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Gulf Oil Spill Could Reach Mexico Through Changing Currents

MARK STEVENSON   05/12/10 09:07 PM ET   AP

Oil Spill Gulf Of Mexico

MEXICO CITY — Mexican officials fear the Gulf oil spill could reach their coasts if the leak is not stopped by August, when seasonal currents start to reverse and flow south. They also worry about the impact of the upcoming hurricane season.

So far prevailing currents have carried at least 4 million gallons of spilled oil from a damaged BP well toward the north and east, away from Mexico and toward U.S. shores.

But those currents start to shift by August, and by October the prevailing currents have reversed toward Mexico.

Carlos Morales, the head of exploration and production for the state-owned Petroleos Mexicanos oil company, said Wednesday that if efforts to quickly block the leak with new valves or other devices fail, it could take four to five more months to drill another well that would relieve the pressure fueling the leak.

"That is the range we are talking about, from a week or two to four to five months," Morales said at a news conference.

He added that Mexico has sent several thousand meters (yards) of containment booms to the United States to help fight the spill. He said Mexico has about 120 official vessels in the Gulf that could participate in containment efforts if needed.

Environment Secretary Juan Rafael Elvira Quesada also told local media that officials are concerned the hurricane season – which begins in the Atlantic on June 1 – could potentially stir up or spread the oil slick farther.

Mexico's government is particularly worried about the potential impact on coastal lagoons along Mexico's northern Gulf coast.

At least two species of sea turtles could be severely affected, including the endangered Kemp's Ridley sea turtle, said the head of Mexico's governmental biodiversity council, Jose Sarukhan.

"This is potentially a big problem ... because of the size of the (turtle) populations and their susceptibility to damage," he said.

Mexico's Defense and Environment departments and the state oil company are carrying out a three-day drill of oil spill contingency procedures that concludes Thursday. The drills include containing and collecting simulated spills and helping affected wildlife.

An April 20 explosion on BP's deepwater oil rig killed 11 men and unleashed a powerful gusher.

On Tuesday, Elvira Quesada said that BP must be held responsible for the spill and that his staff is researching international environmental law to see what legal actions it might take.

"It is important and necessary that such errors, omissions, accidents, do not go unpunished," he said. "The biodiversity that is affected is a biodiversity that is common to all beings on the planet."

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MEXICO CITY — Mexican officials fear the Gulf oil spill could reach their coasts if the leak is not stopped by August, when seasonal currents start to reverse and flow south. They also worry abo...
MEXICO CITY — Mexican officials fear the Gulf oil spill could reach their coasts if the leak is not stopped by August, when seasonal currents start to reverse and flow south. They also worry abo...
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01:40 AM on 06/03/2010
In Veracruz I have found dead deep sea creatures and other respectful sources have declared the same. I have walked our coast lines for years and have never found such creatures.

We know that there are counter clock currents that are affecting our ecosystems.

In Mexico our authorities are too busy doing something else. We need help from NGO´s to determine the impact of the spill.

By the way we also need desperate help to control the violence in our country!!


HELP!!
01:05 PM on 05/15/2010
BP might be able to hoodwink the American courts but if the drug cartels get pissed over their waters being damaged and their boats getting oil clogged I wouldn't want to be a BP employee! They will deal with it in another more deadly way.
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lunarsnare
♫♪♫ ♪♫♪
05:15 AM on 05/14/2010
Why is BP permitted to use dispersants a mile below at the geyser?
Isn’t that hiding the magnitude of the spill by diluting it before it comes to the surface where it can be seen, tracked, assessed and captured?

If you where a corrupt oil company, wouldn’t you hide as much as possible of the spill?
To absolve yourself of as much culpability as possible a.k.a cost.
They're putting this stuff in the ocean by the 10000's of gallons.

Isn’t t far more difficult to detect & recover it in droplets then in a more solid mass?

Doesn’t that also open the door for deniability when oil continues to show up many years later, that it can’t be proven with certainty to be from that particular spill.

What about if the dispersants are equality if not more toxic as the oil itself?
Since the ingredients are a corporate secret?
Are they even liable for the additional damage of the dispersants?
12:57 AM on 05/16/2010
The bigger problem is that ocean currents move differently at different depths and with most of the oil now trapped out of view it's going to be difficult to tell where it's going. The surface oil may be headed north for instance but the majority of the spill could in fact be drifting west thousands of feet below the surface. Texas & Mexico may be in for a nasty surprise sooner than the August time frame they're talking about.
05:35 PM on 05/13/2010
Corporations own the government and they have the power to twist the law. They worry nothing about the damage to the environment. That is the sad fact as of today. It is a waste of time to ask the gov to do something. It is more important to recognize the facts as they are.
edva
Capitalism vs Humanity
10:40 AM on 05/13/2010
It's illegal to kill an endangered animal. The oil industry is killing, and will kill, hundreds, thousands, perhaps tens of thousands (along with hundreds of thousands of "non endangered" animals). Enough guilt to PERMANENTLY criminalize them. Alternative energy NOW!!!!!
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Dr Juan
Ron Paul -More Liberty, Less Government, No Fed
10:26 AM on 05/13/2010
Attention Just Announced: BP plan “B” – Swimmers at all gulf beaches this summer will be issued disposable oil absorbing sponge sandals. Sponge sandals come with a matching “Drill Baby Drill” T-shirt provided by Halliburton.

Al Gore is taking credit for inventing the idea and is starting a new film and lecture series on Solar Tar Ball Warming.

Comment from the White-House: “Yes We Can dine on fried shrimp this summer!”
10:55 AM on 05/13/2010
Forget to take your anti-conservative sanity pill this morning?
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Ira7
11:34 AM on 05/13/2010
Don't quit your day job.
goleafsgo
A Lie stands on one leg, Truth on two.
10:10 AM on 05/13/2010
I was just wondering if the Mexican government would sue the United States for any environmental damage or loss of tourism, etc. If not, would they sue BP? Would this in fact impact BP's survival? Mary Landreau was very emphatic about her stance regarding the demise of BP. She would fight any such attempt to create their failure. The implication seems to be that she (and others?) would support a bailout to prevent Bp from going under because they are "to big to fail".
Here we go again!
05:28 PM on 05/13/2010
The fact remains the Oil industry, the Bank industry, the War industy, all of them are ABOVE the law. Don't expect an undemocratic government as the mexican to be worried about this. Well yes, they will sue, for the sake of it, but don't expect they will be taken seriously as they themselves don't take this seriously. To be clear I am talking about the mexican gov. which is really a bunch of thugs.
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sixchair
capitalist, job creator, progressive.
08:49 AM on 05/13/2010
"...watching the sun bake

all those tourists COVERED IN OIL.."
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Sis3563
01:55 PM on 05/14/2010
Strummin my six-string
On my front porch swing
Smell those shrimp they're beginnin to boil

Wastin away again in margaritaville
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sixchair
capitalist, job creator, progressive.
05:11 PM on 05/14/2010
lookin' for my lost blow out preventer...
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tjconkster
Occupy the Voting Booth 2012!
01:00 AM on 05/16/2010
Jimmie didn't know how prophetic he was being when he wrote that lyric...
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08:08 AM on 05/13/2010
There is one thing I don't understand about the "clean up." Why are they dumping chemicals in to disperse the oil? Wouldn't it be easier to clean up if it was all in one place?
08:55 AM on 05/13/2010
Probably because it disperses it on the top, so it doesn't look as bad, then they can lie about how much oil has really spilled out. Environmentalist have said that stuff is more toxic than the oil, and that it will kill the coral reefs.
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Scoppertop
Sunny Side
07:59 AM on 05/13/2010
How did 'drilling another well' become an option when these companies obviously cannot control the amount of pressure coming from this one?

The only thing that makes sense is to start heroic efforts to 'top-kill' this well immediately, and never allow drilling in that area (or that deep!) again.
10:59 AM on 05/13/2010
Obviously BP's primary concern is saving this well and recovering oil, NOT lessening the damage to the gulf waters or the environment overall.

And while the MSM's lack of coverage on that facet of the story isn't surprising, it sure is infuriating to me.
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topkatnc
Give a stray cat or dog a chance .
12:36 PM on 05/13/2010
No the main MSM is to busy with Jessie's bombshell girlfriend or some other trivial thing..
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05:09 AM on 05/13/2010
When you think of the vast quantities of carcinogenic chemicals being released into the Gulf here, and add to that the VOC's that are prodigiously pumped into oil and gas wells all over the world, it is easy to understand why cancer is now, and will be even more, a primary medical event for so many. The problem will continue to grow.
06:15 AM on 05/13/2010
4 in 10 of us will get cancer as is, and that is largely due to "environmental factors".
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Andrew Lopez
Invisible Gardener
01:39 PM on 05/15/2010
I would also like to add that oil and plastic are a far bigger problem then any one realizes.
We all that plastic (remember the dead zones?), the oil will find its way there and the plastic will absorb the oil, allowing it to slowly disperse over the next 100 years.
:)
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03:23 AM on 05/13/2010
Here is the link to NOAA's surface forecast for the Gulf of Mexico.

http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/ofs/viewer.shtml?-gulfmex-cur-0-large-rundate=latest

In reference to effects of the oil on hurricanes (or vice versa) all I can add is that at least two hurricanes appear to have come in contact with the Ixtoc I spill of 1979. In fact it looks like both may have churned through the middle of the oil. Neither hurricane -- Bob nor Henri -- were particularly noteworthy in terms of strength. Both were Category One storms. I've seen no studies of their effects on the oil (or vice versa) but then I wouldn't know where to look or how to interpret the data, so please, anyone.

Insofar as the 2010 hurricane season is concerned, the current El Nino apparently is on its last leg and forecasters believe a La Nina could form pretty quickly in its wake. La Nina conditions are much more favorable for hurricane formation. The actual experts (again, I am NOT one) are watching very carefully and updating La Nina and hurricane forecasts as quickly as possible.
MyrtleJune
STOP negotiating! End the American hostage crisis!
02:54 AM on 05/13/2010
And wouldn't that just make Arizona soooooooooooo happy. feh.
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01:18 AM on 05/13/2010
Don't worry, be happy.
The Big 'O' will fix this.
He will tell us that all is 'well' when the next 'well' is drilled.
And we will not worry and we will be happy because the Big 'O' said so...
And BP will BE VERY HAPPY!
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WiltonDiary
The Obamas: American exceptionalism at it's best!
02:46 AM on 05/13/2010
There is no O in Cheney!
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06:43 PM on 05/13/2010
Correct, there's just a Dick.
12:08 PM on 05/13/2010
You think Your Guys would do any better?
Get hip will you.
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06:43 PM on 05/13/2010
Obama was my guy, until after he took office.
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Yaxchibonam
Learn a second language.
01:15 AM on 05/13/2010
When I was a kid, I read about a little boy that died when he fell out of the back of a camping trailer being hauled by his parent on vacation. After that death, the state he lived in made a law that children couldn't ride in campers like that anymore. At the age of 12 or so, I had an "a ha!" moment, which is that people seemed to have to wait until something really horrible happens before they are moved to make common sense decisions. It would be unimaginable if this tragic situation doesn't result in big changes in energy policy.

And PS, Mexico has a HUGE wind power project on the Isthmus of Tehuantepec that no one talks about. After we put BP out of business, let's start up State-owned wind and solar projects in each of the 50 states!
02:57 AM on 05/13/2010
Usually it has to be something really horrible that happens to rich people before there is regulation to prevent a catastrophy.

Hearty fire codes regulations didn't become a big deal until a bunch of blue blood Boston Brahmins died in the Cocoanut Grove Club fire in 1942.

Nothing ever happens until there is money behind it. Everything that happens, happens because there is money behind it.
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MidRoaderTurnedLeft
08:11 AM on 05/13/2010
Good point about the fire codes. But without enforcement they don't work. Remember the Rhode Island nightclub fire in 2003, where 100 people were killed? The building exceeded its occupancy limit and didn't have required sprinklers:
http://www.projo.com/extra/2003/stationfire/content/STATION_FIRE_LIST_12-03-07_QL81OLD_v55.2a82be5.html
07:55 AM on 05/13/2010
That's why stop signs go up on arbitrary suburban street corners. You can bet there was an accident. Good post.

I'm just sick about the prospects of this reaching Mexico. The greed of our country is deplorable, and so's our selfish inaction on installing alternate energy sources. Just this year alone, watching the Senate screw around on the climate bill has shown them to by cynical and supercilious in the extreme. The people in Mexico this would affect are a thousand times poorer than most of us. I am genuinely ashamed.