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Poll: One-Third Of Americans Fear They May Lose Jobs

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TOM RAUM   10/20/08 02:36 PM ET   AP

WASHINGTON — With little relief in sight, people are getting more anxious about the slumping economy and how it affects them.

The share of people who believe the country is moving in the right direction has plunged in just a few weeks, from 28 percent in September to 15 percent in October, according to an Associated Press-Yahoo News poll of likely voters that was released Monday.

At the same time there is a drop in those surveyed who say they are happy about the way things are going in their own lives. Now 59 percent say they are personally happy, compared with 70 percent last month.

The magnitude of the financial meltdown and its impact on the overall economy is hitting people hard across the social and economic spectrum.

Strikingly, one-third are worried about losing their jobs, half fret they will be unable to keep up with mortgage and credit card payments, and seven in 10 are anxious that their stocks and retirement investments are losing value, according to the poll.

Also, there is widespread distress about being able to afford unexpected medical expenses and children's college expenses, and having to postpone retirement because their savings have eroded, the survey found.

"I'm just a normal person trying to get by in life," said Mary Huss, 57, an unemployed social worker from Salinas, Calif., who is facing cash shortages and questions about how she will pay her medical costs and her teenagers' college expenses. "And yet I feel fortunate that I'm not in the place where a lot of Americans are where they're losing their homes."

The AP-Yahoo News poll, conducted by Knowledge Networks, has repeatedly interviewed a group of about 2,000 people since last November in an effort to get a person-by-person view of how the country is reacting to the presidential campaign and the events affecting it.

The picture the survey paints of those who have grown less happy since September is telling. One-third are retirees.

James Haste, 78, of Arvada, Colo., is among those who have watched their retirement savings shrink.

In September he said the nation was headed in the right direction. Now he is among the 84 percent who say it is hurtling off track. The retired engineer lists the financial crisis, the energy situation and rising unemployment as the top problems.

"Markets are going to come back, but not soon," he said. Banks and other financial institutions "are going to have to write off a lot of bad stuff, and who's going to take the hit? The banks can't do it if they're going to stay in business. It's a slow process."

A Republican, Haste said he sees government bailouts such as the $700 billion plan passed by Congress this month and the Treasury Department's plans to buy shares in major banks as necessary evils. Overall, 54 percent said they approved of the rescue plan, 28 percent disapproved and the rest had no opinion.

The poll shows how financial worries have permeated all corners of society, with some hit harder than others:

_While about one-third overall worry about financing a child's college education, six in 10 people under age 45 are anxious about it.

_53 percent worry they will have to work longer because their retirement savings have dwindled, and 66 percent of people in their 40s feel that way.

_One-third worry about losing their job, but nearly half in their 30s and 40s do.

_Forty-six percent of whites and 62 percent of blacks worry about making mortgage and credit card payments.

_Sixty-six percent overall are concerned about facing major medical bills, including 78 percent of unmarried women.

_Nearly eight in 10 college graduates worry that the value of their stocks and retirement investments is falling.

Public approval of both President Bush and Congress has followed the downward spiral of financial markets, the survey showed.

The poll found that 25 percent said they approved of the way Bush was handling his presidency, down from 32 percent in August. Remarkably, just 3 percent said they strongly approve of the job Bush is doing, compared with 51 percent strongly disapproving.

Just 11 percent said they approved of the job Congress is doing, while virtually no one gave lawmakers strong approval.

Anderson Lee, 21, a caregiver from Bowling Green, Ohio, is among those saying the country is heading the right way.

"Certainly there are some problems we're facing now with the economy and overseas issues," Lee said. "But we've faced larger problems in the past. That spirit of working together and working to make the country better will drive us through the problems we're facing."

Donna Gasior, 43, a professor at a Detroit-area community college, said the stock market tumble is having a "huge effect because pretty much everyone's retirement funds are in the stock market." She said she believes she has time to recoup but her 69-year-old mother "gets a majority of her income just from investments."

A Democrat, Gasior said that "mismanagement and policies have really come home to roost with the economic collapse we're seeing. I think things have been on the wrong track for a long time."

The AP-Yahoo News poll included 841 likely voters, was conducted from Oct. 3-13, and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. Included were interviews with 373 Democrats, 252 Republicans and 214 independents.

The poll was conducted over the Internet by Knowledge Networks, which initially contacted people using traditional telephone polling methods and followed with online interviews. People chosen for the study who had no Internet access were given it for free.

___

AP Director of Surveys Trevor Tompson, News Survey Specialist Dennis Junius and writers Christine Simmons and Alan Fram contributed to this report.

___

On the Net:

Polling site: http://news.yahoo.com/polls

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WASHINGTON — With little relief in sight, people are getting more anxious about the slumping economy and how it affects them. The share of people who believe the country is moving in the right ...
WASHINGTON — With little relief in sight, people are getting more anxious about the slumping economy and how it affects them. The share of people who believe the country is moving in the right ...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
themodernleader
08:43 PM on 10/21/2008
Americans are fearful of being laid off for good reason. Much of the financial industry was ballooned by easy money. Therefore, we can reasonably see the closing of up to 50% of the American banking industry that are becoming superfluous with prices of everything contracting to their true economic/monetary value.
The obvious conclusion is that we must immediately begin the groundwork for reestablishing a formidable manufacturing component to our now 80% "service" economy----to quote Fed Chairman Bernacke. And we must create meaningful public service jobs to create and save energy and other wealth generating activities.. Nonetheless, the obvious is not at all obvious to our indoctrinated and self-serviing--special interest leaders
01:55 PM on 10/21/2008
The Foundation of this CRISIS is the "TRICK MORTGAGES" that impact MAIN STREET and WALL STREET!

TECHNOLOGY CAN SPUR THE ECONOMY, REMOVE CORRUPTION, AND AVOID MORE BAILOUTS!

FIVE KEY FACTS:

1. American Taxpayers Own Fannie, Freddie, and a group of Banks!
2. Mortgage Companies and Banks were at The CENTER of the Housing and Financial CRISIS!
3. Crisis Continues Because Homeowners can not Afford TRICKY Loans and are Walking Away!
4. The Current FED RATE is 1.5%!
5. Technology and the Internet are Sophisticated Tools for Automating Loans!

Why not use the Internet and the New Taxpayer Owned Banks to provide direct low cost loans using Automation while Eliminating the Corrupt Middle Men (i.e., Mortgage Companies and Banks)?

The rate on the new loans would be 2.5% to 3% to provide the New Taxpayer Owned Banks with a 1% to 1.5% margin!

Automation can be used to verify employment, verify home title, check credit, and do 98% of the loan Preparation. This eliminates all the mortgage fees, all bank fees, all title fees, most verification fees, and most documentation work done via internet and technology.

This could easily be accomplished using today's technology at a much LOWER COST!

The Savings for AMERICANS will spur the Economy more than any added Bailout Plans

The Savings can be used to paying debts, buy American Cars, buy American Real Estate, and all kinds of American goods plus help other countries in crisis by buying their goods!
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photo
01:07 PM on 10/21/2008
Fifteen months from now, 70% of all Americans will be doing something different and 30% won't be working at all.

Depression? You bet.

heckofajob
12:10 PM on 10/21/2008
the folks who aren't worried about their jobs aren't paying attention or don't understand the implications of what is going on.
10:53 AM on 10/21/2008
There is something perversely wrong with America. Mr. Joseph Cassano, one of the people at AIG who helped dream up the weird economics that precipitated the present financial crisis, gets a $34 million bonus, and is kept on a $1 million monthly retainer.

Yet across America, many people are committing suicide when being forced from their homes.

I think there is something obscenely wrong with an America that produces a situation where Corporate Executives are rewarded for forcing desperate people to their deaths.

Yet according to Rep. Michele Bachman of Minnesota, and Gov. Sarah Palin, thinking such thoughts brands me as an anti American and a traitor.There is something perversely wrong with America. Mr. Joseph Cassano, one of the people at AIG who helped dream up the weird economics that precipitated the present financial crisis, gets a $34 million bonus, and is kept on a $1 million monthly retainer.

Yet across America, many people are committing suicide when being forced from their homes.

I think there is something obscenely wrong with an America that produces a situation where Corporate Executives are rewarded for forcing desperate people to their deaths.

Yet according to Rep. Michele Bachman of Minnesota, and Gov. Sarah Palin, thinking such thoughts brands me as an anti American and a traitor.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Tom95134
11:02 AM on 10/21/2008
"There is something perversely wrong with America."

You can say that again. People may be worried about their jobs but they still are running to places like Wal-Mart and Sam's Club who buy a large part of their products from China. If you're wondering what I'm talking about then take the time and watch this PBS program.

>>> http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/walmart/
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dutch163
The world is crazy
12:07 PM on 10/21/2008
good for you!! something is seriously wrong
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
munki
Global to Local now Local to Global
10:44 AM on 10/21/2008
I closed the bank I worked for many years in 1999... since then... I have been independent contractor...
hard to find an executive jobs but... you can be the boss...
Look what you are good at... whatever inspire you... write it down and make a note...
In accounting... use T balance... put pros and cons...
That is why America is run by Small Businesses!!
09:54 AM on 10/21/2008
Wow, AP!!! You snuck in your poll at JUST the right time. Since 1980, 8 million manufacturing and technology jobs bled the country like from an open jugular but the fears of 1/5 of Americans weren't enough to report on, good thing you waited for that 33% mark and America is in 3rd world status.

I'm very relieved you didn't raise the alarm 10 years ago when the 20 millions un and under-employed were screaming that they can't afford healthcare or education for their children while Bill Thomas and the rest of Washington were giving tax breaks to corporations employing *SLAVE* labor in India, China, Brazil.

AP, your timing is impecable.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
vippy
Carpe Diem!
09:21 AM on 10/21/2008
And I have to wonder if those people still will vote for McCain?
05:27 AM on 10/21/2008
Even before the subprime mess blew up, the "experts" were searching for traces of a recession. Just like little kids on a road trip: "Are we there yet?" "Are we there yet?". The ups and downs of the business cycle are largely influenced by psychology. So yes, we have it in our power to make a full-blown recession out of what could otherwise be a brief downturn. All we gotta do is believe.
08:52 AM on 10/21/2008
In my neighborhood a new "for sale" sign goes up every week and every week another friend or relative has lost a job. Most Americans are struggling to pay interest on their debts, have no disposable income -- wages are flat, gas and heating oil are up, milk and bread are up. Nobody except someone with their head in the sand could think this will be a "brief downturn."
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MajorKong
If the pilot's good, see, I mean if he's reeeally
10:01 AM on 10/21/2008
Phil Gramm is that you?
11:35 PM on 10/20/2008
Wonder if they'll still vote for McCain to spite their face.
08:34 PM on 10/20/2008
I DID lose my job 3 weeks ago -- I am one of the casualties of the economy.
Read some positive tips for coping:

http://www.vaboomer.com/the_portal_to_boomeranger/2008/10/what-a-bear-market-really-tells-us-reflect-and-stay-calm.html
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dutch163
The world is crazy
09:38 AM on 10/21/2008
I am sorry to hear that..good luck
08:24 PM on 10/20/2008
Wait! Does this mean a third of Americans still have their jobs? There is hope.
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ErnestineBass
No longer a cog in The Machine.
09:10 PM on 10/20/2008
Yup...and half of those have two jobs...all paying tenement wages, of course.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dutch163
The world is crazy
09:39 AM on 10/21/2008
I think it means 2 thirds
06:47 PM on 10/20/2008
I'm one worried soul. i work in healthcare in Michigan, and the economy here has really taken a hit. We were in it before the rest of the nation, but it's getting worse and there is talk of deep cuts at our large urban hospital. My manager's advice to me was not to get into a comfort zone. Not reassuring at all, as I'm divorced and live 3,500 miles away from my blood kin, if I get evicted i'm so screwed because I don't have a car to live in in case I have to.
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ErnestineBass
No longer a cog in The Machine.
09:13 PM on 10/20/2008
One of our (few) local hospitals just shut down their obstetrics and cardiac surgical programs. Exorbitant insurance premiums were the culprit.

WE DESPERATELY NEED SINGLE PAYER HEALTH CARE IN THIS COUNTRY!!!
08:53 AM on 10/21/2008
DESPERATELY is right!!!
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Evisionary
environmentalist, political & news junky, animal
04:55 PM on 10/20/2008
My husband lost his job 3 1/2 months ago due to downsizing. We are renegotiating our loan as my husband recently found work. We didn't have an ARM, but what is really sad is that our home would have been completely paid for in 8 years. We didn't have a nest egg because I was diagnosed with cancer the same time he lost his job. We couldn't afford to pay the $1200 COBRA payment on unemployment. So we used our nest egg to pay prohibitive medical expenses. We may still loose our home. It takes two months to see if the mortgage company will renegotiate. It's hell to live with uncertainty. In addition to that my husband was forced to take a lower paying job. We will both be working into our golden years.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dadw5boys
Disabled Vietnam Vet
04:49 PM on 10/20/2008
1/ 3 of Americans are Under Employed now. Colege degrees and doing miniumn wage work !!!!!