Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and who's not -- but skip over the fact that plummeting response rates and variables like undecided voters and margins of error often render these polls useless as anything other than lightweight diversions on par with horoscopes and political betting lines. Our HuffPollstrology chart helps keep you up to date on the latest poll results, along with the latest horoscope predictions, and the latest online political betting lines - and will hopefully help the polling junkies in the media keep polls in the proper perspective.
|Mccain vs obama in the General election|
Gallup Tracking Poll
August 29, 1936
It's likely you're ready to dump a piece of emotional baggage. More than that, you might even be ready to order the refuse truck to take it away. In short, it seems you're ready to move forward - and at speed. In this, you may have a good neighbour with a fabulous 'little black book of numbers to thank. You might also be willing to wear brighter clothes than usual and so radiate optimism (even if that's still a fragile flower within).
Gallup Tracking Poll
August 4, 1961
Though good news - and/or the feeling that a project is reaching a satisfactory conclusion - could come before the end of the month, you might still need to keep your voice heard to keep others on the case. Packing and moving items for storage may be necessary. A grieving friend may need extra support - and, possibly, you to fight a battle for them.
|East||New Wilmington, PA|
Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms possible. High 84F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Some clouds and possibly an isolated thunderstorm in the afternoon. Hot. High 97F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Partly cloudy early. Scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. A few storms may be severe. High near 85F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
|west||Santa Cruz, CA|
Clearing. High 74F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
General Election Poll: Gallup
For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general-election results are based on combined data from June 23-25, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,605 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
Interviews are conducted with respondents on land-line telephones (for respondents with a land-line telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell-phone only).
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets