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Nate Silver's Vancouver Olympics Medal Projections

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What I've done is to compile the projected medal winners in the 86 Winter Olympic disciplines from sources that forecasted individual winners; these are the Associated Press, USA Today, Sports Illustrated, McClatchy-Tribune, Examiner.com, Canwest, and (for some events only) ESPN.com and betting odds at Ladbrokes and bwin. Nothing terribly fancy here: I've taken a simple mean of the number of medals that each country was expected to win in each discipline, as averaged across the nine sources.

Read the whole story at FiveThirtyEight

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