Polls Showing Pro-Life Shift Probably Meaningless: FiveThirtyEight

06/15/2009 05:12 am ET | Updated May 25, 2011
  • FiveThirtyEight

When Pew released a poll earlier this week suggesting that there had been a significant shift in public opinion on abortion in recent months, Nate did a fine post exploring the long-term trends on the subject, and expressing considerable doubt that Pew had discovered anything of great moment.

Well, today Gallup released another survey that seems to parallel the Pew findings, such as they are. And since (1) Nate's on vacation, and (2) the two polls together are sure to get tons of play in conjunction with the anti-abortion protests at Notre Dame, not to mention Supreme Court speculation, I'll do a brief post raising a few questions to help tide us over for a while, with particular emphasis on the key questions that pollsters rarely ask on this subject.

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