Poll finds high anxiety on economy this month

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TOM RAUM | October 20, 2008 01:36 PM EST | AP

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WASHINGTON — With little relief in sight, people are getting more anxious about the slumping economy and how it affects them.

The share of people who believe the country is moving in the right direction has plunged in just a few weeks, from 28 percent in September to 15 percent in October, according to an Associated Press-Yahoo News poll of likely voters that was released Monday.

At the same time there is a drop in those surveyed who say they are happy about the way things are going in their own lives. Now 59 percent say they are personally happy, compared with 70 percent last month.

The magnitude of the financial meltdown and its impact on the overall economy is hitting people hard across the social and economic spectrum.

Strikingly, one-third are worried about losing their jobs, half fret they will be unable to keep up with mortgage and credit card payments, and seven in 10 are anxious that their stocks and retirement investments are losing value, according to the poll.

Also, there is widespread distress about being able to afford unexpected medical expenses and children's college expenses, and having to postpone retirement because their savings have eroded, the survey found.

"I'm just a normal person trying to get by in life," said Mary Huss, 57, an unemployed social worker from Salinas, Calif., who is facing cash shortages and questions about how she will pay her medical costs and her teenagers' college expenses. "And yet I feel fortunate that I'm not in the place where a lot of Americans are where they're losing their homes."

The AP-Yahoo News poll, conducted by Knowledge Networks, has repeatedly interviewed a group of about 2,000 people since last November in an effort to get a person-by-person view of how the country is reacting to the presidential campaign and the events affecting it.

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The picture the survey paints of those who have grown less happy since September is telling. One-third are retirees.

James Haste, 78, of Arvada, Colo., is among those who have watched their retirement savings shrink.

In September he said the nation was headed in the right direction. Now he is among the 84 percent who say it is hurtling off track. The retired engineer lists the financial crisis, the energy situation and rising unemployment as the top problems.

"Markets are going to come back, but not soon," he said. Banks and other financial institutions "are going to have to write off a lot of bad stuff, and who's going to take the hit? The banks can't do it if they're going to stay in business. It's a slow process."

A Republican, Haste said he sees government bailouts such as the $700 billion plan passed by Congress this month and the Treasury Department's plans to buy shares in major banks as necessary evils. Overall, 54 percent said they approved of the rescue plan, 28 percent disapproved and the rest had no opinion.

The poll shows how financial worries have permeated all corners of society, with some hit harder than others:

_While about one-third overall worry about financing a child's college education, six in 10 people under age 45 are anxious about it.

_53 percent worry they will have to work longer because their retirement savings have dwindled, and 66 percent of people in their 40s feel that way.

_One-third worry about losing their job, but nearly half in their 30s and 40s do.

_Forty-six percent of whites and 62 percent of blacks worry about making mortgage and credit card payments.

_Sixty-six percent overall are concerned about facing major medical bills, including 78 percent of unmarried women.

_Nearly eight in 10 college graduates worry that the value of their stocks and retirement investments is falling.

Public approval of both President Bush and Congress has followed the downward spiral of financial markets, the survey showed.

The poll found that 25 percent said they approved of the way Bush was handling his presidency, down from 32 percent in August. Remarkably, just 3 percent said they strongly approve of the job Bush is doing, compared with 51 percent strongly disapproving.

Just 11 percent said they approved of the job Congress is doing, while virtually no one gave lawmakers strong approval.

Anderson Lee, 21, a caregiver from Bowling Green, Ohio, is among those saying the country is heading the right way.

"Certainly there are some problems we're facing now with the economy and overseas issues," Lee said. "But we've faced larger problems in the past. That spirit of working together and working to make the country better will drive us through the problems we're facing."

Donna Gasior, 43, a professor at a Detroit-area community college, said the stock market tumble is having a "huge effect because pretty much everyone's retirement funds are in the stock market." She said she believes she has time to recoup but her 69-year-old mother "gets a majority of her income just from investments."

A Democrat, Gasior said that "mismanagement and policies have really come home to roost with the economic collapse we're seeing. I think things have been on the wrong track for a long time."

The AP-Yahoo News poll included 841 likely voters, was conducted from Oct. 3-13, and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. Included were interviews with 373 Democrats, 252 Republicans and 214 independents.

The poll was conducted over the Internet by Knowledge Networks, which initially contacted people using traditional telephone polling methods and followed with online interviews. People chosen for the study who had no Internet access were given it for free.

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AP Director of Surveys Trevor Tompson, News Survey Specialist Dennis Junius and writers Christine Simmons and Alan Fram contributed to this report.

___

On the Net:

Polling site: http://news.yahoo.com/polls

WASHINGTON — With little relief in sight, people are getting more anxious about the slumping economy and how it affects them. The share of people who believe the country is moving in the right ...
WASHINGTON — With little relief in sight, people are getting more anxious about the slumping economy and how it affects them. The share of people who believe the country is moving in the right ...
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- Anciano I'm a Fan of Anciano 17 fans permalink
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Why would anybody support the tail end of the lame duck Bush economy? Retail sales numbers are closely watched. Posit two extremes: One, car sales and retail sales grow and this validates the policies of the outgoing administration and thus helps the annointed candidate of that party. Two, retail sales are dismal and this hurts the reputation of the outgoing administration and promotes change. This is why my family is witholding as much spending as we can until election day and if we can hold off, until inauguration day. What we do buy is paid for with cash or checks so as to not register on the credit card tallies. We're witholding our discretionary spending until the Obama recovery.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:22 AM on 10/23/2008
- oldfart1 I'm a Fan of oldfart1 4 fans permalink

People are rightly worried. 8 years of bad government - or no government - can't be fixed in a few months. Barack can do it in 2 or 3 years, but McCain would just make things worse, and even Reps can see that.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:10 PM on 10/21/2008
- sammyscout I'm a Fan of sammyscout 13 fans permalink
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Look oldfart, Obama is a mere mortal. To think for a second that the current problems will go away in 2-3 years is something only an oldfart could come up with. We're in for the long haul, We had a 100 year long honey moon, its high time we joined the rest of the world with real issues and real problems, not those whiny ones you go running to your shrink about. Any other country at this juncture would have their citizens out on the streets, here the amount of comfort has allowed a new degree of complacency. With GW, the corruption has been blatant starting from the first day he was in office. Playboy did an extensive piece on 6 decision GW made in the first 30 days that cost US lives. Exxon will try, Obama will try harder and better, Palin will take us shopping but don't expect miracles. Honeymoon over.

Obama/Biden '08

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:56 PM on 10/22/2008

Here is a refreshing new thought-Why is Exxon-Mobile putting out all the "aren't we just the nicest guys you ever saw commercials" in their new Battery seal and technology Commercials? The Answer might have something to do with the mounting anger over the demise of the U.S. Auto Industry, Trucking Industry, Airline Industry, and the American Middle Class that is currently unemployed! Another really nasty thought is that the GOP is rapidly withdrawing from their early insistance on checking voter's registration as so many have been forced out of their homes that the address checks will be in error and the GOP is absolutely right that these out of work voters will not vote for them! Diehard Republicans may try to blame the Democrats for the economic breakdown but these foreclosed on Voters aren't buying anything but G.W. Bush and Big Oil Profits on $4.00 gasoline! Betweeen two and three million Americans are out of job, home, benefits, and savings and so is the Country because of Bush's failure to act! Put that in your pipe and try to smoke It!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:27 PM on 10/21/2008
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**BREAKING NEWS!**

THIS JUST IN: The sun will appear to rise tomorrow in the east and travel westward until it appears to set. It is predicted that darkness will ensue.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:23 AM on 10/21/2008
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Oh, thank God. I thought all of this political hyperbole was going to mean the worst...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:56 PM on 10/22/2008

I think the government should go ahead and purchase 80% stakes in all of these financial firms and banks and hold the shares for two or three years. place new CEOs in the firms that were managed the worst with new qualified peoples. Then with the new monies these institutions receive from our investments they continue normal business with new regulations from the government while we are invested in them.

Then the government should take over all the foreclosed properties we own and raffle them off to the public with tickets priced no more than $100 dollars until the appraised value of the house is met. Like a lottery instead of winning a million dollars you have a chance to win a home as long as you can afford the property taxes.(THIS WILL GENERATE LOTS OF CASH PROFIT THAT CAN BE USED TO BETTER OUR COMMUNITIES AND LIFESTYLES) The government(local and national) maybe should go ahead and purchase all foreclosed properties that are up for auction as a matter of law and sell them off in this matter.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:38 PM on 10/20/2008

Why? What's wrong with the economy?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:36 PM on 10/20/2008
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Nothing too serious. A good hug from John McCain will soon fix everything.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:11 PM on 10/21/2008
- DLB I'm a Fan of DLB 41 fans permalink
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Does anyone really need any more proof that the democrats were the cause of this economic meltdown?

"Democrats are giving Republicans the hearing they’ve been demanding to dig into the failures of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but it won’t happen until after the election."

http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/dems-to-hold-fannie-freddie-hearing--after-the-election-2008-10-20.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:19 PM on 10/20/2008

Yeah, we have "high anxiety" cause we've got the Bailout Blues.

http://joelmoore.bandcamp.mu/

Welcome to the Bailout Blooooz...

"I got them seven hundred billion kill ya
upper east side diamonds thrill ya
seersucker motherf***er
wall street worship
god of trillions blooooz
Welcome to the bailout blooooz

Put your hands up in the air
Wave em around like you just don't care
Cause you're being robbed....."

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:36 PM on 10/20/2008
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"High anxiety."
Gee, ya think?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:26 PM on 10/20/2008

Amazingly, all of Joe Biden's comments have not been printed. After saying that he expected a major crisis to hit the USA , generated probably after about 6 months after Obama enters office that USA shouldn't be alarmed!!!! Biden said that "Barack has nerves of steel."

Of course, it took Andrea Mitchell to straighten out the McCain representative. He admitted that they took Biden's words out of context and will continue to do so because it's all a part of politics...

so sad...Anyone who thinks that we will be a crisis-free nation is living in a fantasy. At least we won't have to worry about Barack changing strategies every two hours until he sorta-kind­a-maybe-pe­rhaps gets a handle on it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:06 PM on 10/20/2008

It does not matter who the President will be. Times are going to be tough.

Thank God for someone as experienced as Biden and Obama to help hold down the fort.

And with Colin Powell as an adviser, we know that if United States does have an international crisis, he will do the right thing.

He has shown his strength in the past...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:44 PM on 10/20/2008

Colin Powell if nothing else was the antitheses of "The October Surprise" helps calm me down that no international threat need occur to make us vote for McCain as the only one to handle a crisis from abroad because Powell's endorsement implies Obama could handle it better.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:11 PM on 10/21/2008

Has anyone heard that Joe Biden said during a rally on Sunday that after Obama is elected there will be an international crisis and we will all have to keep supporting Obama while he deals with it?

I am wondering exactly what he meant by those comments..

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:51 PM on 10/20/2008
- Mike169 I'm a Fan of Mike169 44 fans permalink
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Isn't there always an international crisis.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:00 PM on 10/20/2008

Yea always-besides McCaign aide admitted he took Biden's words out of context. If Biden had made such a gaffe it would be here on HuffPo.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:13 PM on 10/21/2008

The US is bankrupt.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:41 PM on 10/20/2008

Wall street will tank regardless, and go through a manipulated up and down market. 700 billion dollar handout will assure that, and in the end, there will be some very rich people once again. Impeach Bush, dont' let him get away with the destruction of a once great nation.

http://www.ronnierayjenkins.com/topics/deathinappalachia/Empty_Chairs/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:49 PM on 10/20/2008

It will be interesting to see how badly Wall Street tanks the day after election day if Obama is elected.

With him talking about more regulation, capital gains increases and increased taxes for corporations and wealthy Americans it has to have an impact.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:08 PM on 10/20/2008
- Blue in NH I'm a Fan of Blue in NH 12 fans permalink
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IN as much as every time Bush opens his mouth the markets go down 500 points I would say the chances are Obama's election will have a very positive effect indeed on the stock market. Not every investor is a crook.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:20 PM on 10/20/2008
- ggmome I'm a Fan of ggmome 13 fans permalink

Thank you for your lodgical response to a inciteful post from wisemonkey. All morning I have been switching from network to cable news, and each place is worse than the other, there is so much McCain leaning news, and fear mongering news, till it is sickening.

Two weeks, out the RNC and the MSM are loosing it. What they don't understand, is We, the People, have lived through their slanting of the news in the GOP favor close to election, and we know their games... At least some of us do! The best one commentator could present, while covering Virginia Beach, VA, is that Gov Kaine is a Democrat and of course he thinks Powell's endorsement of Obama was great. But, VA hasn't voted Dem in 40 years in a National Election, and that the lawn signs were unaminously McCain/Palin, so McCain was winning that race in Virginia Beach!

Not one visual of the 175,000 at the St Louis Rally for Obama, nothing positive about Obama.

This race is not ALL about McCain or Palin! Its a two way proposition here!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:56 PM on 10/20/2008

The economy is in the shape it is, because of Bush the great corrupter. Don't even attempt to blame it on anything else. One needs only to look at his failed business ventures handed to him by evil daddy to know what the problem is:

http://www.ronnierayjenkins.com/topics/deathinappalachia/Empty_Chairs/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:51 PM on 10/20/2008
- BCubedReg I'm a Fan of BCubedReg 6 fans permalink

Well... you'll get your chance to see..

I'm betting it will go up though...

I think the fact that an intelligent perosn will finally be at the helm of the nation will provide strength to the market. I think if J. McCain get's elected, Mr. "I don't know alot about the economy", the market will plunge 1000 pts.

We'll see..

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:53 PM on 10/20/2008
- Mike169 I'm a Fan of Mike169 44 fans permalink
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Monkey maybe - wise hardly. Look at the impact of having capital gains, no regulation and no taxes on corporations. How could it be worse. They've gotten everything they wanted and stole even more. Yet you feel that they should be unregulated? Please go vote for McCain because you belong in a party that treats stupidity as though it were a blessing.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:04 PM on 10/20/2008

It will be interesting to see how badly Wall Street tanks the day after election day if Obama is elected.
__________­__________­__________­__________­__________­__________­___

The irony is that if you look at the market historically, in the long term, Wall Street has done significantly better when a Democrat has been in the White House than when a Republican was in charge. I believe the average yearly gain under Dems has been something like 11% as opposed to 8% under Republican administrations. That means that with all the business-friendly propaganda the right wing throws at us, investors have on average done 35% better under Dems. A significant difference, and an inconvenient statistic that Republicans would prefer you didn't know.

There have been many attempts by economists to explain what might seem totally illogical at first glance. Why should this be the case when Republican tax policy tends to favor big business? To me the answer seems obvious. Republican policy only seems to favor business in general. What it really does favor is the wealthy at the expense of the middle class. But with Dems in power, the middle class generally has more disposable income, consumers spend more freely, boosting the economy and stock prices in the process.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:20 PM on 10/20/2008
- 23000Days I'm a Fan of 23000Days 91 fans permalink
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I've been checking the RCP averages daily this year. It's been months since "right direction" was in the 20's and nothing over 23 this whole year.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:18 PM on 10/20/2008
- hollybork I'm a Fan of hollybork 65 fans permalink

We have reason to be concerned. The integrity of the US banking system is now in doubt. This leaves sovereign wealth funds and foreign investors such as China in a dilemma as to whether or not to buy our bonds and continue their belief that the US is the safest economy in which to park your spare cash. Look whqt we have come to - a deterioration in our world standing in political, moral and economic solidity. We are in dire straights and only a seachange of an election, and a new openness to novel and paradigm shifting solutions can truly restore us.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:06 PM on 10/20/2008
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