Poll: Obama Beating McCain In Arizona

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First Posted: 07-11-08 08:43 AM   |   Updated: 07-19-08 05:12 AM

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Washington Independent:

In a sign of continued weakness in his home state, an online poll shows Sen. John McCain trailing Sen. Barack Obama by 3-percentage points in Arizona. The poll also shows the candidacy of Libertarian Bob Barr is having a significant impact on McCain's campaign by siphoning off conservative voters nationwide.

The Arizona poll was part of nationwide Zogby International poll that put Obama ahead in total electoral votes with 273 to 160 for McCain. The poll found 11 states with 105 electoral votes too close to call -- including Arizona. McCain's campaign in June included Arizona among its list of swing states.

(Matt Mahurin) McCain not only faced problems with Independent voters, he is losing a small, but potentially lethal voting block of the GOP right to Barr. The former Republican congressman from Georgia is pulling just enough voters in many states to shift the balance to Obama. Whether this bloc will remain in Barr's camp on election day could determine the outcome.

Read the whole story: Washington Independent

In a sign of continued weakness in his home state, an online poll shows Sen. John McCain trailing Sen. Barack Obama by 3-percentage points in Arizona. The poll also shows the candidacy of Libertarian ...
In a sign of continued weakness in his home state, an online poll shows Sen. John McCain trailing Sen. Barack Obama by 3-percentage points in Arizona. The poll also shows the candidacy of Libertarian ...
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This was exciting news until I read it was Zogby, and an internet poll. (I have a hard time believing those Sun City McCain supporters spend a lot of time online.

But, if Ron Paul and Bob Barr share a ticket, McCain will lose Arizona. Bet on it. Both have huge followings in AZ. It would be just enough to siphon votes from McCain's column.

G O B A M A - A Z

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:22 PM on 07/11/2008
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I agree with what you said about the impact that a Paul/Barr ticket would have on McCain's sinking chances in AZ. Here in Mohave County I bet that ticket would win 1/4 of the vote. We have lots of far-right wing nut cases. There's a huge Ron Paul for President sign in Kingman.

GO OBAMA!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:02 PM on 07/11/2008
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Is anyone surprised by this?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:19 PM on 07/11/2008
- XME I'm a Fan of XME 26 fans permalink
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Of course not...they KNOW him! My parents live there...ca­n't stand him and say he's done NOTHING for Arizona.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:45 PM on 07/11/2008
- DGregory I'm a Fan of DGregory 3 fans permalink

you know something is wrong when ur losing your own state

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:17 PM on 07/11/2008
- ripples I'm a Fan of ripples 6 fans permalink

well if gore had won his home state it would have been president gore not bush...mcc­ain is gonna get shredded regardless of which way arizona goes...the guy has always been a mental lightweight and at 71 years old gets lighter by the day

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:04 PM on 07/11/2008
- SPQR1052 I'm a Fan of SPQR1052 17 fans permalink
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Excellent move, waiting for that checkmate. I am an Arizona resident, lifelong republican and my money is on 0bama by a spread. We love horses in Arizona - .Geldings we retire.


0bama's team is playimg chess - the "Gelding's team" is playing checkers

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:56 PM on 07/11/2008
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Politics and Associations

53. McCain wanted political support from radical televangelist John Hagee. Now he doesn’t. (He also believes his endorsement from Hagee was both a good and bad idea.)

54. McCain wanted political support from radical televangelist Rod Parsley. Now he doesn’t.

55. McCain says he considered and did not consider joining John Kerry’s Democratic ticket in 2004.

56. McCain is both for and against attacking Barack Obama over his former pastor at his former church.

57. McCain criticized TV preacher Jerry Falwell as “an agent of intolerance” in 2002, but then decided to cozy up to the man who said Americans “deserved” the 9/11 attacks.

58. In 2000, McCain accused Texas businessmen Sam and Charles Wyly of being corrupt, spending “dirty money” to help finance Bush’s presidential campaign. McCain not only filed a complaint against the Wylys for allegedly violating campaign finance law, he also lashed out at them publicly. In April, McCain reached out to the Wylys for support.

59. McCain was against presidential candidates campaigning at Bob Jones University before he was for it.

60. McCain decided in 2000 that he didn’t want anything to do with former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, believing he “would taint the image of the ‘Straight Talk Express.’” Kissinger is now the Honorary Co-Chair for his presidential campaign in New York.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:33 PM on 07/11/2008
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48. McCain believes the telecoms should be forced to explain their role in the administration’s warrantless surveillance program as a condition for retroactive immunity. He used to believe the opposite.

49. McCain went from saying he would not support repeal of Roe v. Wade to saying the exact opposite.

Campaign, Ethics, and Lobbying Reform

50. McCain supported his own lobbying-reform legislation from 1997. Now he doesn’t.

51. In 2006, McCain sponsored legislation to require grassroots lobbying coalitions to reveal their financial donors. In 2007, after receiving “feedback” on the proposal, McCain told far-right activist groups that he opposes his own measure.

52. McCain supported a campaign-finance bill, which bore his name, on strengthening the public-financing system. In June 2007, he abandoned his own legislation.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:31 PM on 07/11/2008
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40. McCain recently announced his strong opposition to a windfall-tax on oil company profits. Three weeks earlier, he was perfectly comfortable with the idea.

41. McCain endorsed a cap-and-trade policy with a mandatory emissions cap. In mid-June, McCain announced he wants the caps to voluntary.

42. McCain explained his belief that a temporary suspension of the federal gas tax would provide an immediate economic stimulus. Shortly thereafter, he argued the exact opposite.

43. McCain supported the Lieberman/Warner legislation to combat global warming. Now he doesn’t.

Immigration Policy

44. McCain was a co-sponsor of the DREAM Act, which would grant legal status to illegal immigrants’ kids who graduate from high school. Now he’s against it.

45. On immigration policy in general, McCain announced in February 2008 that he would vote against his own bill.

46. In April, McCain promised voters that he would secure the borders “before proceeding to other reform measures.” Two months later, he abandoned his public pledge, pretended that he’d never made the promise in the first place, and vowed that a comprehensive immigration reform policy has always been, and would always be, his “top priority.”

Judicial Policy and the Rule of Law

47. McCain said he would “not impose a litmus test on any nominee.” He used to promise the opposite.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:31 PM on 07/11/2008
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36. McCain pledged in February 2008 that he would not, under any circumstances, raise taxes. Specifically, McCain was asked if he is a “‘read my lips’ candidate, no new taxes, no matter what?” referring to George H.W. Bush’s 1988 pledge. “No new taxes,” McCain responded. Two weeks later, McCain said, “I’m not making a ‘read my lips’ statement, in that I will not raise taxes.”

37. McCain has changed his entire economic worldview on multiple occasions.

38. McCain believes Americans are both better and worse off economically than they were before Bush took office.

Energy Policy

39. McCain supported the moratorium on coastal drilling ; now he’s against it.

40. McCain recently announced his strong opposition to a windfall-tax on oil company profits. Three weeks earlier, he was perfectly comfortable with the idea.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:30 PM on 07/11/2008
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30. In 2005, McCain endorsed intelligent design creationism, a year later he said the opposite, and a few months after that, he was both for and against creationism at the same time.

Economic Policy

31. McCain was against Bush’s tax cuts for the very wealthy before he was for them.

32. John McCain initially argued that economics is not an area of expertise for him, saying, “I’m going to be honest: I know a lot less about economics than I do about military and foreign policy issues; I still need to be educated,” and “The issue of economics is not something I’ve understood as well as I should.” He now falsely denies ever having made these remarks and insists that he has a “very strong” understanding of economics.

33. McCain vowed, if elected, to balance the federal budget by the end of his first term. Soon after, he decided he would no longer even try to reach that goal. And soon after that, McCain abandoned his second position and went back to his first.

34. McCain said in 2005 that he opposed the tax cuts because they were “too tilted to the wealthy.” By 2007, he denied ever having said this, and falsely argued that he opposed the cuts because of increased government spending.

35. McCain thought the estate tax was perfectly fair. Now he believes the opposite.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:29 PM on 07/11/2008
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12. McCain used to champion the Law of the Sea convention, even volunteering to testify on the treaty’s behalf before a Senate committee. Now he opposes it.

13. McCain was against divestment from South Africa before he was for it.

Military Policy

14. McCain recently claimed that he was the “greatest critic” of Rumsfeld’s failed Iraq policy. In December 2003, McCain praised the same strategy as “a mission accomplish­ed.” In March 2004, he said, “I’m confident we’re on the right course.” In December 2005, he said, “Overall, I think a year from now, we will have made a fair amount of progress if we stay the course.”

15. McCain has changed his mind about a long-term U.S. military presence in Iraq on multiple occasions, concluding, on multiple occasions, that a Korea-like presence is both a good and a bad idea.

16. McCain said before the war in Iraq, “We will win this conflict. We will win it easily.” Four years later, McCain said he knew all along that the war in Iraq war was “probably going to be long and hard and tough.”

17. McCain has repeatedly said it’s a dangerous mistake to tell the “enemy” when U.S. troops would be out of Iraq. In May, McCain announced that most American troops would be home from Iraq by 2013.

18. McCain was against expanding the GI Bill before he was for it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:28 PM on 07/11/2008
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Domestic Policy

19. McCain defended “privatizing” Social Security. Now he says he’s against privatization (though he actually still supports it.)

20. McCain wanted to change the Republican Party platform to protect abortion rights in cases of rape and incest. Now he doesn’t.

21. McCain supported storing spent nuclear fuel at Yucca Mountain in Nevada. Now he believes the opposite.

22. He argued the NRA should not have a role in the Republican Party’s policy making. Now he believes the opposite.

23. In 1998, he championed raising cigarette taxes to fund programs to cut underage smoking, insisting that it would prevent illnesses and provide resources for public health programs. Now, McCain opposes a $0.61-per-­pack tax increase, won’t commit to supporting a regulation bill he’s co-sponsoring, and has hired Philip Morris’ former lobbyist as his senior campaign adviser.

24. McCain is both for and against earmarks for Arizona.

25. McCain’s first mortgage plan was premised on the notion that homeowners facing foreclosure shouldn’t be “rewarded” for acting “irrespons­ibly.” His second mortgage plan took largely the opposite position.

26. McCain went from saying gay marriage should be allowed, to saying gay marriage shouldn’t be allowed.

27. McCain opposed a holiday to honor Martin Luther King, Jr., before he supported it.

28. McCain was anti-ethanol. Now he’s pro-ethanol.

29. McCain was both for and against state promotion of the Confederate flag.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:27 PM on 07/11/2008
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McCain's master list of Flip Flops

National Security Policy

1. McCain thought Bush’s warrantless-wiretap program circumvented the law; now he believes the opposite.

2. McCain insisted that everyone, even “terrible killers,” “the worst kind of scum of humanity,” and detainees at Guantanamo Bay, “deserve to have some adjudication of their cases,” even if that means “releasing some of them.” McCain now believes the opposite.

3. He opposed indefinite detention of terrorist suspects. When the Supreme Court reached the same conclusion, he called it “one of the worst decisions in the history of this country.”

4. In February 2008, McCain reversed course on prohibiting waterboarding.

5. McCain was for closing the detention facility at Guantanamo Bay before he was against it.

6. When Barack Obama talked about going after terrorists in Pakistani mountains with predators, McCain criticized him for it. He’s since come to the opposite conclusion.

Foreign Policy

7. McCain was for kicking Russia out of the G8 before he was against it.

8. McCain supported moving “towards normalization of relations” with Cuba. Now he believes the opposite.

9. McCain believed the U.S. should engage in diplomacy with Hamas. Now he believes the opposite.

10. McCain believed the U.S. should engage in diplomacy with Syria. Now he believes the opposite.

11. McCain is both for and against a “rogue state rollback” as a focus of his foreign policy vision.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:25 PM on 07/11/2008
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I'm a big fan of what Zogby is trying to accomplish but thanks to Rethuglicans like Boosh and McBush too many people do not have internet access. That being said the fact that any poll is even close in AZ is very telling. I've been following reports out of AZ and because they know the real man the best they portray McBush at his honest worse.

Check this link it will shock you.

http://www.phoenixnewtimes.com/1999-03-25/news/is-john-mccain-a-war-hero/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:59 PM on 07/11/2008

The New Times is a free paper that commonly writes fiction as front page news. And then they demean their readers if they believe the story. Their stories are so biased and personalized they are not believeable. Nearly evveryone I knew read the NewTimes in the early 80s and 90s. Now no one does.

Many dog breeders pick up the paper because it is free and use it to line dog cages.

NewTimes is so disreputable the Maricopa County Attorney's office, the Maricopa County Sheriff and others, do not even consider them a journalistic source.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:27 PM on 07/11/2008
- doctorwang I'm a Fan of doctorwang 189 fans permalink
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"NewTimes is so disreputable the Maricopa County Attorney's office, the Maricopa County Sheriff and others, do not even consider them a journalistic source."

Could that be because The NewTimes is the only news souce within the state that dares to question Arpaio and his dubious and self serving activities. You should have mentioned the long standing hatred that Sheriff Joe has for The NewTimes and it's reporters.­......

BTW, the NewTimes is still widely read within the state with a circulation of over 100,000. It is a free newpaper.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:49 PM on 07/11/2008
- 66rock I'm a Fan of 66rock 3 fans permalink

about no one reading New Times any longer, that is your personal opinion, not a fact.

Perhaps it does come in handy to line a pet cage,so what.

One could also point out it's influence through the years, it's role on the take down of Gov Mecham for one and more recently it's revealing stories on Joe Arpario,etc

Also let's remember the New Times major role in the North Mt Preserve serial arsonist take-down. But hey lets not forget the Keating Five--McCain, what a guy!

By the way, I noticed your name. Do you actually know the definition of Progressive!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:33 PM on 07/11/2008
- zigzag1 I'm a Fan of zigzag1 6 fans permalink

Here in AZ we knew McCain before he was a virgin! McCain 1.0 was in bed with Charlie Keating of the S & L scandal. McCain 2.0 became the maverick reformer (a sham), McCain 3.0 is what you see a Bush Toadie involved with Phil Gramm in removing any regulation from the mortgage lenders and confused about everything from Shiates and Sunnis to how Social Security has always been funded. More of the same lack of sense that has our economy and foreign relations in crisis.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:27 PM on 07/11/2008
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