Dealbreaker Editor: "Wall Street Is Broken"
These headlines are very scary. How bad is this really? Are we looking at soup kitchens? Should we put what little money we have under the pillow?
We're already calling it Black Sunday. It's very, very, bad, and things may deteriorate further. This is as bad as anyone alive has ever seen it. Wall Street is broken, the independent investment banks that have existed since the Great Depression are passing from the scene and we may never see their kind again. Your money is safe if it's in an FDIC insured account [one day readers, we will figure out what that is], although even there it is threatened by inflation. There aren't many places to hide. I'm sorry that's so negative but these are dark times.
How come the government didn't do a bailout this time the way they did for Fannie and Freddie?
Fannie and Freddie were different from Lehman in five ways. First, Fannie and Freddie were much bigger. Second, Fannie and Freddie were far more deeply connected to the political machinery in Washington. Third, the government decided that Lehman could be allowed to fail without bringing down the rest of the financial system while Fannie and Freddie were seen as more central to our financial and real estate economies. Fourth, internationally, Fannie and Freddie were widely viewed as pseudo-arms of the US government and their bonds were heavily owned by foreign governments. Their failure was viewed a possibly sparking a foreign policy crisis.
Finally, Lehman's timing was wrong. The sense was that the bailouts were creating "moral hazard," encouraging risky behavior by shielding Wall Street from the consequences of risk. The government was looking for an opportunity to show that we're still a free market society, where those who profit from good times feel the pain from the bad times. Allowing failure was seen as a necessary act of creative destruction.





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FishbowlNY | Glynnis MacNicol | September 15, 2008 12:26 PM