04/16/2010 05:12 am ET | Updated May 25, 2011

Nate Silver's Vancouver Olympics Medal Projections

What I've done is to compile the projected medal winners in the 86 Winter Olympic disciplines from sources that forecasted individual winners; these are the Associated Press, USA Today, Sports Illustrated, McClatchy-Tribune,, Canwest, and (for some events only) and betting odds at Ladbrokes and bwin. Nothing terribly fancy here: I've taken a simple mean of the number of medals that each country was expected to win in each discipline, as averaged across the nine sources.

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