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William Dudley, NY Fed President: It Could Take Years To End Fed's Easy Money Policies (VIDEO)

First Posted: 11/16/10 08:44 AM ET Updated: 05/25/11 07:10 PM ET

William Dudley

WASHINGTON - A top U.S. Federal Reserve official defended the Fed's controversial bond-buying program on Tuesday, saying it could be years before pulling back easy money policies is warranted.

"This exit could be years away," New York Federal Reserve President William Dudley said an interview on CNBC. A transcript of the interview was made public.

The dollar fell against the euro and the yen on the comments.

WATCH CNBC's interview with Dudley:

Dudley cautioned that it will take months of adding 200,000 to 300,000 jobs to foster a meaningful recovery, and said the Fed's program to buy $600 billion in longer-term Treasuries is unlikely to generate a spurt of growth.

"Modest effect. It's not a fantasy. It's not a magic wand," he said.

"It's going to make the economy grow a little bit faster. It's going to generate a little bit more employment growth. But you know, we have a long bumpy road to travel," Dudley said.

Criticism has rained down on the Fed internationally and domestically since it announced in early November it would buy $600 billion in longer-term Treasuries by the middle of next year to spur more robust growth. Among those taking issue are international trading partners of the United States who have said that the weaker dollar hurts growth elsewhere by weakening their exports.

Fed officials at the center of support for the policy were out in force to respond to disparagement of the policy that has heightened in recent days.

Fed Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen, in another unusual on-the-record interview in the Wall Street Journal, said the easing program is not intended to push down the dollar, but to address unusually high unemployment and sluggish growth.

Dudley, a permanent voter on the Fed's policy setting panel, echoed Yellen's comments, saying the U.S. central bank's sole aim is to stimulate growth in the United States, not to devalue the currency at the expense of other economies around the world.

"What we're doing is actually in their long-term interests," he said. The sooner the United States recovers fully, the more quickly monetary policy authorities can pull back from extraordinary policies, he added.

"The goal of our policy is a very simple one, to ease financial conditions," Dudley said. "We're not trying to push the dollar to any particular level."

In addition to criticism from overseas, the Fed faces an unusually high degree of second-guessing at home.

Leaders of the Republican Party, which scored big gains in November elections on anti-government backlash, have slammed the Fed's easing program in recent days saying it undermines the dollar, sows the seeds of future inflation, and strays outside its mandate and into the domain of fiscal authorities.

On top of that, a number of Fed officials have questioned the policy.

"It's not surprising as the Fed gets to unusual, unconventional policy tools that there can be disagreement about whether the benefits outweigh the costs," Dudley said.

(Reporting by Mark Felsenthal; editing by Kazunori Takada)

Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions.

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WASHINGTON - A top U.S. Federal Reserve official defended the Fed's controversial bond-buying program on Tuesday, saying it could be years before pulling back easy money policies is warranted. "Th...
WASHINGTON - A top U.S. Federal Reserve official defended the Fed's controversial bond-buying program on Tuesday, saying it could be years before pulling back easy money policies is warranted. "Th...
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11:23 AM on 11/18/2010
And this is one thing that is very concerning to many. Really easy money means inevitably, most people chase yields. Makes sense afterall how long will you be willing to accept 0.15% per annum, when food prices are going up at 3-4% per annum? This leads to a misallocation of resources into assets they should not invest in given a more normalized monetary policy...aka bubbles.
09:22 AM on 11/18/2010
This is a candid admission that there is no end in sight for the jobs recession, but now that the Republicans control the House, there is no hope whatsoever of a jobs program or safety net. Working class and unemployed Americans will continue hurting for years; indeed, the pain will get worse.

Nobel Prize winning economists Krugman and Stiglitz warned that the Obama stimulus was too small to prevent the U.S. economy from following the same slow road as the Japanese economy since it crashed off its superhighway in 1992. But Obama chose to join Rubin's Wall Street Crowd.

Obama cannot complain when his bad judgment is punished at the polls, but I haver every right to complain that the Republican corruption is again rewarded by America's majority of low-cognition voters.
02:05 PM on 11/17/2010
When you are well off....you can wait years to see if it works. Nowadays most Americans no longer have that luxury.
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joe kim
12:22 PM on 11/17/2010
Bill Dudley = another tentacle of the vampire squid
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09:24 AM on 11/17/2010
we are all hamsters on neocon "financially engineered" wheels

Dudley says "unlikely to generate a spurt of growth."

""Modest effect. It's not a fantasy. It's not a magic wand," he said."

Then ""It's going to make the economy grow a little bit faster. It's going to generate a little bit more employment growth." Dudley said."

Then "Fed Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen, in another unusual on-the-record interview in the Wall Street Journal, said the easing program is not intended to push down the dollar, but to address unusually high unemployment and sluggish growth."

It's like greenspam said "if you understood what I said the I wasn't making myself clear enough"

"Dudley worked at Goldman Sachs from 1986 to 2007, holding the position of chief economist for ten years before he was hired by then-president of the New York Federal Reserve Timothy Geithner to oversee the department in charge of buying and selling government securities."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_C._Dudley
09:12 AM on 11/17/2010
The comments on here from people who know not a thing about monetary policy, central banking in general, or how credit works are disappointing, if not at all surprising.

Why I even waste my time reading this nonsense is beyond me.
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06:13 AM on 11/17/2010
Wishing thinking again as a can kicker has only one solution.

Worldwide bond meltdown will be the coming event that ends his easy money forever fantasy.
05:21 AM on 11/17/2010
I hope that Mr. Dudley is right, that this will give a modest effect on the job growth but I don't believe it. In my personal opinion is the banking sector already a too big part of the American economy. The FED is only part of the problem and it needs to be nationalized. A bigger problem with the job growth is that America need to produce and export more and one way of helping that to happened could be to invest the money that is now aimed for the banks to be used in some nation building project. Projects could be to invest in technology for replacing oil, high speed train in the areas where its possible, other infrastructure and also education.
09:07 AM on 11/17/2010
Disagree with you on almost all counts. We don't need to learn how to manufacture again - we manufacture more than China, Russia, and India combined. Those weren;t your exact words but I think some perpsective is in order.

Saying banking is too large a force is assinine as well - would you rather the role of allocating scarce resources go overseas and we lose control of one of our nations strongest assets? That is both a national security asset as well as the force that has allowed the generative nature of capitalism to flourish across all sectors and catalyzed a group of colonists to create the greatest economic superpower in the history of mankind.

We certainly need to focus on growing the economy by encouraging innovation, venture capital, and manufacturing of new technology will flourish. But the idea that the economy can grow while banking shrinks is misguided - we need capital to provide credit to both individuals and businesses.
09:11 AM on 11/17/2010
and don't even get me started on 'nationalizing the fed' - you won'd find a single credible economist (salt or freshwater) proposing that. Politicizing an institutition with such an imporant role - flawed as it may be - would be a disaster. And I am leaving aside the obvious flaw in your logic that we owe the fed more than $2 trillion, so we'd have no right nor negotiating power to accomplish such a disasterous policy even if we incorrectly deemed it a good idea. Please learn about monetary policy and the history of central banking before making statements above your pay grade.
05:10 AM on 11/17/2010
The Richard didly worked. For the Goldman and is buying treasuries through them instead of buying through the treasury. Why pay gs a fee for nothing this is exactly why we hate wall st. End the fed
JStading
Trust me, I'm an attorney...
03:18 AM on 11/17/2010
Wanna talk about "easy money" policies? Lets talk about the downright abusive practices of local governments that decide to hand hundreds of millions of dollars over to for profit sports teams that are raking in enough cash to sign hundred+ million dollar contracts for single players to build stadiums that are really not needed.  Corporate welfare is far from a new thing in this country.
12:44 AM on 11/17/2010
Dudley is the many faces of what's wrong with the fed-- idiotic and corrupt-- only serving those who they once worked for or will work for after their 'public service'-- what a joke.
12:33 AM on 11/17/2010
It's worrisome that even interest rates near zero seem to have little effect in reviving the economy. Monetary policy is pedal-to-the-metal, and still the economy just lies there. I'm expecting a lost half-decade of economic indigestion, longer if banksters are allowed to continue to run the economy and evade regulation. You need living salaries, something approaching full employment, savings up and debt down, and a challenge to the lord and serf society that is planned by the GOP.
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10:40 PM on 11/16/2010
Washington fiddles as the sledgehammer of Declining Oil Production arcs down and when it hits the world's financial system will have a grand mal seizure and go into it's death throes and America will reap what it has sown. That happens sometime in late 2011.

2012 is going to be a very very very very very bad year.
11:38 PM on 11/16/2010
If you say so. Peak oil is still a way off.
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TheeJoeGlass
11:57 PM on 11/16/2010
Peak Oil is a myth
12:27 AM on 11/17/2010
It's risky to place any specific date on peak oil production. We'll only know after it has passed. We're already likely on the bumpy plateau before the downside. The obvious evidence is that oil prices shoot up at the slightest hint of economic recovery and will act as a brake on recovery from here on in. We're going to need to face our addiction and stop beating our planet to get more of it.
09:32 PM on 11/16/2010
Throwing MORE money at banks and Wall Street will only induce massive REAL inflation (though 'official' numbers will remain low) - allowing the US a chance to pay off unmanageable debt with inflated $$$$.

However this will NOT create meaningful jobs (except at the minimum wage serfdom level).

This policy WILL destroy any residual savings held by the ever shrinking middle class and force the lower classes into a modern day equivalent of debtor's prison (since we have utterly shredded any safety net that once existed). The 'upper' middle class will scramble to hold onto the mere 'middle class' existence of years past while the top 1/10 of 1% will hide behind the walls of their castles counting their fortunes.

The Republic is dead, the Empire is crumbling - here comes the new Dark Ages.
dgoose50
Proud Socialist
06:28 AM on 11/17/2010
The people will storm the castles and take back what is theirs....by that time they will have nothing to lose.Fan/Fave
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08:47 PM on 11/16/2010
our monetary system makes kings of the parasite class, and paupers of the producers
09:35 PM on 11/16/2010
You mean we still have any 'producers' left?!?!?

THAT is the problem - endless pursuit of the cheapest possibl labor has destroyed the middle and working classes in the West - while enriching only those at the very top. It doesn't matter how cheap crap is at Walmart if you aren't working and can't afford to buy anything... and with REAL unemployment at over 20% yopu have less and less people actually working to pay the taxes that pay for unemployment..... so ...... borrow on!!!!! and insure that future generations will spend their lives in serdom, paying off a national debt that funded the new lords in their castles
dgoose50
Proud Socialist
06:30 AM on 11/17/2010
many are already stealing what they cannot buy.
09:13 AM on 11/17/2010
We manufacture more than China, Russia, and India combined despite having a fraction of the population. Stop with the hyperbole, people like you are killing our country.