Poll: Obama Beating McCain In Montana

A new Rasmussen poll, Obama is leading McCain by five points in Montana -- a state George Bush won by 20 points in 2004. More details:

In April, the numbers were reversed with McCain leading 48% to 43%. That was before Obama clinched the Democratic nomination and defeated Hillary Clinton by fifteen points in Montana. Fifty percent (50%) of Montana Democrats want Clinton named as Obama's running mate. Just 29% of all Montana voters would like to see Clinton as the Vice Presidential nominee.

Against McCain, Obama leads among voters under 50, including a twenty-seven point lead among voters under 30. McCain leads among those over 50. Obama is supported by 89% of Montana Democrats while McCain gets the vote from 85% of Republicans.

Twenty-five percent (25%) of Montana voters say McCain is too old to be President while 42% say Obama is too inexperienced.

Comments

[jsinclair]

Montana's right.

"Age" is a big issue for McSame, especially with his poor memory (Shia/Sunni) and numerous health problems.

Where are Democrat's surrogates? No one defended Clark (easy to do). No one is bringing up issues of fitness with McSame (health, age, temper, the quote from a REPUBLICAN senator that its "scary" to think of him as President).

Let Obama take the high road he loves so much. But someone should be reminding voters that its not ALL about political issues--there are issues of character, temperament, age/health as well.

[Eric8sf]

From the Liberal left coast, we welcome you to the blue states Montana! I am truly proud to be an American.

[Retrofuturistic]

Too bad that his positions on FISA and faith-based initiatives will not enable him to keep that lead....

[SeanGardner]

you're absolutely wrong.

His position on FISA, while not perfect, is not a deal breaker with me or the people I know. And while I am not a religious person, I do understand that religion plays a significant part in our society, and, in the life of Senator Barack Obama.

He is running a brilliant general election campaign.

And I expect for him to keep and build on his lead.

[Trogenhorse]

Too bad the repubs think they are the only ones to have faith! Go Obama and thank you for reminding people : for some of us IT IS our faith that leads us to the democratic party

[SubVet96]

HA HA HA HA HA! I have to laugh! 48% to 43%? And you moonbats are jumping up and down about this? HA HA HA HA !

This reminds me of the 04 election when Kerry was leading in every Poll in the nation. Look where the polls got him!

48 to 43 with a +/- of 4.5. And a sampling of 500 people? HA! They must have called every tofu loving tree hugger in Helena. I know that they didn't call anyone up here in the Northeastern part of the state. I haven't met anyone up here who doesn't believe Obama is the AntiChrist!

You moonbats keep whooping it up. Put your faith in the polls. We all know how accurate they are!

[ashenthorn]

Wrong. Wrong. Wrong. In the '04 election Kerry was never leading "in every poll in the nation". The polls were mixed in the early summer, Bush held a significant and stable lead in August, September and October, and Kerry closed the gap at the end, making hopeful observers think that he just might have the momentum to overtake Bush at the wire. He just missed. Here's what we need to know about this election: In '04 Bush barely cobbled together a razor thin electoral vote majority (by winning Ohio by 100,000 votes). At this point, McCain is polling exactly even with Bush's '04 vote percentage in just 2 contests (Massachusetts and DC), and running behind Bush in the other 49 contests (all the other states). Let's repeat that again - There isn't ONE SINGLE STATE where McCain is polling a better number than Bush got in '04. (www.electoral-vote.com). Meanwhile, Obama is outpolling John Kerry's '04 number in 20 states, and equaling it in a number of others.

[phyllip]

Obama has a chance to win Arizona too. I am hopeing.

[XME]

I think he does. I have a lot of family there. They all say McCain has done nothing for AZ, and all but my brother are voting for Obama. When it comes to my brother, he's a one issue voter: guns. He's an idiot who votes Republican EVERY year, no matter what, simply because he's afraid Dems will take away his guns...

[Diplomacy]

GO MONTANA!!! Happy Independence Day! Ya-hoo!

Great poll news but work like Barack Obama is 20 points behind!

[LMurphy418]

I live in the RED part of a BLUE state, ie southern Illinois, and we are becoming a beautiful shade of PURPLE and hinting toware Blue. So, there's hope. Go Montana!

[firewmn]

My State MONTANA is voting Barack Obama in Nov... Everybody here (except my dad who is a serious rep) is talking about change, the economy and we have a Dem Gov who rocks this state..

Gov. Schweitzer takes on Washington and is very out spoken.. We rock and we will be BLUE in the fall..

[swift_goat_pet_for_truth]

Not often mentioned, but I think Gov. Schweitzer would be a good VP pick.

[firewmn]

funny, I said that yesterday to Gov. Schweitzer who attended our july 4th on the 2nd parade and than a backyard event and he said he was too busy and we shouldn't be talking that way.. He wants a second term and he has been very very good for Montana..

[moxieme]

Hey, Montana!!! From out here in a midwest red state....OBAMA 08!!!

[Sparty1]

You'd think that the Repubs would absolutely despise Bush. He's totally ruined their almighty Conservative brand. They've been on a roll for decades and now this. All his 28%ers need to go on and vote for Obama. They need to move on away from the DARKSIDE. They'll feel much better.

[NoahVail]

ObamaWhupAss, industrial strength! Coming to your state soon!

http://www.spreadthewhoop.com/getwhoop/images/shoppingcart/can_large.jpg

[Jay20]

Well, Dukakis got close in 1988, and Bill Clinton won it in 1992. He still came close in 1996. There, its probably about likeablitiy. And i'll remind you that exit polls showed that pro-choice pro-gay anti-NAFTA Ross Perot http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9E0CE0DB1F3FF936A35752C1A964958260 took equally from both candidates

[DAFederalist]

Here is the thing---the mudslinging hasnt even started and he is only up by 5-----thats within the margin of error---are you kidding me----heck in some states Hillary was up by 20 only to wither win by 5 or lost by 5------he neds to get his act in gear.

[leftoflennon]

Only up by 5 ..... in MONTANA !

[kissmygrits]

The margin of error is actually 4.5, which means Obama is outside the margin of error, however slightly. Since Clinton only won the state with 38% of the vote in 1992, it's hugely significant that Obama is getting 48% - even if it is only a poll.

[leftoflennon]

Probably wont win there....but why not freak out McLame?!

[firewmn]

my apologies for the TWO posts.. The system was goofy and I sent too... but still... Montana is turning blue..

[firewmn]

wrong.. Montana is voting Barack this fall. Montana will vote Barack because Montana is ready for change..

[firewmn]

wrong... Barack will win Montana... I will be attending my 4th rally on the 4th. Very excited and this whole state is talking Barack Obama.. campaign offices, volunteers, stickers everywhere and people are ready for change. Our dem gov was at a backyard event last night and he was talking about the great chance Barack has to take this red state and turn it blue. We made a difference with electing Jon Tester and Montana will come through for Barack too..!

[brizzle]

Exactly. This is great news, at least as much as it worries McCain...

[Salome]

Thanks also are due to Democratic Governor Brian Schweitzer. That guy is absolutely incredible. He has turned so much around in the state--everything from how the prisons are run (they now actively treat inmates for drug and alcohol addictions as well as mental illnesses) to how the state encourages green energy companies to set up their operations in MT.

He would make an outstanding VP.

[firewmn]

Gov Schweitzer is even making a point for the state to purchase more land for public fishing and hunting access.. so the land won't be private all over the state held by out of state landowners who only come here once in a blue moon but don't allow access to rivers and hunting areas..
very good for the recreational people..