Starbucks Plans Value Meals To Compete In Tough Economy

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LAUREN SHEPHERD | February 3, 2009 10:06 AM EST | AP

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In this Nov. 10, 2008 file photo, a man pulls a cart past a Starbucks store inside the Beachwood Mall in Beachwood, Ohio. The allure of the value meal has long seduced penny-pinchers craving a cheeseburger. Now, as the dismal economy slurps up profits, Starbucks Corp. is hoping to find some sales salvation in its own value meal variety. (AP Photo/Amy Sancetta, file)

NEW YORK — The allure of the value meal has long seduced penny-pinchers craving a cheeseburger. Now, as the dismal economy slurps up profits, Starbucks Corp. is hoping to find some sales salvation in its own value meal variety.

The tug of war for coffee drinkers has gotten hotter in recent months, with McDonald's Corp. offering new, lower-priced specialty coffee drinks and Dunkin' Donuts advertising value-minded deals.

"You've got a lot of options right now for the more price-conscious consumer to save money," said Andrew Hetzel, the founder of coffee consulting group Cafemakers.

Starbucks has yet to offer many details about what Chief Executive Howard Schultz described to investors last week as "several breakfast pairings" at "attractive" prices. More details are expected as early as later this week.

But analysts wonder if the plan will be enough to keep value-seeking customers from abandoning the mermaid for the clown.

The McDonald's drinks, which are now in about half of the company's U.S. stores, have already garnered a following among some former Starbucks customers like Maudie West.

The 86-year-old resident of Kansas City, Kan. says she has an iced mocha from McDonald's "as often as I can get someone to drive through."

"I just absolutely love them," she said. "They're much richer-tasting than Starbucks."

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Starbucks is looking to rebound from dismal sales in the U.S. as more consumers cut back on spending in the deepening recession. In its fiscal first quarter report last week, same-store sales _ a key indicator of a retailer's performance _ dropped 10 percent. That's worse than the 8 percent decline in the fiscal fourth quarter.

Even in areas like the Northeast where business has remained fairly strong, some former Starbucks drinkers have been cutting back or abstaining altogether.

Kathryn Lane, a 30-year-old Brooklyn, N.Y. resident, said she used to indulge in a Starbucks latte as a treat about once a week.

"I go about once a month now at most," Lane said.

Lane has not tried the McDonald's drinks since they have yet to come to the New York City market. But she said she would give it a try: "If it was tasty, I would go back."

Restaurants have been increasingly trying to break into the specialty coffee market, which has grown substantially since 1995, when only 2.7 percent of adults drank a specialty coffee drink every day, according to the Specialty Coffee Association of America. In 2008, that percentage stood at 17 percent.

Starbucks won't say whether competition from its lower-priced rivals has contributed to its sales decline. But analysts say the economy may be driving more value-minded consumers to switch brands rather than just cut back.

"It's hard when people automatically see Starbucks as being more expensive," said Stifel Nicolaus analyst Steve West.

McDonald's is halfway through its nationwide launch of its new espresso-based drinks and said sales are hitting or exceeding internal targets. It declined to elaborate but cited the popularity of the drinks as one factor in its better than expected fourth-quarter results.

McDonald's now offers the drinks in about 7,000 of its nearly 14,000 U.S. locations. Although it is still rolling out the beverages, it is already heavily promoting them locally through coupons and samples.

The McCafe drinks are about 65 cents, or about 25 percent, cheaper on average than those at Starbucks. When shots of flavors are added, the savings increase because a flavor shot costs 35 cents each on average at Starbucks. The shots are free at McDonald's.

West, the analyst _ who is not related to Maudie West _ says he thinks the McCafe drinks will do well. Given Starbucks' sales declines, he says, "I've got to imagine some of those people are going to McDonald's."

And while McDonald's is well-known for its value meals, those include only the regular drip coffee, not the new espresso-based drinks _ at least not yet.

Not to be outdone, Dunkin' Donuts is trying to attract value-conscious consumers with specially priced coffee and food combinations, such as a medium drip coffee and an egg white flatbread sandwich for $1.99. The company, which is privately held, doesn't report financial results and declined to give specific figures.

Much of Dunkin's market base is price-sensitive customers, whereas Starbucks' customer base still includes a die-hard core that may be unwilling to trade down on their coffee.

Melanie Helfrich, a 29-year-old from Louisville, Ky., who favors Starbucks lattes was unimpressed by a free sample of a hot mocha latte at her local McDonald's recently.

"I am willing to pay the extra $2 and wait for my drink in order to get a good cup of coffee," she said.

NEW YORK — The allure of the value meal has long seduced penny-pinchers craving a cheeseburger. Now, as the dismal economy slurps up profits, Starbucks Corp. is hoping to find some sales salvati...
NEW YORK — The allure of the value meal has long seduced penny-pinchers craving a cheeseburger. Now, as the dismal economy slurps up profits, Starbucks Corp. is hoping to find some sales salvati...
 
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- jalowe1957 I'm a Fan of jalowe1957 47 fans permalink
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Me? I drink Wal-Mart's store brand of instant coffee, with Wal-Mart's store brand of liquid French Vanilla non-dairy creamer.

I admit to the "unpardonable sin" of shopping at Wal-Mart, but haven't we all, though?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:14 PM on 02/03/2009
- Dystopic I'm a Fan of Dystopic 20 fans permalink
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no an unpardonable sin for Walmart, but the instant coffee and liquid creamer are absolutely unpardonable...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:08 PM on 02/03/2009

Starbucks is way overpriced. Always has been. Now since people are hurting the $5 coffee drinks are going bye bye. I've made my own coffee, breakfast, lunch and dinner at home all my adult life. I rarely dine out, way too expensive.

All these over priced meals, latte drinks, fruity tooty smoothies are going bye bye as well. Much cheaper to make at home. When I've went to some of these so called yuppie coffee houses or overpriced smoothie joints, I'm usually waited on by some sullen generation Xer who's full of piercing and tatoo sleeves and cops an attitude when I don't tip them for merely pouring me a cup of coffee.

My money is precious, I'll spend it on organic foods in my own community from local merchants and other necessary products like a roof over my head, saving for a rainy day.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:05 PM on 02/03/2009

Well goodie for you.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:36 PM on 02/03/2009
- aweissnet I'm a Fan of aweissnet 26 fans permalink
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I value my food also ... I eat mostly all organic and natural (even if it's "junk food"). When I consider going out to eat, I know my food is soooo much better, so I rarely do. Even my coffee is organic and fresh ground. I use manuka honey for sweetener.

That said, I have an inhabitant in my house who loves to eat out, but I think he's understanding we have money issues these days!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:08 PM on 02/03/2009
- granamica I'm a Fan of granamica 5 fans permalink

Why, aren't you just precious.

Whew, made me want to go out and get a venti with the extras to wash away the self righteousness.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:13 AM on 02/04/2009

Oy!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:05 PM on 02/03/2009

and we all know what "value meals" mean in this country - trash that's not fit to be served to a dog.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:56 AM on 02/03/2009

Starbucks value meal is not to go to Starbucks at all or just order water.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:52 AM on 02/03/2009
- AgathaX I'm a Fan of AgathaX 13 fans permalink
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I love Starbucks but not so much for their coffee. I don't mind their superstrong brewed coffee, but I don't love it. I prefer McDonalds and Dunkin Donuts if I'm just looking for plain coffee. Nor do I like most of the overpriced Starbucks mixed coffee beverages. The lattes and cappaccinos are too weak/milky, the mochas too chocolatey, the frappaccinos too milkshake like. What Starbucks has that other places don't is really good tea, a well designed calming atmosphere, and a few good treats. They also do iced coffee better than other places--their robust brew stands up better to being watered down. And they do a better job at getting and keeping high performing staff than McDonalds or Dunkin. I used to go several times a week--before entering the ranks of the unemployed. Now I go when people give me a Starbucks card as a gift.

Recently I've just been brewing Dunkin Donuts coffee and Twinings tea at home while calculating the amount of money I used to spend at Starbucks. I suspect that even after my income returns to normal I'll not return to my former level of Starbucks spending. Even just having a tea per work day is $10/week or $520/year. Not a fortune, but money that would be better spent making an extra payment on my mortgage.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:50 AM on 02/03/2009

What kind of "value" meal could they offer? Last night I bought a latte and a piece of pumpkin loaf, and it cost me $6.82. A vending machine style turkey sandwich runs $5.50. I mean really - I might as well eat at the gas station.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:49 AM on 02/03/2009
- poster1122 I'm a Fan of poster1122 30 fans permalink

Something to consider:

If you took the $2 people spend each day on coffee and saved it:

at 6% a year (average return) for 40 years, that's $120,000.
at 8% a year, that's over $200K

So, how's that coffee looking now?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:37 AM on 02/03/2009

Well, although you have a point, you gotta live a little. Not save every dime, you can't take that $ with ya!

I'll have a latte every now and then, thank you.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:08 PM on 02/03/2009
- TheBaffler I'm a Fan of TheBaffler 58 fans permalink
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Where are you going to get guaranteed 6 or 8% interest? The stock market? Ha.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:38 PM on 02/03/2009
- poster1122 I'm a Fan of poster1122 30 fans permalink

Over 40 years, the stock market isn't bad. You're looking at short term losses. If you've got staying power, now isn't a bad time to buy because much of the current pricing is driven purely by fear.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:58 PM on 02/03/2009

The average for the stock market since it was started is %10 so using 6% or 8% is not bad. During this past year my portfolio GAINED 4%. You just have to watch your money.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:01 PM on 02/03/2009
- Myshkin57 I'm a Fan of Myshkin57 17 fans permalink

Everybody wastes money on some vice or other. Just keep the ones you like the most. I'd rather have my fairly mild vices than the money.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:42 PM on 02/03/2009
- poster1122 I'm a Fan of poster1122 30 fans permalink

I don't disagree. My pet peeve with starbucks is that it's like $3, $4 for a cup of coffee!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:00 PM on 02/03/2009
- granamica I'm a Fan of granamica 5 fans permalink

Just think if you cut out your internet connection, calculate that and then really dream.

How's your posting looking now?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:15 AM on 02/04/2009
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Starbucks has some nice food offerings that are healthier than most. I hope they will lead the way with 100% whole grain breads, rolls, or muffins, and chemical-free fillings; all, GMO-free. Organic might be a lot to ask for, but, why not? It has to become mainstream at some point, and Starbucks could lead the way, which would be a huge coup for them...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:34 AM on 02/03/2009
- Mudge I'm a Fan of Mudge 7 fans permalink

It's hard to bielieve people put that stuff in their mouths. Whats wrong with real coffee with cream and sugar that people need vanilla syrup? Why not add roast beef gravy? The New Jersey chemical plants can produce that just as easily. Revolting!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:32 AM on 02/03/2009
- kappa08 I'm a Fan of kappa08 85 fans permalink
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Come up with a Zone friendly breakfast sandwich and I grantee it will sell...That place is nothing but a carp palace. If there was something legitimate to pair with your latte it could be a score.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:26 AM on 02/03/2009
- Babzter I'm a Fan of Babzter 23 fans permalink
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They could call it their "kind of happy" meal.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:20 AM on 02/03/2009
- NotMcCain I'm a Fan of NotMcCain 81 fans permalink
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I'd go if McDonald's used espresso plus the rest steamed milk.

Even a good drip coffee and the rest steamed milk.

That's not their formula, so....I'm still with Starbucks, for good ingredients without unwanted sweetening and chemicals.

Has Starbucks ever thought of taking a $1.00 off the price?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:01 AM on 02/03/2009
- Tom95134 I'm a Fan of Tom95134 57 fans permalink
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"Value Meal"? At a place that charges $3.00 for a large cup of coffee? Don't make me laugh.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:53 AM on 02/03/2009
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I wouldn't want to make you laugh, but I do want to make you tell the truth. A "Venti" coffee at Starbucks (the largest cup of coffee that you can buy there) costs $2.05, not anywhere close to the three dollars that you reference. A big problem that any retailer risks is one of running up against misinformation, and even urban myth. Starbucks is running up against both, and it is perpetuated by people such as you. Criticize the company all that you want, but at least get your facts straight before you opine.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:08 PM on 02/03/2009
- Myshkin57 I'm a Fan of Myshkin57 17 fans permalink

Yeah. People like to criticize the company based on false beliefs. McDonald's coffee is only marginally cheaper. McDonald's premium drink are only pennies cheaper and are made with a premixed latted juice that comes out of what is essentially a shake machine.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:39 PM on 02/03/2009
- JScott I'm a Fan of JScott 21 fans permalink

Well McD's coffee drinks are cheaper but they taste like it. And wha'ts Starbuck's gonna do turn into a full fledged restaurant? I think a few in the Seatlle area are like that. Whether McD or SB does this value menu thing makes no difference to me, I'd rather go elsewhere for b'fast anyway.
And you can bet either one will probably have too much fat, salt and sugar laden offeirngs.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:41 AM on 02/03/2009
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