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Obama's Mavericks? Retiring Republicans Will Be Senate Wild Cards

Freedom

First Posted: 02/23/09 05:12 AM ET Updated: 05/25/11 02:00 PM ET

A Republican retirement community of sorts is slowly forming in the United States Senate. The behavior of its liberated members could have profound implications on Obama's ability to move his agenda through Congress.

With Al Franken seated in the Senate, Democrats will have 59 members -- one short of the 60 needed to cut off debate and move legislation. Senate watchers have focused their attention on moderate Republicans like Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins of Maine or Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania.

"We're all subject to the considerations of reelection," noted Specter.

Not quite all. Count Republican Sens. Mel Martinez (Fla.), George Voinovich (Ohio) and Sam Brownback (Kansas) out of that equation. All three have announced that they won't be seeking reelection in 2010.

That freedom changes the way that a Senator approaches his job. "I've struggled with that in my own mind as to whether there's going to be any difference," Martinez told the Huffington Post. "I might have a little more independence in terms of -- independence for myself."

Senators are relentlessly pressured by powerful interest groups that can steer campaign cash their way depending on how they vote. No longer concerned about fundraising, a retiring Senator can examine an issue from more of a policy perspective than a political one.

"The biggest difference is, I don't have to plan any fundraisers and I'm not compelled to spend time on that effort," said Martinez. "So that's very liberating in that sense." He guessed that fundraising would have taken between 20 and 30 percent of his energy the next two years had he decided to run again.

Voinovich, at Hillary Clinton's secretary of state confirmation hearing, said that a major reason he decided to retire was so that he could focus on economic recovery rather than reelection. Last Thursday, he bucked his party and voted with Obama to release the second $350 billion in bailout funds.

Voinovich told the Huffington Post that his colleagues, when they notice him deviating from the party line, will chalk it up to the freedom of having retired. "I think there'll be some, 'Well, what the hell. Voinovich isn't running again, so he can do that,'" he said.

Without having to worry about reelection, said Voinovich, he's free to work on big-picture projects without concern for how they'll impact him. "It's exciting, because I'm going to try to make these the best two years that I have here and [I'm] going to be working on legacy projects," he said. "There are big things our country needs to do and I'm hopeful that somewhere along the line I'm going to have something to say about it, and I don't have to worry about raising money."

Minority Whip Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.) is in charge of corralling his party's votes. Asked if he was worried that the retirees might wander off on their own, he quickly responded, "Nope." He paused and added, "Nope."

Martinez, Brownback and Voinovich have been known to buck his party on occasion, but that urge could become stronger unconstrained by concerns for a future political career. "I generally have tried to pretty much follow my conscience -- and I know that sounds very trite -- but I have not tried to make every vote a political vote," said Martinez. He plans on leaving politics entirely, he said, and spending time on the golf course, hunting, and with his grand kids.

In the meantime, he'll be glad not to have to play the Senate's partisan games. "I have always resented the fact that we do so many message votes, frankly, on either side," he said. Look for that resentment to be voiced by a few votes he might not otherwise have made.

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A Republican retirement community of sorts is slowly forming in the United States Senate. The behavior of its liberated members could have profound implications on Obama's ability to move his agenda t...
A Republican retirement community of sorts is slowly forming in the United States Senate. The behavior of its liberated members could have profound implications on Obama's ability to move his agenda t...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
archeDeWashington
05:03 AM on 01/25/2009
Please let us make sure that Obama has easy task to fixe the economy.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQuyV6KEahQ
07:24 PM on 01/23/2009
Come on guys, let your conscience lead you to the correct decisions and side with the Democrats....
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
10:36 PM on 01/24/2009
And, if ex-staffers can no longer lobby, think of the payoff when you quit and can turn your new relationships with the executive into cold hard cash - K street'll be clean out of sharks.
06:11 PM on 01/23/2009
This article gives us yet another example of why we badly need public financing for all of our political offices.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
LiarLiarIraqsOnFire
04:14 PM on 01/24/2009
Exactly!
05:58 PM on 01/23/2009
Nate Silver has done an excellent statistical analysis on this topic, entitled "Do Retiring Republicans Mellow Out?" (URL http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/01/do-retiring-republicans-mellow-out.html ). If the recent past history holds up, it's not likely. However, Voinivich may actually be a little less conservative than his bretheren, so may side like McCain, Graham, Specter, Collins, and Snow -- but not so much for Brownback, Martinez, or Bond.
03:53 PM on 01/24/2009
IT will shock me if Brownback ever deviates from the party line..especially since it is well known he plans to run for Governor so he will have gubernatorial experience the next time he runs for President. He wants that soooooo badly. He'll be hoping his conservative credential will help him will in Kansas, but many of us are well aware of his ultimate goal to sign legislation to disallow abortion in the state, so will have a fight on his hands.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
1murillo
Can't be neutral on a moving train - Zinn
05:51 PM on 01/23/2009
Calling for term limits for Congressional offices is short sighted.

1) The limits law for the President was instituted to reduce the potential power of one individual; 2) limits in state and other offices are to provide for revolving bodies of representatives; but 3) limiting the Congressional offices to - say, 2 terms - gives extremely little power to states and the legislative branch while increasing the relative power in the executive branch and with lobbyists (as has been said).

Any problem with Congressional officeholders will be much worse if a member is an immediate lame duck. (Imagine if GWB knew the term limit dates of his opposition, he'd have paid even less attention to anyone but his select homeboys.)

There would be no reason to ever join or stay in a party. Whatever problems we have with our party system is not due to the Senators or Reps., they're merely the current face of the office.

Instead, get all eligible voters registered, teach politics and registration in schools, inspire others to dedicate their lives to public office, and, most importantly, stop blaming the current Congressmen for every poor decision made.
05:59 PM on 01/23/2009
You are soooo correct.
08:41 PM on 01/23/2009
We have term limits for state legislators in Michigan. Believe me when I tell you this is the most counterproductive move possible. Now we have a chamber full of rookies who think obstruction is statesmanship, and spend most of their time planning their next gig. They used to get a lot more done when there were some experienced hands around to guide new members. Now that task falls to lobbyists and career staffers, none of whom stand for election.
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bascombe
Send the kids off to die, bleed their country dry.
04:55 PM on 01/23/2009
so this article is supposed to make us believe that a repug will no longer act like a repug.

fat chance!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
04:09 PM on 01/23/2009
some of them old dudes should have retired a long time ago. The Rethugs are just mad because the lost and didn't really have any challengers to even try and compete with OUR Pres
05:16 PM on 01/23/2009
Even Mickey Mouse could compete with YOUR Prez.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
billw8017
History looks like this
05:25 PM on 01/23/2009
Mickey Mouse has occasionally been a candidate. One of the complaints about ACORN was that Mickey Mouse was a multiple voter. John McCain was deeply troubled by this and took it as a sign of the impending end of the republic.

The issue was whether John McCain could compete with our President, which he did, and which he lost.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rblackbird
05:27 PM on 01/23/2009
Mickey Mouse who?

Sarah Pallin?
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03:35 PM on 01/23/2009
Have any of my fellow Kansans heard anything about the Republican members of our Congressional delegation being interested in Sud.den Sam's Senate seat?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheLar
My novels for sale on Amazon.
03:16 PM on 01/23/2009
I sadly acknowledge the existence of the fact that Republicans have to wait until they have one foot out the door to do the right thing.
03:40 PM on 01/23/2009
To bad that Dems Byrd, Akaka, and some others don't have the same good sense.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
1murillo
Can't be neutral on a moving train - Zinn
06:13 PM on 01/23/2009
Geranium
"To[o] bad that Dems...."

Poor point. Committee chairmanships - because of party numbers - and seniority are some of the ways the Senate is organized. Political power is fundamentally important.

There are no GOP members as chairman, and even the most senior Republicans can do little but gripe as they try to obstruct movement with their mostly symbolic votes.
03:09 PM on 01/23/2009
this is the perfect example of having term limits for Senators and Congress. These guys are openly admitting to voting against their conscience when they have been lobbied and pressured about fund raising. These guys make me sick. The entire Legislature does for that matter.
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03:17 PM on 01/23/2009
Term limits punish the good Senators with the bad in my opinion. I'd prefer to prohibit all lobbying by prohibiting any donations to political parties, politicians or their campaigns, other than from individual eligible voters.
05:40 PM on 01/23/2009
Good idea. I have no idea how we'd enforce that, though.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
billw8017
History looks like this
05:19 PM on 01/23/2009
Term limits deal with one problem: Experience among politicians. The money is another problem. Weakening the politicians strengthens the lobbyists as they become the only ones who know what's happening or have a sense of history.

The experience of the most recent elections is that the politician with the most money wins. If you don't want politicians gathering money for their election campaigns, you have to figure out a different way to finance them.

Frankly, the people who support term limits usually oppose the current crop and change their minds when their guys get in. Their argument often is the "government doesn't work" BS. I pay my taxes and I expect my government to work! When it fails me, I don't like it.
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02:59 PM on 01/23/2009
Pathetic!

quote:
In the meantime, he'll be glad not to have to play the Senate's partisan games. "I have always resented the fact that we do so many message votes, frankly, on either side," he said.
/quote

Even at his best, he can't resist whining that "either side" or both sides, have the same flaw. The noble sentiment would be so much more genuine if he would speak about putting his own house in order without angling to share the blame.
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02:53 PM on 01/23/2009
Incorrect.

quote:
Martinez, Brownback and Voinovich have been known to buck his party on occasion, but that urge could become stronger unconstrained by concerns for a future political career.
/quote

Republicans who *do* want to have a future political career are going to need to quit brainless allegiance to the party line, and start voting for America.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
nellieh
04:11 PM on 01/23/2009
Voinovich hasn't 'bucked' his party. He opposes, crys and blusters but toes the party line when it comes down to it. Check his veterans votes. Remember he was against tax relief for the rich? He voted for it when Rove showed him in ads with bin Laden during his last election cycle.. Remember the Bolton confirmation hearings? He was opposed to Bolton but changed his mind, He is a maverick like McCain. Votes the party line over 90% of the time. Specter the same. The Democrats will have a better time with Collins and Snowe. They are just about all that is left of Republicans in the Senate from the Northeast. (New England) Maybe a Senator from Vermont. And they want to be re-elected.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MsYellowDog
02:45 PM on 01/23/2009
FAT CHANCE that any Rethuglican,anywhere, anytime,anyhow, will listen to reason(what's that?), even if a million people are camped out in a tent city in Wahington,DC,because they're homeless and starving. With them, it's ROOT HOG OR DIE for "everyone else" besides their fat contributors and the compliments of their fat(or sometimes exceedingly thin,at least in one case) radio and TV propagandizers. The Rethuglicans will manage to be the killers of this country.
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02:41 PM on 01/23/2009
Any of my fellow Kansans out there heard anything about Reps. Moran or Tiarht (gag) running for governor, or are the Republicans going to anoint Sud.den Sam?
01:21 AM on 01/24/2009
The rumor is that Tihart will run for Brownback's Senate Seat. Brownback has said he wants to run for Gov.
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iswideopen
Never Give Up; EVER
02:34 PM on 01/23/2009
And so it is; the republicans idealogy is "make your vote based on re-election". If America and Americans go over the cliff, "oh well". This is what we are attempting to stamp out from now on. We must stand behind President Obama no matter what, just as the republicans stand behind their own, no matter what. We must retain control of our government for many years to come. If we don't, we will find ourselves right back in this position because the republicans are all about "them" and "theirs", and by this I mean the "six figure theirs", not "we the working people". So, when you think President Obama is upsetting you, keep looking at the big picture; AMERICA AND AMERICANS ARE ON THE WAY BACK TO PEACE AND PROSPERITY. It will not be easy but we have HOPE and are on the right track. We voted on November 4, 2008 and WE WON. I am so proud of us for making such a massive effort. We can not blow this opportunity.