Wells Fargo earnings surprise sends market surging

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TIM PARADIS | April 9, 2009 06:31 PM EST | AP

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NEW YORK — Stocks surged Thursday to their highest levels in two months after banking giant Wells Fargo & Co. surprised the market with an early profit report that blew past analysts' expectations thanks to a strong increase in its lending business.

The Dow Jones industrial average jumped nearly 250 points and major market indexes logged their fifth straight week of gains. Markets are closed for Good Friday.

Investors have been grasping at any sign of improvement in the crippled banking industry, and Wells Fargo's report Thursday that it expects first-quarter earnings of $3 billion provided an encouraging sign that a deep freeze in borrowing activity may finally be thawing. Wells Fargo said it benefited from its January acquisition of Wachovia and an increase in mortgage applications.

"The fact that Wells Fargo can have record profits despite the troubles facing the banking system tells you something," said Rick Campagna, chief investment officer at 300 North Capital in Pasadena, Calif. "It's very good news."

The Dow and the Standard & Poor's 500 index ended at their highest levels since Feb. 9 and the Nasdaq posted its highest finish of the year, giving it a gain of 4.8 percent for 2009.

The Dow rose 246.27, or 3.1 percent, on Thursday to 8,083.38.

Broader stock indicators also put up big gains. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 31.40, or 3.8 percent, to 856.56. The Nasdaq composite index rose 61.88, or 3.9 percent, to 1,652.54.

For the week, the Dow added 66 points, 0.8 percent. The blue chips hadn't logged five straight weekly gains since October 2007, when the stock market hit its peak. Since the rally began March 10, the Dow has gained 22 percent, the best performance since 1933.

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Even with the rapid rise in the past month the Dow is still down by 42.9 percent from its Oct. 9, 2007 high.

The S&P 500 rose 1.7 percent for the week, while the Nasdaq added 1.9 percent.

Wells Fargo's announcement injected a decisively upbeat tone into the market after three days of choppy trading. For most of the week stocks appeared to be taking a breather after barreling ahead in March. Analysts see occasional pullbacks as signs of a healthy market as investors allocate money carefully instead of just following a frenzied crowd.

Bank shares had been sluggish this week following worrisome forecasts from key analysts about the bad loans they still carry on their balance sheets and other long-term woes. Major banks begin reporting first-quarter results next week.

But Wells Fargo's performance in the first quarter neutralized some of those worries. Wells Fargo jumped 31.7 percent Thursday and other major banks also barreled higher, including Bank of America Corp., which added 35.3 percent. JPMorgan Chase & Co. rose 19.4 percent, and Citigroup Inc., up 12.6 percent.

Investors were unfazed by uneven monthly sales reports from retailers and mixed economic news.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. reported lower-than-expected sales in March, sending its shares down 3.7 percent. It was one of only three stocks to fall among the 30 companies that make up the Dow industrials.

Target Corp. rose 6.1 percent after posting results that topped expectations, while teen clothing retailer Abercrombie & Fitch Co. slid 3.5 percent after its numbers came in weaker than predicted.

In economic news, new jobless claims fell more than expected last week, but those continuing to receive unemployment benefits set another high. The total number of laid-off Americans receiving unemployment rose to 5.84 million from 5.75 million, the most on record since 1967 and more than analysts expected.

The jump in stocks came at the end of a relatively quiet week.

Investors have been worried that corporate earnings reports that have begun to trickle in could bring bad news about how companies expect the rest of the year to turn out. But the market's tone brightened somewhat on Wednesday on reports that the government will provide support for battered life insurers and a merger deal between two major homebuilders.

Ted Aronson, a partner at Aronson-Johnson-Ortiz in Philadelphia, said Wells Fargo's upbeat preview into its earnings could place a greater burden on banks reporting results next week. Wells Fargo doesn't report its full results until April 22.

"I'm not sure everyone will be as successful, but we'd like to hope that the success will spill over," Aronson said.

The upbeat mood Thursday sent one measure of the market's unease to its lowest levels since the fall. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or the VIX, ended Thursday at its lowest level since Sept. 26. That signals investors are more confident they can predict the direction of stocks.

Ordinarily what's known as Wall Street's fear gauge might be in the 18 to 20 range but it hit 89.5 in October.

Still, analysts caution that some of Thursday's buying could have reflected traders jumping to cover misplaced bets that stocks, particularly banks, would fall. Traders who sell stocks "short" are forced to step in and buy to avoid further losses.

In other trading Thursday, the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies jumped 26.08, or 5.9 percent, to 468.20.

About seven stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock Exchange. Consolidated volume came to 7.3 billion shares compared with a light 5.07 billion shares traded Wednesday.

Treasury prices fell as the stock rally damped demand for safe-haven investments. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 2.92 percent from 2.86 percent late Wednesday.

The dollar rose against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.

Light, sweet crude rose $2.86 to settle at $52.24 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 3.7 percent following reports that the country's ruling party is seeking a stimulus package bigger than originally announced. Britain's FTSE 100 gained 1.5 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 3 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 1.8 percent.

___

The Dow Jones industrial average closed the week up 65.79, or 0.8 percent, at 8,083.38. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 14.06, or 1.7 percent, to 856.56. The Nasdaq composite index rose 30.67, or 1.9 percent, to 1,652.54.

The Russell 2000 index, which tracks the performance of small company stocks, rose 12.07, or 2.7 percent, for the week to 468.20.

The Dow Jones U.S. Total Stock Market Index _ which measures nearly all U.S.-based companies _ ended at 8,744.55, up 145.21, or 1.7 percent, for the week. A year ago, the index was at 13,656.32.

NEW YORK — Stocks surged Thursday to their highest levels in two months after banking giant Wells Fargo & Co. surprised the market with an early profit report that blew past analysts' expectatio...
NEW YORK — Stocks surged Thursday to their highest levels in two months after banking giant Wells Fargo & Co. surprised the market with an early profit report that blew past analysts' expectatio...
 
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- Sundialsvc4 I'm a Fan of Sundialsvc4 140 fans permalink

In other words, "the gambling continues.­"

The mega-banks can "value" their "assets" at any "price" that their electronic spreadsheets might come up with. (The "=RANDOM()" function ...) So, they can post "billion dollar profits" if they want to. Yee-haw.

But... did you say...

"The trade deficit changed unexpectedly ...?"

Yup. The other countries on this planet are moving. And you haven't seen the end of it yet.

LONE RANGER: "Tonto! We're surrounded by injuns!"
TONTO: "Whaddaya men 'we,' paleface?"
.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:03 PM on 04/09/2009
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It is amazing, is it not, how the experts are always being surprised when trade deficits improve "unexpectedly," or when stock markets rise or stock markets crash, etc.--alwa­ys "unexpectedly!"

What good, then, are "experts?"

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:26 PM on 04/09/2009
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I think the trade deficit declined--a move in our favor!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:27 PM on 04/09/2009

"The trade deficit changed unexpectedly ...?"

That's nonsensical. It did not change unexpectedly, of course. People are just holding back on their inner shopoholic.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:40 PM on 04/09/2009
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Only 53% of American adults believe capitalism is better than socialism.­..

Investors by a 5-to-1 margin choose capitalism. As for those who do not invest, 40% say capitalism is better while 25% prefer socialism.

There is a partisan gap as well. Republicans - by an 11-to-1 margin - favor capitalism. Democrats are much more closely divided: Just 39% say capitalism is better while 30% prefer socialism. As for those not affiliated with either major political party, 48% say capitalism is best, and 21% opt for socialism.
--Rasmussen Poll

Proof positive that Democrats have no grasp of economic reality.

When support for capitalism dies, prosperity dies. Everyone (except for some politicians) become equally poor. More or less. Approximately.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:00 PM on 04/09/2009

Trust me Brooks. Americans don't know the difference between socialism and capitalism. Nor do they know that the two are quite compatible.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:11 PM on 04/09/2009
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I might agree that more people than not are ignorant, but I would not agree that the two are compatible. They are more like matter and anti-matter--they tend to be destructibve when brought together. Of course socialism is destructive on its own to freedom and prosperity.

Not a very good analogy. Forget it!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:20 PM on 04/09/2009

You have never seen socialism and 99% of you couldn't explain it if asked. Make that 99.9%. After all, 99% of you can't find Europe on a world map.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:41 PM on 04/09/2009
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Hey, I am 100% of me! There is only one!
Actually, have traveled to Europe. Have been in communist country. Have seen.

And I can talk to people who have fled such and I can read!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:18 PM on 04/09/2009

It would be a hoot if Wells Fargo was lying about its expectations.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:58 PM on 04/09/2009
- marinade I'm a Fan of marinade 40 fans permalink

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2009/02/09/eveningnews/main4788018.shtml

This is such a joke. They get bailed out and, voila, they are profitable. If someone gave me $25 billion, I guess I could muster a $3 billion profit.

This is the sort of thing that makes the stock market go up? Fake stuff?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:45 PM on 04/09/2009

"This is the sort of thing that makes the stock market go up? Fake stuff?"

You mean it took you this long to notice that the stock market is not real?

Well, welcome to the club, anyway. Better late than never.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:43 PM on 04/09/2009
- PS9 I'm a Fan of PS9 4 fans permalink

You can knock the stock market all you want but I'd like to hear your ideas on how to beat inflation over the long term.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:30 PM on 04/09/2009

You need to do a little research. Some banks, such as B of A and CIti, needed to take the bailout. Others, such as WF, were forced by the government so that it didn't appear they were favoring or nationalizing some banks and not others.

WF already paid a $300million dividend back to the government last month. This is surprising in its amount, but not all that unexpected. WF's exposure to the risk that's causing this crisis is minimal compared to others. THough they're not out of the woods.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:00 PM on 04/09/2009
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