Dow Enters Bear Market, Oil Hits New Record

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TIM PARADIS | July 2, 2008 06:25 PM EST | AP

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NEW YORK — Wall Street resumed its sell-off Wednesday after oil hit a new record and a bearish analyst report renewed concerns that General Motors Corp. could run out of cash.

The stock market's pullback, which accelerated in the final hours of the week's last full trading session, left the Dow Jones industrial average officially in bear market territory, with the blue chips having fallen more than 20 percent from their October highs.

Oil surged to new records above $144 a barrel as the government reported a bigger-than-expected drop in U.S. supplies and as investors worried about tensions in the Middle East.

Fears that GM could go so far as to declare bankruptcy only added to investors' unease. The stock closed below the $10 mark for the first time since September 1954 when Dwight Eisenhower was president. Investors shrugged off better-than-expected sales figures from June and fretted about the company's cash needs.

The Dow fell 166.75, or 1.46 percent, to 11,215.51, the lowest close since August 2006. It now stands 20.82 percent below its Oct. 9, 2007 record of 14,164.53. The last bear market ended in October 2002.

Broader stock indicators also posted big losses after showing gains for much of the morning. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 23.39, or 1.82 percent, to 1,261.52, while the technology-laden Nasdaq composite index fell 53.51, or 2.32 percent, to 2,251.46.

The S&P is just shy of the 20 percent pullback that signals a bear market. While the Nasdaq is also in bear territory, it hit that mark in March, moved higher and has now returned to a bear level.

Bond prices rose as investors exited stocks. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.96 percent from 4.01 percent late Tuesday. The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices rose.

Wall Street is worried that rising energy prices are causing consumers to pare their spending in other areas.

Gasoline prices hit a fresh high ahead of the July 4th holiday weekend, increasing half a penny to a new national record of $4.092 a gallon on average, according to AAA, the Oil Price Information Service and Wright Express.

Crude oil hit a record $144.32 a barrel in after-hours trading after reaching a record settlement of $143.57, an advance of $2.60 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The Energy Department reported Wednesday that U.S. crude oil supplies fell more than expected last week.

Businesses are also struggling with elevated energy costs, and demand is weakening for autos, heavy machinery and steel. The Commerce Department said Wednesday that factory orders rose by 0.6 percent in May. The result was in line with a consensus of Wall Street economists surveyed by Thomson Financial, but was much smaller than the gain of 1.3 percent for April.

Traders were cautious ahead of the three-day weekend. The stock market closes three hours early, at 1 p.m. EDT, on Thursday before the Fourth of July holiday on Friday.

"It's your typical holiday week for the summer time," said Stephen Carl, principal and head of equity trading at The Williams Capital Group in New York. "I think we're all familiar with the economic problems out there," he said, and given how weak stocks have been, the market is "staying the course."

Lately, that course has been a downward one. Though stocks mostly posted modest gains in the first two sessions of the week, Wall Street saw a steep sell-off last week. The Dow lost 4.2 percent by Friday while the S&P and Nasdaq fell more than 3 percent amid concerns about the ability of the economy to move ahead with energy prices racing higher.

While Thursday's session is a shortened one, it could bring added insights into the well-being of consumers and the overall economy. The government's June employment report is due and is expected to show the sixth month of jobs losses but a slight improvement in the unemployment rate. Employment is crucial because consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity.

With concerns about rising energy prices, falling home values and a jittery Wall Street, Harry Clark, president of Clark Capital Management in Philadelphia, contends that many average investors have already pulled their money from the markets.

"I don't think this is an investors' market right now," he said. "I think there is a lot of money on the sidelines and once you get some kind of good catalyst _ anything to make the market look better _ they'll come rushing into the market."

Clark said Thursday's employment report could show that the economy is holding up better than some investors have predicted.

"I still think it's going to be negative but not as negative as people are expecting," he said. "Things aren't as bad as people think they are. We're talking ourselves into a market decline and a recession."

In corporate news, GM fell in part after a Citi Investment Research analyst cited liquidity concerns in slashing his price target on GM stock to $14 from $21. While he said the company isn't likely facing an immediate cash shortage, the concerns from 2008-09 have grown in recent months. The stock fell $1.77, or 15 percent, to $9.98 a day after jumping 12 percent on a better-than-expected sales report.

Microsoft Corp. has approached other media companies about a bid to acquire Yahoo Inc., according to a report in The Wall Street Journal. Yahoo rose 68 cents, or 3.4 percent, to $20.88, while Microsoft fell 99 cents, or 3.7 percent, to $25.88.

Blockbuster Inc. said it is withdrawing its proposal to buy Circuit City Stores Inc. Blockbuster said the proposed deal, at a price of more than $1 billion, didn't make sense because of market conditions. Blockbuster jumped 14 cents, or 5.6 percent, to $2.65, while Circuit City fell 23 cents, or 9 percent, to $2.32.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 19.25, or 2.78 percent, to 672.34.

Declining issues outpaced advancers by nearly 3 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 5.15 billion shares, compared with 5.75 billion shares traded Tuesday.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 1.31 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 fell 0.98 percent, Germany's DAX index slipped 0.17 percent, and France's CAC-40 fell 1.03 percent.

____

On the Net:

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Nasdaq Stock Market: http://www.nasdaq.com

 
 

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- VivaZapata See Profile I'm a Fan of VivaZapata permalink

incongruous with the market's decline is the shoring up of the big financial institutions at a time when their stock should be performing worse than GM and the rest.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:17 AM on 07/05/2008
- swift_goat_pet_for_truth See Profile I'm a Fan of swift_goat_pet_for_truth permalink

Is this a new story?

I thought I saw it a week or so ago...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:24 PM on 07/03/2008
- swift_goat_pet_for_truth See Profile I'm a Fan of swift_goat_pet_for_truth permalink

I see on CNBC that Wall Street is worried that POTUS Obama would not be good for the economy.
Reminds me of a joke.

After lunch a man gets a fortune cookie that says, "Today is your lucky day". He goes back to the office to find out the company has laid him off. He goes home to find out his wife has left him, and cleaned out the house. Stunned he heads for the nearest bar, but gets hit by a truck. In the ambulance, the medics hear him say, "Can you imagine if today wasn't my lucky day?"

Housing crisis, credit crisis, $143 /bbl oil with a GOP POTUS and 12 years of Congressional control.

Can you imagine what would happen if it wasn't the GOP's lucky day?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:20 PM on 07/03/2008
- racom See Profile I'm a Fan of racom permalink

It's going to get a lot worse, check out this from James K. Galbraith on mother jones.

http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2008/07/december-surprise.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:05 PM on 07/03/2008
- bumpersticker See Profile I'm a Fan of bumpersticker permalink

The Bush supporters maintained that Bush's incompetence and disinterest didn't matter as long as their side controlled the agenda. They were disastrously wrong. Working class people were played for fools by Rove with pseudo-religion and boogie men.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:21 AM on 07/03/2008
- racom See Profile I'm a Fan of racom permalink

Even the WSJ is calling McCains proposed tax cut plan insane. How far out there do you have to be to get dissed by the journal? The conservatives don't even want him. Clearly a financial disaster waiting to happen.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:11 PM on 07/03/2008
- Vyvjala See Profile I'm a Fan of Vyvjala permalink

Its time to take a cruise on the USS ENRON......................

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:04 AM on 07/03/2008
- NoahVail See Profile I'm a Fan of NoahVail permalink

...a 3 hour tour, a 3 hour tour...

...the weather started getting rough, the tiny ship was tossed....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:24 AM on 07/03/2008
- DaOne See Profile I'm a Fan of DaOne permalink

Down Jan 22, 2001 10,578

This is roughly a 0.76% annual return before taxes and inflation.

Thanks for the booming economy W.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:55 AM on 07/03/2008
- racom See Profile I'm a Fan of racom permalink

A reporter from the LAT said the dow had its worse June since the 30's.
Then this from James K. Galbraith,
http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2008/07/december-surprise.html
How much can the Feds do with this coming tsunami? Buckle up, it's going to be a bad ride!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:15 PM on 07/03/2008
- NoahVail See Profile I'm a Fan of NoahVail permalink

"War is a racket. It always has been. It is possibly the oldest, easily the most profitable, surely the most vicious. It is the only one international in scope. It is the only one in which the profits are reckoned in dollars and the losses in lives. A racket is best described, I believe, as something that is not what it seems to the majority of the people. Only a small 'inside' group knows what it is about. It is conducted for the benefit of the very few, at the expense of the very many. Out of war a few people make huge fortunes."

Maj. Gen. Smedley Butler

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Is_a_Racket

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:18 AM on 07/03/2008
- Chavez08 See Profile I'm a Fan of Chavez08 permalink

Those of you still in the stock market are in for a big shock this fall.

The upside is that the Corporate Oligarchy is articially suppressing Gold prices to make it look like Capitalism is still alive, making Gold cheap enough for us to buy now before the all-out economic collapse coming in the next few months. Those with Gold will survive when the Fed's shell game is over and the dollar is worth less than the Peso.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:54 AM on 07/03/2008
- almoguy See Profile I'm a Fan of almoguy permalink

I believe that those that have marketable skills will survive an economic collapse. The worth of gold is only for people that like shinny sh*t...but you can't eat it and you certainly can't run a tractor on it. If you are hungary what has more value: a carrot or an ounce of gold?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:08 AM on 07/03/2008
- racom See Profile I'm a Fan of racom permalink

Still, it is an internationally accepted monetary value while national currencies can tank.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:21 PM on 07/03/2008
- MajorKong See Profile I'm a Fan of MajorKong permalink

How's that "Bush Boom" working out?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:35 AM on 07/03/2008
- NoahVail See Profile I'm a Fan of NoahVail permalink

For a few, very well.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:18 AM on 07/03/2008
- MilwaukeeDan See Profile I'm a Fan of MilwaukeeDan permalink

MK, just last year, the Bushies and Spudlows were touting the "boom" and how Americans were not giving Bush enough credit for the great economy, Hey, the economy was all built on debt(middle class incomes have been stagnant for the last 10 years). Now the bill has come due, pay up suckers.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:10 AM on 07/03/2008
- Oldtimer See Profile I'm a Fan of Oldtimer permalink

America lost a golden opportunity after 9/11. Here is what an FDR president would have done with
all the good will. First FDR would have rewarded Iran's help in fighting the Taliban with a guaranteed
security agreement that would elimnate their desire for nukes. (Bush called Iran part of the "axis of evil" so now Iran is compelled to have nukes) FDR would have leveraged Iran's other enemy - Iraq. No war necessary when you have a strong ally like Iran on Saddam's border. More importantly FDR would have used Iran's friendship to pressure the Sunni state of Saudi Arabia, home of the 9/11 hijackers. The royal Saudi family would have put oil in the palm of FDR's hand as all our military resources went after Bin Laden. FDR would lay waste to the tribal wasteland that protected him because we'd have 200,000 troops (not all American) there. With Bin Laden's head on a pole the Saudis would be trembling and oil would be $25 a barrel today.
FDR would have ignited an Apollo program to renewable energy, a Manhattan Project that would
have put the Saudis and Big Oil on notice, nevermind that FDR would have Detroit pumping out higher fuel efficiency standards. Under FDR the global economy would be roaring today with America at the lead in a peaceful world united after 9/11. Americans welcomed abroad and safer at home.
Al Queda would be persona non grata everywhere. But nooo. We got Bushed! BUSHED BAD.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:33 AM on 07/03/2008
- jsarets See Profile I'm a Fan of jsarets permalink

GM is still searching for the next '57 Chevy, so it's not surprising that its market cap is stuck in 1954.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:54 AM on 07/03/2008
- Ranta See Profile I'm a Fan of Ranta permalink

There's only one solution to this mess...........attach Iran.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:53 AM on 07/03/2008
- Chavez08 See Profile I'm a Fan of Chavez08 permalink

No matter what the Washington Oil-o-garchy does at this point, Iran will still go through with the Bourse and the other OPEC players will be emboldened to trade based on the Euro (or other?) also, making the dollar worthless. (Venezueal will be next and the U.S. gets 16% of the oil from them)

I think invading Iraq was supposed to send a warning (bluff) to Iran: "Be our bitch or you'll end up like Saddam". It backfired big-time and every anti-U.S. player is emboldened by the catastrophic failures of Washingtons' Neoliberal elite (maybe RAND's HQ can be turned into a paintball arena..)

Say goodbye to Western style Capitalism, the rest of the world has. (I'm starting to like Russia's model)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:28 AM on 07/03/2008
- Ranta See Profile I'm a Fan of Ranta permalink

oops, attack

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:54 AM on 07/03/2008
- Erdgeist See Profile I'm a Fan of Erdgeist permalink

Capitalism only produces three things: 1) Bubbles; 2) Recessions (when a bubble stops expanding); 3) Depressions (when a bubble bursts).

Keep in mind that the current world bubble (i.e., derivatives) is over 500 trillion dollars while the world GDP is about $65.61 trillion.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:14 AM on 07/03/2008
- danoj See Profile I'm a Fan of danoj permalink

Capitalism produced this great country you live in you socialist liberal tool.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:36 AM on 07/03/2008
- Chavez08 See Profile I'm a Fan of Chavez08 permalink

The threat of Socialism made Capitalism work. Now that there is no competition, Capitalism is collapsing.

How's that for irony you fascist flying monkey? Read a book.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:35 AM on 07/03/2008
- SEQUOIABISON See Profile I'm a Fan of SEQUOIABISON permalink

When George W Bush took office the price of oil was around $25 per barrel today it hit a record high of $144 per barrel.

Our economy is in a tailspin as a result of Republican ingenuity and their clever reverse Robin Hood approach to egalitarian government.

The mindless, reckless, greedy, avaricious, urinate down policies of the Bush administration will undoubtedly continue under the leadership of a McCain administration, which would accelerate the deterioration of our once strong economy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:05 PM on 07/02/2008
- racom See Profile I'm a Fan of racom permalink

Our national debt has increased $3,691,416,000,000 during the 7.5 years of king georges rule.
I read that a full 70% of our national debt has come during the Reagan and Bush terms of office. WOW, those conservatives really know how to conserve.
Time for a BIG change!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:27 PM on 07/03/2008
- letsgetsmart See Profile I'm a Fan of letsgetsmart permalink

The last bear market ended in October of 02. Must have been about the time that the corporations decided that they really were going to get away with what ever they wanted under the across the board republican government. Must have taken this long for the republicans to corrupt the attorney generals office.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:55 PM on 07/02/2008
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