Obama Up 10 In Virginia According To New Polls

A new SurveyUSA poll finds John McCain's chances of winning Virginia slipping away. Barack Obama is ahead in the state by ten points, 53% to 43%. The full results:

As McCain's Lead Among White Virginians Shrinks, So Too His Chances of Holding The State's 13 Electoral Votes: 29 days until votes are counted in Virginia, Democrat Barack Obama is ahead 53% to 43%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke, WJLA-TV in Washington DC, WTVR-TV in Richmond, and WJHL-TV in the Tri-Cities. In 4 tracking polls conducted since the Republican Convention, McCain has gone from up by 2 to down by 10.

There is movement among men, where immediately after the GOP convention, McCain led by 10, and where today Obama leads by 11.

There is movement among whites, where McCain's once 22-point lead is today reduced to single digits.

There is movement among the well-to-do, where today for the first time Obama leads.

There is movement among pro-choice voters, where Obama's lead has doubled since August.

McCain no longer leads in any region of the state. In Northeastern VA, which includes the DC suburbs, Obama leads by 24 points. In Central Virginia, home of the Confederate White House, the Museum of the Confederacy and Appomattox, Obama today leads by 8. In Southeastern Virginia, Obama leads by 11. In the Shenandoah, where John McCain led by 24 points one month ago, Obama and McCain today tie.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Virginia adults 10/04/08 and 10/05/08. Of the adults, 832 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 666 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Virginia has 13 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Virginia by 8 points in both 2004 and 2000. Virginia last cast its Electoral College votes for a Democratic Presidential candidate in 1964, when Lyndon Johnson defeated Barry Goldwater.

A Suffolk Poll shows Obama with a similarly commanding lead in the state, 51% to 39%.

On OffTheBus, Diane Tucker reports that new voter registration in Virginia has far exceeded the Obama campaign's goals. The Politico adds that Virginia Republicans are warning McCain that he could lose the state, which has gone Republican in every presidential election since 1964.

Comments

[oneblackvote]

Virginia we owe you big time. California is so proud of you, thank you. Obama08.

[JCB360]

If you support Barack Obama and Joe Biden and are tired of all of the republican lies, smear campaigns and swift boat politics, please visit this website

www.republicansareliars.com

[mvy]

The real issue is not how well Obama or McCain might do state-by-state, but that we shouldn't have battleground states and spectator states in the first place. Every vote in every state should be politically relevant and equal.

The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC). The bill would take effect only when enacted by states possessing a majority of the electoral vote (270 of 538). All the electoral votes from those states would be awarded to the candidate with the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).

The National Popular Vote bill has been approved by 21 legislative chambers (one house in CO, AR, ME, NC, and WA, and two houses in MD, IL, HI, CA, MA, NJ, RI, and VT). It has been enacted into law in Hawaii, Illinois, New Jersey, and Maryland. These states have 50 (19%) of the 270 electoral votes needed.

See http://www.NationalPopularVote.com

[PepperzMom]

Yes, Virginia, there is a Santa Claus!

He's coming early this year...all dressed in BLUE!!!!

[jcrush]

I love it !!

[ByersL]

In Northern Va, where I live, Obama was destined to win; we went for Kerry in 04 and the young, educated population has only gotten more liberal. However, I think Obama has made such progress because of his appeal, and once neighbors start talking, and see it's "ok" to vote for the young, black guy, it's gotten easier for them to admit ,and actually celebrate, their choice.

[Blah Blah Blah]

Oct 6 Polling Update.
http://voteforamerica.net/editorials/Comments.aspx?ArticleId=91&ArticleName=Poll+Update

Checkout my piece on Youth Voter Registration. For every 100 registered voters aged 18-24, the democrats accrue a 9 vote advantage.
http://voteforamerica.net/editorials/Comments.aspx?ArticleId=85&ArticleName=Youth+Vote%3a+The+Power+of+Registration

Obama 364, McCain 174
http://voteforamerica.net/electoral.aspx

[Ladyrantsalot]

It is amazing --I guess I would have to say uplifting--to read that the old capital of the confederacy is likely to vote for the first African American candidate for president. If this keeps up much longer I will have to start believing in progress again.

[Frenchy9]

Yes, we can respect Americans again.

[indc]

Let's all keep working and be very, very vigilant for various schemes to steal votes, before, during, and once the polls are closed....­.... we cannot allow this election to be stolen, like the last two.

[hopefulinpa]

Thank you Virgina!

[Liberoservative]

This is awesome and some 89 percent of those polled said that their minds were made up!!!

Woot!!!

Now get to work peeps! Lots more work to do before November 4! :)

GObama/Biden 08/12!!!

[GuyFawkes]

From NBS/WSJ (Love that last paragraph. Palin has flatlined; Standing ovation to Joe)

Obama is ahead of McCain by six points, 49-43 percent, which equals his biggest lead in this poll. Two weeks ago, the Democratic nominee held a two-point advantage over his Republican counterpart, 48-46 percent.

Voters, the survey finds, believe Obama responded to the crisis more effectively than McCain did. Thirty-four percent say they felt more reassured by Obama's approach, versus 29 percent who said they felt less reassured. That's compared with just 25 percent who were reassured by McCain's response, versus 38 percent who were less reassured.

The poll also comes after the first presidential and vice-presidential debates. While analysts and pundits might disagree over the performances, the survey finds that there was a clear winner among voters: Obama-Biden. By a 50-29 percent margin, respondents say Obama and Biden bested their GOP opponents at the debates.

In particular, Biden saw his poll numbers rise after his debate against Alaska Palin. Two weeks ago, 64 percent said that the Delaware senator was qualified to be president if the need arises. The number has now jumped to 74 percent. By comparison, just 41 believe that Palin is qualified to be president, which is virtually unchanged from the last survey.

[BIG JOHN]

DON'T TRUST THE POLLS, DON'T TRUST THE MEDIA, AS COACH K SAYS IN THE AD DON'T STOP MOVING. KEEP ON PUSHING, CAN'T STOP NOW, MOVE UP A LITTLE HIGHER, SOME WAY, SOME HOW, WE HAVE OUR STRENGTH AND IT DON'T MAKE SINCE WE'VE GOT TO KEEP ON PUSHING.

GREAT WORK FOLKS. MUCH LOVE TO ALL.

[PTAPittbull]

we need more new yorkers and californians to move to battle ground states :P

[lohy]

Californian here......­..We will owe you when this is over....

[PTAPittbull]

i think with the bailout many voters will reject both candidates and will vote for bob barr
i have a feeling bob baar may get 10% of the national vote and nadeer may get 8%

[rockyb26]

And they will most likely be Republican voters who are dissatisfied with their ticket. The Dems are solidly behind Obama. Period.

[poeticsinger]

Woohoo! I went canvassing yesterday in VA!!

[SouthAfricanGirl]

Keep up the good work poeticsinger! Much respect to you guys, makes the rest of us believe in Americans gain

[SouthAfricanGirl]

oops ... *again