In spite of last week's better-than-expected jobs report, many intelligent observers seem convinced that the unemployment rate, which fell nominally to 9.4 percent last month, will nevertheless almost certainly hit 10 percent or higher before the situation really rights itself. Here's the New Republic's Noam Schieber making the case. Here's the White House. Here's Intrade, where you can make about 2:1 on your money if the unemployment rate is below 10 percent in December.
Unemployment Rate Likely Won't Hit 10%: Nate Silver