — The gasoline price record keeps getting broken with each passing day. AAA puts the national average for a gallon of regular at a record $3.95. It's jumped 35 cents in the past month a...
NEW YORK — The gasoline price record keeps getting broken with each passing day. AAA puts the national average for a gallon of regular at a record $3.95. It's jumped 35 cents in the past month a...
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There is a lot of "beliefs" displayed here of what is going on. The simple truth about markets is that they are chaotic by design (something that has been shown over and over again in hundreds of papers and dissertations). Daily fluctuations are almost meaningless (unless there are some extraordinary events). But since neither journalists nor analysts are being payed for writing "today the market was, like yesterday and the day before, chaotic", human imagination fills in the pieces reality does not provide.

Most people seem to overlook over the daily fluctuation show that there is a real dynamic in the background: demand by the richest consumers exceeds supply for several years now, while at the same time consumers are very slow to react to rising oil prices and instead of replacing inefficient cars with more efficient ones, the markets get to reap the profits from rising prices. No bid deal, really, it's just economics 101 at work.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:14 AM on 05/29/2008
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SSDD: KTM's same dishonest BULLSHIT on a different day.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/JE29Dj02.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:24 AM on 05/29/2008
- dartagnan I'm a Fan of dartagnan 51 fans permalink
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Excellent analysis -- thanks for the link.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:17 PM on 05/29/2008
- legalgirl I'm a Fan of legalgirl 23 fans permalink
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The Senate is reviewing the oil futures trading market now. Bush suspended regulations allowing for an extremely low margin to get into the market; hence, volatility. In other words, betting is driving up the price and the table limit is really low. It's not a supply/demand issue. We need the adults (not Bush/Cheney and the oil companies) to stop the "Enron" style shell game. Can't you smell the con?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:32 AM on 05/29/2008
- Chavez08 I'm a Fan of Chavez08 58 fans permalink
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Washington and Wallstreet are always chanting about the "Free Market" but high officials and their cronies in the oil business don't share the same views about market transparency as did Adam Smith.

Corporate Communism is now the flavor of America.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:03 PM on 05/29/2008
- Sneaky I'm a Fan of Sneaky 15 fans permalink

What? Gas prices AREN'T so related as was originally thought? No way...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:13 AM on 05/29/2008
- Wiredwilly I'm a Fan of Wiredwilly 23 fans permalink

BOYCOTT EXXON-Mobile / BP-Amoco
Target : $ 2.50 a gallon Premium

People will not stop using gasoline, they will stop using a particular BRAND of Gasoline.
Supply is organized, demand is not. Organize demand. Buy Citgo, anyone but Exxon / BP.
You will hear thousands of words that do nothing. The PEOPLE must do something or we will be paying $ 20. a gallon. Why ? GREED.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:06 AM on 05/29/2008
- scooperss I'm a Fan of scooperss 75 fans permalink
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You have to ask why?

It's because there's still money to STEAL!!!!!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:05 AM on 05/29/2008

Before the '06 election, Nancy Pelosi promised, if elected to lower gas prices. Damn, I was expecting her to legislate these high prices away.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:00 AM on 05/29/2008
- rkrenke I'm a Fan of rkrenke 24 fans permalink

The reasons for rising oil prices seem to change with every article I read. It's either speculation, lack of competition, the Iraq war, anticipated disruptions, distribution, gouging, etc.

I believe that there is a concerted effort by corporations to drive American wages down while inflating the prices of goods and services – food, gas, utilities, etc. Since Reagan, conservatives have had the same mantra – privatization, free trade, and deregulation. They convinced Americans that privatization would lower prices, provide better customer service, create jobs, etc. As most of us know, privatization has actually resulted in just the opposite.

Companies are no longer "American corporations" but "multinationals", which means that they're exempt from many of the regulations imposed on them by various countries. In other words, they've been given free reign to do whatever they like by our government and elected officials.

While soaring oil and gas prices may help move us to alternative energy sources more quickly, this is too much, too quickly for most Americans to absorb. This may not be disaster capitalism such as Naomi Klein discusses in her book, but people are much less likely to pay attention to the big picture when they're worried about feeding their kids, putting gas in their cars, paying utility bills, etc.

The People need to wake up to how they're being tricked and manipulated by big corporations and government to vote against their own best interests. We may not be a fascist nation yet, but we're on the right path.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:53 AM on 05/29/2008
- dartagnan I'm a Fan of dartagnan 51 fans permalink
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Why? Here's why: The Bush-Cheney cabal has only seven more months to loot the country and they and their oily cronies are grabbing as much as they can while they can. After next January they'll probably all take off for Dubai (no extradition) to enjoy the fruits of their "labors."

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:40 AM on 05/29/2008
- likeicare I'm a Fan of likeicare 8 fans permalink

I have a one-word answer to the question, "Why are gas prices going up, when the price per barrel is going down?"

Greed.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:32 AM on 05/29/2008
- booker52 I'm a Fan of booker52 32 fans permalink
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Remember the fake gas shortage of 1973?? I do. That was such bullshit. Since the oil companies cannot do that one again this much be the reverse, just raise the prices till everyone just cannot pay. I am at that point. I am retired on a fix income.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:29 AM on 05/29/2008
- vippy I'm a Fan of vippy 77 fans permalink

I believe, since the jobs are disappearing they can say that workers no longer can afford to go to
work and they don't have to justify nothing. 2 refineries are shut down, the Valero in Beaumont
and one in Illinois, owned by some oil company, as they claim they are not making money.
Can you even fathom that. And congress/senate is sitting by idly while they do nothing instead
of regulating the market, put constraints on the future's markets and let us go back how we used
to trade. Yes, agree, all GREED and when will we take to the streets or protest not going to work
for a full week? Enough already.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:38 AM on 05/29/2008
- SaulGood I'm a Fan of SaulGood 33 fans permalink

when, indeed.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:43 AM on 05/29/2008
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Here's an article I found today that you might find interesting; I think it adds additional backstory and content to the market situation--add in the HR 5660 factor, and it makes sense, albeit rather complex in seeing how the pieces fit together.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/JE29Dj02.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:26 AM on 05/29/2008

The corporate oil (energy) and banking hogs are just where they always wanted to be. Watch Dick and Doofus smile with their Cheshire cat grins. You are so correct if you think this has bee a long time in the planning. But the price of fuel, especially for transportation is reflected in everything the US worker/consumer buys, needs and plans for. When Joe and Sally American who are living paycheck to paycheck can only afford to buy food and get to work (no public transportation available in many places) everything else takes a hit. They won't be buying that cheap (but expensive) junk at Walmart or the latest fashions and vacations? Camping? Can't afford new camping gear. They'll stop eating out as much. Can't afford that trip to Orlando, can't afford to fly, can't afford a cup of coffee in Europe - hotels, restaurants, mall stores, big box stores selling those expensive TVs and electronic toys - all are going to take a hit and LAY OFF EMPLOYEES.

For the latest "f*ck you America" you can thank the greedy banking/mortgage/investment whores, the oil whores and the politicians who enabled it. And read the NYTimes today about US Sugar fucking their employees. Sound like Enron anybody? Oh that little problem.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:11 AM on 05/29/2008
- dartagnan I'm a Fan of dartagnan 51 fans permalink
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Ah yes -- Enron. Pretty convenient for "Kenny Boy" Lay to drop dead of a heart attack before trial, wasn't it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:42 AM on 05/29/2008

dartagnan : As my dear odl Mother said after the death notice : " Let's see the body ! " !!


-ralph

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:11 AM on 05/29/2008
- lisakaz2 I'm a Fan of lisakaz2 113 fans permalink
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Actually, before he went to jail. He'd already been convicted BUT the courts allowed his estate to expunge his record because he hadn't exhausted his appeals.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:45 AM on 05/29/2008
- WasteNJ I'm a Fan of WasteNJ 30 fans permalink
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Useless fact: I don't know if anybody notices these things, but the Air Force airman in the original pic for this story (standing next to car) is wearing the all NEW Air Force digital tiger stripe uniform. (digital meaning the pattern is made up of small squares and rectangles, computer generated) Pattern is based on the older (gulp) Vietnam era tiger stripe uniform used by SF, SEALs and indigenous irregulars during that war.

Thought it was the Army ACU pattern (uses same colors) but indeed, there's the AF patch. This is the first photo I have seen of the new AF camo on a person. Another useless fact, the Navy is now the only branch still using a non-digital camo pattern uniform, the old standard woodland and "3-color" desert uniform that replaced the famous "chocolate chip" desert uniform from Gufl war 1.

Likely most won't care, but I'm a guy who 3D models tactical video games. See, I'm not all wisecracks...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:51 AM on 05/29/2008
- SaulGood I'm a Fan of SaulGood 33 fans permalink

so, i suppose i shall go make a cup of coffee, bc i've no idea what to make of your post. i've read it three flippin' times. is there a "uniforms for dummies" version?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:18 AM on 05/29/2008
- bgregs I'm a Fan of bgregs 4 fans permalink

My question then becomes, since all Navy ships are gray, why are they using a jungle camouflage pattern anyway????

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:00 AM on 05/30/2008

It's Obama's Fault

If Rev. Wright had not been born, and if Obama did not join his church. And if Michelle had been proud of America, if Obama had only gone to community college instead of sneaking in and out of a Ivy League school. Then Gas would be $1.79 per gallon. Heck this would fly on Fox News.

Now we know what the Cheney energy policy was.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:47 AM on 05/29/2008
- TLV I'm a Fan of TLV 125 fans permalink

And I thought everything was still Bill Clinton's fault.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:04 AM on 05/29/2008
- vippy I'm a Fan of vippy 77 fans permalink

Yes, it is in part. He deregulated the banking industry, which is responsible for the
housing mess.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:44 AM on 05/29/2008
- vippy I'm a Fan of vippy 77 fans permalink

As much as I dislike this current administration, Cheney et al, you did not pay attention to the
last energy policy that our congress/senate has passed and they thought they did marvelous.
I remember Kerry bragging about it - brag about getting 35 mpgs by the year 2020?
Everyone please write to congress/senate and tell them to reverse the Commodities Future's
Modernization Act. They were briefed on the consequences December 07 and they decided to
do nothing. The energy, housing and banking mess are directly tied into it. Yet you blame
everyone else. Get educated and put the blame where it belongs. Instead of sending us the
stimulus check, the reigning in on the future's markets and hedge funds would have sufficed and
would have had a major positive impact.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:42 AM on 05/29/2008
- dartagnan I'm a Fan of dartagnan 51 fans permalink
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And if Obama wore a flag pin -- don't forget that.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:45 AM on 05/29/2008

Awash : ... And the PNAC ' Plan ' .


-ralph

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:01 AM on 05/29/2008
- BBackSoon I'm a Fan of BBackSoon 47 fans permalink
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I believe that one of the main goals of this war was Oil. Not so much to immediately take the oil but to keep it from the market so prices would rise. Later on they will get their hands on the oil, it might be 10 or 20 years but what a way to save it for later.

We have to remember that the people that are in control have long-term plans. I believe we are on a path that was plotted out 20 to 50 years ago. Maybe not each and every specific but the basic framework of US Fascism was laid out long ago.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:45 AM on 05/29/2008
- WasteNJ I'm a Fan of WasteNJ 30 fans permalink
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Read this paper written on Oil production Sharing Agreements.(with specific focus on Iraq)
http://www.crudedesigns.org/

This will add the details you have been missing about how the process for multinational oil companies works when securing oil deals with sovereign nations. Basically, both parties work out a PSA, or production sharing agreement. This details who will control the resources (oilfields) and all the particulars, but the main points are;

A. How much of a percentage of the nation's oil will the oil co. (or group of oil companies) claim as theirs. (usually framed as payment for developing the resource

B. The duration of time the oil company will control this share of the resource before control is turned back over to the nation in question.

In Iraq's case, the deal in question, which has been floated for years as an "Iraqi oil law", under the auspices of being about sharing oil wealth among Iraqis, is actually this PSA. Iraq must ratify it in Parliment before it can be implemented.

Here's the deal in a nutshell:
Multinational oil conglomerate will "develop" (Iraq's oil infrastructure is already developed) the resource and maintain control for 30 years, enforceable by military action. (US action)
Multinationals will take a 70% stake of the oil for export, locked in for 30 years.

These kinds of terms are unheard of for a country of Iraq's resources and infrastructure. Typically, a country like Iraq would never allow more than a 15% stake in their oil.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:42 AM on 05/29/2008
- WasteNJ I'm a Fan of WasteNJ 30 fans permalink
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In addition: Many Iraqi's know about the PSA terms and oppose the agreement. Many Iraqi politicians have sworn never to let it pass. Moqtada Al-Sadr (holding a third of Parliament seats) has sworn to derail the agreement as well. That's why the Iraqi military, directed by Maliki, tried to crush Sadr's base of support about 2 months back, before Parliamentary elections; because he doesn't want Sadr's people taking more Parliament seats, further jeopardizing the deal.

This is the real reason we are treading water over there. Waiting for Oil Multinationals to seal their skewed oil deal. This is what is meant by "political reconciliation", and also why passing an "oil sharing agreement" is one of Bush's "benchmarks" for the Iraqi government. Now you know why Bush get so pissed when it looks like there's no progress on that front..

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:52 AM on 05/29/2008
- booker52 I'm a Fan of booker52 32 fans permalink
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Demand hasn't change in 27 years here in America. Why the increase in price???? The oil exec's have yet to explain this.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:39 AM on 05/29/2008
- SaulGood I'm a Fan of SaulGood 33 fans permalink

By John W. Schoen
Senior Producer
MSNBC
updated 9:12 a.m. ET, Thurs., July. 21, 2005


John W. Schoen
Senior Producer
• Profile
• E-mail
When major oil companies report their quarterly profits next week, they're once again expected to post record numbers. With crude trading around $60 a barrel, the oil industry is enjoying one of the biggest windfalls in its history. But as the industry looks for places to put that cash, it's finding it harder and harder to put funds to work finding new deposits of oil and natural gas.

By just about any measure, the past three years have produced one of the biggest cash gushers in the oil industry’s history. Since January of 2002, the price of crude has tripled, leaving oil producers awash in profits. During that period, the top 10 major public oil companies have sold some $1.5 trillion worth of crude, pocketing profits of more than $125 billion.

“This is the mother of all booms,” said Oppenheimer & Co. oil analyst Fadel Gheit. “They have so much profit, it’s almost an embarrassment of riches. They don’t know what to do with it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:44 AM on 05/29/2008
- SaulGood I'm a Fan of SaulGood 33 fans permalink

Chevron posts record $18.7 billion profit

David R. Baker, Chronicle Staff Writer

Saturday, February 2, 2008

Soaring oil prices lifted Chevron Corp.'s annual profit to $18.7 billion in 2007, the fourth consecutive year that the San Ramon company made record amounts of money.

Chevron, America's second-largest oil company, reported Friday that its annual profit jumped 9 percent from 2006, as crude oil prices reached their highest levels in 26 years. Sales topped $220.9 billion, up 5 percent from the year before.

Chevron's profit served as yet another milestone in this decade's historic increase in energy prices, one that has seen the cost of crude oil triple while gasoline prices have hit record heights.

Other companies have made even more. Exxon Mobil, the country's largest oil company, reported on Friday that its 2007 profit hit $40.6 billion, a 3 percent increase from 2006, while sales passed $404 billion. No American business has ever scored a higher profit.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:46 AM on 05/29/2008
- TLV I'm a Fan of TLV 125 fans permalink

They had close friends in the White House. No other explanation needed.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:05 AM on 05/29/2008
- vippy I'm a Fan of vippy 77 fans permalink

Ask yourself why has every invention been surpressed that brought us more energy efficient
engines? Some were bought up and some inventors died all of a sudden. Toyota's RAV4
was an excellent hybrid until CHEVRON bought up all the batteries.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:46 AM on 05/29/2008
- Chavez08 I'm a Fan of Chavez08 58 fans permalink
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Is it time for Civil Disobedience yet?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:39 AM on 05/29/2008
- SaulGood I'm a Fan of SaulGood 33 fans permalink

past time if you ask me.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:47 AM on 05/29/2008
- Ceasar I'm a Fan of Ceasar 2 fans permalink

Yeah, when are corporate heads going to roll? It's time for action. How do we do it is the question?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:30 AM on 05/29/2008
- SaulGood I'm a Fan of SaulGood 33 fans permalink

we unite. we organize. we inform. we get our butts in the streets and be seen and heard.

we don't expect someone else to do it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:42 AM on 05/29/2008
- dartagnan I'm a Fan of dartagnan 51 fans permalink
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Hell yes. Put your car in the garage. Take public transit or bike or walk to work. Take the money you save on gas and donate it to the Obama campaign.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:48 AM on 05/29/2008
- BBackSoon I'm a Fan of BBackSoon 47 fans permalink
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I believe it is time.

One problem is that you can't picket or protest anyplace that you will be seen. They will designate a parking lot 6 blocks away from anyone you want to influence, for security reasons of course.

But remember this is exactly what Blackwater is set up to deal with, We the unwashed American masses.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:20 PM on 05/29/2008
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