Polls: Obama Surging In Four Battleground States

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The Huffington Post   |  Rachel Weiner
First Posted: 10-14-08 11:51 AM   |   Updated: 11-14-08 05:12 AM

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Quinnipiac finds that Barack Obama now polls ahead of John McCain, and over 50 percent, in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin. In three of those four states, Obama's lead is in the double digits.

In Colorado, Obama leads 52 to McCain's 43 percent. In Michigan he is up 54 to 38 percent. In Minnesota Obama leads 51 to 40 percent, and in Wisconsin 51 to McCain's 43 percent.

Boosted by the economic crisis and a strong debate performance, Democrat Barack Obama is over the 50 percent mark in the key battleground states of Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin, and for the first time leads or ties Republican John McCain among white voters in all four states, according to four simultaneous Quinnipiac University polls of likely voters conducted in partnership with The Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com and released today.


By wide margins, voters in each state say Sen. Obama understands the economy better than Sen. McCain. By bigger margins, voters say McCain better understands foreign policy.
...

"Sen. Obama's leads in these four battleground states are as large as they have been the entire campaign. Those margins may be insurmountable barring a reversal that has never been seen before in the modern era in which polling monitors public opinion throughout the campaign," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

...

"Any realistic chance of McCain coming from behind depends on scoring a knockout in this week's last debate. But given that he has been judged by the electorate to have lost both of the previous face-offs, that would seem to be a very tall order."

The Wall Street Journal pinpoints Obama's success with independents:

Significantly, Sen. Obama now has opened a strong lead with independents, a key voting bloc. More than half of independent voters in each state said they were supporting Sen. Obama.


"This election was always going to be about which candidate could win over independents," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. And Sen. McCain is "getting annihilated in these states."

And the Washington Post adds that Democratic gains in these states continue down the ticket:

In Colorado's open seat Senate race, Democratic Rep. Mark Udall holds a commanding 54 percent to 40 percent lead over former Republican Rep. Bob Schaffer. In Minnesota, Sen. Norm Coleman (R) has slipped into a dead heat with his Democratic opponent Al Franken; Franken stands at 38 percent to 36 percent for Coleman and 18 percent for independent candidate Dean Barkley.
Quinnipiac finds that Barack Obama now polls ahead of John McCain, and over 50 percent, in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin. In three of those four states, Obama's lead is in the double dig...
Quinnipiac finds that Barack Obama now polls ahead of John McCain, and over 50 percent, in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin. In three of those four states, Obama's lead is in the double dig...
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Momentarily Off Topic.....

Check out this letter David Plouffe sent to Mac & Co regarding voter fraud. They got served by O & Co.

http://www.politicshome.com/usa/#3791

But, as usual good ole corporate media isn't talking about.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:53 PM on 10/14/2008
- nellie I'm a Fan of nellie 492 fans permalink
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don't see it

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:58 PM on 10/14/2008
- BillCarson I'm a Fan of BillCarson 5 fans permalink
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neither do I.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:11 PM on 10/14/2008
- nellie I'm a Fan of nellie 492 fans permalink
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Mickey Edwards:

"If Obama gets a big win, it will be McCain himself, and the Three Stooges calling the shots at his headquarters who will deserve whatever blame is attached for transforming a viable and energetic Obama campaign into a steamroller grinding the Republican Party into the ground."

http://www.politico.com/arena/bio/mickey_edwards.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:52 PM on 10/14/2008
- Chibikim I'm a Fan of Chibikim 5 fans permalink

Everyone, lets all work hard and make sure people get out and vote. Lets NOT take things for granted. Anything can happen. I want this to be over with too XD

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:51 PM on 10/14/2008
- kellygrrrl I'm a Fan of kellygrrrl 640 fans permalink
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Got him right where you want him, heh?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:49 PM on 10/14/2008
- all4peace I'm a Fan of all4peace 4 fans permalink

Yes, just where we want them. Got Them!
And John McCain quotes another personal hero...Gen­eral G. Custer!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:57 PM on 10/14/2008

Obama will win by at least 5% points and more than 350 electoral votes

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:48 PM on 10/14/2008
- BillCarson I'm a Fan of BillCarson 5 fans permalink
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If everyone who wants to vote gets to vote.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:13 PM on 10/14/2008
- Grunty1 I'm a Fan of Grunty1 216 fans permalink

The 350 is probably wrong. He will win WITH 350 votes, probalby not BY 350.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:15 PM on 10/14/2008

PLEASE,,,Don't just talk about it,,volunteer to help GET OUT THE VOTE.. Just find the nearest Obama Campaign Hdqtrs. and tell them you want to help... It isn't over people. We need each and every one of you to make phone calls, canvass neighborhoods or do whatever it takes to guaratee an Obama victory...­Each and every one of you has an hour or so a week....It can make all the difference. PLEASE VOLUNTEER!!!!!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:41 PM on 10/14/2008
- DFL I'm a Fan of DFL 36 fans permalink
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HUSSEIN = NEO CONS ARE OUT OF MATERIAL.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:39 PM on 10/14/2008

This race is over. Has been for quite some time. The media has just been making it seem closer than it is for ratings.

I just did the math. Obama can lose Missouri, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina AND Nevada (all "battleground" states according to the media) and still end up winning. McCain's ONLY hope is to not only get all of those (which he's trailing in every one of em) AND to turn either Colorado, Minnesota or Wisconsin.

Fat chance.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:35 PM on 10/14/2008

Probably..­.but still, I'm keeping my head down and working my hind end off until Nov 4th... never, never take anything for granted. If 2000 and 2004 taught us anything, it should have taught us that.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:40 PM on 10/14/2008

Let's also not forget the vast attempts by the GOP to suppress democratic votes in key battleground states. That's what worries me.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:48 PM on 10/14/2008
- nellie I'm a Fan of nellie 492 fans permalink
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Then let's turn this thing into a blowout.

No excuses for not working, not getting to the polls.

Everybody vote! And check your registration while there's still time:
http://www.votepoke.com/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:59 PM on 10/14/2008
- BillCarson I'm a Fan of BillCarson 5 fans permalink
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Just tested http://www.votepoke.com/ It works!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:17 PM on 10/14/2008
- MyGoodMojo I'm a Fan of MyGoodMojo 10 fans permalink
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I'm a registered Dem in Central PA. I just got a mailer from the RNC with a pic of the flag going up over Iwo Jima on one side and a media blurb about O's tax projections not adding up on the other. The target audience seems to be folks my parents' ages-- late 70's, early 80's.

The irony is that my folks live next door, both are life-long Repubs (moderates­--remember them?), and both intend to vote for Obama.

The RNC is spending money trying to convince me to vote for their candidate when they can't convince those of their own party to do so! My parents haven't heard "boo" from their party.

Can you see the light?!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:34 PM on 10/14/2008
- Toonadude I'm a Fan of Toonadude 15 fans permalink

The Republicans have taken Central PA for granted for years. Maybe this election will change that.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:52 PM on 10/14/2008

hey me too! im in the mechanicsburg area and all i see are mcphalin signs....a­nd a few obama signs! woohoo! hope we can knock him outta the state! plus i know many repubs that will vote for obama but wont say it or make it public cuz of the rest of the people might mock them or something! get ready for the Obama effect!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:16 PM on 10/14/2008

Al Frankin better send the Obama's a Christmas card. lol

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:33 PM on 10/14/2008

Did anybody see CNN in regards to AIP? They are blowing her up (No Pun)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:32 PM on 10/14/2008
- chronic I'm a Fan of chronic 71 fans permalink
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Yes and its about time!!!


I sent many emails to CNN asking them why have they not covered this story?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:39 PM on 10/14/2008
- allonfla I'm a Fan of allonfla 34 fans permalink

me too and about the troopergate investigation results. I copied and pasted a comment to CBS, ABC, MSNBC AND CNN. Didn't bother with FOX.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:46 PM on 10/14/2008
- biglover I'm a Fan of biglover 42 fans permalink

I hate to sound ignornant because I'm not, but who is AIP and what story are you talking about????

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:03 PM on 10/14/2008

Agreed, we can't get overconfident and take anything for granted. But, boy, this is sure feeling sweet!!!!Anyone for dancing in the street Tuesday night, 11/4?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:31 PM on 10/14/2008

I will be....in fact, I predict that there will dancing in the streets around the entire world. Besides the obvious historical component, I think we are going to witness something even greater with how the world reacts to an Obama victory.

Although I fully agree...no celebrating until it happens. We can't let our guard down.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:40 PM on 10/14/2008
- WABJR I'm a Fan of WABJR 4 fans permalink

WHAT DO WE DO WHEN THIS IS OVER?!

Let's face it, for writers like myself, political pundits, and just plain ole' take a break around the water cooler, hang out at the bars, texting, emailing kind of folks, a huge question awaits us after November 4, 2008.

NOW WHAT?

I mean, what do we do? What do we write about, talk about, argue about and last but not least, laugh out loud about?

For two years running, we've had Hillary and Obama, McCain and Obama and (God love her for all the material), Sarah-I'm Gonna Skin A Moose-You Betcha-While I Drop A Hockey Puck-Palin. We checked the blogs, cursed at Fox News, couldn't wait to hear what Letterman had to say and wondered openly why we never saw Tina Fey and Sarah Palin in the same place at the same time. But come the 4th day of November, all of it is over. With the click of a switch, a punch at a chad, or simply a decision by the Supreme Court, the hilarity we have come to know as Presidential Politics will leave us for four whole years. (MORE) http://www.digitalpolitic.com/?p=64

THE DIGITAL POLITIC

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:30 PM on 10/14/2008
- lucite I'm a Fan of lucite 22 fans permalink
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Let's end the war in Iraq. How's that for conversation?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:39 PM on 10/14/2008
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WABJR -

You're funny....b­ut, I agree.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:50 PM on 10/14/2008
- rmreddicks I'm a Fan of rmreddicks 35 fans permalink
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But you're not even funny. If you want to jerk off knock yourself out.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:20 PM on 10/14/2008
- ricitizen I'm a Fan of ricitizen 17 fans permalink
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For what it's worth (and IMHO, it's worth a great deal) please note the following:
October 14, 2008
Three 2008 Nobel Laureates In Science Endorse Obama

Barack Obama's campaign will announce today that three 2008 Nobel laureates in Science have added their names to a list of 62 Nobel winners endorsing the Democratic candidate for president: Martin Chalfie of Columbia University, Roger Tsien of the University of California at San Diego, and the University of Chicago's Yoichiro Nambu.

See link for the full letter and story.
http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/10/three_2008_nobe.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:30 PM on 10/14/2008
- ladeyday I'm a Fan of ladeyday 3 fans permalink

Paul Krugman Nobel Economics 2008 is an Obama supporter. It should be an ad!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:03 PM on 10/14/2008

Get off you A$$e$ and VOTE! VOTE! VOTE!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:28 PM on 10/14/2008
- oafishcad I'm a Fan of oafishcad 44 fans permalink

We can't vote vote vote. But we can vote.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:45 PM on 10/14/2008
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