HuffPost's Real Time Election Trading Odds

Trading Markets Swing to Obama! Bookmark this map! Updated hourly until election day.

Comments

[mattamorr]

And look, Arizona, McCain's home state is going pink!

[jesther]

Missouri and Indiana are blushing. Hold your breaths until we turn blue.

[mattamorr]

Am I wrong, or did Virginia just get a little bluer overnight?

[mattamorr]

What I wished this Electoral Vote chart include are the previous day and previous week data so I could see changes.

[Fixxin2]

I live in Denton, Texas and early voted yesterday (for Obama of course) and was shocked at the long lines, lines that stayed long the whole hour it took me to vote. Because of the time involved to get to the actual booths, people naturally were chatting in line. And many, many of those people were expressing displeasure with the status quo. While I initially felt like I would be voting to add to the popular vote for Obama with no hope of changing this red state to blue, I am not so sure now. I'm starting to think there might be something to this reverse-Bradley effect and that A LOT of Texans are voting for Obama. How awesome would it be for Obama to win Texas!!!! Just saying.

[Transrational]

Nice Graphic.
I hope you don't run out of blue pixels.

[hangdogit]

Or blue voters.

[broncofan]

jefferson county colorado is very important for our state to go blue...just got back from election centre jefferson county and the clerk told me 85 hours were clocked to get 200,000 'mail ins' registered. We are really serious here. The election will not be stolen here.

[myangeldog1]

WOOOO HOOOOOO!!!! Come on Missouri....GO BLUE!!!!

[OregonGary]

I live in Eugene Oregon, we vote by mail here (generally one of the highest voter turnouts in the nation, strongly blue and no machines for the G O P to corrupt)

My ballot was waiting in my mailbox for me when I got home from work today.

W o o H o o !

I am now an OFFICIAL Obama/Biden voter.

Let me hear you say, "oh yeah"

[AliMac02]

Oh, yeah! :)

[OregonGary]

I love it, Thank You.

VOTE!

Let's take America, this country I love so much, BACK

[BarackMan]

"OH YEAH!!"

President Obama '08!

[Egalitare]

Oh, Yeah!!

[rockyb26]

oh yeah!

[fiorastar]

HI Gary, I'm in Eugene too. I LOVE that I can say " I already voted for Obama/Biden" as well as to put another Democrat, Jeff Merkley, in the Senate to finally get rid of that Bush lover, Gordon Smith and give us a chance at actually passing some serious legislation.

[OregonGary]

Hi fiorastar,

Merkley was marked proudly on my ballot as well.

Hello neighbor

[rich misty]

As of October 20, 5:00PM EDT: Obama: 364 McCain: 174 Meta-margin: Obama +7.0%

http://election.princeton.edu/

Dr. Sam Wang does not make predictions.... But he does provide the most accurate polling snapshots available anywhere, updated 3x daily

[Glenn1441]

I too follow Sam's analysis. I just get nervous when HuffPost runs such confident headlines. I am concerned of overconfidence. It is likely we will see the gap close as the days tick off. Obama spoke to that likelihood today. In fact, as of yesterday, McCain was at 171. And, we can't afford a tight race. We need to win by a large margin so that any contest to to an Obama win are nullified.

[dizmo4]

Keep an eye on Georgia. In 2004 African Americans made up roughly 24% of the overall vote. There's a strong potential that this could jump to 28% or even 30%. As of right now, 40% of the early votes in the state of Georgia are from African AMericans.

IF The AA vote in Georgia reaches the 27 or 28%, then Obama only needs about 25% of the non-black vote to carry the state (maybe less than 25%). I say non-black so that includes hispanics, asians and whites.

ALso keep in mind Bob Barr is from Georgia, so if he is going to have any effect on the race, it will be here. He could receive 4-6% of the vote here--as McCain's campaign takes a nose dive, moderate republicans or those just unhappy with MCCain could vote for Barr on a protest vote.

The upshot is that Obama could win Georgia with as little as 43% of the vote. I think 47% gives him the state. Polling probably doesn't indicate this, but really at this point it just matters how many Obama supporters gets to the polls in GA.

[rich misty]

http://election.princeton.edu/2008/10/14/get-on-the-bus/

The Georgia Senate race is CRUCIAL

[broncofan]

It is not crucial but would love my peach state to 'come to their senses'...There was a reason to have the convention here in Colorado. I predict Colorado will go blue,,,and my sis in atlanta says blue will color georgia.

[prdbldngheart]

I'm from Georgia and I am seeing a lot of people I know are republicans pulling for Obama.
The polls aren't taking into account the new voters that have registered. For the first time in over a decade, I think that my vote will actually matter. It's not easy being blue in this state.

[riverhead]

Nice point ... well said.

[rockyb26]

I agree. I think that alot of people are underestimating the minority vote. I think that the numbers will be high for Blacks and Hispanics especially given this whole ACORN smear.

[conscioushope]

We must not, must not be overly complacent nor overly-confident until O is actually declared the President!

Every vote still counts more than ever! Work hard even though it looks good!

Volunteer, donate, whatever is needed!!

[fiorastar]

More than ever! Don't worry, none of us is taking this one for granted!!! We remember 2000 and 2004.

[rockyb26]

We won't be complacent. I think so many of us are just proud to cast a vote for such an extraordinary man in such a historical election. I wouldn't miss it for the world and I don't think that anyone who truly believes in O and Joe and their vision would sit this one out.

[Mildmannered]

the Kerry states plus Iowa and New Mexico, and plus any one of Colorado, Virginia and Florida

[Mildmannered]

colorado and virginia look very very good at the moment

[hangdogit]

Or FL, NC, IN, OH or even NV (for a Democratic House resolution).

[MizLiz]

That's a beautiful map -- I hope it comes true.

[Mildmannered]

Blue, especially dark blue, is my favorite color.

[kc7999]

EVERY "up-for-grabs" state (there are 12 of them; defined as within +/-9 points for either candidate), went for Bush in '04. In other words, Obama now only needs to win 2 or 3 out of 12 remaining battleground states to clinch it (or just one if it's Florida or Ohio). Source: www.realclearpolitics.com