Govt trading ban could have unintended results

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MARCY GORDON and STEVENSON JACOBS | September 19, 2008 05:07 PM EST | AP

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WASHINGTON — The government's unprecedented move Friday to ban people from betting against financial stocks might be a salve for the market's turmoil but could also carry serious unintended consequences.

In a bid to shore up investor confidence in the face of the spiraling market crisis, the Securities and Exchange Commission temporarily banned all short-selling in the shares of 799 financial companies. Short selling is a time-honored method for profiting when a stock drops.

The ban took effect immediately Friday and extends through Oct. 2. The SEC said it might extend the ban _ so that it would last for as many as 30 calendar days in total _ if it deems that necessary.

That window could be enough time to calm the roiling financial markets, with the Bush administration's massive new programs to buy up Wall Street's toxic debt possibly starting to have a salutary effect by then.

The short-selling ban is "kind of a time-out," said John Coffee, a professor of securities law at Columbia University. "In a time of crisis, the dangers of doing too little are far greater than the dangers of doing too much."

But on Wall Street, professional short-sellers said they were being unfairly targeted by the SEC's prohibition. And some analysts warned of possible negative consequences, maintaining that banning short-selling could actually distort _ not stabilize _ edgy markets.

Indeed, hours after the new ban was announced, some of its details appeared to be a work in progress. The SEC said its staff was recommending exemptions from the ban for trades market professionals make to hedge their investments in stock options or futures.

"I don't think it's going to accomplish what they're after," said Jeff Tjornehoj, senior analyst at fund research firm Lipper Inc. Without short sellers, he said, investors will have a harder time gauging the true value of a stock.

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"Most people want to be in a stock for the long run and want to see prices go up. Short sellers are useful for throwing water in their face and saying, `Oh yeah? Think about this,'" Tjornehoj said. As a result, restricting the practice could inflate the value of some stocks, opening the door for a big downward correction later.

"Without offering a flip-side to the price-discovery mechanism, I think there's a pressure built up in stock prices that only gets relieved in a great cataclysm," he said.

Short selling involves borrowing a company's shares, selling them, and then buying them to return them to the lender later, when the stock falls. The short-seller pockets the difference in price.

Although the practice can make markets more efficient and bring in more capital, the government argues that it has widened the scope of the recent financial crisis and contributed to the collapsing values of investment and commercial bank stocks in particular.

Government officials on both sides of the Atlantic have been denouncing hedge funds and other short sellers they say have swarmed over the limp bodies of venerable investment banks and other big companies. New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo likened them to "looters after a hurricane," and his office is investigating a possible conspiracy among short-sellers to spread negative rumors to pound down companies' stock prices.

The turmoil in recent weeks has swallowed some of the most storied names on Wall Street. Three of its five major investment banks _ Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch _ have either gone out of business or been driven into the arms of another bank. Many contend that short-selling played a key role in forcing the collapse of these institutions.

SEC Chairman Christopher Cox, who with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke had met with lawmakers at the Capitol Thursday night, acknowledged that such extraordinary measures would not be necessary in a well-functioning market and said they are only temporary.

Cox said Friday his agency "is committed to using every weapon in its arsenal to combat market manipulation that threatens investors and capital markets." He said the temporary ban "will restore equilibrium to markets."

The SEC also imposed a new requirement, also temporary, for investment managers to publicly report their new short sales of stocks. And the agency eased restrictions on the ability of companies to buy back their own shares, also through Oct. 2, another move aimed at helping restore liquidity to the distressed and volatile market.

Over the summer, the SEC imposed a 30-day emergency ban on "naked" short selling _ where sellers don't actually borrow the shares they sell _ in the stocks of mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and 17 large investment banks. But Friday's ban expanded to all short selling, not just the more aggressive naked variety, and to a much wider universe of companies.

The 799 companies covered by the SEC ban are an A-to-Z of the nation's financial institutions, including the powerhouse investment banks such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley and commercial banks running the gamut from Bank of America Corp. to Cape Fear Bank Corp. SLM Corp., which is known as Sallie Mae and is the biggest U.S. student lender is on the list, as are Charles Schwab Corp., Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and Principal Financial Group Inc.

Washington Mutual Inc., the nation's largest thrift, which has lost billions from subprime mortgage exposure and seen its shares plunge in recent weeks, also is on the SEC list. So is the NYSE Euronext, the biggest stock exchange, and foreign financial companies whose stock is traded on U.S. exchanges, such as Lloyds TSB Group PLC of Britain and China Life Insurance Co. Ltd.

However, investors still have ways to place bearish bets: by trading in options that turn profitable when a stock drops.

Jim Chanos, a prominent short seller and president of a $7 billion hedge fund, Kynikos Associates, called short-selling a "vital investment strategy" and said banning the practice "will not enhance long-term market integrity."

He argued that investment banks' bad bets on risky assets _ not predatory short-sellers _ were the true cause of the steep declines in the stock price of financial firms.

"Far from being the cause of the crisis, many short sellers were warning months and years ago about problems in this area," Chanos said in a statement.

The new SEC ban also touched smaller investors. Two popular funds that specialize in short selling and are traded on stock exchanges _ ProShares' Short Financials and UltraShort Financials _ were temporarily halted Friday due to the ban. Trading resumed later in the day, but ProShares said it has suspended creating new shares in the funds until further notice.

ProShares Chairman Michael Sapir called the ban "extraordinary" and said it remains to be seen whether it has the intended effect of calming the markets.

"I don't think anyone sees the action today as a long-term solution," Sapir said. "It's a way to calm things down, but it isn't consistent with a free and open market."

The SEC's ban came in concert with Britain's Financial Services Authority, which announced a similar ban there Thursday. Some British politicians had claimed that short-selling was partly responsible for HBOS PLC's abrupt takeover by banking rival Lloyds TSB PLC on Thursday. The ban there was met with a similar reaction as the SEC move _ a mix of relief and skepticism.

"Banning short selling is just a part of a solution," said Nic Clarke, banking analyst at Charles Stanley Stockbrokers. "We view this as a side issue. It doesn't stop the underlying reason for the credit crunch and it doesn't get to the heart of the problem."

___

AP Business Writer Emily Flynn Vencat in London contributed to this report. Stevenson Jacobs reported from New York.

WASHINGTON — The government's unprecedented move Friday to ban people from betting against financial stocks might be a salve for the market's turmoil but could also carry serious unintended cons...
WASHINGTON — The government's unprecedented move Friday to ban people from betting against financial stocks might be a salve for the market's turmoil but could also carry serious unintended cons...
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- Velocitor I'm a Fan of Velocitor 4 fans permalink

...so now it is ILLEGAL to short the corrupt financial services corporations which are impoverishing this nation with their irresponsible derrivates ponzi-schemes, but it is LEGAL to attack healthy, well-run corporations which actually produce material wealth and provides jobs in this country??? Once again, Wall Street and Washington have their values 100% backwards.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:00 PM on 09/19/2008
- research I'm a Fan of research 257 fans permalink

Agreed, but you can still sell your stock.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:08 PM on 09/19/2008
- BlueZoo I'm a Fan of BlueZoo 44 fans permalink

Tell me again how good the Republicans are for the economy? Tell me again how good the Republicans are at handling major crises, e.g. hurricanes? Tell me again why I should be thrilled at four more years of a busted financial system? Tell me!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:50 PM on 09/19/2008
- Julie02 I'm a Fan of Julie02 14 fans permalink

You hear that?.....­.Only crickets, my friend.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:57 PM on 09/19/2008
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If you notice how quickly they've pounced on putting a moratorium on short selling, but watched as the speculation in the commodities market hiked up the prices of food and gas. Did anyone try and put the brakes on sub prime mortgages, did anybody get it? Months ago I went to wikepedia to try and figure out what hedge funds were, commodities, because even a 20% price increase of gas and food because of speculation is not acceptable for the masses. Now I'm trying to figure out what the derivatives market is all about, it sure would be nice if MBA's knew what they were doing. Oh, I guess they do, like teenagers given credit cards, using them like they were monopoly money.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:48 PM on 09/19/2008
- Pupster I'm a Fan of Pupster 12 fans permalink

Dude, the prices on food and gas is not going up because of speculators in the commodities markets; they're going up because the dollar has been systematically devalued by the Bush administration. (I could explain why, but that will take some time.) Everything is expensive, not just one or two things. Look at the exchange rate with the world's currencies and you may understand.

Look, I get this financial stuff is very complicated, but blaming the wrong people or actions is not helpful.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:32 PM on 09/19/2008

There several reasons prices on food and gas are going up.
Speculation with oil futures is ONE of them.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:49 PM on 09/19/2008

There are several reasons the dollar is going down.
Speculation with oil futures is one them.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:51 PM on 09/19/2008

There are several reasons dollar is going down.
Speculation with oil futures is ONE of them.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:59 PM on 09/19/2008
- iambusto I'm a Fan of iambusto 5 fans permalink

stocks should only go up. even if you realise its a POS and has terrible balance sheet, you can only make money by buying it long.

what is it that reasonably smart people get so stupid working for the govt.

oh well, here is what will happen.

1) shorts buy boat load of put options on the stock.

2) Indivudual stock futures will start becoming popular in the futures market. for now, only index futures are popular and indivudual stock futures are not. not any more.

3) now that put writers (sellers) cant hedge by shorting a stock, what are they going to do? well you guessed it. charge VERY HIGH premiums.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:47 PM on 09/19/2008
- Furby I'm a Fan of Furby 66 fans permalink
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Greed is a many wonderous thing. You can blame it on everything under the sun, but greed's your culprit. Who's greed? That of the people who sold you investment funds, those who lent you mortgages when only two years ago you weren't elligible, those who gave you credit cards with limits higher than what you make in a year. But mostly those who did all this without explaining to you why they were doing this and where the money was coming from. As it turns out, the money was coming from your pocket. So essentially you are now paying interest on your future earnings, and the earnings of future generations. So did you really need all that stuff you've got piled up in Public Storage or your mom's garage?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:17 PM on 09/19/2008
- twofish I'm a Fan of twofish 18 fans permalink

This my be a digression, but speaking of short selling, who was doing this with airline stocks just before 9/11? Governments (not just ours) track every financial transaction so they can tax them, and you mean to tell me they couldn't find out who those short sellers were? Or are there under-the-table transactions that bypass any attempt to trace them? If so, why don't the folks now forbidden to short-sell just use those untraceable methods the airline shorters did? One of these propositions is absurd, and I think it's the notion of untraceable short selling.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:14 PM on 09/19/2008
- GLT21 I'm a Fan of GLT21 3 fans permalink
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Go to Vagas or Atlantic city if shortsellers want to gamble.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:06 PM on 09/19/2008
- Pupster I'm a Fan of Pupster 12 fans permalink

Short sellers aren't necessarily gamblers; any more than long traders are gamblers.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:33 PM on 09/19/2008

you are right!

both short sellers and long traders are gamblers.

We need rules for Investment market that will prevent any betting outside of Las-Vegas and Atlantic-City.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:56 PM on 09/19/2008
- macbabe I'm a Fan of macbabe 103 fans permalink
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Why won't they just put the UPTICKs Rule back in place permanently?????

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:38 PM on 09/19/2008
- Pupster I'm a Fan of Pupster 12 fans permalink

Actually, that would be the smarter thing to do. But the government is deliberately manipulating the markets right now.

Today's rally is fake.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:34 PM on 09/19/2008
- Furby I'm a Fan of Furby 66 fans permalink
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Quiet Pupster, most people don't know that. What are you trying to do, accelerate the melt-down. This was engineered so that the rich people can get their money out before we do. Believe me, it'll crash before we get our hands on our cash. And don't wait for the run on the banks, do it NOW.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:59 PM on 09/19/2008
- research I'm a Fan of research 257 fans permalink

Shorts turn the entire market upside down.

Shorting creates the motivation to destroy companies, not build the economy.

Short sellers wage rumor wars against their targets.

Short selling should be banned forever.

If you don't like a stock, don't buy it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:37 PM on 09/19/2008
- jpcline004 I'm a Fan of jpcline004 11 fans permalink

they also prevent speculators from driving up prices and bring down bubbles.

If you don't like risk, don't invest

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:40 PM on 09/19/2008
- Furby I'm a Fan of Furby 66 fans permalink
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Don't like it. Sold all US equities one year ago. Good advice.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:01 PM on 09/19/2008
- EinChicago I'm a Fan of EinChicago 33 fans permalink

Hogwash, They create inverse bubbles which are just as bad and even more destructive.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:13 PM on 09/19/2008
- ssgman I'm a Fan of ssgman 8 fans permalink
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You don't understand the markets, do you?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:46 PM on 09/19/2008
- research I'm a Fan of research 257 fans permalink

Yes, I do. does that settle your "argument"?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:03 PM on 09/19/2008
- iambusto I'm a Fan of iambusto 5 fans permalink

if shorts are driving down the stocks to unreasonable ranges and the company believes its unjustified.

WHY arent the companies repurchasing their own stock. retire it and contracts the float, increases the EPS.

If the companies felt their stock was unjustly low, they would have repurchased their own stock and bought their own shares back at these low levels.

why arent the other institutional investors who feel these stock are priced unjustly low, jumping in to buy it up.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:16 PM on 09/19/2008
- research I'm a Fan of research 257 fans permalink

Many companies Do buy back their stack if they have spare cash sitting around.

But many viable companies are busy growing their company and cannot afford to.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:02 PM on 09/19/2008
- Wiredwilly I'm a Fan of Wiredwilly 23 fans permalink

Ban Short Selling Altogether. The basic principle of the Stock Market is that if people put money into a Company that company will prosper & the share holders will profit as well. If the company is sound & turns a profit, the share holders profit. If the Company is out to lunch, both the Company & the investors lose. Short selling turns the National economy, people's lives and destinies into a crap game at Vegas. It's about time Conservatives actually became CONSERVATIVE. Conserve the environment. Conserve people's money. Short selling & pre market trading that allows Huge Institutions to buy & sell BEFORE everyone else gets the News, are two corrupt practices that need to be banned.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:37 PM on 09/19/2008
- Pupster I'm a Fan of Pupster 12 fans permalink

You have no idea how the market works. Shorts are a legit part of the system that usually act as watchdogs for overinflated share prices on an unsuspecting public. Companies are constantly trying to inflate their share prices, so they hate shorts.

It's sad to see so many comments that are so ignorant about the real culprits in this situation. Believe me, if there wasn't fire where there was smoke, the shorts would have lost their shirts. Don't be mad because the shorts were actually right and these financial firms had lousy cooked books.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:41 PM on 09/19/2008
- Furby I'm a Fan of Furby 66 fans permalink
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We're starting to have a pretty good idea how the markets work Pupster, call it a "crash" course (pardon the pun). The rich get a wee bit poorer, and the poor go broke. Anything else you'd like to add to that will probably go over my head.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:14 PM on 09/19/2008

Other than stopping short selling... the govt should disallow banks/investment houses rating each other. That in itself is a farce.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:34 PM on 09/19/2008

Wow, so they've effectively taken away the markets ability to down, and then they're gonna let her rip in 30 days.

Good luck with that.

October surprise, anyone?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:16 PM on 09/19/2008
- iambusto I'm a Fan of iambusto 5 fans permalink

today is option market closing date.

from next week watch for the put options on these same banks being propped up :)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:15 PM on 09/19/2008
- mellene I'm a Fan of mellene 10 fans permalink

They ought to charge about 50% capital gains tax on these shorts under 2 weeks.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:55 PM on 09/19/2008
- iambusto I'm a Fan of iambusto 5 fans permalink

so you want to punish people who cried "emperor has no clothes".

during the tech bubble, if you banned all shorting, the free fall would have come inevitably. you cant prop up something forever.

what happens when October 2 comes due and short selling rules expire? if they are further extended, what happens when they finally expire? all the financials suddenly would have found their footing by then? the toxic debt will still be on their books.

if the govt. doesnt offload those debts on their balance sheets, they will still be excellent short candidates.

meanwhile, GM and Ford are good guinea pigs for the shorts. lets ride that one down :)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:18 PM on 09/19/2008
- GerryS I'm a Fan of GerryS 39 fans permalink
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a temporary ban. wake americans, short-selling is a tip of the iceberg. the stock market is a sham for the middle class. until hedge funds are regulated, in all ways and the tools they use- we are PROLES, from birth till de_ath. do some research into hedge funds, goggle it, read it and get p!ssed off, cuz if this investment opportunity for the RICH is allowed to continue, we are toast!

ps- $816 billion last few weeks and now $1 trillion more, we will be paying this off in higher taxes forever!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:49 PM on 09/19/2008
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