A Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll released Thursday shows Illinois Democrats leading Republicans in both the race for Senate and Governor--but with many months of campaigning to go, the race remains "highly competitive."
Thursday's poll shows Alexi Giannoulias with seven point lead over Republican rival Mark Kirk, with Giannoulias holding 43 percent to Kirk's 36 percent. The poll shows 2 percent preferring someone else and 19 percent undecided.
Even though the GOP hasn't declared a winner in the race for governor, incumbent Gov. Pat Quinn is favored over both of his Republican rivals--leading Kirk Dillard 46 percent to 35 percent and Bill Brady 47 percent to 32 percent with 20 percent undecided. Brady remains the frontrunner in the GOP gubernatorial race, leading Dillard by a few hundred votes. The final counts in the GOP race are expected to be certified by March 5.
18 percent of Democrats remain undecided, compared to just 13 percent of Republicans. As those voters come home, it should slightly boost Alexi's numbers, but the winning margin will come from independents -- currently the biggest undecided block in the poll. They are currently split between the two candidates 36-35 (with the statistically insignificant edge going to Alexi). 26 percent are still undecided.
"The people of Illinois are tired of the negative attacks from a do-nothing Washington insider like Mark Kirk," Giannoulias campaign manager Tom Bowen said in a statement. "They're looking for someone who will work tirelessly to create jobs and fight for their best interests. Alexi Giannoulias is the candidate who will do that, and the people of Illinois have taken notice. This poll confirms again what other data has shown for weeks: despite the fact that this race is still highly competitive, Alexi is in a strong position to win."
The Daily Kos also considers a Brady win on the GOP side "great news" for Quinn--since Brady is considered too conservative for Illinois.
President Obama remains popular in Illinois. The poll shows 60 percent of voters having a "favorable" opinion of the president.