Obama Plays Expectations Game: McCain Perfect For Debate

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First Posted: 09-26-08 02:07 PM   |   Updated: 10-27-08 05:12 AM

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The expectations game. Both campaigns engage with it before every debate. But with only hours to go before tonight's sparring between Barack Obama and John McCain on topics of foreign policy, it is the Obama campaign that is the first out with an official statement.

In a memo released to reporters, spokesman Bill Burton says that McCain's time in Washington and his "professed" expertise on foreign policy should make him a natural favorite in this format.

And yet, the campaign also says that McCain's poor performance in the past three days (and the web ad that he prematurely put on the site of the Wall Street Journal, declaring debate victory), means the Republican "desperately needs to win this debate in a big way."

"The centerpiece of John McCain's campaign has been his more than a quarter century of experience in Washington learning about and debating foreign policy," the memo reads. "If he slips up, makes a mistake, or fails to deliver a game-changing performance, it will be a serious blow to his campaign. Given his unsteady performance this week, he desperately needs to win this debate in a big way in order to change the topic and get back to his home turf."

For good measure, Burton includes a handful of newspaper clips under the heading that says: "DEBATES ARE NOT A GOOD FORMAT FOR OBAMA." The list included this hit:

AP: Obama Comes Across As "Lifeless, Aloof, And Windy" During Debates. "For a man known as a powerful speaker, Obama has rarely wowed people in political debates. He can come across as lifeless, aloof and windy." [AP, 9/20/08]

Here is the Obama memo:

Already declaring victory before the debate has even started, in ads running on the Wall Street Journal website, John McCain meets Barack Obama tonight to debate foreign policy - McCain's professed area of expertise.


The centerpiece of John McCain's campaign has been his more than a quarter century of experience in Washington learning about and debating foreign policy. If he slips up, makes a mistake, or fails to deliver a game-changing performance, it will be a serious blow to his campaign. Given his unsteady performance this week, he desperately needs to win this debate in a big way in order to change the topic and get back to his home turf.

For eight years, McCain has marched in lockstep with every single major Bush decision, while Barack Obama opposed the war in Iraq from the beginning and has called for a focus on Afghanistan and al Qaeda. Americans want to know whether John McCain will stop spending $10 billion in Iraq while the Iraqi government sits on a $79 billion surplus and our economy is in turmoil. Will he continue a policy that has taken our eye off al Qaeda and Afghanistan, and let Iran make progress in building a nuclear weapon? Will he continue the cowboy diplomacy and empty bluster that has shredded our alliances and set back our standing in the world? The fact is, John McCain will continue more of these same failed foreign policies. Barack Obama will lead us in a new direction.

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On the economy, McCain's words and actions over the course of the past week have illuminated his lack of expertise. He admitted he does not understand the economy -- his erratic, out-of-touch behavior this week, his failure to do anything of substance to move the agreement forward on the bailout, and his commitment to continuing Bush economic policies, demonstrate it. But there are some questions we might see answered tonight after McCain's misadventure to Washington and the phony 'suspension' of his campaign. For example, will McCain finally say where he stands on the unworkable and counterproductive House Republican plan? Will he be willing to buck his own party?

UPDATE: Here is the RNC's response, accusing Obama of playing politics in the midst of an economic crisis. Not sure if that precludes the McCain campaign from releasing a debate memo of its own.

"It says a lot about the candidates' priorities that while John McCain was focused on rescuing the economy, Barack Obama's campaign was drafting a debate memo. Strong leadership does not transparently attempt to lower expectations by circulating clips criticizing yourself. We are confident people are smart enough to see through Obama's silly spin and recognize it as just another blatant example of the old political tricks." - Alex Conant, RNC Spokesman

LATE UPDATE: The McCain campaign does respond, offering a withering criticism of Obama for being, as the AP article noted, "Lifeless, Aloof, And Windy," only on matters of governance and not debating. Write spokesman Michael Goldfarb:

"In a memo that perfectly captures the nastiness and politics first approach of Senator Obama's campaign, Obama campaign spokesman Bill Burton distributed a memo this afternoon as part of a last minute attempt to lower expectations for his candidate in tonight's debate. The memo mocks John McCain's efforts to put politics aside in order to achieve a bipartisan solution to the financial crisis now confronting our nation, and questions John McCain's record of bucking his own party and reaching across the aisle in order to bring about badly needed reforms. The Obama campaign also includes in the memo an AP piece that characterizes their candidate's previous debate performances as "lifeless, aloof and windy." In fact, that is a better characterization of Senator Obama's brief record in the United States Senate. He has never once bucked his own party in order to enact major legislation, he has never once taken real action when he had more to gain from speechifying, and he has never once risked his own political life in the service of a cause greater than winning his next election."


The expectations game. Both campaigns engage with it before every debate. But with only hours to go before tonight's sparring between Barack Obama and John McCain on topics of foreign policy, it is th...
The expectations game. Both campaigns engage with it before every debate. But with only hours to go before tonight's sparring between Barack Obama and John McCain on topics of foreign policy, it is th...
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- Alecki I'm a Fan of Alecki 2 fans permalink

Obama is risky, scary and too inexperienced.
Our country is in such turmoil.

Young Americans better wake up and realize that this is a job interview.

I’ve had a business my whole life and would NEVER look for inexperience as a positive attribute.
It’s like flying an airplane. I would never select a new pilot to navigate in treacherous weather.

This isn’t a popularity contest.

McCain is the only one qualified to handle Washington’s mess and foreign policy.His ability to reach across the aisle and meet with Democrats is his finest attribute.

Obama is not willing to do that.

McCain is a hero fighting to help America.

Obama is just a narcassist that is fighting to win for himself.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:28 AM on 09/27/2008

So what do you think abou palin being a heartbeat away from the job?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:39 AM on 09/27/2008
- HalR I'm a Fan of HalR permalink

If McSame is so experienced why did he pick Palin VP, an totally support G. Bush's total failing decisions, experience doesn't equal good judgment, ever.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:59 AM on 09/27/2008
- kto I'm a Fan of kto permalink

Our country is in such turmoil. Yes, it is.

Young Americans better wake up and realize that this is a job interview. I believe our younger Americans are much more aware and active than they have ever been and they see where the last 8 years of go it alone, cowboy politics has gotten us.

I"ve had a business my whole life and would NEVER look for inexperience as a positive attribute.
It"s like flying an airplane. I would never select a new pilot to navigate in treacherous weather.

Well, I am not sure I want a 72 year old cancer survivor with a history of crashing planes to fly mine.

This isn"t a popularity contest. In a way it is, it is about who people will feel is best for the country.

McCain is the only one qualified to handle Washington"s mess and foreign policy.His ability to reach across the aisle and meet with Democrats is his finest attribute.

You seem to be confusing McCain of now with the one of 2000. McCain has proven that his temperament, health and judgment are all questionable over the last few years and especially the last few months.

Obama is not willing to do that.

So not following along on Bush's failed policies is something you would like to see him do more of?

McCain is a hero fighting to help America.

Wrong, he WAS a hero, who is now fighting to win an election.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:09 AM on 09/27/2008
- suvbaby I'm a Fan of suvbaby 6 fans permalink

Did you bang your head or something? So let's give the most erratic grandstanding pat myself on the back for nothing guy the job and then throw in the gal who can see Russia from Alaska.
Please...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:40 AM on 09/27/2008
- 530Rose I'm a Fan of 530Rose 2 fans permalink

McCain: "The Iranians have a lousy government, so therefore their economy is lousy." Hmmm. Must be Republicans.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:07 AM on 09/27/2008
- margardner I'm a Fan of margardner 10 fans permalink

Obama commanded the stage!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:30 PM on 09/26/2008

Who's playing the McCain drinking game? Every time he says "my friends" or mentions the Vietnam / POW thing, you drink. I expect to be hammered about 30 minutes into it. :)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:00 PM on 09/26/2008

I just watched the replay on CNN. I wish I would have recorded it! I would keep that for years as the best drinking game EVER. Maybe the next one...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:40 AM on 09/27/2008
- 530Rose I'm a Fan of 530Rose 2 fans permalink

It would be the shortest drinking game EVER... Everyone would be on their lips in 30 minutes.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:08 AM on 09/27/2008

What a stupid move on Obama's part. If I'm running for President and I know I'm not good in debates, then I spend the entire primary and presidential season being coached and practiced. Then to issue this statement beforehand is just so defeatist. It's giving up the fight before entering the battlefield. I believe that Obama is the only viable choice here, but, really, a little political strategy goes a long way. If there's anything I can say he's missing is the ability to think like a politician. He may not want to be the same old politician, but he does want to win -- does he not? Winning is the first priority otherwise what was all this for?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:57 PM on 09/26/2008
- twiggy2 I'm a Fan of twiggy2 7 fans permalink

winning is not the first priority for barak, the american people he will serve as president are his first priority, obama has his prioities in place. mccain who wants to win at all cost even at the expense of the american people, does not have his priorities in place.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:57 AM on 09/27/2008
- suvbaby I'm a Fan of suvbaby 6 fans permalink

The bottom line is we NAILED McCain on foreign policy, and National security. These are McCain's sapposed strong points even though he really does not know where Spain is (Latin America?) and that they are a a member of NATO (imagine that).
Now as far as the economy goes if I had been Obama I would have questioned McCains economic agenda by asking him how many billions of dollars he cost us during the Keating Five scandal. That would have sent him over the top.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:49 AM on 09/27/2008
- Coinyer101 I'm a Fan of Coinyer101 719 fans permalink
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everyone have their counters ready to log how many times mccain says 'my friends' ?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:14 PM on 09/26/2008

Counters? I thought it was a drinking game.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:25 PM on 09/26/2008

It is.... more like... get your beers ready

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:58 PM on 09/26/2008
- SHOPARAZZI I'm a Fan of SHOPARAZZI 6 fans permalink
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meanwhile i'll be tallying how many times obama hammers home how grateful we are to mccain's service to america. it's been 35+ years since he was released as a pow. i think we've thanked him enough.

in the words of one wardrobe malfunctioneer, "what have u done for me lately?"

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:31 PM on 09/26/2008
- PT6 I'm a Fan of PT6 25 fans permalink

McFlipFlop puts out a string of nine Accusations in 30 seconds and wants you to respond.

The best thing to do is say "There you go again with your normal chatter."

Then shift to the topics below: McHotHead, McGimmick, McFlipFlopper

Pat Buchanan calls him "HOT HEADED"
He calls himself a "GAMBLER"
We see he is a "FLIPFLOPPER"
He likes to "GAME the AMERICAN PEOPLE"
Prefers "LOOKS over SUBSTANCE" Palin
Indecisive about most EVERYTHING
We know he loves "WAR"

Do we want a GAMBLING, HOTHEADED trigger finger, WAR LOVING, FLIPFLOPPER, who likes GAMING the system and the AMERICAN PEOPLE to be in control of the President's BUTTONS?

McFlipFlop (Just a FEW!)

Economy is Sound - Must Support Bailout Economy is BAD
For Bailout - Stop Bailout
Against AIG - For AIG
For Debate - Against Debate - For Debate
For Funding Banks - For EVEN LARGER TAX BREAKS FOR BANKS
For Control of Executive Compensation - Not For Control of Executive Compensation
For Helping Home Owners - Against Helping Home Owners
For Equity in Banks - Against Equity in Banks
Against AIG - NOW FOR INSURANCE

He is harder to watch than a PRO TENNIS GAME!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:13 PM on 09/26/2008
- FuturePrez I'm a Fan of FuturePrez 3 fans permalink

Hopefully someone will be checking McCain for receivers before he steps on the stage.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:11 PM on 09/26/2008
- Lucious I'm a Fan of Lucious 3 fans permalink
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Debate performance is not a reliable predictor of who wins the Presidency. John Kerry mopped the floor with shrub in all of their debates. Not only did bush lose those debates, he showed the world just how embarrassing and frightening he has been as leader of the free world.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:50 PM on 09/26/2008
- DrDemon I'm a Fan of DrDemon 9 fans permalink
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Oh so true....but very different times and issues now so...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:42 PM on 09/26/2008
- Nonpartay I'm a Fan of Nonpartay 92 fans permalink
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And a different campaign, very organized, doing things behind the scenes that don't generate a lot of media play, but very effective, I dare say. :)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:44 AM on 09/27/2008
- ldillworth I'm a Fan of ldillworth 3 fans permalink

" He has never once bucked his own party in order to enact major legislation" I find this article hysterical, perhaps it's because he hasn't had to????

Except for when he spoke out against the war in Iraq which BOTH parties heartily supported. and he was right! He wasn't even in congress at that time, and yet he bucked the whole of congress, which his party is a part of.

Not only did he buck the whole of congress, he showed better judgement than McCain, the democrats, the republicans, and the white house!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:48 PM on 09/26/2008

Great response by the RNC, McCain showed leadership in dealing with the crisis? The crisis that was created by people like Phil Graham, Rick Davis, and let me see........John McCain. Interesting that Senator Obama called John McCain six hours before the "maverick," came out to Grandstand for the cameras and claim that he was suspending his campaign, (Me thinks he was in need of a sphitz in NYC) but he still had workers answering phones, and campaigning for him. Can Sen. McCain continue to use the BS line, Country First, when he obviously is injecting his campaign into the deals that the Senate is trying to complete. Interesting as McCain's plane landed, news broke that a deal was struck, and less than 24 hours later it is dead, and the Republicans in the Senate are stalling. We all know the stall is in place, so the Republicans can try to shift the blame to the Democrats, even though they controlled the House and Senate for 14 years. This is a horrible nightmare, can I have a pair of ruby slippers to click together and take me out of this mess? McCain+Palin=Bush+Cheney Nuff' Said.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:43 PM on 09/26/2008
- Evelyn I'm a Fan of Evelyn 17 fans permalink
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Since when is "bucking your own party" a sign of good leadership? Well, sure m if your party is consistently wrong about everything, then you had better buck it once in a while. But if your party is so in need of bucking, why are you even a member of it?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:42 PM on 09/26/2008
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An excellent point, and something I've often wondered.....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:30 PM on 09/26/2008

Because this is essentially a two party democracy and both parties stink.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:59 PM on 09/26/2008
- sej100 I'm a Fan of sej100 28 fans permalink

McCain's press and ego know no bounds. The GOP has played dirty tricks time and again.
He is NO WINNER, just a double talking walking fool full of talking points written by the Rove gang.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:39 PM on 09/26/2008

I agree about that cheat ad. Does arianna approve of that message? One would think that with all the site traffic, one could be more choosy when taking ad dollars.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:27 PM on 09/26/2008

It's hysterical. Why not make money while showing off how stupid the opponent is? It's brilliant on the website's behalf.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:00 PM on 09/26/2008
- kdubbg I'm a Fan of kdubbg 13 fans permalink
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One huge limiting factor in the debates against Hillary Clinton was that Obama was playing against her strengths and needed to seem better versed in the background data. It's axiomatic that Democrats need more wonkish answers. We deal in facts. If Obama can be more forceful tonight he can appeal to democrats and undecided alike and maybe even pull in some Republicans. Getting hot under the collar at John McCain's antics is a lot easier than getting mad at whose Health Care plan is more universal. This guy wanted to put our health care in the same market that's crashing.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:14 PM on 09/26/2008

All McCain wanted to do was allow you to purchase health care across state lines. Say if it was 2 bucks in Ohio but 4 bucks in Indiana why should you be forced to pay 4 bucks when you can get the same thing for 2 bucks across the state line.
So you are wrong on the health care comment. Need to check it out?? Go to http://www.factcheck.org/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:44 PM on 09/26/2008
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