Stocks Tumble After Sales Of Existing Homes Fall

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TIM PARADIS | July 24, 2008 06:11 PM EST | AP

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NEW YORK — Wall Street abruptly ended an earnings-driven rally and closed sharply lower Thursday after a steeper-than-expected decline in existing home sales and worries about the financial sector chilled the market's recent optimism. The major indexes fell about 2 percent, including the Dow Jones industrial average, which lost more than 280 points.

The National Association of Realtors said sales resumed their decline in June after a slight rebound in May. Existing home sales declined by 2.6 percent in June, well beyond the 1 percent drop economists had forecast.

Investors punished shares of homebuilders and financial companies Thursday because both sectors have struggled with the declining housing market.

Alan Lancz, director at investment research group LanczGlobal, said investors are concluding that while financials had been oversold in recent weeks and were due for a rebound, problems remain with tight credit and souring mortgage debt.

"You have the rally and you almost get the hangover now where you say 'You know, we're not out of the woods yet,'" he said.

The Dow fell 283.10, or 2.43 percent, to 11,349.28. It was the biggest decline for the Dow since June 26.

The pullback erased the nearly 170 points added in the two prior sessions. Last week, the Dow gained nearly 400 points. While some declines after the latest rally wouldn't have come as a surprise, the drop Thursday revealed fresh unease about the economy.

Broader stock indicators also declined. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 29.65, or 2.31 percent, to 1,252.54. A jump in Amazon.com Inc. shares helped contain some of the decline in the technology-heavy Nasdaq composite index, which fell 45.77, or 1.97 percent, to 2,280.11.

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Stocks had risen in the prior two sessions as the price of oil declined. Oil is now down more than $20 after just weeks ago hitting a record above $147 a barrel. A barrel of light, sweet crude rose $1.05 Thursday to settle at $125.49 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Bond prices jumped Thursday as some investors looked for the safety of government debt. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 4.00 percent from 4.12 percent from late Wednesday.

The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices rose.

Financial stocks declined again Thursday after rising sharply in the past week from their recent lows.

Washington Mutual Inc. fell 62 cents, or 13 percent, to $4.03 after dropping 20 percent Wednesday as concerns persisted about the company's mortgage portfolio. The nation's largest thrift this week posted a $3 billion loss due to increases in its loss reserves to cover souring loans in its mortgage holdings.

Other financials lost ground. Citigroup Inc. fell $2.06, or 9.8 percent, to $19.06, while Merrill Lynch & Co. fell $4.77, or 14 percent, to $29.04. Wachovia Corp. declined $1.96, or 11 percent, to $15.69.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fell sharply after rallying earlier in the week on legislation speeding through Congress that would grant the Treasury Department power to extend the government-sponsored mortgage companies an unlimited line of credit and to buy an unspecified amount of their stock, if necessary. The companies together back or own $5 trillion in mortgages _ nearly half the nation's total.

Fannie Mae fell $2.98, or 20 percent, to $12.02, while Freddie Mac fell $1.99, or 18 percent, to $8.81.

Homebuilder Lennar Corp. fell $2.47, or 18 percent, to $11.07 and KB Home declined $3.04, or 15 percent, to $16.70.

Lancz said the run-up in previous sessions may have led some investors to become too optimistic about the overall market's prospects for a speedy recovery. Stocks are still down nearly 20 percent from the highs seen in October.

"You're going to have these starts and stops but it's going to be a really long-term process," he said.

Adding to investors' pessimism, the Labor Department reported Thursday that the number of people filing first-time claims for unemployment benefits bolted past 400,000 last week as companies trimmed their work forces to cope with a slowing economy.

Investors also absorbed a mix of earnings reports from names like Ford Motor Co., which reported a big loss, and Dow Chemical Co., which said higher costs for raw materials sent earnings down sharply. But drug makers Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. and Eli Lilly & Co. both reported higher earnings as the weak dollar boosted foreign sales, and Amazon.com Inc. turned in a solid report that beat expectations.

Analysts have said that so far, second-quarter earnings reports have been better than many investors expected. That had lifted the market's mood in recent sessions.

Ford said it lost $8.67 billion in the second quarter, largely because of a reduction in the value of assets. The company also said it will bring six European small car models to North America by the end of 2012 as it adjusts production because of high gasoline prices. The stock fell 92 cents, or 15 percent, to $5.11.

Dow Chemical fell $1.13, or 3.3 percent, to $33.11 after reporting sharply higher costs for energy and raw materials contributed to a 27 percent decline in profit.

Bristol-Myers beat expectations with an 8 percent rise in quarterly profit, while Eli Lilly reported a 44 percent jump in earnings. Bristol-Myers rose 23 cents to $22.12 and Eli Lilly advanced 38 cents to $48.

Amazon.com jumped $8.18, or 12 percent, to $78.72 after reporting late Wednesday that second-quarter earnings more than doubled to easily top analysts' expectations. The Internet retailer also raised its full-year revenue projections.

Stephen Goddard, co-portfolio manager of the AFBA 5Star Balanced Fund, said the decline in housing numbers alongside some better-than-expected earnings reports shouldn't be surprising because mixed reports are common during economic downturns.

"All the numbers don't turn at the same time," he said of economic readings. "It's usually one by one by one. You start seeing incremental improvement."

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by about 4 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 5.98 billion shares, compared with 6.56 billion shares traded Wednesday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 16.80, or 2.34 percent, to 702.39.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 2.18 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 fell 1.61 percent, Germany's DAX index shed 1.46 percent, and France's CAC-40 fell 1.38 percent.

___

On the Net:

New York Stock Exchange: http://www.nyse.com

Nasdaq Stock Market: http://www.nasdaq.com

NEW YORK — Wall Street abruptly ended an earnings-driven rally and closed sharply lower Thursday after a steeper-than-expected decline in existing home sales and worries about the financial sect...
NEW YORK — Wall Street abruptly ended an earnings-driven rally and closed sharply lower Thursday after a steeper-than-expected decline in existing home sales and worries about the financial sect...
 
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Those of us that don't hold a large portfolio of investments and do not occupy a position in the real estate market are happy for the crash. My wife and I will be able to afford a home - in a market that was out of reach just a couple years ago.

Still, overall, another 30 to 60 percent drop has yet to come. Why?

1) Inventory
2) Foreclosures/short sales = REALLY bad comps in everybody's back yard
3) Sub prime AND even Alt-A products (that would've been IndyMac) are, essentially, eliminated, all of which adds up to TIGHT CREDIT. Add in the crushing impact of MI's decision to exclude up to 70 percent of borrowers based upon current risk assessments and you've a formula for disaster.

Rising inventories, falling prices, tightening credit . . .

And the pack behavior of consumers.

Not looking like we'll see a bottom until 2011 at the SOONEST.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:30 AM on 07/25/2008

Buy, buy, buy! It's the best opportunity in years.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:58 PM on 07/24/2008
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Just ANOTHER "DUH" moment for Wall Street and the Bush Administration.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:25 PM on 07/24/2008

I don't know, the president seems to think it's all pretty funny though.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:03 PM on 07/24/2008

Laughing like a maniac

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:37 PM on 07/24/2008
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Yeah, Bush got on TV last week and said in a goofy and insecure way that the economy is "doing well." He looked and sounded like a total imbecile....like a deer in the headlights, as always.
Wouldn't it be nice to have an intelligent president who actually knows how to talk to America?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:35 PM on 07/24/2008

Why would anyone, with the money for a downpayment and an adequate credit score, being purchasing real estate with the existing market conditions. In most parts of the country, putting down 20% and getting an 80% mortgage, there's a good chance that by the time you closed escrow, you will have decreased your equity position by 5 to 10% and be in the position of ruining your credit. That's not good business sense.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:50 PM on 07/24/2008

At some point those who are worried about inflation, or want a bargain, will want to try and buy real estate near the bottom. It's figuring out when that's the problem.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:55 PM on 07/24/2008

You can go broke trying to pick the bottom or the top of a market

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:41 PM on 07/24/2008

Yes...and many economists have pushed the timeline for market recovery for late 2009 (from late '08/early '09) and some even project into 2010.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:01 AM on 07/25/2008

Not all real estate markets are in the dead end mode you think. And not all real estate markets are declining. According to the April Case-Schiller report, Denver seems to have stabilized. As has Chicago, Dallas, Portland, Seattle, Boston and Charlotte, NC among others. Even in Cleveland, Ohio home prices are above January's. And those are just the major cities.

And with so many houses sitting empty, and with cash-strapped sellers, there are likely plenty of real bargains to be had now.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:30 PM on 07/24/2008

uhappytoo, you read that in a report. How long has the National Association of Realtors been encouraging people to continue buying houses during this disaster? Just sayin'.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:01 PM on 07/24/2008
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Yeah, plenty of bargains "to be had"......only if the buyers qualify for the loans. With millions and millions laid off from their jobs, there aren't as many qualified buyers as there used to be.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:39 PM on 07/24/2008

I prefer to wait and see...it's only one month's report and even Chip Case warned about taking those numbers as indicators of recovery. There are more rounds of mortgage rate adjustments coming up, credit is harder to be had, this is the selling/buying season, and many economists have extended the timeframe for RE market stabilization well into 2009 now.

And, for the record, NAR and their "economist" Lawrence Yun are liars whose motive is to sell, sell, sell and spin, spin, spin. They (and Yun's predecessor) are partly responsible for fueling the buying frenzy, knowing full well what was coming down the pike. It's outrageous that the media give their "reports" as much weight as those from Case-Shiller, Warren Group, et al. Unconscionable.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:17 PM on 07/24/2008

Isn't the stock market supposed to rise on bad news? When companies post huge losses and declare they're cutting their workforce, stocks go up. When the price of a barrel of oil goes down, something that will never translate to any real savings at the pump, the market ignores all other economic news and rises. Funny how the only ones benefitting from this market manipulation are already filthy rich. Looks like a scam, to me.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:08 PM on 07/24/2008

Market Manipulation? Nah..never happens

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:40 PM on 07/24/2008

You have stocks that go up when the company posts a huge loss? I must have all the wrong investments.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:02 PM on 07/24/2008

you got it Rok, people better get ready to bite the bullet. It's a coming.....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:03 PM on 07/24/2008

it's almost canned food time:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QxoP_9W6FC8

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:31 PM on 07/24/2008

A couple more weeks and it'll be food canning time here (of the garden harvest).

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:46 PM on 07/24/2008

My fig tree is producing about 3 pounds per day. I blend the figs with other fruits and berries to make preserves. I've got about 150 jars so far. Bluebery Fig, Rasberry Fig, Blackberry Fig, Dark Cherry Fig..............Mango Fig.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:32 PM on 07/24/2008

Remember to sterilize your canning jars if you have a workable stove and water.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:10 PM on 07/24/2008
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