Dow Jumps Up As Oil Prices Fall

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TIM PARADIS | August 8, 2008 05:52 PM EST | AP

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NEW YORK — Wall Street rebounded smartly Friday, shooting higher as a surge in the dollar and another plunge in oil prices eased some of investors' worries about losses at mortgage finance company Fannie Mae. The Dow Jones industrials soared more than 300 points, more than wiping out a big loss from the previous session, and all the major indexes had their best weekly gains since April.

The session extended a streak of volatility that has seen the Dow making frequent triple-digit moves as investors reacted feverishly to news about the financial sector, corporate earnings and the economy.

On Friday, the dollar, which has sagged along with the economy, reached its highest level against the euro since February, and in the process sent a wave of confidence through the stock market. And because the dollar's strength has contributed to the recent skid in oil prices, light, sweet crude dropped sharply again, falling $4.82 a barrel to settle at $115.20 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. That brought crude's decline over the past four weeks to more than $30.

Investors see the drop in oil as a big boost for the economy, because it should allow consumers to spend more freely. For the moment, that has allowed the market to set aside nervousness about the financial sector, which is still contending with the fallout from the year-old credit crisis.

Fresh financial worries surfaced Friday after Fannie Mae, the largest U.S. buyer and backer of home loans, reported a quarterly loss more than three larger than what Wall Street had expected and said it would slash its quarterly dividend to conserve cash.

Philip S. Dow, managing director of equity strategy at RBC Dain Rauscher in Minneapolis, said that while the strength in the dollar and the resulting drop in oil were attracting buyers Friday, Wall Street's recent back-and-forth trading illustrates investors' great anxiety.

"We live in a market where people react, they don't anticipate," he said. "So you've got this market that's kind on a seesaw every day reacting to news."

The Dow rose 302.89, or 2.65 percent, to 11,734.32. The blue chips fell nearly 225 points Thursday after concerns about the financial sector, a weak showing by retailers in July and a spike in weekly unemployment claims; Friday's advance marked the seventh time in two weeks that the Dow rose or fell by triple digits.

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Broader indicators also rose sharply Friday. The Standard & Poor's 500 index advanced 30.25, or 2.39 percent, to 1,296.32 and the Nasdaq composite index advanced 58.37, or 2.48 percent, to 2,414.10.

For the week, the Dow rose 3.6 percent, the S&P gained 2.9 percent and the technology-heavy Nasdaq jumped 4.5 percent. It was their best weekly performance since the week ended April 18.

Bonds ticked lower as stocks jumped, easing demand for the safety of government debt. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its prices, rose to 3.94 percent from 3.93 percent late Thursday. Gold prices fell. Prices rebounded in after-hours trading, sending the 10-year yield to 3.93 percent.

The dollar's rise against the euro came after the European Central Bank and the Bank of England separately left their benchmark interest rates unchanged Thursday. With the ECB signaling more rate hikes aren't likely, the euro wasn't as attractive as an investment option.

Kelli Hill, a portfolio manager at Ashfield Capital Partners in San Francisco, said a more robust dollar not only makes commodities like oil less expensive but can also offer a much-needed dose of faith in the U.S. markets and economy.

"People want to sell on anything or buy on anything," she said, noting that light trading volume can exacerbate the market's gyrations. "Strengthening in the dollar is a good thing not only for business but also to build back confidence both domestically and internationally."

She is optimistic the markets will recover and said the rebound could come swiftly once the money sitting on the sidelines gets a sense that the economy is poised to turn higher.

The falling price of oil also overshadowed a Labor Department report showing that U.S. workers' efficiency grew at a slightly slower pace in the second quarter. Worker productivity grew at an annual rate of 2.2 percent. Economists surveyed by Thomson/IFR had predicted growth would come in at 2.7 percent compared with 2.6 percent in the first quarter. Still, some market watchers said any gains are positive.

Fannie Mae reported a loss of $2.3 billion, or $2.54 a share. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial had expected the company to report a loss of 68 cents a share. The company also said it would cut its quarterly dividend to 5 cents from 35 cents. Fannie Mae fell 90 cents, or 9 percent, to $9.05.

The report from Fannie Mae follows a loss Wednesday from fellow mortgage financier Freddie Mac that was more than three times larger than Wall Street analyst had expected.

McDonald's Corp. said strong demand for breakfast items helped lifted global same-store sales 8 percent in July. The world's largest hamburger chain said same-store sales, or sales at locations open at least a year, rose 6.7 percent in the U.S. The stock, one of the 30 that comprise the Dow industrials, rose $3.81, or 6.2 percent, to $65.67 after reaching a new high of $66.24.

While the drop in oil helped stocks in general, certain sectors like the airlines, which have been hit by soaring fuel prices, showed steep gains. United Airlines parent UAL Corp. jumped $1.52, or 16 percent, to $11.13, and Continental Airlines Inc. rose $1.73, or 12 percent, to $16.48.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by about 3 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to a relatively light 4.82 billion shares compared with 5.09 billion shares traded Thursday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 20.89, or 2.93 percent, to 734.30.

Global wasn't affected by a 4.5 percent drop Friday in the Shanghai Composite Index. China's benchmark index fell to its lowest level in nearly 19 months over investor disappointment that a rally tied to the Beijing Olympic games didn't develop.

Elsewhere overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 0.33 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.21 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 0.28 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 0.77 percent.

___

The Dow Jones industrial average ended the week up 408.00, or 3.60 percent, at 11,734.32. The Standard & Poor's 500 index finished up 36.01, or 2.86 percent, at 1,296.32. The Nasdaq composite index ended the week up 103.14, or 4.46 percent, at 2,414.10.

The Russell 2000 index finished the week up 18.14, or 2.53 percent, at 734.30.

The Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 Composite Index _ a free-float weighted index that measures 5,000 U.S. based companies _ ended Friday at 13,197.13, up 308.92 points, or 2.40 percent, for the week. A year ago, the index was at 14,641.03.

___

On the Net:

New York Stock Exchange: http://www.nyse.com

Nasdaq Stock Market: http://www.nasdaq.com

NEW YORK — Wall Street rebounded smartly Friday, shooting higher as a surge in the dollar and another plunge in oil prices eased some of investors' worries about losses at mortgage finance compa...
NEW YORK — Wall Street rebounded smartly Friday, shooting higher as a surge in the dollar and another plunge in oil prices eased some of investors' worries about losses at mortgage finance compa...
 
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Friday?

HuffPo .... HuffPo..... WAKE UP!!!

It's after market closing time on Monday which makes practically Tuesday - time to update this article.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:24 PM on 08/11/2008

OIL COMPANIES DONT WANT ANY CHANGE, THEY ARE LOWERING THE PRICES TO FOOL THE FOOLISH INTO VOTING FOR WAR MONGER MC SAME

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:21 PM on 08/10/2008
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Hey Bobonde, that key just to the left of the "a" is the Caps Lock key, so next time select it before you hunt and peck for your next rant.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:26 PM on 08/10/2008

Awkward combination for oil price stability. Massive Naval force headed to Persian Gulf Iranian coast. Russian military force cutting off the Georgian oil and opening a direct link through Georgia to Iran via Armenia.

Iran might be the big show that resurrects the cold war with the intensity of the Cuban misile crisis

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:23 PM on 08/09/2008

Oil prices might jump this week when people realize there is a distinct chance that the Georgia war will escalate with the following possible consequences:
1. Permanent cut off of 1 million barrells per day through Georgia
2. Russian support of Iran that may include military protection.
3. If Iran is pressured with militarry force, then Iran may cut off their oil exports and even block oil out of the Persian Gulf (assuming they have Russian backing)
4. If 3 happens, then expect Rusia to also cut off its oil and natural gas to Europe.
5. If 4 happens then Russia will likely take up Venezuella's offer for military/economic alliance and thus Venezuella oil could be cut as well.
6. 3,4,5 would of course be backed up with Russia's nuclear umbrella.


Worst case, the Georgia war transforms into renewed cold war but this time, they would control most of the world's oil exports. Scary stuff but it is a real possibility
7. if 3 happens, then expect Iran backed insurgents to take on Iraq's oil facilities not to mention US troops. (They would use more advanced weapons from Iran and Russia)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:07 PM on 08/09/2008

Well, it will be interesting to see what happens to oil prices on Monday considering what's going on between Russia and Georgia. Seems that some days even the hint of a hurricane will throw oil prices up, and yet other days a major political even occurs and nothing happens. Predicting oil prices is not a science, may as well try forecast the price by reading tea leaves or birds entrails, most people will believe anything their told.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:44 PM on 08/09/2008
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Gas will be $2 a gallon by election day.


Americans fall for this stuff every four yrs. Sad!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:40 PM on 08/09/2008

Yesterday on his program Rush Limbaugh had a dialogue with a Republican congressman, who he castigated for "compromising" with the Democrats on oil drilling.
At one point he said - and the congressman agreed - "we all know the price of oil is set by supply and demand."
And yet in 2001 worldwide daily consumption of oil was 76 billion barrels. Today it is no more than 84 million barrels. That is about a 10% increase in demand, and yet a barrel of oil rose from $22 a barrel then (and $11 just a few years earlier) to nearly $150.
This sounds more like speculation than demand to me.
Rush has lamented that Obama intends to abscond with the "hard earned and well deserved profits of the oil industry" by taxing windfall oil profits.
This man and others like him are shills. And they oppose the development of alternative sources of energy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:09 PM on 08/09/2008

"hard earned profits of the oil industry"? Yikes. The oil industry seems to be unique in the fact that the less they produce, the more the product costs and the more they make! It's a plutocracy that goes against all the tenets of capitalism. Anyone who supports what the oil industry is doing is more of a "socialist" than anyone supporting universal health care. Wish someone would point that out to all the Rush Limbaugh zombies.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:56 PM on 08/09/2008

Oil goes up, oil goes down, but people keep buying toilet paper and toothpaste!

Dow goes up, Dow goes down, but Proctor and Gamble, Johnson and Johnson and Colgate Palmolive stocks keep "trucking along" (using expensive gas) plus they pay dividends.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:29 PM on 08/09/2008
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Makes sense that as the investment in oil sours money would miraculously appear in the Stock Market ... it is not a reflection of the improving health of the economy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:14 AM on 08/09/2008

Investment seems to have soured in other commodities markets as well. Even precious metals is way off. The health of the economy,and or the revival of many sectors will show up at a later point.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:41 PM on 08/09/2008

"Investment seems to have soured in other commodities markets as well. Even precious metals is way off."

I hate to use logic but doesn"t the point that you"re making here refute the following statement you made in a posting a little further down?

"within 72 hours after the executive order against drilling was lifted, prices started to fall. Could the two be related?"

How are the prices of gold and corn affected by the prospect of poking holes in the ground in 10 years?

Tulip bubble, stock market bubble, dot com bubble, housing bubble, commodities bubble are any of these related?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:51 PM on 08/09/2008
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If there were an actual physical shortage of oil there would be long lines at the gas pump not to mention gasoline rationing. It would be the same if there were an actual shortage of food.

Now let's imagine a middle man buying up all the food. Next, he creates rumors of a drought through the MSM. He holds back the food until the price of food starts going through the roof. Then he sells it, making a huge profit. This is what oil speculators are, essentially, doing.

America has been gamed by speculators. We need to stop such speculation--but the Republicans filibustered such a bill recently, refusing to do so. Imagine if such a Democratic bill were law. Oil would be about 60 dollars a barrel.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:45 AM on 08/09/2008
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It is the speculation in commodities that provides a regulating influence.
Virtually all commodities are bought and sold based on the perceived, future value of that particular thing. Without speculation in commodity futures, the price of fuel might indeed go to $60. However, it could go to $200, the next day.

If the democrats pass a law that investors may not bid on futures in oil in the US, they will simply go elsewhere and do it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:56 AM on 08/09/2008

The democrats are just trying to close the loophole responsible for $4 a gallon gasoline in the first place, namely the "Enron loophole" which allows energy speculation, written by said company into America's energy policy with Bush and Cheney's blessings. It has already been stated in committee that once the loophole is closed, the price of oil will drop IMMEDIATELY by 25% and continue to drop by as much as 50%.

I can't wait until November to throw these bums out of Washington.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:05 AM on 08/09/2008

So then the world was not functioning before the REUG deregs of commodities in 2000? You really dont know the history of this.

Pls note the stock market is more regulated now.. with a margin of 50% required while the margin on oil is 5%! Does not take much money to highly leverage the market with such a low margin.

Regards

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:37 PM on 08/09/2008

Hard to argue with. London seems to be a destination for many now.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:41 PM on 08/09/2008

The one thing about speculation is that prices can go down as fast as they go up. Amateurs usually lose out to the big money boys but not always. A month ago, a small hedge fund ($2 billion) was caught on the wrong side of the trades and went belly up. This was the same day that the price broke down. Because of a lack of transparency, the fate of its contracts is not known but if they were liquidated then that sparked the fall in prices. When the fear of losses wins out over greed, the speculators will rush to the other side. This coupled with the fundamentals that there is NO SHORTAGE OF OIL will do more for restoring price stability than threats of drilling or political rhetoric. The lack of transparency and oversight will always allow for manipulation of markets. When order is restored, speculation will at least be open and above board.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:10 AM on 08/09/2008

As to no shortage of oil, within 72 hours after the executive order against drilling was lifted, prices started to fall. Could the two be related? Even with this latest Russiawar going on, prices are continuing to fall.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:35 PM on 08/09/2008

The answer to your question is No, they are not related, even people within the Bush administration have stated such.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:58 PM on 08/09/2008

"within 72 hours after the executive order against drilling was lifted, prices started to fall. Could the two be related?"

Let"s see, the prospect of a miniscule increase in supply in 10 years is affecting the spot price of oil this month? Nope, no correlation at all. Next question.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:23 PM on 08/09/2008

Thank you ruling class for the pre-election crumbs. What's next? Will beer prices fall to woo the Nascar voters?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:59 AM on 08/09/2008
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It could happen. Of course, you folks are clearly far too sophisticated to drink beer. Or, as likely as not, too young.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:42 AM on 08/09/2008
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Did not oil prices "surge" and then steadily fall last presidential election, too?!?!

As if someone was controlling the price for political reasons?!!?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:27 AM on 08/09/2008
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"Did not oil prices "surge" and then steadily fall last presidential election, too?!?!"

Yes, the very same thing happened in 2002 and 2004, basically since big oil moved its HQ into the White House. But as long as the MSM ignores it, Americans by and large will not be aware of it, and the few that are will be easily addressed as "kooks", just like anyone who dares to raise any kind of doubt on the "official" version of 911...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:13 AM on 08/09/2008
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Sorry, typo, I meant 2002 and 2006.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:15 AM on 08/09/2008
- Paul I'm a Fan of Paul permalink

The Russians are busy dismantling Georgia, putting the pipeline from the Caspian in the middle of a war zone.

That ought to be good for a few bucks rise in oil prices Monday.

Enjoy today while you can...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:43 PM on 08/08/2008

Ha, guess who is responsible for the lower prices . . . SPECULATORS . . . we should get them for driving down prices right?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:24 PM on 08/08/2008

Yes the price is only still up 2.25% in 17 months...

Thank 'em they s/b arrested.. Oh thats right the Repugs made this legal... the greates transfer of wealth from the U.S. in the history of tthe world! LOL


Little question this whole ripoff was speculation now...

Regards

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:51 AM on 08/09/2008
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Is it possible you think, that if we were to help ourselves a little bit, say for instance, the democrats stopped blocking votes to drill in our own country, we might not have to transfer our wealth to someone else?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:55 PM on 08/09/2008

I agree with you. But you forgot the first part. They are also responsible for driving it up in the first place.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:40 PM on 08/09/2008

Yeah!

And all the people involved with sub-prime loans should be thanked for the wonderful gains made in the real estate market!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:34 PM on 08/09/2008
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