1. Eventually, management will get tossed.
Starting with the least scientific or analytical reason for owning Yahoo, there's every reason to believe the days are numbered for CEO Jerry Yang and President Susan Decker. By all accounts fine people, they simply haven't led Yahoo well.
The former excelled as Chief Yahoo, dabbling in deals and motivating the troops. But Yang hasn't been a decision leader and is "lurching from crisis to crisis," as The New York Times aptly phrased his tenure. Decker, in turn, is widely derided in Silicon Valley as too much the finance chief, not enough the operations guru.