Prediction Market Starts Betting On Chance That Palin Will Withdraw From Ticket

***UPDATE***
As of 10:07pm Tuesday, traders on the Intrade prediction market are selling the chance that Palin will drop off John McCain's ticket at 15.0. Check here for more updates as the market moves.

***UPDATE***
As of 5:29pm Tuesday, traders on the Intrade prediction market are selling the chance that Palin will drop off John McCain's ticket at 11.6. Check here for more updates as the market moves.

***UPDATE***
As of 1:45pm Tuesday, traders on the Intrade prediction market are selling the chance that Palin will drop off John McCain's ticket at 13.9. Check here for more updates as the market moves.

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The Intrade prediction market has opened trading on whether "Sarah Palin [is] to be withdrawn as Republican VP nominee before 2008 presidential election." At 8:55 am, Tuesday morning, the market is selling the prediction at 18 a share. That means traders think there is an 18 percent chance that Palin will be removed from the ticket.

Intrade predicted Joe Biden would be Barack Obama's running mate in August and its traders were also correct about every Senate race in 2006. It fell flat in predicting a Democratic majority.

Keep checking back through out the day for updates on the trading numbers.

Click here for Sarah Palin's trading chart.

Comments

[bogues]

11:08 PM on 09/05/2008

He will never drop her and she will never withdraw. They need to take odds on whether or not the american people are going to be dumb enough to fall for Karl Rove tactics for a third time. Is anybody in this country ready to see karl Rove remain in control of the Republican Party, and there-fore the country. He is a criminal and he should be in jail, not running McCain's " Change Campaign"

[Isela]

09:24 PM on 09/05/2008

Oh my word! Sarah Palin is here to stay weather angry leftists like it or not! go back and drull over Obama and leave Sarah alone!

[Steelsil]

09:47 PM on 09/05/2008

Drool is spelled d-r-o-o-l. But thanks for the irony-this is what I would expect from someone who wants an incompetent, vindictive, backwoods trailer trash wingnut to be one elderly heartbeat away from the leadership of the free world, in the era of a newly aggressive Russia. I think President Palin could even make me miss "You're doin' a heck of a job, Brownie," Shrub. I will certainly vote for Obama, but not with the degree of adulation you suppose. I don't think he's all that liberal-simply compare his health plan with Hillarycare.

[mnkors]

09:38 PM on 09/23/2008

Hi Isela, still working for Preston Bush's grand plan?

[Bubby02]

04:08 PM on 09/05/2008

Call me crazy but I think McSame is simply star struck with Sarah. I mean, would John hug a male running mate as often as he reaches for Sarah. Observe, he can't wait to get his hands on her every chance he gets

My pre-scandal sympathies Mrs. M.

[Zox]

08:36 PM on 09/04/2008

Watch the markets go through the roof when they find out:

Palin had an affair with her husband's business partner.

[Hellboy973]

06:51 PM on 09/04/2008

She won't withdraw, unless she's charged in the next 60 days with a crime (which is possible). But neither will she assume the office of VP; we just can't be that dumb as a nation. Personally, I'm looking forward to the Playboy spread.
Sexist Pig! I know, I know....

[Steelsil]

09:48 PM on 09/05/2008

Sexist pig? Try raving optimist! Shrub was elected twice, you know.

[08Barack08]

06:42 PM on 09/04/2008

Is anybody else ticked off at the Republicans for giving speeches attacking Barack Obama and not addressing the REAL issues the average American voter cares about?

Join the movement: www.imPALIN.com
McCain doesn't deserve our trust after picking such a ridiculous VP candidate.

[booker52]

05:52 PM on 09/04/2008

How is the trading chart that McCain has health issues and drops out???

[cmp]

04:40 PM on 09/04/2008

After watching this dame at the Convention, there's no way she's going to bail out. There is no class whatsoever in the republican arena. Nothing but lies, arrogance, insults, egos, and colossal conceit. Take all the bets you like, 'cause this broad will never bow out.

[GLaB]

03:04 AM on 09/04/2008

I don't see any recent updates. I wonder why?

Here, since I'm such a nice guy -

Last price 7.8 DOWN 6.3

[PopeRatzo]

04:11 PM on 09/04/2008

But Intraders are still buying Obama to win the Presidency over McCain by 60 to 40.

I shorted McCain at 48 and made some good money.

Oh, and Gallup Polls shows that since Palin gave her speech, Obama has gone UP in the polls.

That's called a "baby bump".

[fnygy]

07:20 PM on 09/04/2008

baby bump - LOL

[ppp1604]

09:28 PM on 09/03/2008

If this piece of trailer trash wins, I will have to seriously start considering moving to Canada. Renounce my citizenship and become a Canadian. Hitler was a disgusting German, John McCain is a disgusting American.

[JLopez]

07:48 PM on 09/03/2008

AP=FoxNews

[Dayahka]

07:39 PM on 09/03/2008

I don't think there is any way McCain could recover if Palin left the ticket (or was shoved out), except by a death (McCain's or someone in her family), so I think she'll remain and McCain and she will attack the press, the Democrats, people in general, on to November 4.

[AllenD]

09:32 PM on 09/03/2008

Yep, McCain is screwed. He damned if he dumps her and he is damned if he keeps her.

[obamaisdukakis]

01:24 PM on 09/03/2008

Not I chance she is leaving the race. Not anymore than a chance than Obama leaving the race.

Can't wait to laugh at all you women haters on November 5 and make a little money on Intrade too.

Thanks for tip!!

Hillary supporter here says:
McCain/Palin '08

[dc2nm]

09:49 PM on 09/03/2008

I am a woman...and certainly don't hate other women. I didn't even pay much attention to politics until after Bush was elected and I saw what he was doing to the country.

Over the past 8 years I have watched as this country slips into a mass depression...financially, mentally and emotionally. I have grown to hate extreme Republican right. This is what they did...they try to divide to conquer. That is what they have done....divided this country through their religious views and their hate and fear of anyone that is different from them.

I know that you are not a Hilary supporter. Anyone that believes in everything Hilary stands for would NEVER vote for Palin. She is the polar oppisite.

[lizr]

10:41 PM on 09/03/2008

agree- no true Hillary supporter would ever support this woman.. she is a joke. a cultural stereotype.

[beaupritchard]

06:45 AM on 09/03/2008

Its clear to me that this has become a sprint to the first tuesday in November ... with the McCain crowd throwing barrels in the way of reporters investigating Palin so they can get away.

[RTKzoo]

06:14 AM on 09/03/2008

Anyone who thinks John McCain will drop Sarah Palin knows nothing about John McCain.