POLITICS

Final Presidential Polls

12/03/2008 05:12 am ET | Updated May 25, 2011

UPDATE - 2:00 PM ET on November 4

  • DailyKos/Research 2000: Obama 51, McCain 46

    Our model projects that Obama will win all states won by John Kerry in 2004, in addition to Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, Nevada, Florida and North Carolina, while narrowly losing Missouri and Indiana. These states total 353 electoral votes. Our official projection, which looks at these outcomes probabilistically -- for instance, assigns North Carolina's 15 electoral votes to Obama 59 percent of the time -- comes up with an incrementally more conservative projection of 348.6 electoral votes.

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    UPDATE - 5:30 PM ET on November 3

    New national polls this afternoon:

  • CBS News: Obama 51, McCain 42

  • UPDATE - 2:00 PM ET on November 3

    New national polls on the last day of the race: