Huffpost Politics

Prediction Market Starts Betting On Chance That Palin Will Withdraw From Ticket

Posted: Updated:

***UPDATE***
As of 10:07pm Tuesday, traders on the Intrade prediction market are selling the chance that Palin will drop off John McCain's ticket at 15.0. Check here for more updates as the market moves.

***UPDATE***
As of 5:29pm Tuesday, traders on the Intrade prediction market are selling the chance that Palin will drop off John McCain's ticket at 11.6. Check here for more updates as the market moves.

***UPDATE***
As of 1:45pm Tuesday, traders on the Intrade prediction market are selling the chance that Palin will drop off John McCain's ticket at 13.9. Check here for more updates as the market moves.

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The Intrade prediction market has opened trading on whether "Sarah Palin [is] to be withdrawn as Republican VP nominee before 2008 presidential election." At 8:55 am, Tuesday morning, the market is selling the prediction at 18 a share. That means traders think there is an 18 percent chance that Palin will be removed from the ticket.

Intrade predicted Joe Biden would be Barack Obama's running mate in August and its traders were also correct about every Senate race in 2006. It fell flat in predicting a Democratic majority.

Keep checking back through out the day for updates on the trading numbers.

Click here for Sarah Palin's trading chart.

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