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Climate Change Threatens Millions Who Live Near Sea

GRACE WAKARY   05/13/09 10:07 AM ET   AP

Water

MANADO, Indonesia — Around 100 million people risk losing their homes and livelihoods unless drastic steps are taken to protect Southeast Asia's coral reefs, which could be wiped out in coming decades because of climate change, a report said Wednesday.

The Coral Triangle _ which spans Indonesia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Papua New Guinea, the Solomon Islands and East Timor _ accounts for a third of the world's coral reefs and 35 percent of coral reef fish species.

If carbon emissions are not cut by 25 percent to 40 percent by the year 2020, higher ocean temperatures could kill off vast marine ecosystems and half the fish in them, according to the World Wildlife Fund, which warned that 100 million people earning a living off the sea could be forced to leave inundated coastlines and find new jobs.

The group, which presented its 220-page study at the World Ocean Conference, cited 300 published scientific studies and 20 climate change experts.

"Decisive action must be taken immediately, or a major crisis will develop," the report said.

"Hundreds of thousands of unique species, entire communities and societies will be in jeopardy," it said.

Scientists have long warned that higher temperatures will melt polar ice and cause sea levels to rise, wiping out island communities and coastal ecosystems. Increasing carbon dioxide is also making oceans increasingly acidic, eroding sea shells, bleaching coral and killing other marine life.

But many questions remain about oceans _ which can also play an important part in absorbing carbon _ partly because the technology to study them is relatively new.

"We are looking to promote better understanding of the role of the ocean in the climate system," said Mary M. Glackin, U.S. deputy undersecretary for oceans and atmosphere. "It's really a web of life. So you need to be concerned about the very smallest thing up to the very high predators."

"The acidity that will be impacting some of those species could really have ripple-through effects," she added.

Fish living in the coral reefs, mangroves and sea grass ecosystems in Southeast Asia generate $3 billion in annual income through commercial fishing, provide coastal protection from high waves and give food security to millions of the world's poorest families.

In addition to climate change, marine ecosystems are being eroded by pollution, declining water quality, overfishing and destructive fishing techniques.

Indonesia, the world's largest archipelago, said Wednesday it wasn't going to stand by and wait for disaster.

It officially launched a new, protected marine park in the Coral Triangle with a unique and varied ecosystem that is considered to be especially resilient to rising sea temperatures.

The park, an area about the size of the Netherlands, is a major migratory corridor and home to 14 whale species, as well as dolphins, dugongs, manta rays and sea turtles. It also has a high concentration of iridescent coral, fish, crustaceans, mollusks and plants.

"If well managed, this park has the capability to support sustainable fisheries and to ensure food security" for up to 2 million people in the region, said Minister of Marine Affairs and Fisheries Freddy Numberi.

The five-day oceans' conference in Manado is aimed at shaping scientific debate about the role of oceans ahead of a U.N. climate change meeting in Copenhagen, Denmark, in December.

That meeting will discuss a successor to the Kyoto Protocol, which expires in 2012.

___

Associated Press writers Anthony Deutsch in Jakarta and Melinda Chickering in Manado contributed to this report.

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MANADO, Indonesia — Around 100 million people risk losing their homes and livelihoods unless drastic steps are taken to protect Southeast Asia's coral reefs, which could be wiped out in coming d...
MANADO, Indonesia — Around 100 million people risk losing their homes and livelihoods unless drastic steps are taken to protect Southeast Asia's coral reefs, which could be wiped out in coming d...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
07:57 AM on 05/24/2009
Richard2, I challenge you to name an actual scientiifc study that atrributes climate change to something other than man-made greenhouse gases. Again, not what some right-wing website might say, but an actual peer-reviewed scientiifc study. You won't be able to do it. But, of course, not being able to do it will not convince you of the absurdity of your position. You guys on the right are not driven by evidence.

Anyway, Congress is about to pass climate change legislation. You guys on the right who deny the science are being left far behind. The world moves on without you. Instead of denying the science a better position for the right would be to suggest conservative solutions to the problem of climate change. Instead, you guys seem like Luddites who hate reason and modernity. You are losing voters for the Republican party very quickly. A recent poll shows college educated voters who support the Republican Party declined by 10%.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
06:03 PM on 05/24/2009
Any college science book that describes the geologic history of the planet earth also shows that the earth is many times older than the human race. 99 percent of the earth's history didn't include human beings at all. During this pre-human period, the earth's climate changed again and again.

Enter the humans, 100,000 years ago. Then, human civilizations begin developing less than 10,000 years ago. The industrial revolution occurred only over the last 200 years.

It can be concluded that over most of the last 100,000 years, man-made greenhouse gases were not the cause of the massive climate change that occurred, which included four major ice ages, and three warmer inter-ice age periods.

It has only been during the last 200 years that the earth could have been impacted by man-made greenhouse gases. Over that period, the earth cooled by about 1 degree C during the 19th Century, and increased by about 1 degree C during the 20th Century. Of course, all the natural forces that impacted the earth's climate in the past ages still impacted the earth during the last two centuries, and impact the earth today. Whether man-made gases play any significant part in either the decrease or increase in temperature is still an open question for debate.

It is AGW that largely denies the forces of nature, and the earth's long geologic and climate history.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
10:16 AM on 05/25/2009
Again, I challenge you to cite an actual peer-reviewed scientific study that states that climate change in this century is not the result of anthropogenic greenhouse gases. You won't be able to do it! Good luck!! And no fake list of scientists who disagree with AGW on some right-wing website. Such an invented list is not considered a study.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
05:48 AM on 05/18/2009
In the NY Times...

"Global warming conjures images of rising seas that threaten coastal areas. But in Juneau, as almost nowhere else in the world, climate change is having the opposite effect: As the glaciers here melt, the land is rising, causing the sea to retreat."

"The geology is complex, but it boils down to this: Relieved of billions of tons of glacial weight, the land has risen much as a cushion regains its shape after someone gets up from a couch. The land is ascending so fast that the rising seas — a ubiquitous byproduct of global warming — cannot keep pace."

"As a result, the region faces unusual environmental challenges. As the sea level falls relative to the land, water tables fall, too, and streams and wetlands dry out.

“The lifeblood of our region has been salmon species and their return — and what is the impact when they return and the streams are dry?” said Mayor Botelho, who was born and raised in Juneau. “The salmon is bound to our identity as a region, who we are.”"

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/18/science/earth/18juneau.html?hp
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
03:11 PM on 05/23/2009
So the New York Times science section thinks that the geologic uplifting in parts of Alaska is "a ubiquitous byproduct of global warming." Is this position logical and credible?

The northern hemisphere was burdened with a huge ice sheet during the last ice age, which ended 10,000 years ago. If the land is rising because of the disappearance of most of this ice sheet, then the rise in the Alaskan coast is not caused by anthropogenic global warming, but by the rebound from the ice age. If true, the uplifting has been going on for 10,000 years, not just for the last 30 years.

Also, there are major earthquake faults under Alaska. Ancourage was hit by the Great Alaskan Earthquake. The movements of the tectonic plates could be another cause for the uplifting of the land. Do any Alaska experts care to comment?

Does the New York Times know of any serious scientists who think the uplifting of land in Alaska is caused by recent man-made global warming? Does the New York Times think that Global Warming causes earthquakes and other tectonic events?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
07:31 AM on 05/24/2009
Well, if the NY Times science section thinks that the geologic uplifting in parts of Alaska is a byproduct of global warming, it is only because they are quoting scientists who say it is, such as Bruce Molnia, a geologist at the United States Geological Survey.

Richard does not seem to be able to make simple distinctions. The ice may have been retreating for the last 10,000 from places like New York City, once buried by ice, but such a rapid retreat from a place as far north as Juneau, Alaska is a recent phenomenon, especially when, as the article describes, some of the land was underwater as recently as 10 years ago and is now a nine hole golf course.

Richard2 must not read too closely. The article names several scientists who think the uplifting of land in Alaska is caused by recent man-made global warming, again such as Bruce Molnia, a geologist at the United States Geological Survey.and Eran Hood, a hydrologist at the University of Alaska Southeast . They also say: "The rise is further fueled by the movement of the tectonic plates that form the earth’s crust. As the Pacific plate pushes under the North American plate, Juneau and its hilly Tongass National Forest environs rise still more."

“When you combine tectonics and glacial readjustment, you get rates that are incomprehensible,” Dr. Molnia said.

However, conservatives get very confused when events have more than a simple cause and effect.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
07:49 AM on 05/24/2009
From "Climate Change: Predicted Impacts on Juneau" by Dr. Eran Hood and Dr. Kelly....

"Globally, atmospheric temperatures are rising in large part due to increased greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Temperatures in Juneau have increased as much as 3.6°F during the 20th century, with the largest increase occurring during the winter months. Rates of warming were higher in the later part of the 20th century, and Juneau’s average winter time temperature rose by 1.5 - 3°F in the past 60 years. ..The average winter snowfall at sea level in Juneau decreased from 109 inches to 93 inches in the past 60 years. The average winter precipitation including rain and snow, however, increased by 2.6 inches or more."

"The models predict that Juneau will see overall warmer and wetter weather, particularly in Fall and Winter. The Juneau Icefield will continue to retreat. Global sea level is rising as a result of the melting of glaciers and ice sheets and the warming of ocean waters. Over the next century, global sea level is projected to rise 3.0 ft. In Juneau, however, the land surface is rising as a result of the loss of glacial ice, and the rate of uplift is greater than the projected rate of global sea level rise. Over the next century, the relative sea level in the CBJ likely will decrease between 1.0 and 3.6 ft."

http://www.juneau.org/clerk/boards/Climate_Change/CBJ%20_Climate_Report_Final.pdf
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
12:30 PM on 05/17/2009
For a different, more sober view on this topic, please see the new Jon Birger's article reprinted at CNN/Money. It is titled "What If Global Warming Fears are Overblown." .
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
03:43 AM on 05/18/2009
The article talks of a climate skeptic named John Christy. Christy used to deny climate change completely, but now says ""Human activities are increasingly altering Earth's climate, and that natural influences alone cannot explain the rapid increase in surface temperatures observed during the second half of the 20th century." His latest argument is "This notion of the greening of the planet [from human-caused CO2 emissions] ... generally is a positive benefit." For any one who has read anything about climate change that statement is nonsensical. Ask the people of Bangladesh if they like living in floodwaters year round!
09:17 PM on 05/13/2009
It's getting bad, check this out.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YvQtIKigka0
07:48 PM on 05/13/2009
Science at its finest.

"Could happen, never know. Possibly, maybe. Odds favor something happening. Fifty-fifty that it may or may not. I'm pretty sure it might be."

On this a fear is formed.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
08:06 AM on 05/14/2009
Only on ignorance is fear formed!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
07:25 PM on 05/13/2009
"The spectre of an ocean floor littered with dead shellfish, rock fish, sea stars and other marine life off the Oregon coast spurred Mark Snyder, a climate change expert, to investigate whether California's coast faced a similar calamity."

"It could, the University of California Santa Cruz earth scientist said, citing climate change, which some scientists believe is responsible for stronger and more persistent winds along the coast. There's no debate that windier conditions drive more upwelling of nutrient-rich deep ocean waters."

"At normal levels, this upwelling sustains the abundance of marine life, but too much of these rich waters leads to a boom-and-bust cycle that ultimately creates ocean "dead zones" with little or no oxygen. Marine life that can't swim or scuttle away from these lethal zones suffocate."

"The results showed increases in wind speeds of as much as 2 meters per second, a 40% increase from current wind speeds, which now average 5 meters per second, Snyder said."

"The worst year recorded was 2006, with the dead zone near the coast spreading from southern Oregon into Washington, where dead fish and crabs washed up on beaches along the Olympic Peninsula. Less severe dead zones returned in 2007."


http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/feb/02/climate-change-west-coast-winds
10:16 AM on 05/14/2009
relating to the co2 hysteria:
Science, vol 324 (April 17, 2009), Peter G Brewer et al.
show that Ocean "dead zones" devoid of aerobic life are likely to grow as co2 concentration rise.
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fumes
Pass The Pakalolo
04:56 PM on 05/14/2009
the oceans teemed with life when the atmosphere was 95% CO2.

presently the CO2 constituent is .038%..
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
07:04 PM on 05/14/2009
Thanks, fried!
06:13 PM on 05/13/2009
Shorter Babbling:

"LA LA LA I can't hear you..."
05:20 PM on 05/13/2009
It's all just a way to fleece developed countries...
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
08:08 AM on 05/14/2009
Wow, you mention all kinds of right-wing talking points, but nothing related to science. It is why the Republican Party is a small regional party!
04:13 PM on 05/13/2009
And next week:

"We're all going to die! We're all going to die!"
04:02 PM on 05/13/2009
Stay tuned tomorrow for the next installment of Climate Panic!

"Climate change threatens millions who live nowhere near the sea!"
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
08:10 AM on 05/14/2009
Well, of course it does and desertification is only one example and the drying up of mountaintop glaciers a second, which of course would not register with a member of the flat-earth society!
01:11 PM on 05/14/2009
Your pathetic attempt at disparagement is noted. But not noted much...

I knew Christopher Columbus, and it is a myth that people then though tthe world flat. Almost everyone had recognized by then that it was basically a sphere!
01:13 PM on 05/14/2009
When you claim that anything and everything is threatened by a process which is completely unproven and a mere hypothesis based upon flawed computer models, then you have constructed a religious dogma, not a scientific theory.

You are free to believe it, a faith-based idea, but I don't have to join your religion.
04:01 PM on 05/13/2009
Just wait a while and the climate will change back...it always does!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
08:11 AM on 05/14/2009
I wonder you have the name "Babbling"? Well, not really!
01:15 PM on 05/14/2009
The religious fanatics hysterically defend their dogma...
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
10:57 AM on 05/13/2009
I guess the WWF hasn't noticed that recent scientific measurements of ocean temperatures indicate that the oceans have stopped warming, and may be cooling. Among other studies, Dr. Willis' study of the Pacific Ocean found that the ocean had not warmed over the past four years. Also, sea level measurements indicate a slowing in the rate of sea level rise, which would be consistent with a cooling ocean.

For example, the NOAA tide station data, for stations along the Pacific Ocean, such as at Los Angeles or Monterey, indicate an adjusting down of the sea level rise.

All of the WWF forecasts appear to be based on the unsupported assumption that accelerating global warming is real and is happening right now. But if it is, why aren't the oceans warming? A better question would be, what will the alternative futures be like if 1) the earth maintains a relatively stable climate, as it has over the past ten years, or 2) the earth cools somewhat, based on our sun moving into a cooler phase for an extended period?

The WWF would provide more useful information to the public if it offered alternative scenarios, instead of accepting only a global warming hypothesis which ihas not been supported by scientific measurements over the past decade.
11:49 AM on 05/13/2009
no surprise,, those who subscribe to the cult , don't believe in actual science
12:12 PM on 05/13/2009
you might actually say they are deniers and flat earthers as is Rolo Tomassi below .
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Dbos
Single payer universal health insurance agent
01:29 PM on 05/13/2009
Alternative scenario START PRAYING .
12:08 PM on 05/13/2009
Flat-Earthers are SOOOOO in denial. Wake up...or drown; likely you'd still be in denial.

Read and learn:

http://www.realclimate.org/
05:11 PM on 05/13/2009
The RealClimate website is not science, but more supposition, more projections, more scare tactics, more propaganda.

The question to answer is "Why do YOU believe this is real science?"

Real science invites questions, dissent, contrary theories, and depends upon actual observation and testable hypothesis, not wild-eyed projections based on DEMONSTRABLY flawed computer models and worries about "maybe."
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popart
retired school teacher
10:38 AM on 05/13/2009
the news keeps getting better and better....if you enjoy seeing the trials and tribulations of the human species...as it continues to destroy the planet. Most of us will not live to see this stuff....but it will be quite the show...i expect the human race will deal with it ...one way or another....we are pretty smart monkeys.
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Dbos
Single payer universal health insurance agent
01:31 PM on 05/13/2009
Not for the last eight years .
01:36 PM on 05/13/2009
Early Homo sapiens lived at the same time as Neanderthals. The probably interbred and some of the genes have come through. I am not optimistic. After all 22 species of hominids went extinct. The odds are not in our favor.
10:29 AM on 05/13/2009
Unfortunately, we don't have just one ecological problem. The problem with the coral reefs is at least as much to do with overfishing algae-eating fish that destroy corals, and boats that scrape them to pieces as it does with climate change.
05:20 PM on 05/13/2009
Heck, the coral might well like it a bit warmer--they do grow in tropical oceans, not in the Arctic!
06:03 PM on 05/13/2009
What are you? 2 years old, or something? Your ignorance is numbing.