POLITICS

2010: Senate Dems Optimisitic, House Dems Not

03/16/2009 05:12 am ET | Updated May 25, 2011

Two years out, Democratic campaign leaders have differing outlooks for the next election cycle in 2010. On the House side, there's pessimism, as Politico reports:

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Chris Van Hollen (Md.) said Friday that despite the party's recent success, Democratic candidates may face a tough environment in 2010.

"I'm not predicting any third waves here," Van Hollen said in remarks at a forum sponsored by Georgetown University and Politico.

Meanwhile, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chairman Robert Menendez has expressed optimism, fueled by the party's success in 2008 as well as his own analysis of the 2010 political climate. From CNN:

Of those five states with outgoing GOP senators, Menendez said the fact that President Obama carried three of them handily and essentially tied Sen. John McCain in Missouri bodes well for Democrats in 2010. He also expressed optimism about Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius' chances in that traditional red state should she decide to run there: "If Kathleen Sebelius runs, she will win," Menendez said.

The DSCC chief added a combination of local and national factors make four other Republican-held seats vulnerable -- Louisiana,- North Carolina, Kentucky and Pennsylvania.

With the election still two years away, nothing is definitive. As Van Hollen notes, many House Dems' re-election prospects will depend very much on the perceived success of the stimulus package, which has not received any House Republican support.

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