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Thad Allen: Oil Leak Will Continue 'Well Into The Fall'

Gulf Oil Spill Fish Endless Summer

First Posted: 06/07/10 12:41 AM ET Updated: 05/25/11 05:40 PM ET

NEW ORLEANS (Associated Press) - A containment cap was capturing more and more of the crude pouring from a damaged oil well in the Gulf of Mexico, but that bit of hope was tempered Sunday by a sharp dose of pragmatism as the federal government's point man warned the crisis could stretch into the fall.

The inverted funnel-like cap is being closely watched for whether it can make a serious dent in the flow of new oil. Coast Guard Adm. Thad Allen, overseeing the government's response to the spill, reserved judgment, saying he didn't want to risk offering false encouragement.

Instead, he warned on CBS' "Face the Nation" that the battle to contain the oil is likely to stretch into the fall. The cap will trap only so much of the oil, and relief wells being drilled won't be completed until August. In the meantime, oil will continue to spew out.

"But even after that, there will be oil out there for months to come," Allen said.

"This will be well into the fall. This is a siege across the entire Gulf. This spill is holding everybody hostage, not only economically but physically. And it has to be attacked on all fronts," he said.

Since it was placed over the busted well on Thursday, the cap has been siphoning an increasing amount of oil. On Saturday, it funneled about 441,000 gallons to a tanker on the surface, up from about 250,000 gallons it captured Friday.

But it's not clear how much is still escaping from the well that federal authorities at one point estimated was leaking between 500,000 gallons and 1 million gallons a day. Since the spill began nearly seven weeks ago, roughly 23 million to 49 million gallons of oil have leaked into the Gulf.

The prospect that the crisis could stretch beyond summer was devastating to residents along the Gulf, who are seeing thicker globs of oil show up in increasing volume all along the coastline.

In Ruth Dailey's condominium in Gulf Shores, Ala., floors already are smeared with dark blotches of oil, she said, and things are only going to get worse.

"This is just the beginning," she said. "I have a beachfront condo for a reason. With this, no one will want to come."

Kelcey Forrestier, 23, of New Orleans, said she no longer trusts the word of either BP or the U.S. government in laying out the extent of the spill. But it is clear to Forrestier, just coming in off the water at Okaloosa Island, Fla., that the spill and its damage will last long into the future.

"Oil just doesn't go away. Oil doesn't disappear," said Forrestier, who just earned a biology degree. "It has to go somewhere and it's going to come to the Gulf beaches."

BP chief executive Tony Hayward told the BBC on Sunday that he believed the cap was likely to capture "the majority, probably the vast majority" of the oil gushing from the well. The gradual increase in the amount being captured is deliberate, in an effort to prevent water from getting inside and forming a frozen slush that foiled a previous containment attempt.

Allen was reluctant to characterize the degree of progress, saying much more had to be done.

"We need to underpromise and overdeliver," he said.

On Sunday, BP said it had closed one of four vents that are allowing oil to escape and preventing that water intake. The company said some of the remaining vents may remain open to keep the cap system stable.

Hayward told the BBC that the company hopes a second containment system will be in place by next weekend. Allen told CBS that the oil would stop flowing only when the existing well is plugged with cement once the relief wells have been completed.

Once the cap is fully operational, if it is ultimately successful, it could capture a maximum of 630,000 gallons of oil a day.

Besides installing the containment cap, BP officials have said they want a second option for siphoning off oil by next weekend. The plan would use lines and pipes that previously injected mud down into the well -- one of several failed efforts over the past six-plus weeks to contain the leak -- and instead use them to suck up oil and send it to a drilling rig on the ocean surface.

BP also wants to install by late June another system to help cope with hurricanes that could roar over the site of the damaged well. When finished, there would be a riser floating about 300 feet below the ocean's surface -- far enough below the water so it would not be disturbed by powerful hurricane winds and waves but close enough so ships forced to evacuate could easily reconnect to the pipes once the storm has passed.

None of these fixes will stop the well from leaking; they're simply designed to capture what's leaking until the relief wells can be drilled.

Since the Deepwater Horizon rig exploded 50 miles off the coast of Louisiana on April 20, killing 11 workers, BP PLC has tried and failed a number of efforts to contain the leak. In the past week, increasing quantities of thick oily sludge have been making their way farther east, washing up on some of the region's hallmark white-sand beaches and coating marshes in black ooze. An observation flight spotted a sheen of oil 150 miles west of Tampa, but officials said Sunday they didn't expect it to reach western Florida any time soon.

Already, cleanup crews along the coast were struggling to keep pace with oil washing up thicker and faster by the hour. The sight and smell of oil undermined any consolation offered by reports of progress at the wellhead. Instead, Gulf residents voiced frustration with the apparent holes in cleanup efforts.

At Gulf Shores, Dailey walked along a line of oil mixed with seaweed that stretched as far as the eye could see. Collecting bits of the rust-colored oil did nothing to ease her anger. Clumps of seaweed hiding tar balls make the scene appear better than it really is, she said. Pick up a piece of weed and often there's oil underneath.

"They're lying when they say they're cleaning these beaches," said Dailey, of Huntsville. "They're saying that because they still want people to come."

Eventually, workers used a big sand-sifting machine to clean the public beach, leaving it spotless, at least for a while.

But a couple miles away, workers cleaning a section of sand at a state park finished their work and left their refuse on the beach in the way of the incoming tide.

"Waves are washing over plastic bags filled with tar and oil. It's crazy," said Mike Reynolds, a real estate agent and director of Share The Beach, a turtle conservation group.

At Pensacola Beach, Fla., the turquoise waves also were flecked with floating balls of tar. Buck Langston, who has been coming to the beach to collect shells for 38 years, watched as his family used improvised chopsticks to collect the tar in plastic containers.

"Yesterday it wasn't like this, this heavy," said Langston, of Baton Rouge, La. "I don't know why cleanup crews aren't out here."

As hundreds of cars streamed through the toll booths at the entrance to the beach, a protester stood at the side of the road wearing a gas mask, lab coat, latex gloves and holding a "Drill Baby Drill" sign with tea bags hanging from the edges.

Shawn Luzmoor said he works at a local environmental lab and has been testing the oil and tar that is washing up on the beaches.

"It's not safe and it's not right what's happening out there," he said.

Allen expressed similar frustration, ordering cleanup crews to the Alabama coastline over the weekend after surveying the scene from the air. But he acknowledged the relative futility of their efforts.

"It's so widespread, and it's intermittent," he said. "That's what's so challenging about this. Everyone wants certainty. With an oil spill like this, there isn't any."

FOLLOW HUFFPOST GREEN

NEW ORLEANS (Associated Press) - A containment cap was capturing more and more of the crude pouring from a damaged oil well in the Gulf of Mexico, but that bit of hope was tempered Sunday by a sharp d...
NEW ORLEANS (Associated Press) - A containment cap was capturing more and more of the crude pouring from a damaged oil well in the Gulf of Mexico, but that bit of hope was tempered Sunday by a sharp d...
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05:52 PM on 06/11/2010
Of course, there's also the option to bring one of the explosives grunts down from the moutain top removal crew, and simply close the well with a couple of well-placed explosive devices. Ah, but then the leak is stopped, and criminal proceedings can go forward.
07:42 PM on 06/07/2010
In case any of your were wondering...this dead fish appears to be a fry (newly born) (depending on your region of domicile) mahi-mahi, dolphin-fish, or dorado.

I have voted in my self-interest from the moment I was able to do so. It just so happened that my interest (and my parents', and theirs before them) happen/ed to align with those of the Republican party.

When Reagan ripped the solar panels off of the Whitehouse in 1980, my grandfather cheered. When GHW Bush secured our oil interests in '92, my dad cheered. When GW Bush secured our oil interests in the Gulf and thereafter, when I heard "drill baby drill," I was hysterically supportive.

I just learned that the two female 700+ pound bluefin tuna caught and tagged on stellwagen bank last year, were marked spawning within a quarter mile of this spill-site. I fish the northeast canyons all summer for yellowfin, bigeye and albacore in blue water that works its way up north via the gulf stream. I fish off marathon key and further south in the winter; and I fish for bluefin, late fall off cape cod. My fishing is in jeopardy and as much as I hate to admit it, it is not Obama's fault. It is mine, my dad's and my grandfather's.

I'm on board with you lefties if y'all make sure that on the water, my son's fishing future will be like my grandfather's past.
08:45 PM on 06/07/2010
Welcome aboard...one of the first things I recommend you do is realize that true "pacifist liberals" are unpopular. They are now, and they always have been.

But the ones that are committed to change; even if unpopular, reap the most rewards.

One of our greatest role models is Franz Jägerstätter.
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MrBadExample
Friends call me ‘exampleicious’
09:12 PM on 06/07/2010
Holy Crap! Somebody brought up Franz Jägerstätter!

You're fanned for that alone.

But yes, the real pacifists face ostracism and obscurity. The Berrigan Brothers, Father Carl Kabat, Liz McAllister and Anne Montgomery, the Catonsville Nine and the Plowshares Eight--they all deserve our respect, even if we don't have the ability to emulate their actions.

And their model is inspirational to those of us who don't think change is possible. What's the inspirational protest we can think of that would honor their legacy?

Bless them all.
05:44 PM on 06/07/2010
We should know by now Washington policians will do nothing.

We should know that BP will not only not be held accountable, but they will maintain their MO.

We should know by now the corporate propaganda machines will lie to us and somehow punish the (soon to be extinct) middle-class, yet again.

Nothing will change unless the PEOPLE make it change...but it's obvious change won't come peacefully.
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03:24 PM on 06/07/2010
Obama is/has become the new "legislator in chief".
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Martin Musetsky
03:21 PM on 06/07/2010
Live feed of all the cameras on the Gulf floor: http://climate.the-environmentalist.org/2010/06/live-video-feeds-of-gulf-oil-disaster.html
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
wesinohio
Can't never did anything.
03:19 PM on 06/07/2010
I made a comment about a possible solution early-on in the spill, suggesting a dome, later I suggested a pipe or bladder-type containment device. One response was a toxic brain-storm killer, "Where have you been! They tried a dome and it failed!" That kind of comment is so unconstructive. But having said that, containment might be working now, can be improved, and a cleanup strategy developed.
How about deploying numerous automatic collectors that would rove the Gulf, recognize the presence of oil and siphon it up automatically. They might facilitate the separation of captured oil and related contaminants from captured water, and then dispense clean water back into the body of water in question. When full of oil the remote collector/separator would send a signal that its collected oil was ready to be transported to another collection facility.
This reminds me of another idea that I had about removing invasive plants, albeit it is a bit frightening perhaps too. But here on my family's farm we have a large amount of wild Rose plants, "rosamultiflora", or "multifloral rose", that have long, long stringers and large thorns that clutter up open areas and clog what would otherwise be open forest floors. How about roving automatic detectors to eliminate these invasive plants too? Something like this might work, but I have to say though that I'd hate to run across one of those auto-bots in the forest and be mistaken for a wild rose plant!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DJlaysitup
Class warfare? yep, it's always been class warfare
04:02 PM on 06/07/2010
I was thinking of something like this (although it would be a lot of work to put together). Remember seeing pictures of those very high altitude weather balloons that have long flowing lower sections to accomodate for the massive expansion of gasses at high altitudes? How about instead of a mile long rigid or semi rigid pipe with a fixed diameter - they used an oversized tube-type thing made of a very fexible material that would bend and expand to accomodate the volume and pressure of the oil (like the lower section of the balloon). Other than the massive effort to make such a thing - the other problem would be affixing it to the blowout pipe. But, if that could be done the oil would have much more room inside the oversized containment to be captured without blowing back out. The crystal forming problem would be solved too. This wouldn't be perfect however as far as capture goes. Once the oil gets to the surface I would let it come out into a pool on the surface which would be surrounded by v. large booms. As the oil fills the pool it could be pumped out by tankers taking turns. There would still be spillage but you could probably get like 75+% once the procedure was tweaked and best percentages were being captured. It would basically be an oversized mile long sleeve - providing a much bigger (and variable) diameter for the oil to follow up towards the surface.
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Davest
6' 9" with the afro......
03:13 PM on 06/07/2010
Drill, baby Drill!

pathetic, truly a sad state of affairs for all the gulf area residents, and now Florida and the Eastern Seaboard.

Way to go BP! I'm sure more zeroe's on the bottom line were worth this.

Both Vidrine, and Saluza who were BP's "Company Men" on board need to go to Jail for a very long time.
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02:35 PM on 06/07/2010
RFAstill 1 hour ago (12:51 PM)
regulation, nor deregulation, won't be used as reasoning, lest all who never changed what was, also be blamed.

==============

They already share the blame.

Here's the problem, tho.

Even if Salazar and Obama had agreed on a radical course of action, like suspending all drilling and refining activities for, say, 2 years while every decision made by the corrupt MMS was reviewed, it wouldn't have been feasible.

Given the reports of how ineffective and corrupt the agency had become, that is probably the only way this disaster could have been averted - suspend everything until safety regs were reviewed and back in compliance, environmental impact had been properly studied, etc.

Can you imagine the outcry on both sides of the aisle if Salazar had recommended that, and Obama had agreed?

I don't see any other course of action they could have taken that would have had a significant impact on the course of events - but that very inaction assigns a portion of responsibility to the current administration.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
mrJJ
02:52 PM on 06/07/2010
Purge?

No way no how... The switch over from political positions to civil servant postions would be a nightmare to try to untangle...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/17/AR2008111703537.html?hpid=topnews
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
mrJJ
02:35 PM on 06/07/2010
Another recent BP spill of 500,000 lbs of toxic chemicals at Texas plant where 15 people died in 2005.

The bulk of the emissions during that time included an estimated 189,000 pounds of carbon monoxide and 61,000 pounds of propane, according to the company’s report to the TCEQ.

“Benzene is a carcinogen naturally found in oil,” and carbon monoxide is a chemical that kills hundreds and sickens thousands of people every year. The plant spokesperson said the amounts released were not large enough to be harmful to neighboring communities. An explosion at the same refinery in 2005 killed 15 workers and injured more than 170 others. The Occupational Safety and Health Administration fined the company $21 million for safety failures that led to that explosion, while the Department of Justice fined the company another $50 million.

Snip

Refinery spokesman Michael Marr said in its follow up reporting with the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality, BP estimated 36,000 pounds of nitrogen oxides and 17,000 pounds of benzene were released in the 40 days. State law requires 10 pounds or more of benzene and 200 pounds or more of nitrogen oxide during a 24-hour period must be reported through the commission’s air emissions database.

http://thinkprogress.org/2010/06/05/bp-other-spill
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01:50 PM on 06/07/2010
Face it folks Human Ignorance Hubris and dishonesty are at the hart of why we just killed us.....
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Chernynkaya
01:36 PM on 06/07/2010
Sen. Bill Nelson from Florida-- and he's a Dem, but still sounds pretty stoopid, just said the president is doing all that he can to stop the gusher, but he nevertheless said that more needs to be done. HUH? How can you acknowledge that all that can be done is being done, but still need to do more? He wants the Pentagon involved—for “command and control”—as if the Pentagon has such a great reputation!

I think he actually speaks for most Americans-- they understand that everything possible is being done, but still want more. How can you do that?

Now, if it turns out that the government didn't put enough boats in place to skim the oil, I'll get furious, but I'll wait until then. All I could find about that is this:

Allen Explains Why Oil-Sucking Tankers Aren’t Being Used

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2010/06/allen-explains-why-oilsucking-tankers-arent-being-used.html
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Rudderman
Warren for Senate.
01:50 PM on 06/07/2010
I've resisted the temptation to argue, as did Robert Reich, for placing BP in temporary receivership. However, the longer this goes on, it's clear BP has no interest in devoting the needed resources to the cleanup. They're too concerned about limiting liability. Hence all the lies about the true severity of this disaster. It's a risky move for the WH, but the status quo cannot continue.
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04:44 PM on 06/07/2010
chernynkaya

I think some of the "all that can be done is being done" but "more could be done" thing we hear from various quarters arises out of the twining together of the the 2 separate phases : 1. abatement (taming the well) and 2. mitigation

taming the well is obviously the challenge for which no one (that we know of) is properly prepared

mitigation is another story - more could have been done, should have been done, from day one, corexit should not have been used (not only becos of toxicity, but becos it actually makes collection nigh on impossible for a large amount of the oil), proper booming should have been implemented immediately, etc, etc

and not everyone making the criticism in re the failure to initiate mitigation early, expertly and comprehensively, is a political enemy, hack or opportunist

booming (strong language):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i6ZN6r5-1QE

as for the pentagon taking over - only if you want to leap from the sizzling griddle into the roaring flames
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Timma
...paulatim crescam...
01:36 PM on 06/07/2010
This mess can be summed up in the word hubris - Hubris is what motivates people to scoff "drill baby drill." Hubris is what leads a once powerful nation to ignore the sound advice of other nations on universal healthcare, implementation of renewable energy industry, equality for GLBT, allowing women the decision to bring a child into the world, etc. Hubris is what allows politicians and big business to speak out of both sides of their mouths while gutting the middle class out of their living. Hubris is what allows poster child for greed - BP CEO Tony Hayward - to say "I just want my life back." Hubris is what motivates Sarah Palin to arrogantly blame environmentalists for this epic disaster. Hubris is what lets racist law pass for good legislation in Arizona. There are no easy answers only hard choices.
01:30 PM on 06/07/2010
Sen. Bill Nelson of Florida just said that there are reports of oil seeping from the ocean floor in the area of the BP well. That would suggest that the casing might be blown deeper down. Only cement under that will stop the flow. If the rock formations have been fractured, then we've only seen the beginning of the spill. Should that be the case, the toxic timeline will stretch out for years, maybe decades.

Most of the anger focuses on BP. Tony Hayward has positioned BP as the bad guy. He has given his word that they will pay the "legitimate" costs. He's taken on the villain role and his company has let him, with no falling on the sword required.

But let us not forget the other players: Transocean, the cold-blooded and conveniently Swissed operator of the rig/ship, and Halliburton who did the downhole cement work. It might be BP's well, but it was Transocean's rig that sank, and Transocean's captain and crew operating it. And it was Halliburton hands who pumped down the cement that was supposed to secure the well, only to have it blow out.

Further investigations will reveal who made the tragically flawed decisions, and how the process collapsed. No doubt "we were only following orders" defenses are ready and the buck is being greased for speedy passing. Airplanes crash when cockpit discipline collapses. Complex oil rigs fail when egos and profits supersede best practices and the big picture.
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Rudderman
Warren for Senate.
01:41 PM on 06/07/2010
Not to let the other culprits off the hook, but most evidence suggests that the BP "company man" was largely responsible for this catastrophe. If he was following orders, they came straight from the top at BP. Supposedly, the project was a million bucks behind cost projections, hence the rush to get the well capped. Hopefully, as you said, the truth will out.
03:18 PM on 06/07/2010
Correct. The BP "company man" is in charge of all operations during drilling, and he takes his orders from BP management. The Transocean crew follow the company man's orders for operations, but they should always discuss the path forward and any potential pitfalls with the company man. It's a team, with a leader.

Just like the Transocean crew, the Halliburton cementing crew takes its orders from the company man. There is no information I have seen that indicates Halliburton did anything other than follow the cementing plan designed by BP for this well.

As for following orders, the oil industry isn't the military. The crew is managed by their own supervisors and the company man, but they are supposed to work as a team, and often do. I have been on many drilling rigs and have been very impressed by the professionalism and constructive discourse. But there are always exceptions.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Dr Juan
Ron Paul -More Liberty, Less Government, No Fed
10:03 PM on 06/07/2010
The experienced company man knows wells and their dangers. This well had been kicking before the disaster. This alone should put any operator on allert and dictate a conservative course with teams, equipment and emergency protocols at the ready. He clearly had correct procedures and opinions offerred in meetings but overrode all - in a company which is paranoid about safety - and a safety record celebration with brass was in progress making this the worst possible time to blunder. BP is highly profitable making it a thin argument that economics doomed this well.

Ironically some errant decissions were made in safety meetings. And many who attended left grumbling about the new danger ahead that would possibly result from the directives forced on them by BP. And rumors are that Schlumberger notified the company man that the well was being mismanged and was dangerous and even demanded corrective action......Yet the company man continued displacing mud with sea water. Schlumerger ASAP evacuated the rig over concern for the lives of their empolyees.

Considering all the warnings and all the discounted good advice, this clearly goes beyond malfeasance and had to be an INTENTIONAL ACT!. The reasons are as yet unknown. But we have to begin with a search for those that profited and those with agendas that benefited. And like many other big events in history, we may never be entrusted with the truth. They already hide the true magnitude of the spill and damage to the Gulf.
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MrBadExample
Friends call me ‘exampleicious’
03:13 PM on 06/07/2010
There have been solid allegations for well over a week that there's at least one other leak in the oilfield caused by the blowout. Matt Simmons, an energy project manager, said that the oil coming out at the BP-Cam spot isn't of the viscosity of the stuff washing up on the beaches--he suspects there's a much larger leak as much as five miles away from the photogenic one.

The reality is that BP is shucking and jiving as much as any corporation in history, and it wouldn't surprise anyone that the field is swiss cheese after the blowback equipment failed to protect the field.
03:25 PM on 06/07/2010
What field? This was an exploration well.
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Eyeful
virtuous raconteur
01:30 PM on 06/07/2010
The autumnal equinox begins Sept. 22, 2010. That will be 175+ more days. Oil is currently gushing out at approx. ONE MILLION gallons per day. Look at the condition of the Gulf now and try to comprehend that it might be 3x worse.

Because the Gulf's waters are very warm, the oil on the surface will evaporate and the fumes will become intolerable (in some places they already are). People living on the coast may have to be evacuated to prevent respiratory health risks.

The flora in marshlands and barrier islands will suffocate and after one big storm they will be underwater. I don't think we've even seen the tip of this in terms of dead wildlife.

Capping this well is priority #1. We can't afford to wait until the fall. The president needs to address the nation soon.
01:42 PM on 06/07/2010
They've already got plans to evacuate Tampa Florida...

But you don't hear much about it on the news around here... and I'm in Tampa.


SAVE the GULF from ECOCIDE!!
http://www.handsacrossthesand.com


http://detour-mind.blogspot.com/2010_05_01_archive.html

http://deadquickgulf.blogspot.com
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Rudderman
Warren for Senate.
01:56 PM on 06/07/2010
Thanks for the links. Wish you the best. Fanned for both your post and great avatar!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Eyeful
virtuous raconteur
04:20 PM on 06/07/2010
krispy99, can you post info on Tampa evacuation? I have friends in Bradenton/Sarasota and have not heard this. Thanks!
01:26 PM on 06/07/2010
We Americans love to find the bad guy to blame for whatever major problems facing our country. The press is often fanning the flame and adding no value in putting things in context. The context is we are all to blame just like the so called war on drugs. We have an addiction to oil and every sources of supply have compromises. BP is drilling in deep water which is very risky not because they like to but it is the only place they can drill without fighting the environment lobby. Do people know that oil generates a signficant amount of income for the Gulf states much more than fishing and tourism combined. If we stopped drilling, the Gulf states will have an economic disaster much bigger than the oil spill.
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mrJJ
01:37 PM on 06/07/2010
,,"the only place they can drill without fighting the environment lobby."

Really???

Look at the he Active Oil Well Leases ... at page 9

http://www.loe.org/images/100528/Increased-Safety-Measures-Report-2.pdf
02:25 PM on 06/07/2010
From the same document "Congress has also enacted laws to promote production in frontier areas like the Gulf of Mexico deepwater. For example, the 1995 Deepwater Royalty Relief Act encouraged oil and gas development in the Gulf of Mexico in water depths greater than 200 meters (656 feet) through royalty relief. Royalty relief incentives were also offered to encourage production from wells drilled for deep natural gas (greater than 15,000 feet or 4,572 meters total depth"

The rationale for this was to encourage drilling much further out from our "backyard" just in case something happens.
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MrBadExample
Friends call me ‘exampleicious’
09:06 PM on 06/07/2010
"BP is drilling in deep water which is very risky not because they like to but it is the only place they can drill without fighting the environment lobby."

Ummm... no. They're drilling in deep water because there's no oil to be found on land. The shallow water explorations undertaken are not promising, which is one of the reasons the oil co's weren't pushing them. In any case, there's not enough oil anyplace in North America to run what we use--our use is about 19 million barrels a day and we peaked in 1971 at 10 million barrels (we're now down to six).

No one expects to find another Saudi Arabia under the shoreline. We'd probably find fields like Jack II (Chevron's big coastal find)--a relatively small amount of low-quality oil under lots of rock under a significant amount of ocean. Would New Jersey or Florida or California be willing to give up all its ocean-related businesses in the event of a spill? The oil in Deepwater isn't a rounding error in total US oil use--and to get it out, BP may have destroyed the Gulf. At what point is the trade-off not worth it?